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DHL Group (DE:DHL)
XETRA:DHL
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DHL Group (DHL) AI Stock Analysis

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DE:DHL

DHL Group

(XETRA:DHL)

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Neutral 60 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:60Neutral
Price Target:
€58.00
▲(2.04% Upside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:08/09/26
Overall score reflects steady financial resilience (modest revenue growth and dependable cash generation) but tempered by rising leverage and negative free-cash-flow growth. Technically, the stock shows near-term softness below the 20-day average despite remaining above longer-term averages. Valuation is broadly fair with a supportive dividend yield, but not compelling enough to materially lift the score given the current cash-flow and leverage profile.
Positive Factors
Diversified global logistics platform
The broad service mix and geographic reach diversify revenue across shipment types, customers and end markets. DHL’s integrated network, enterprise relationships and operational scale can support resilience and recurring demand over the next several months.
Negative Factors
Rising leverage
Higher leverage reduces financial flexibility and increases sensitivity to operating volatility, refinancing needs and investment requirements. Although returns remain solid, the greater reliance on debt could constrain future resilience if logistics conditions weaken.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Diversified global logistics platform
The broad service mix and geographic reach diversify revenue across shipment types, customers and end markets. DHL’s integrated network, enterprise relationships and operational scale can support resilience and recurring demand over the next several months.
Read all positive factors

DHL Group (DHL) vs. iShares MSCI Germany ETF (EWG)

DHL Group Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Deutsche Post AG is a leading global provider of postal and logistics services, operating extensively across Germany, the broader European continent, the Americas, Asia Pacific, and both the Middle East and Africa. The company's diverse operations...
How the Company Makes Money
DHL Group makes money primarily by charging customers for transportation, delivery, and logistics services, with revenue earned across several major business lines: (1) Express: Fees for time-definite international and domestic door-to-door shipme...

DHL Group Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Financial statements indicate a solid but normalized operating profile: TTM revenue is up modestly (+3.1%) and cash generation remains strong (TTM FCF ~€6.2B). Offsetting this, profitability has not meaningfully expanded versus recent years, free-cash-flow growth is negative (down ~13% TTM), and leverage has increased (debt-to-equity ~1.24 TTM), reducing balance-sheet flexibility.
Income Statement
66
Positive
Balance Sheet
58
Neutral
Cash Flow
63
Positive
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue85.01B82.86B84.19B81.76B94.44B81.75B
Gross Profit9.75B8.99B8.63B8.83B11.31B10.56B
EBITDA11.91B11.15B10.73B10.80B12.69B11.72B
Net Income3.72B3.50B3.33B3.67B5.36B5.05B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets73.03B74.25B69.88B66.83B68.28B63.59B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments4.29B5.08B2.19B4.26B3.19B4.71B
Total Debt27.97B25.45B22.44B20.83B20.22B19.02B
Total Liabilities50.22B51.63B45.66B43.94B44.58B44.09B
Stockholders Equity22.29B22.23B23.79B22.48B23.24B19.04B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow6.18B5.61B5.79B5.88B7.05B6.26B
Operating Cash Flow9.06B8.40B8.72B9.26B10.96B9.99B
Investing Cash Flow-3.53B-4.94B-2.39B-2.18B-3.18B-4.82B
Financing Cash Flow-4.94B-3.49B-6.35B-6.90B-7.41B-6.22B

DHL Group Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price56.84
Price Trends
50DMA
55.42
Positive
100DMA
51.92
Positive
200DMA
48.31
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.09
Negative
RSI
59.81
Neutral
STOCH
88.56
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For DE:DHL, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 56.84 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 56.02, above the 50-day MA of 55.42, and above the 200-day MA of 48.31, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.09 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 59.81 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 88.56 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for DE:DHL.

DHL Group Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (55)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
74
Outperform
€781.94M13.6614.55%4.51%-5.64%-9.56%
63
Neutral
€9.60B14.125.65%3.77%6.22%-62.23%
60
Neutral
€63.62B17.1116.64%3.33%1.28%11.18%
59
Neutral
€5.95B15.597.50%1.52%3.04%-1.81%
57
Neutral
€24.24B391.180.32%2.30%-9.12%-97.55%
55
Neutral
$6.65B3.83-15.92%6.20%10.91%7.18%
45
Neutral
€2.44B-54.50-1.73%0.46%3.49%-127.01%
* General Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
DE:DHL
DHL Group
56.82
19.22
51.12%
DE:LHA
Deutsche Lufthansa
8.05
0.34
4.37%
DE:FRA
Fraport AG Frankfurt Airport Services Worldwide
65.65
-7.48
-10.23%
DE:HHFA
Hamburger Hafen und Logistik
21.60
0.70
3.35%
DE:HLAG
Hapag Lloyd
133.00
16.34
14.01%
DE:TGHN
Logwin AG
270.00
13.83
5.40%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Aug 09, 2026