Futurefuel (3FF) AI Stock Analysis
Top Page
Futurefuel
(BX Swiss:3FF)
No summary available
Futurefuel Business Overview & Revenue Model
Company Description
Operating through its subsidiary, FutureFuel Chemical Company, FutureFuel Corp. manufactures and distributes a broad spectrum of chemical products across the United States, encompassing both bio-based fuels and specialized bio-based chemicals. The en...
Futurefuel Earnings Call Summary
The call emphasized a clear operational turnaround and return to profitability driven by strong revenue growth (+120.7%), higher volumes (+40.4%), improved price realization (+80.2%) and positive adjusted EBITDA, alongside strengthened liquidity and favorable regulatory tailwinds (RFS mandates and 45Z clarity). Key achievements include large YoY gross profit recovery, production increases, improved capacity utilization, customer-funded expansion commitments and a $22M credit monetization expected in H2. Offsetting these positives are persistent elevated feedstock costs, a multi-week biodiesel outage during the quarter, hedging-related volatility, moderate remaining utilization headroom, and long lead times for new customer builds. On balance, the positive developments and financial momentum materially outweigh the challenges.
Q2-2026 Updates
Positive Updates
Negative Updates
Company Guidance
Guidance emphasized a return to profitable growth with the company "on pace to deliver positive adjusted EBITDA for the full year 2026," and management expects Q3 production to exceed Q2 levels; Q2 metrics included revenue of $78.7 million (up 120.7% YoY), total production +26% YoY, total volume growth +40.4% and blended price +80.2%, total gross profit $15.0 million (vs. a $12.4 million loss prior-year), net income $11.4 million (vs. a $14.2 million loss), and adjusted EBITDA $11.8 million (vs. an $11.4 million loss); chemicals: revenue $25.8 million (+34% production YoY), gross profit $5.0 million, capacity utilization 65% (up from 54%) and ~250 million lb annual capacity; biofuels: revenue $52.9 million, production +21% YoY, gross profit $10.1 million, capacity utilization 56% and ~60 million gallons annual biodiesel capacity; cash flow/BS: operating cash flow $18.8 million in Q2, cash $34.3 million at June 30 (up from $22.4 million), $35 million revolver undrawn; capex $8.0 million in Q2 ($2.9M maintenance, $5.1M discretionary), YTD capex $13.4M (customer-funded ~$1.9M Q2, $3.5M YTD); hedging/derivatives impacted results (Q2 benefited ~$9.1M from selling inventory above hedge levels and $3.2M unrealized derivative gains, following a $9M hedging loss in Q1); and management highlighted a secured 4‑year monetization agreement for Section 45Z and small producer credits expected to generate ~$22 million gross in H2 (≈$3M in Q3 and $19M in Q4) and said they will track plant capacity utilization, plant uptime, safety performance and unit product cost to measure progress.
Futurefuel Risk Analysis
Futurefuel disclosed 36 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Futurefuel reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Latest Risks Added
0 New RisksFuturefuel Peers Comparison
Overall Rating
ALTO63Neutral
FSI52Neutral
NTIC50Neutral
AMTX44Neutral
GEVO44Neutral
Financial Indicators
| Name | Overall Rating | Market Cap | P/E Ratio | ROE | Dividend Yield | Revenue Growth | EPS Growth |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ALTO | 63Neutral | $283.13M | 5.34 | 21.15% | ― | 1.09% | ― |
| Sector * | 61Neutral | $10.43B | 7.12 | -0.05% | 2.87% | 2.86% | -36.73% |
| FSI | 52Neutral | $78.69M | -25.14 | -8.12% | ― | -4.66% | -201.32% |
| NTIC | 50Neutral | $71.51M | -58.55 | -1.60% | 0.53% | 7.70% | -139.19% |
| AMTX | 44Neutral | $90.21M | -1.37 | 19.17% | ― | 2.95% | 43.31% |
| GEVO | 44Neutral | $309.05M | -1.39 | -51.42% | ― | 121.37% | -264.53% |
* Basic Materials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
| Show on chart | Ticker | Company Name | Price | Change | % Change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FSI | Flexible Solutions International | 6.16 | -2.71 | -30.55% | |
| GEVO | Gevo Inc | 1.25 | -1.02 | -44.93% | |
| NTIC | Northern Technologies International | 7.53 | 0.06 | 0.79% | |
| ALTO | Alto Ingredients, Inc. | 3.65 | 2.61 | 250.96% | |
| AMTX | Aemetis Inc | 1.25 | -0.83 | -39.90% |
Disclaimer
This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.