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Centerspace (CSR)
NYSE:CSR

Centerspace (CSR) AI Stock Analysis

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Centerspace

(NYSE:CSR)

61Neutral
Centerspace's overall stock score reflects a stable but cautious outlook. The financial performance shows a need for profitability improvement and debt management, while technical indicators are mixed with moderate momentum. The valuation suggests a high risk due to negative earnings, but a high dividend yield is a positive aspect. The earnings call highlighted positive operational trends, supporting a stable outlook despite certain market challenges.
Positive Factors
Earnings
Centerspace reported Core FFO/sh of $1.21, which was $0.02 above our estimate.
Guidance
CSR provided FY2025 guidance with Core FFO/sh of $4.86-$5.10, which is above consensus estimates.
Valuation
CSR shares trade at a significant discount to NAV and large-cap multifamily sector averages, presenting a potential investment opportunity.
Negative Factors
Market Performance
CSR's two largest markets, Denver, CO and Minneapolis, MN, exhibited the weakest results for the portfolio.
Retention Rate
Retention rate decelerated significantly to 49.2%.
Supply Analysis
CSR scored worse than expected in our proprietary supply analysis despite a positive outlook in markets outside of Denver.

Centerspace (CSR) vs. S&P 500 (SPY)

Centerspace Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionCenterspace (CSR) is a real estate investment trust (REIT) specializing in the ownership, management, acquisition, and redevelopment of apartment communities. The company primarily operates in the residential real estate sector, focusing on multifamily housing properties in various markets across the United States. Centerspace is dedicated to providing quality living spaces and exceptional service to its residents, while also seeking to deliver strong returns to its shareholders.
How the Company Makes MoneyCenterspace generates revenue primarily through the rental income it collects from its portfolio of multifamily housing properties. By leasing apartments to individual tenants, the company earns a steady stream of rental payments. Additionally, Centerspace may increase its earnings through property appreciation, which can lead to higher rental rates over time. The company also engages in the strategic acquisition and redevelopment of properties to enhance their value and appeal, potentially leading to increased occupancy rates and rental income. Partnerships with local developers and community organizations may further enhance property value and revenue potential. Centerspace's REIT structure allows it to distribute the majority of its taxable income as dividends to shareholders, providing an attractive income stream to investors.

Centerspace Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Centerspace presents a mixed financial picture with stable revenue growth but persistent profitability challenges. The high leverage poses a risk, though the company maintains a solid equity base. Cash flows remain robust, providing some cushion against operational hurdles. Overall, the financial health is stable but requires attention to debt levels and profitability improvement.
Income Statement
65
Positive
Centerspace shows moderate revenue growth over the periods, with a slight increase in TTM revenue. However, consistent net losses indicate profitability challenges. The gross profit margin remains strong, yet declining EBIT and EBITDA margins reflect operational cost pressures. Revenue growth is positive but slowing, suggesting stability with caution needed on profitability.
Balance Sheet
60
Neutral
The balance sheet shows a stable equity position relative to total assets, indicating a solid foundation. However, the debt-to-equity ratio is high, suggesting significant leverage risk. The return on equity has fluctuated, with recent periods showing negative returns due to net losses, highlighting profit generation issues.
Cash Flow
70
Positive
Centerspace has shown positive operating cash flow throughout the periods, with recent improvements in free cash flow. However, the free cash flow growth rate is inconsistent. The operating cash flow covers net income, showcasing strong cash generation capability despite profitability issues. Financing activities show a decrease, indicating reduced external funding reliance.
Breakdown
Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
260.98M261.31M256.72M201.71M177.99M
Gross Profit
148.61M146.14M138.18M111.10M99.03M
EBIT
20.48M84.45M13.86M2.72M8.34M
EBITDA
130.23M188.83M121.62M122.06M85.59M
Net Income Common Stockholders
-10.69M41.97M-15.02M-31.38M-24.00M
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
12.03M8.63M10.46M31.27M392.00K
Total Assets
1.91B1.93B2.03B1.94B1.46B
Total Debt
955.38M916.02M1.01B856.05M719.19M
Net Debt
943.36M907.39M997.17M824.78M718.80M
Total Liabilities
1.01B978.78M1.07B918.45M774.80M
Stockholders Equity
670.46M726.39M746.10M797.36M634.77M
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
98.25M89.52M35.30M48.15M30.91M
Operating Cash Flow
98.25M89.52M91.99M84.03M61.23M
Investing Cash Flow
-50.72M120.21M-160.09M-267.23M-164.97M
Financing Cash Flow
-43.67M-212.35M41.37M214.51M64.93M

Centerspace Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price61.42
Price Trends
50DMA
61.77
Negative
100DMA
62.31
Negative
200DMA
66.11
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.24
Negative
RSI
56.24
Neutral
STOCH
75.45
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For CSR, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 61.42 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 58.88, below the 50-day MA of 61.77, and below the 200-day MA of 66.11, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.24 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 56.24 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 75.45 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for CSR.

Centerspace Risk Analysis

Centerspace disclosed 51 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Centerspace reported the most risks in the “Finance & Corporate” category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Centerspace Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (60)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
UMUMH
63
Neutral
$1.49B538.793.45%4.84%8.88%
CSCSR
61
Neutral
$1.09B-1.55%4.92%-21.69%-154.55%
BRBRT
61
Neutral
$305.90M-4.52%6.19%2.15%-556.06%
60
Neutral
$2.79B11.370.20%8519.74%6.07%-14.95%
VRVRE
58
Neutral
$1.52B-2.76%1.78%-3.20%76.43%
58
Neutral
$989.60M866.19-7.19%5.04%-7.44%-143.64%
AIAIV
41
Neutral
$1.17B-44.01%11.60%36.23%
* Real Estate Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
CSR
Centerspace
61.42
-4.88
-7.36%
AIV
Apartment Investment & Management
8.25
0.52
6.73%
VRE
Veris Residential
16.27
1.28
8.54%
UMH
Umh
17.78
2.74
18.22%
BRT
BRT Apartments
16.16
-1.46
-8.29%
NXRT
NexPoint Residential
38.60
4.86
14.40%

Centerspace Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:May 01, 2025
(Q1-2025)
|
% Change Since: 2.15%|
Next Earnings Date:Aug 04, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call presented a generally positive outlook, highlighting improved occupancy rates, positive leasing trends, and strong revenue growth. However, there were challenges related to increased expenses and supply pressures in specific markets. Overall, the company's strategic focus and market positioning suggest optimism for the remainder of the year.
Q1-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Improved Occupancy Rates
The company's weighted average occupancy for the same-store portfolio improved by 120 basis points year-over-year, reaching an average physical occupancy of 96%.
Positive Leasing Trends
Blended leasing spreads increased by 70 basis points in the first quarter, with new lease spreads improving from negative 3.5% in Q4 2024 to 2.4% in April.
Core FFO Growth
Reported core FFO was $1.21 per diluted share for Q1, driven by a 2.1% year-over-year increase in same-store NOI.
Revenue Increase
Revenues from same-store communities increased by 3.5% compared to the same quarter in 2024, benefiting from improved occupancy.
Strong Market Demand
The Midwest and Mountain West regions benefited from a lack of new supply, with North Dakota leading the portfolio with blended leasing spreads of 5.3% year-to-date.
Negative Updates
Increase in Same-Store Expenses
Same-store expenses increased by 5.8% year-over-year, primarily driven by property taxes, creating a challenging year-over-year comparison.
Supply Challenges in Denver
The Denver market continues to face supply pressure, affecting new lease rates, although demand remains strong enough to potentially improve rates as the year progresses.
Retention Rate Concerns
Retention came down in the first quarter, with operational retention rates slightly lower than some peers, largely due to forced move-outs related to value-add projects.
Company Guidance
During the Centerspace First Quarter 2025 Earnings Call, the company highlighted several key metrics demonstrating strong performance and reaffirmed its full-year guidance. The first quarter showed a 120 basis point year-over-year improvement in weighted average occupancy for the same-store portfolio, reaching an average physical occupancy of 96%. April renewal retention was around 57%, with blended leasing spreads up 70 basis points in the first quarter and further improvement into April. Renewal increases remained steady between 2% and mid-3%, while new lease spreads improved from a negative 3.5% in Q4 2024 to a positive 2.4% in April. The rent-to-income ratio was stable at 21.6%, and bad debt aligned with expectations at around 40 basis points. The company's core FFO for the first quarter was $1.21 per diluted share, supported by a 2.1% year-over-year increase in same-store NOI and a 3.5% increase in revenues from same-store communities. Centerspace's debt maturity profile was well managed, with a weighted average debt cost of 3.6% and a weighted average time to maturity of 5.4 years. The company maintained over $223 million in liquidity, reinforcing its position to capitalize on strategic opportunities amid market volatility.

Centerspace Corporate Events

Financial Disclosures
Centerspace Reports Q1 2025 Financial Results
Neutral
May 1, 2025

Centerspace, a company listed on the NYSE under the ticker CSR, reported its financial and operational results for the first quarter of 2025 on May 1, 2025. The company experienced a 4.0% increase in revenue compared to the first quarter of 2024, reaching $67.1 million. Despite a net loss of $0.22 per diluted share, this was an improvement from the $0.37 loss per share in the same period last year. The Core FFO per diluted share slightly decreased to $1.21, attributed to a rise in same-store property taxes. Centerspace also updated its financial outlook for 2025, maintaining its previous guidance ranges.

Spark’s Take on CSR Stock

According to Spark, TipRanks’ AI Analyst, CSR is a Neutral.

Centerspace’s overall score reflects moderate financial performance, with strengths in cash flow and portfolio expansion. However, challenges in profitability consistency and high leverage weigh down the score. Technical indicators suggest caution, while valuation metrics are mixed, with a negative P/E offset by a strong dividend yield. The positive earnings call sentiment provides a boost, but expense and interest challenges persist.

To see Spark’s full report on CSR stock, click here.

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
Centerspace Board Member Jeffrey Caira Announces Retirement
Neutral
Mar 13, 2025

On March 7, 2025, Jeffrey P. Caira, a member of Centerspace’s Board of Trustees, announced his decision to retire and not seek re-election at the upcoming Annual Meeting of Shareholders on May 14, 2025. Caira’s retirement marks a significant transition for the company, as he has played a crucial role in guiding Centerspace’s strategic focus towards multifamily operations since his appointment in 2015. The company has been actively refreshing its board, adding new members in 2024, which aligns with its ongoing commitment to growth and operational excellence.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Centerspace Unveils 2024 Financial Results and 2025 Outlook
Positive
Feb 28, 2025

On February 28, 2025, Centerspace released an investor presentation detailing its financial and operational results for the year ending December 31, 2024. The company reported growth in average rents despite economic volatility and outlined its strategic focus on increasing distributable cash flow and enhancing operational efficiencies. The presentation also highlighted Centerspace’s portfolio improvements since 2017, including strategic acquisitions and dispositions to optimize its market presence. The company’s financial outlook for 2025 includes guidance on revenue, expenses, and net income, with a focus on maintaining a strong balance sheet to support growth.

Glossary
OutperformA stock rated as "Outperform" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider this stock a good buying opportunity.
NeutralA stock rated as "Neutral" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly attractive nor unattractive for investment. Investors may consider holding onto the stock, as it is not expected to either significantly outperform or underperform the market.
UnderperformA stock rated as "Underperform" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock may deliver lower returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider selling the stock or avoiding it as an investment.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.