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Stadler Rail AG (CH:SRAIL)
:SRAIL
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Stadler Rail AG (SRAIL) AI Stock Analysis

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CH:SRAIL

Stadler Rail AG

(SRAIL)

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Neutral 60 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:60Neutral
Price Target:
CHF27.00
▲(19.15% Upside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:07/05/26
The score is held back primarily by mixed fundamentals—especially the sharp swing to negative operating and free cash flow in 2025 and continued leverage—despite a clear technical uptrend. Valuation is relatively rich (P/E ~27.9) with only a modest dividend yield (~2.0%), which tempers overall attractiveness.
Positive Factors
Integrated product + services model
Stadler’s combined new‑build and lifecycle services model creates recurring aftermarket revenue beyond initial vehicle sales. Multi‑year service agreements and modernization work smooth revenue volatility from project timing and support steadier long‑term cash generation and customer lock‑in.
Negative Factors
Severe cash‑flow volatility
Sharp swings from very strong OCF to large outflows suggest working‑capital sensitivity and project timing risk. Persistent volatility elevates liquidity and execution risk, can force higher short‑term borrowing, and undermines reliable internal funding for capex or warranty/service obligations.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Integrated product + services model
Stadler’s combined new‑build and lifecycle services model creates recurring aftermarket revenue beyond initial vehicle sales. Multi‑year service agreements and modernization work smooth revenue volatility from project timing and support steadier long‑term cash generation and customer lock‑in.
Read all positive factors

Stadler Rail AG (SRAIL) vs. iShares MSCI Switzerland ETF (EWL)

Stadler Rail AG Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Stadler Rail AG, leveraging its global network of subsidiaries, specializes in the production and distribution of railway transportation solutions. Its extensive market presence spans key regions like Switzerland, Germany, Austria, throughout West...
How the Company Makes Money
Stadler Rail primarily makes money by selling rolling stock and providing associated services over the vehicles’ lifecycles. The core revenue stream is the manufacture and delivery of new rail vehicles (e.g., multiple-unit trains, locomotives, pas...

Stadler Rail AG Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Income statement shows a 2025 rebound in revenue (+9.4%) and net income (~88m vs ~38m in 2024), but margins remain relatively thin and volatile. Balance sheet leverage is still notable (debt-to-equity ~1.21x in 2024) despite improvement from earlier peaks. The major drag is cash-flow instability, with 2025 operating cash flow turning negative (~-347m) and free cash flow ~-560m.
Income Statement
62
Positive
Balance Sheet
58
Neutral
Cash Flow
36
Negative
BreakdownDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue3.68B3.26B3.61B3.75B3.63B
Gross Profit420.19M370.91M404.64M385.41M402.02M
EBITDA280.80M239.81M320.14M254.06M324.44M
Net Income88.02M38.42M124.32M72.90M133.66M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets5.96B5.86B5.01B4.40B4.60B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments664.19M1.26B1.09B831.68M1.15B
Total Debt939.64M892.83M688.10M1.06B1.50B
Total Liabilities5.10B5.08B4.19B3.62B3.72B
Stockholders Equity812.28M739.24M790.28M772.58M875.21M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-559.58M46.09M661.00M256.87M326.83M
Operating Cash Flow-346.97M286.40M905.28M441.35M503.96M
Investing Cash Flow-277.82M-225.79M-152.37M-207.00M-154.33M
Financing Cash Flow44.28M99.16M-447.43M-526.98M-110.29M

Stadler Rail AG Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price22.66
Price Trends
50DMA
22.80
Positive
100DMA
21.34
Positive
200DMA
20.41
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.46
Positive
RSI
49.35
Neutral
STOCH
31.92
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For CH:SRAIL, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 22.66 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 23.54, below the 50-day MA of 22.80, and above the 200-day MA of 20.41, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.46 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 49.35 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 31.92 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for CH:SRAIL.

Stadler Rail AG Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (55)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
73
Outperform
CHF3.06B19.042.99%-7.64%4.78%
67
Neutral
CHF1.81B47.782.17%5.79%-49.07%
65
Neutral
CHF4.62B16.0924.15%2.90%0.70%12.20%
62
Neutral
CHF1.05B19.831.46%-2.46%-11.13%
60
Neutral
CHF2.38B26.451.00%13.01%129.13%
55
Neutral
$6.65B3.83-15.92%6.20%10.91%7.18%
49
Neutral
CHF3.56B34.872.53%-22.94%-51.88%
* General Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
CH:SRAIL
Stadler Rail AG
23.28
2.88
14.11%
CH:KARN
Kardex AG
237.50
-50.18
-17.44%
CH:INRN
Interroll Holding AG
1,298.00
-724.55
-35.82%
CH:BUCN
Bucher Industries AG
312.50
-81.33
-20.65%
CH:GF
Georg Fischer AG
43.82
-18.63
-29.83%
CH:SUN
Sulzer AG
139.50
-0.44
-0.31%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jul 05, 2026