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Lonza Group Ltd (CH:LONN)
:LONN
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Lonza Group Ltd (LONN) AI Stock Analysis

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CH:LONN

Lonza Group Ltd

(LONN)

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Outperform 71 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:71Outperform
Price Target:
CHF606.00
▲(14.25% Upside)
Lonza Group's overall stock score is driven by strong earnings call performance and operational efficiency. However, high valuation and mixed technical indicators temper the score. The company's strategic focus on growth and margin improvements is promising, but challenges in revenue growth and cash flow stability remain.
Positive Factors
CDMO Business Growth
The strong growth in the CDMO segment underscores Lonza's competitive advantage in contract manufacturing, ensuring sustained revenue and margin improvements.
Integrated Biologics Platform Success
The success of the Integrated Biologics platform, bolstered by strategic acquisitions, positions Lonza for continued leadership in biologics manufacturing.
Advanced Synthesis Platform Growth
The robust growth in the Advanced Synthesis platform highlights Lonza's ability to capitalize on complex small molecule demand, enhancing its market position.
Negative Factors
Declining Revenue
Inconsistent revenue growth poses a risk to Lonza's long-term financial stability, potentially impacting its ability to invest in future growth opportunities.
Negative Free Cash Flow
Ongoing negative free cash flow indicates capital expenditure demands that could limit Lonza's financial flexibility and ability to fund strategic initiatives.
Challenges in Specialized Modalities
Performance issues in specialized modalities highlight operational challenges that could hinder Lonza's ability to fully capitalize on emerging market opportunities.

Lonza Group Ltd (LONN) vs. iShares MSCI Switzerland ETF (EWL)

Lonza Group Ltd Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionLonza Group Ltd is a global leader in the life sciences and specialty chemicals sectors, providing a wide range of products and services to the pharmaceutical, biotechnology, and healthcare industries. The company operates through two main segments: Pharma & Biotech and Specialty Ingredients. Lonza is known for its high-quality contract manufacturing services, offering biologics and small molecules production, as well as custom development and manufacturing solutions. Additionally, it provides innovative specialty ingredients for consumer goods, including personal care, nutrition, and agricultural applications.
How the Company Makes MoneyLonza Group Ltd generates revenue primarily through its contract development and manufacturing services (CDMO) for the pharmaceutical and biotechnology sectors. This includes the production of active pharmaceutical ingredients (APIs) and biologics, which are critical for drug development and production. The company also earns revenue from its Specialty Ingredients segment, which supplies ingredients for consumer products, agriculture, and industrial applications. Key revenue streams include long-term contracts with pharmaceutical companies, project-based agreements, and sales of specialty chemicals. Significant partnerships with major pharmaceutical companies enhance Lonza's market position and contribute to its earnings, as these collaborations often lead to large, ongoing contracts for manufacturing services.

Lonza Group Ltd Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Jul 23, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Jan 28, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call reflected a strong performance overall with significant growth in sales and margins in the CDMO business and successful integration of new business platforms. However, challenges in specialized modalities and currency headwinds were noted as areas of concern.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Half-Year Performance
Lonza reported CHF 3.6 billion in sales, translating to 19% CER sales growth compared to 2024, and a core EBITDA of CHF 1.1 billion, representing a margin growth of 0.4 percentage points to 29.6%.
CDMO Business Growth
Excluding CHI, the CDMO business saw 23.1% sales growth leading to a core EBITDA margin slightly above 30%. The company also upgraded its CDMO outlook for full year 2025 to 20% to 21% CER sales growth and a core EBITDA margin of 30% to 31%.
Integrated Biologics Platform Success
The Integrated Biologics platform reported almost 40% CER sales growth compared to H1 2024, supported by the Vacaville acquisition and high demand for assets, with a core EBITDA margin increase to 36%.
Advanced Synthesis Platform Growth
The platform reported strong CER sales growth of above 18% compared to H1 2024, driven by demand for complex small molecules, leading to a core EBITDA margin of 40.3%, an increase of 6.9 percentage points versus H1 2024.
Progress in New Operating Model
The new operating model successfully went live on April 1, 2025, perfectly in line with the original time line without any complications.
Negative Updates
Specialized Modalities Performance
Reported CR sales were down by 9.2% and a core EBITDA margin of 17.3%, a decrease of 6.1 percentage points versus H1 2024, due to pipeline variability and operational challenges.
Currency Headwinds
Group sales in H1 were affected by a negative 2% currency headwind as the Swiss franc appreciated materially over the course of H1 versus the U.S. dollar.
Challenges in Cell and Gene Therapy
Lower asset utilization and operational performance in cell and gene therapy due to pipeline variability and complex manufacturing processes.
Company Guidance
In the fiscal year 2025 second quarter conference call, Lonza provided an optimistic outlook for the year, projecting a CDMO business sales growth of 20% to 21% at constant exchange rates (CER) and a core EBITDA margin of 30% to 31%. In H1, the company reported CHF 3.6 billion in sales, indicating a robust 19% CER sales growth compared to 2024, and a core EBITDA of CHF 1.1 billion, representing a margin growth to 29.6%. The CDMO business, excluding Capsules and Health Ingredients (CHI), achieved 23.1% sales growth, with a core EBITDA margin slightly above 30%. The company also highlighted its CapEx spending, which reached 19% of sales, and announced plans for continued investment in growth projects across its CDMO platforms. The newly acquired Vacaville site contributed significantly to sales, with expectations for it to maintain a CHF 0.5 billion run rate over the next few years. Despite challenges in specialized modalities, Lonza remains confident in its ability to navigate the macroeconomic and geopolitical landscape, with strong customer interest across its facilities in the U.S., Europe, and Asia.

Lonza Group Ltd Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Lonza Group exhibits robust operational efficiency and a strong equity foundation. However, challenges such as declining revenues and negative free cash flows are areas of concern. The company maintains profitability through efficient operations, but strategic actions may be needed to address revenue growth and cash flow stability.
Income Statement
75
Positive
Lonza Group has shown a mixed performance in its income statement. The gross profit margin for the latest year stands at 32.8%, reflecting solid profitability. However, the net profit margin decreased to 9.7% from the previous year's 9.7%, indicating some pressure on net profitability. Revenue growth has been inconsistent, with a recent decline of 2.1% in total revenue. Despite these challenges, the company maintains a respectable EBIT margin of 14.7% and EBITDA margin of 15.7%, highlighting operational efficiency.
Balance Sheet
80
Positive
The balance sheet of Lonza Group reveals a strong equity base, with an equity ratio of 47.3%, providing financial stability. The debt-to-equity ratio has increased to 0.50, suggesting moderate use of leverage. Return on equity is moderate at 6.8%, indicating efficient use of equity capital. Overall, the balance sheet reflects a stable financial position, supported by a strong equity foundation.
Cash Flow
65
Positive
Cash flow analysis shows challenges, with a negative free cash flow of -143 million CHF, although an improvement from the previous year's -263 million CHF. The operating cash flow to net income ratio stands at 2.0, indicating strong cash generation relative to earnings. However, the free cash flow to net income ratio remains negative, highlighting ongoing capital expenditure demands.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue7.09B6.57B6.72B6.22B5.41B4.51B
Gross Profit2.34B2.16B1.95B2.30B1.97B1.71B
EBITDA1.77B1.54B1.53B2.12B1.38B1.39B
Net Income733.00M636.00M654.00M1.22B2.94B869.00M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets18.80B19.73B16.85B17.56B16.69B14.63B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments907.00M1.71B1.67B2.22B3.18B495.00M
Total Debt4.61B5.12B3.13B2.59B2.75B3.81B
Total Liabilities10.13B10.35B7.34B6.89B6.87B7.74B
Stockholders Equity8.62B9.33B9.45B10.60B9.75B6.82B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-267.00M-143.00M-263.00M-833.00M-126.00M163.00M
Operating Cash Flow1.16B1.27B1.39B1.04B1.22B1.14B
Investing Cash Flow-2.00B-2.92B-1.10B-991.00M1.02B-1.09B
Financing Cash Flow343.00M1.28B-152.00M-286.00M-1.28B93.00M

Lonza Group Ltd Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price530.40
Price Trends
50DMA
549.14
Negative
100DMA
555.97
Negative
200DMA
560.65
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-2.69
Positive
RSI
38.57
Neutral
STOCH
7.78
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For CH:LONN, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 530.4 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 551.50, below the 50-day MA of 549.14, and below the 200-day MA of 560.65, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -2.69 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 38.57 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 7.78 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for CH:LONN.

Lonza Group Ltd Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (51)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
78
Outperform
CHF193.14B16.273.43%7.62%-18.33%
71
Outperform
CHF36.90B50.960.75%5.93%29.83%
66
Neutral
CHF29.66B31.354.98%0.47%1.60%-4.40%
64
Neutral
CHF4.03B30.0110.07%1.67%17.34%18.15%
63
Neutral
$3.43B21.5615.79%0.51%0.77%16.70%
59
Neutral
$24.19B122.612.64%1.13%
51
Neutral
$7.86B-0.30-43.30%2.27%22.53%-2.21%
* Healthcare Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
CH:LONN
Lonza Group Ltd
530.40
-18.96
-3.45%
CH:NOVN
Novartis AG
102.00
12.12
13.48%
CH:ALC
Alcon
59.02
-22.47
-27.58%
CH:BANB
Bachem Holding AG
50.95
-24.23
-32.23%
CH:SFZN
Siegfried Holding AG
74.50
-38.02
-33.79%
CH:SDZ
Sandoz Group Ltd
52.88
13.00
32.59%

Lonza Group Ltd Corporate Events

Lonza Reports Strong Q3 2025 and Confirms Full-Year Outlook
Oct 23, 2025

Lonza Group AG reported a strong Q3 2025 performance, confirming its full-year outlook for its CDMO and CHI businesses. The company saw significant contract signings and growth in its Integrated Biologics and Advanced Synthesis segments, supported by the Vacaville acquisition. The CHI business returned to growth, aided by higher volumes in pharmaceutical capsules and a strong US manufacturing presence. Lonza expects continued robust demand and minimal impact from US trade policies, maintaining confidence in its global manufacturing capabilities.

The most recent analyst rating on (CH:LONN) stock is a Buy with a CHF606.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Lonza Group Ltd stock, see the CH:LONN Stock Forecast page.

Lonza Nominates Claudia Süssmuth-Dyckerhoff to Board, Emphasizing Succession Planning
Oct 3, 2025

Lonza Group Ltd has announced the nomination of Claudia Süssmuth-Dyckerhoff as an Independent Member of the Board, subject to shareholder approval at the 2026 AGM. Claudia is set to become Vice-Chair of the Board and a member of the Remuneration Committee, bringing extensive international experience in healthcare and life sciences. This nomination is part of Lonza’s strategic succession planning, as current board members Jürgen Steinemann and Barbara Richmond will not seek re-election due to reaching their maximum tenures. The changes reflect Lonza’s commitment to robust governance and continuity in leadership, with Marion Helmes set to succeed Barbara Richmond as Chair of the Audit and Compliance Committee.

The most recent analyst rating on (CH:LONN) stock is a Buy with a CHF670.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Lonza Group Ltd stock, see the CH:LONN Stock Forecast page.

Lonza Announces Strategic Leadership Appointments
Sep 12, 2025

Lonza has announced key leadership changes, appointing Jason Berndt as Head of Group Operations and Maria Soler Nunez as Chief Quality Officer, effective 1 October 2025. These appointments highlight Lonza’s commitment to operational excellence and quality assurance, with Berndt’s extensive experience in global operations and Nunez’s proven track record in quality roles expected to bolster the company’s growth and industry positioning.

The most recent analyst rating on (CH:LONN) stock is a Hold with a CHF609.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Lonza Group Ltd stock, see the CH:LONN Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Nov 01, 2025