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Capricorn Energy PLC (CRNCY) AI Stock Analysis

CRNCY

Capricorn Energy PLC

(Other OTC:CRNCY)

Select Model
Rating:67Neutral
Price Target:$12.50â–²(9.26% Upside)
Action:reiterated
Date:10/25/26

Attractive low P/E and positive technical momentum are the primary drivers, tempered by mixed financials from revenue weakness despite cash flow strength and low debt.

Positive Factors
Return to ProfitabilityThe return to positive earnings after losses in 2022–2023 indicates meaningful operational improvement and gives Capricorn greater capacity to fund activities internally. The solid TTM margins also provide a more resilient earnings base, although maintaining them will depend on production performance and industry conditions.
Negative Factors
Multi-Year Revenue DeclineSeveral consecutive years of shrinking revenue indicate that recent profitability has not yet been matched by sustained top-line expansion. A contracting revenue base can limit operating leverage, reduce the resources available for reinvestment, and make future earnings more dependent on cost control or favorable production and commodity conditions.

Capricorn Energy PLC (CRNCY) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

-25%0%25%50%75%100%125%150%CRNCY+117.92%SPY+11.79%Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26
Market Cap
$403.08M
Dividend Yield
―
Average Volume (3M)
802
Price to Earnings (P/E)
7.9
Beta (1Y)
0.72
Revenue Growth
37.84%
EPS Growth
―
Country
US
Employees
41
Sector
Energy
Sector Strength
65
Industry
Oil & Gas Exploration & Production

Capricorn Energy PLC Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Capricorn Energy PLC is an independent firm specializing in oil and gas exploration, development, and production. The company manages a comprehensive portfolio of exploration, development, and production assets situated in the United Kingdom, Israel,...

How the Company Makes Money

Capricorn Energy makes money primarily through upstream oil and gas economics: (1) Hydrocarbon production revenue: The company generates revenue by producing crude oil and/or natural gas from its operated or non-operated fields and selling those volu...

Capricorn Energy PLC Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Mar 25, 2026(Q4-2025)|% Change Since:61.44%|Next Earnings Date:Mar 31, 2027
Earnings Call SentimentPositive

The call emphasizes substantial progress: a stronger balance sheet (net cash $103m), material collections ($217m), early repayment of senior debt, production achievement (~20,000 BOE/d) and significant reserves replacement (277%). Strategic gains from the merged concession and a sizeable identified resource base further underpin growth potential. Key negatives are concentrated receivables ($86m), dependence on timely EGPC payments, pending ratification of concession changes (critical to unlock acreage), elevated reported OpEx and near‑term turnarounds that will temper 2026 volumes. On balance the operational and financial improvements materially outweigh the risks, though execution and collection risks remain important to monitor.

Positive Updates

Production Performance and Guidance
Working interest production of just over 20,000 BOE/d in 2025, achieving the higher end of guidance; 2026 guidance set at 18,000–22,000 BOE/d.

Negative Updates

Receivables and Customer Concentration Risk
Receivables remained material at $86 million year end and the company is highly dependent on a single customer (EGPC) for oil and gas receipts; management highlights receivables collection as a principal risk despite recent positive press from the ministry.

Company Guidance

Capricorn guided 2026 production to 18,000–22,000 BOE/d (working interest), with liquids weighting expected to rise to about 43% (versus ~20,000 BOE/d and a 40% liquids weighting in 2025); OpEx is guided to $5–$7/BOE for 2026 (after 2025 OpEx of $540/BOE), and capital investment is planned at $85–$95 million (vs $77 million invested in 2025). Management flagged two turnarounds that will affect full‑year volumes, stressed that ratification of the merged concessions is critical to unlock acreage and growth, and reiterated a typical M&A return hurdle of ~25% IRR. Key financial metrics noted include $217 million of collections in 2025, an $86 million year‑end receivables balance, $81 million Egypt net cash flow, only $30 million outstanding on a ring‑fenced junior facility, and $103 million net cash at year‑end (an $80 million YoY cash increase); reserves metrics include ~277% reserves replacement, conversion of ~20 million bbl WI into reserves, and 332 million BOE 2C unrisked WI (≈80 million BOE GLJ‑evaluated).

Capricorn Energy PLC Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Mixed performance: weak income statement from revenue decline offset by strong cash flow generation and improved balance sheet with low debt levels.

Income Statement

35Negative

Balance Sheet

60Neutral

Cash Flow

70Positive
Financial statement breakdown
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue175.40M135.22M177.90M201.00M229.60M57.10M
Gross Profit78.19M30.77M51.20M140.30M149.20M12.70M
EBITDA108.70M59.54M116.30M41.70M-53.30M961.50M
Net Income49.90M19.04M10.60M-144.00M-67.10M894.50M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets501.40M513.00M619.70M667.60M1.53B2.25B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments113.90M132.70M123.40M189.50M891.20M400.70M
Total Debt5.60M46.00M105.40M119.20M162.90M180.70M
Total Liabilities104.50M139.70M270.40M261.10M314.70M447.80M
Stockholders Equity396.90M373.30M349.30M406.50M1.12B1.80B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow90.43M66.76M44.50M-100.80M-105.30M90.50M
Operating Cash Flow191.59M143.63M86.10M-39.90M63.50M179.90M
Investing Cash Flow-105.79M-61.24M-51.30M120.80M963.90M-296.00M
Financing Cash Flow-65.99M-73.57M-97.30M-646.20M-579.60M-147.90M

Capricorn Energy PLC Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis SentimentPositive
Last Price11.44

Price Trends

50DMA10.68Positive
100DMA9.88Positive
200DMA8.80Positive

Market Momentum

MACD0.20Positive
RSI56.35Neutral
STOCH90.52Negative

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For CRNCY, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 11.44 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 11.31, above the 50-day MA of 10.68, and above the 200-day MA of 8.80, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.20 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 56.35 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 90.52 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for CRNCY.

Capricorn Energy PLC Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform
Sector (65)

Financial Indicators

CRNCY against its peers
NameOverall RatingMarket CapP/E RatioROEDividend YieldRevenue GrowthEPS Growth
CRNCYCRNCY67Neutral$404.18M7.9412.85%―37.84%―
Sector *65Neutral$15.17B7.614.09%5.20%3.87%-62.32%
EPMEPM57Neutral$154.45M-51.21-3.80%12.63%0.59%-345.77%
REIREI57Neutral$372.57M-1.30-28.80%―-3.15%-416.57%
AMPYAMPY52Neutral$177.02M8.545.13%―-23.70%30.67%

* Energy Sector Average

Performance Comparison

-50%0%50%100%CRNCYEPMAMPYREISAFXDec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26
CRNCY and its peers over the selected period
Show on chartTickerCompany NamePriceChange% Change
CRNCYCapricorn Energy PLC Unsponsored ADR11.445.90106.33%
EPMEvolution Petroleum3.80-0.13-3.38%
AMPYAmplify Energy Corp.4.27-0.41-8.76%
REIRing Energy Inc1.430.4850.21%
SAFXXcf Global, Inc. Class A0.12-0.71-85.42%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.

Date of analysis: Oct 24, 2026