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Calumet Specialty Products (CLMT) Risk Analysis
Risk Overview Q2, 2026
Risk Change Over Time
- Accounting & Financial Operations - Risk 1We have remediated the material weaknesses previously reported in our internal control over financial reporting, but if we identify additional material weaknesses in the future or fail to maintain an effective system of internal control we may not be able to accurately and timely report our financial results, which may affect investor confidence and cause us to incur additional costs resulting in adverse impacts to our results of operations.
As a public company, we are required to establish and periodically evaluate procedures with respect to our disclosure controls and procedures and our internal control over financial reporting. In the course of preparing our unaudited condensed consolidated financial statements for the three and nine months ended September 30, 2025, we identified an error in the Company's historical unaudited condensed consolidated statements of cash flows for the periods ended March 31, 2025 and June 30, 2025 that caused a misclassification of certain amounts between cash flow from operating activities and cash flows from financing activities. A material weakness is a deficiency, or combination of deficiencies, in our internal control over financial reporting such that there is a reasonable possibility that a material misstatement of our annual or interim consolidated financial statements would not be prevented or detected on a timely basis. After completing several remedial actions as described in Part II, Item 9A "Controls and Procedures" we have remediated the previously identified material weaknesses as of December 31, 2025. However, there can be no assurance that the measures we have taken to date, or any actions we may take in the future, will be effective in preventing or mitigating potential future material weaknesses. Our current controls and any new controls that we develop may become inadequate because of changes in conditions in our business. Further, additional weaknesses in our disclosure controls and procedures and internal control over financial reporting may be discovered in the future. If we are then unable to remediate the material weaknesses in a timely manner and further implement and maintain effective internal control over financial reporting or disclosure controls and procedures, our ability to record, process, and report financial information accurately, and to prepare financial statements within required time periods could be adversely affected, which could result in material misstatements in our financial statements that may continue undetected or a restatement of our financial statements for prior periods. This may negatively impact the public perception of the Company and cause investors to lose confidence in the accuracy and completeness of our financial reports, harm our ability to raise capital on favorable terms, or at all, in the future, and subject us to litigation or investigations by regulatory authorities, which could require additional financial and management resources or otherwise have a negative impact on our financial condition. In addition, we have incurred and expect to continue to incur significant expenses and devote substantial management effort toward our efforts to achieve and maintain effective internal control over financial reporting. As a result of the complexity involved in complying with the rules and regulations applicable to public companies, our management's attention may be diverted from other business concerns, which could harm our business, operating results, and financial condition. Although we have already implemented various actions to remediate the material weakness, we may find in the future that we do not have adequate systems, processes or personnel with the appropriate level of knowledge over financial reporting required of public companies and may need to take additional remediation steps in the future, or engage outside consultants, which will increase our operating expenses. We reached a determination to restate certain of our previously issued unaudited condensed consolidated financial statements, which may affect investor confidence. We previously reached a determination to restate our unaudited consolidated financial statements and related disclosures for the quarters ended March 31, 2025 and June 30, 2025, following the identification of an error in the unaudited condensed consolidated statements of cash flows as a result of the misclassification of certain amounts between cash flows from operating activities and cash flows from financing activities. As a result, we have become subject to a number of additional risks and uncertainties, which may affect investor confidence in the accuracy of our financial disclosures
Risk Highlights Q2, 2026
Risk Word Cloud
Risk Factors Full Breakdown - Total Risks 46
- Share Price & Shareholder Rights - Risk 1Transactions between the Company and MRL present possible conflicts of interest that could have an adverse effect on the Company if they are not managed appropriately.
MRHL has no assets other than its equity interests in MRL. Several of the Company's affiliates have been or are expected to be involved with the operation of Montana Renewables, including the sales and marketing of the renewable fuels produced by Montana Renewables. The support and experience of the Company's affiliates are expected to be important to the success of Montana Renewables. However, no affiliates of the Company are obligated to make any payments with respect to outstanding debt obligations of MRHL or MRL and any such transactions between the Company and MRHL or MRL present possible conflicts of interest that could have an adverse effect on the Company if they are not managed appropriately.
- Share Price & Shareholder Rights - Risk 2The price of our common stock may experience volatility.
The price of our common stock may be volatile. In addition to the risk factors described above, some of the factors that could affect the price of our common stock are quarterly increases or decreases in revenue or earnings, changes in revenue or earnings estimates by the investment community, sales of our common stock by significant stockholders, short-selling of our common stock by investors, issuance of a significant number of shares to raise additional capital to fund our operations, changes in market valuations of similar companies and speculation in the press or investment community about our financial condition or results of operations. General market conditions and U.S. or international economic factors and political events unrelated to the performance of us may also affect our stock price. For these reasons, investors should not rely on recent trends in the price of our common stock to predict the future price of our common stock or our future financial results.
- Share Price & Shareholder Rights - Risk 3Our amended and restated certificate of incorporation and amended and restated bylaws contain provisions that may make it more difficult for a third party to acquire control of us, even if a change in control would result in the purchase of your shares of common stock at a premium to the market price or would otherwise be beneficial to you.
There are provisions in our amended and restated certificate of incorporation and amended and restated bylaws that may make it more difficult for a third party to acquire control of us, even if a change in control would result in the purchase of your shares of common stock at a premium to the market price or would otherwise be beneficial to you. For example, our amended and restated certificate of incorporation authorizes our board of directors to issue preferred stock without stockholder approval. If our board of directors elects to issue preferred stock, it could be more difficult for a third party to acquire us. In addition, provisions of our amended and restated certificate of incorporation and amended and restated bylaws, including a classified board of directors, so that only approximately one-third of our directors are elected each year, and limitations on stockholder actions by written consent and on stockholder proposals and director nominations at meetings of stockholders, could make it more difficult for a third party to acquire control of us. Certain provisions of the Delaware General Corporation Law ("DGCL") may also discourage takeover attempts that have not been approved by our board of directors.
- Share Price & Shareholder Rights - Risk 4Our amended and restated certificate of incorporation designates the Court of Chancery of the State of Delaware as the sole and exclusive forum for certain types of actions and proceedings that may be initiated by our stockholders, and the federal district courts as the exclusive forum for Securities Act claims, which could limit stockholders' ability to obtain what such stockholders believe to be a favorable judicial forum for disputes with us or our directors, officers, employees or agents.
Our amended and restated certificate of incorporation provides that, unless we select or consent in writing to the selection of an alternative forum, all complaints asserting any internal corporate claims (defined as claims, including claims in the right of the Company: (i) that are based upon a violation of a duty by a current or former director, officer, employee or stockholder in such capacity; or (ii) as to which the DGCL confers jurisdiction upon the Court of Chancery), to the fullest extent permitted by applicable law, and subject to applicable jurisdictional requirements, shall be the Court of Chancery of the State of Delaware (or, if the Court of Chancery does not have, or declines to accept, jurisdiction, another state court or a federal court located within the State of Delaware). Further, unless we select or consent to the selection of an alternative forum, the federal district courts of the United States will be the exclusive forum for the resolution of any complaint asserting a cause of action arising under the Securities Act. Our choice of forum provision does not apply to suits brought to enforce any liability or duty created by the Exchange Act and investors cannot waive compliance with the federal securities laws and the rules and regulations thereunder. Any person or entity purchasing or otherwise acquiring any interest in shares of our common stock will be deemed to have notice of, and consented to, the provisions of our amended and restated certificate of incorporation described in the preceding sentence. This choice of forum provision may limit a stockholder's ability to bring a claim in a judicial forum that it finds favorable for disputes with us or our directors, officers, employees or agents, which may discourage such lawsuits against us and such persons. Alternatively, if a court were to find these provisions of our amended and restated certificate of incorporation inapplicable to, or unenforceable in respect of, one or more of the specified types of actions or proceedings, we may incur additional costs associated with resolving such matters in other jurisdictions, which could adversely affect our business, financial condition or results of operations.
- Share Price & Shareholder Rights - Risk 5The value of our common stock may be diluted by future equity issuances (including upon the exercise of the outstanding warrants), and shares eligible for future sale may have adverse effects on our share price.
We cannot predict the effect of future sales of shares or the availability of shares for future sales, on the market price of or the liquidity of the market for the shares of our common stock. Sales of substantial amounts of shares of our common stock, or the perception that such sales could occur, could adversely affect the prevailing market price of the shares of our common stock. Such sales, or the possibility of such sales, could also make it difficult for us to sell equity securities in the future at a time and at a price that we deem appropriate. Our authorized capital stock consists of 700,000,000 shares of common stock and 100,000,000 shares of preferred stock, a significant portion of which is unissued. We may need to raise a significant amount of capital to pay down outstanding indebtedness, including principal, interest and fees due under our revolving credit facility, the senior notes, the DOE Facility and our other indebtedness and may raise such capital through the issuance of newly issued common stock or preferred stock. Additionally, outstanding warrants to purchase an aggregate of 2,000,000 shares of common stock are exercisable through July 10, 2027. Such issuance and sale of equity could be dilutive to the interests of existing stockholders and increase the number of shares eligible for resale in the public market. Additionally, as of February 26, 2026, The Heritage Group and certain of their affiliates beneficially owned approximately 19.4% of the outstanding shares of our common stock (prior to any potential dilution resulting from exercise of the warrants). The Sponsor Parties have registration rights with respect to the shares of common stock they receive pursuant to the Conversion. Pursuant to the Registration Rights Agreement, we have filed a shelf registration statement with respect to the registrable securities under the Registration Rights Agreement. No more than two times in any 12-month period, the Sponsor Parties may request to sell all or any portion of their registrable securities in an underwritten offering so long as the total offering price is reasonably expected to exceed $25 million. We also agreed to provide customary "piggyback" registration rights to the Sponsor Parties. The Registration Rights Agreement also provides that we will pay certain expenses relating to such registrations and indemnify the stockholders against certain liabilities. The Sponsor Parties' shares of common stock is currently eligible for sale into the market without volume limitations. Because of the substantial size of the Sponsor Parties' holdings, the sale of a significant portion of these shares, or a perception in the market that such a sale is likely, could have a significant impact on the market price of such shares.
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