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Banque Cantonale Vaudoise (CH:BCVN)
:BCVN
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Banque Cantonale Vaudoise (BCVN) AI Stock Analysis

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CH:BCVN

Banque Cantonale Vaudoise

(BCVN)

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Neutral 63 (OpenAI - Gpt-5.6Sol)
Rating:63Neutral
Price Target:
CHF130.00
▲(2.12% Upside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:08/20/26
The score is led by moderately solid fundamentals (strong 2025 revenue growth and stable ROE) but held back by highly uneven operating/free cash flow and meaningful leverage. The latest earnings call adds support via positive profit/deposit/AUM trends and measured guidance, while technical indicators point to weak near-term momentum. Valuation is a neutral-to-slight headwind due to the higher P/E, partially cushioned by the dividend yield.
Positive Factors
Strong profitability and cost discipline
The combination of strong recent income growth, a solid net margin and nearly flat costs supports earnings resilience. Completed IT insourcing should also limit future cost escalation and help preserve operating leverage.
Negative Factors
Meaningful and rising leverage
The renewed increase in leverage raises sensitivity to funding costs, asset-quality deterioration and balance-sheet shocks. Although returns on equity remain steady, less conservative funding can constrain flexibility during adverse conditions.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Strong profitability and cost discipline
The combination of strong recent income growth, a solid net margin and nearly flat costs supports earnings resilience. Completed IT insourcing should also limit future cost escalation and help preserve operating leverage.
Read all positive factors

Banque Cantonale Vaudoise (BCVN) vs. iShares MSCI Switzerland ETF (EWL)

Banque Cantonale Vaudoise Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Banque Cantonale Vaudoise (BCV), founded in 1845 and headquartered in Lausanne, Switzerland, delivers an extensive array of financial services. Its operations extend across Vaud Canton, the rest of Switzerland, the European Union, North America, a...
How the Company Makes Money
BCV earns money primarily through a bank-style mix of net interest income, fee and commission income, and trading/other income. 1) Net interest income (core banking spread): A major driver is the difference between interest earned on assets (nota...

Banque Cantonale Vaudoise Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Aug 20, 2026
(Q2-2026)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Feb 25, 2027
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call communicated solid underlying performance: net profit growth, disciplined cost control, deposit inflows, rising AUM (CHF 142bn) and confirmed ratings. These positives outweigh the challenges highlighted—low-rate pressure on retail margins, RWA-driven slight CET1 dilution, geopolitical caution in trade finance and stronger competition from UBS. Management signaled most IT integration is complete, liquidity and capital metrics remain comfortable, and credit quality (including COVID bridge loan repayments) looks resilient. Overall, the picture is one of stable, constructive execution with manageable headwinds.
Positive Updates
Net Profit Growth
Net profit increased by 5% year-on-year to CHF 225 million, driven by diversified revenues and tight cost control.
Negative Updates
Low Interest Rate Pressure on Retail Banking
Very low interest rates compress retail margins; internal transfer pricing shifts benefit to the corporate center, leaving retail less favorable under current rates.
Read all updates
Q2-2026 Updates
Negative
Net Profit Growth
Net profit increased by 5% year-on-year to CHF 225 million, driven by diversified revenues and tight cost control.
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
Guidance from the call was cautious-optimistic: the bank does not expect a recession and sees Swiss GDP growth around 1% this year and slightly higher next year, while mortgage growth is targeted at roughly 4% p.a. (about 2% year‑to‑date/on track) driven by 1–1.5% population growth and a vacancy rate of 0.87% expected to persist for 2–3 years; trade finance is not expected to expand over the next 2–3 years given geopolitical risks, credit losses remain limited (COVID bridge loans ~93% repaid — ~83% by customers, ~8% by guarantor — with only a small portion likely to be lost), and new provisions are minimal. Financial metrics highlighted include H1 net profit CHF 225m (up ~5% YoY), total income +CHF14m, economic net interest income CHF315m (+CHF2m), customer deposits +CHF1.1bn (sight + other deposits +3%), financing up ~CHF700m, assets under management CHF142bn (two‑thirds of recent AUM growth from market performance), risk‑weighted assets ~+5% YoY with a slight CET1 impact (c.0.2p.p.), operating costs essentially flat (+~1% including personnel/opex/amortization), comfortable LCR/NSFR and leverage ratios, and IT insourcing substantially complete so no further material run‑rate cost increases are expected.

Banque Cantonale Vaudoise Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Income statement strength is offset by weaker cash-flow quality. Revenue accelerated in 2025 (+24.4% YoY) with solid profitability (~31% net margin), but net income has trended down from a 2023 peak. Balance sheet returns are steady (~10–12% ROE), yet leverage is meaningful and re-increased in 2025 (D/E 2.80x vs. 2.41x in 2024). Cash flow is the main drag, with large swings year-to-year and weaker predictability in 2025.
Income Statement
78
Positive
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
Cash Flow
45
Neutral
BreakdownDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue1.40B1.14B1.15B1.03B1.00B
Gross Profit1.15B1.15B1.13B1.03B1.00B
EBITDA585.30M597.80M620.00M518.90M513.20M
Net Income429.70M440.60M469.20M388.30M378.70M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets61.62B60.63B58.87B59.40B55.95B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments9.89B12.07B12.60B14.10B13.55B
Total Debt11.15B9.45B16.38B7.94B7.32B
Total Liabilities57.64B56.70B55.02B7.94B7.32B
Stockholders Equity3.98B3.93B3.85B3.71B3.64B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow482.00M5.96B-271.00M290.00M1.07B
Operating Cash Flow551.00M6.12B-189.00M344.00M1.13B
Investing Cash Flow-5.33B-2.65B227.00M-52.00M-57.00M
Financing Cash Flow2.87B-1.48B-2.14B24.00M-24.00M

Banque Cantonale Vaudoise Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (68)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
74
Outperform
CHF2.49B27.755.17%2.47%-11.86%3.44%
71
Outperform
CHF3.01B22.638.12%2.48%-10.05%-1.35%
69
Neutral
CHF3.69B19.875.77%2.92%-3.86%-0.07%
68
Neutral
$18.00B11.429.92%3.81%9.73%1.22%
63
Neutral
CHF10.83B24.558.33%3.44%-7.86%1.46%
59
Neutral
CHF1.86B26.842.60%-10.09%16.74%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
CH:BCVN
Banque Cantonale Vaudoise
125.70
34.92
38.47%
CH:BEKN
Berner Kantonalbank AG
390.00
140.31
56.19%
CH:WKBN
Walliser Kantonalbank
156.50
33.18
26.91%
CH:ZUGER
Zuger Kantonalbank AG
10,350.00
1,831.91
21.51%
CH:GRKP
Graubuendner Kantonalbank
2,550.00
852.98
50.26%
CH:BLKB
Basellandschaftliche Kantonalbank
1,065.00
197.45
22.76%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Aug 20, 2026