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EFG International AG (EFGN) AI Stock Analysis

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CH:EFGN

EFG International AG

(Six Swiss:EFGN)

Select Model
Rating:67Neutral
Price Target:CHF 18.50â–²(7.18% Upside)
Action:reiterated
Date:10/23/26

The score is driven primarily by solid profitability and a very constructive earnings call (strong AUM growth, record profitability, and capital strength), tempered by a major financial risk from persistently negative operating/free cash flow. Valuation is supportive via a moderate P/E and ~4% yield, while technicals are neutral with limited momentum and the price still below longer-term averages.

Positive Factors
Scale and client growthCrossing CHF 200bn in AUM and sustaining positive net new assets for 15 consecutive semesters indicate durable client demand and effective relationship management. Greater scale should support recurring fee income, broaden investment capacity, and reinforce EFG’s competitive position in private banking.
Negative Factors
Weak cash conversionPersistently negative operating and free cash flow create a meaningful quality-of-earnings concern despite reported profitability. Inconsistent cash conversion can reduce flexibility for investment, distributions, and acquisitions, while increasing sensitivity to changes in funding and balance-sheet conditions.

EFG International AG (EFGN) vs. iShares MSCI Switzerland ETF (EWL)

-10%-5%0%5%10%15%20%25%CH:EFGN+6.51%EWL+14.15%Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
Market Cap
CHF 5.66B
Dividend Yield
3.77%
Average Volume (3M)
258.19K
Price to Earnings (P/E)
18.6
Beta (1Y)
0.75
Revenue Growth
-0.85%
EPS Growth
-25.22%
Country
Switzerland
Employees
3,299
Sector
Financial
Sector Strength
68
Industry
Asset Management

EFG International AG Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Established in 1995 and headquartered in Zurich, Switzerland, EFG International AG is a global financial services firm specializing in private banking, wealth management, and asset management. The company offers a broad array of services, including p...

How the Company Makes Money

EFG International AG primarily makes money by providing wealth management and private banking services and earning a mix of recurring fees and transaction-based income. A major revenue stream is fee and commission income tied to client assets under m...

EFG International AG Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Jul 22, 2026(Q2-2026)|% Change Since:-4.54%|Next Earnings Date:Feb 17, 2027
Earnings Call SentimentPositive

The call emphasized strong, broad‑based commercial momentum (record AUM, sustained net new asset growth, highest semester profit, RoTE ahead of targets), resilient commission and operating income growth, and notable capital and liquidity strength. Key near‑term challenges relate to margin compression driven by lower interest income and waning life insurance contribution, acquisition‑related cost drag and integration timing, and remaining work to hit the cost‑income target. On balance the company presented tangible progress against its 2028 targets with clear mitigation plans for the main headwinds.

Positive Updates

Assets under Management Milestone
Closed Quilvest acquisition and for the first time crossed CHF 200 billion AUM (management noted prior organic growth from CHF 166bn to approx. CHF 200bn); year‑on‑year AUM growth in excess of 23%.

Negative Updates

Revenue Margin Compression
Overall revenue margin fell from 97 basis points to 91 basis points (≈6 bps decline), driven largely by lower interest‑related revenue and a reduction in life insurance contribution; interest‑related component fell from ~34–36 bps to ~28 bps.

Company Guidance

Guidance from the call emphasized a confident start to the 2026–2028 plan backed by strong H1 results: Assets under Management have crossed CHF 200bn after the Quilvest closing, net new assets were CHF 5.7bn (annualized NNA growth 6.2%, 15th consecutive semester of positive NNA), operating income topped CHF 850m, IFRS net profit was CHF 185m (best semester), return on tangible equity 22.4% (vs 20% ROTE target for 2028), and management reiterated a 15% CAGR target for IFRS net profit to 2028; revenue margin was ~91bp in H1 (90bp excluding life insurance) with interest-related ~28bp and commission margin ~46bp (mandate penetration 67%, net commission income +20% YoY), net other income ~16bp, and life‑insurance revenue expected to phase out; cost‑to‑income was 71.5% (end‑2025 base 73%, target 68% by 2028 with ~1.5–2pp annual reduction; Simplicity 2.0 targets CHF70–80m of savings by 2028 with CHF15–20m expected in 2026 and ~CHF7–8m recognized in H1); headline costs +8% YoY driven by acquisitions but flat ex‑acquisitions, two acquisitions contributing and full IT integration/synergies expected by H1 2027, AuM per CRO CHF 360m (39 hires in H1 + 33 offers =72, annual hiring guidance 50–70), strong organic capital generation of 2.3ppt (230bp) lifting CET1 to ~15% and total capital to 18.3%, LCR 267%, liquid assets ~CHF20bn, share buyback of 2m shares to fund incentives, and a progressive 60% dividend payout policy.

EFG International AG Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Profitability is solid (mid-teens margins) and leverage improved in the latest period, but persistent negative operating cash flow and free cash flow across multiple years materially increases quality-of-earnings and execution risk.

Income Statement

78Positive

Balance Sheet

74Positive

Cash Flow

34Negative
Financial statement breakdown
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue3.16B2.59B1.50B1.43B1.76B1.63B
Gross Profit2.34B1.74B1.50B1.43B1.27B1.25B
EBITDA450.70M445.60M470.70M411.80M389.20M327.70M
Net Income288.60M325.20M321.60M303.20M202.40M205.80M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets43.08B39.39B40.60B38.59B43.54B42.14B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments7.09B5.04B8.01B4.19B3.64B12.08B
Total Debt4.53B3.41B1.25B239.00M1.13B962.30M
Total Liabilities40.71B37.01B38.22B36.37B41.47B39.85B
Stockholders Equity2.37B2.39B2.38B2.22B2.06B2.25B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow1.24B-1.43B-445.50M-2.67B-196.50M132.20M
Operating Cash Flow1.28B-1.39B-397.10M-2.64B-152.50M175.80M
Investing Cash Flow859.20M746.20M484.00M-1.22B-1.28B-1.28B
Financing Cash Flow1.14B42.40M41.10M-265.50M2.17B1.81B

EFG International AG Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis SentimentPositive
Last Price17.26

Price Trends

50DMA16.02Positive
100DMA16.34Positive
200DMA16.82Positive

Market Momentum

MACD0.29Negative
RSI67.84Neutral
STOCH84.02Negative

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For CH:EFGN, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 17.26 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 16.35, above the 50-day MA of 16.02, and above the 200-day MA of 16.82, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.29 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 67.84 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 84.02 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for CH:EFGN.

EFG International AG Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform
Sector (68)

Financial Indicators

CH:EFGN against its peers
NameOverall RatingMarket CapP/E RatioROEDividend YieldRevenue GrowthEPS Growth
CH:PGHNCH:PGHN75OutperformCHF 17.59B14.92―6.73%8.63%-0.75%
CH:VONNCH:VONN74OutperformCHF 5.23B13.9814.87%3.16%11.49%51.27%
Sector *68Neutral$18.00B11.429.92%3.81%9.73%1.22%
CH:EFGNCH:EFGN67NeutralCHF 5.28B18.5612.14%3.77%-0.85%-25.22%
CH:BAERCH:BAER64NeutralCHF 14.72B12.98―3.61%-0.29%31.63%
CH:UBSGCH:UBSG60NeutralCHF 124.18B16.2910.53%2.08%-5.43%29.16%

* Financial Sector Average

Performance Comparison

-25%0%25%50%CH:EFGNCH:UBSGCH:PGHNCH:BAERCH:VONNDec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
CH:EFGN and its peers over the selected period
Show on chartTickerCompany NamePriceChange% Change
CH:EFGNEFG International AG17.260.523.08%
CH:UBSGUbs Group41.2010.6534.85%
CH:PGHNPartners Group Holding684.00-226.74-24.90%
CH:BAERJulius Baer Group72.0415.3927.16%
CH:VONNVontobel Holding AG94.9037.2264.54%

EFG International AG Corporate Events

EFG publishes 2027 outlook on global economic and investment themes

Nov 9, 2026

EFG International published its Outlook 2027, identifying ten themes concerning the global economy and investment landscape, including resilience, interest-rate risks, the growing influence of middle powers and artificial intelligence. The report als...

EFG International Settles Kuwait PIFSS Litigation, Reducing Legacy Risks

Sep 23, 2026

EFG International has reached a final settlement with Kuwait’s Public Institution for Social Security, resolving long-running UK civil proceedings involving more than 30 defendants. The agreement marks a significant step in clearing legacy legal issu...

EFG International expands Swiss footprint with new Bern office

Aug 31, 2026

EFG International AG is a Zurich-based global private banking and asset management group, serving clients from over 40 locations worldwide and listed on the SIX Swiss Exchange. Its business focuses on providing tailored wealth management solutions, r...

EFG International Names CEO for Dubai Advisory Office to Bolster Regional Growth

Aug 25, 2026

EFG International has appointed Ranjit Khanna as Chief Executive Officer of its Dubai Advisory Office, effective 26 August 2026. The move underscores the Swiss private bank’s commitment to strengthening its advisory capabilities in the Middle East, a...

EFG International Sells Harris Allday Business to Canaccord Wealth

Aug 19, 2026

EFG International has agreed to sell the front office teams and client assets of its Harris Allday business to Canaccord Wealth, marking a strategic reshaping of its wealth management operations. The transaction suggests a streamlining of EFG’s servi...

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.

Date of analysis: Oct 22, 2026