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CDW (CDW) AI Stock Analysis

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CDW

CDW

(NASDAQ:CDW)

Select Model
Rating:75Outperform
Price Target:$190.00â–²(9.78% Upside)
Action:reiterated
Date:11/05/26

CDW scores well primarily on strong technical momentum (price above all major moving averages with positive MACD) and a notably positive earnings update that included record results and raised guidance. The score is moderated by financial structure risks—especially elevated leverage and softer recent free-cash-flow momentum—and a valuation that looks fair rather than clearly discounted.

Positive Factors
Broad-based growth and raised guidanceBroad growth across customer segments and a raised full-year outlook indicate that demand is not dependent on one market or product category. This supports sustained revenue expansion, reinforces CDW’s scale advantage, and provides a stronger base for earnings growth over coming quarters.
Negative Factors
Elevated leverage and higher interest costsHigh leverage leaves CDW with a relatively large fixed financial burden and less flexibility if demand weakens or investment needs increase. Higher interest expense can absorb operating gains, constrain capital allocation and make debt reduction more important to sustaining long-term resilience.

CDW Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Revenue by GeographyShows where the company earns its revenue across different regions, with a heavy North American focus pointing to sensitivity to U.S. IT spending and any regional downturns. Tracking shifts over time flags successful international growth or rising exposure to new markets.

$0.00$2.00B$4.00B$6.00BMar 21Jun 21Sep 21Dec 21Mar 22Jun 22Sep 22Dec 22Mar 23Jun 23Sep 23Dec 23Mar 24Jun 24Sep 24Dec 24Mar 25Jun 25Sep 25Dec 25Mar 26Jun 26Sep 26
Chart Insights

Rest of World revenues have moved from cyclical troughs to a clear acceleration in 2026, reflecting the international momentum management flagged (Canada, U.K.) and strong demand for infrastructure, cloud, software and security. That geographic strength helps validate the raised outlook and CDW's ability to outgrow the market, but much of the lift appears hardware-heavy—supporting top-line and gross-profit growth while likely weighing on margins near term due to product mix and inventory buildup; watch services reacceleration and cash‑conversion normalization in H2 for durable margin improvement.

Data provided by:The Fly

CDW (CDW) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

-40%-30%-20%-10%0%10%20%30%CDW+21.73%SPY+14.28%Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
Market Cap
$21.60B
Dividend Yield
1.46%
Average Volume (3M)
1.63M
Price to Earnings (P/E)
20.1
Beta (1Y)
0.81
Revenue Growth
10.94%
EPS Growth
8.13%
Country
US
Employees
14,800
Sector
Technology
Sector Strength
61
Industry
Information Technology Services

CDW Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

CDW Corporation specializes in delivering comprehensive information technology services and products across North America and the United Kingdom. It strategically targets three core client divisions: corporate enterprises, small to medium-sized busin...

How the Company Makes Money

CDW primarily makes money by selling third-party IT products and solutions—most notably hardware, software, and cloud-related offerings—sourced from a broad ecosystem of technology vendors and delivered to customers through its corporate, small busin...

CDW Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 04, 2026(Q3-2026)|% Change Since:15.56%|Next Earnings Date:Feb 10, 2027
Earnings Call SentimentPositive

The call was strongly positive. CDW delivered record quarterly performance with 18% sales growth, double-digit growth across major product categories, significant operating leverage, healthy backlog and written demand, and raised full-year guidance. The main challenges were lower gross margin, modest services growth tied to deployment timing, declining client device unit volumes, higher interest expense, and year-to-date cash conversion below the long-term target range, but these issues did not outweigh the company's broad-based growth and improved outlook.

Positive Updates

Record Quarterly Sales and Strong Profit Growth
Third-quarter net sales increased 18% to $6.8 billion, gross profit increased 10% to $1.4 billion, and non-GAAP operating income increased 17% to approximately $620 million. Non-GAAP net income was $410 million, up 14.8% year over year, while non-GAAP net income per diluted share increased 20.4% to $3.26.

Negative Updates

Gross Margin Declined Year Over Year
Third-quarter gross margin was 20.5%, down 140 basis points year over year, although it increased 40 basis points from the second quarter. Management attributed the year-over-year profile to product and end-market mix weighted toward large infrastructure projects with higher hardware content, as well as growth in netted-down cloud, SaaS, and IaaS solutions.

Company Guidance

For full year 2026, CDW now expects the U.S. IT addressable market to grow at a high single-digit rate on a customer spend basis, with 300-400 basis points of CDW outperformance compared to the market; gross profit to grow at a mid to high single-digit rate, with a first half versus second half split in the range of 48%-52%, while full year 2026 gross margin is expected to be down compared to the full year 2025; net interest expense is expected in the range of $255 million-$260 million; non-GAAP net income per diluted share growth is expected to be in the low double-digit range year over year; and currency is expected to be relatively neutral to reported growth rates for the full year. For the fourth quarter, gross profit is expected to increase at a mid-single-digit rate year over year, equivalent to a seasonal low to mid-single-digit decline sequentially, non-GAAP SG&A is expected to increase at a low single-digit rate year-over-year and sequentially, and non-GAAP net income per diluted share is expected to increase at a low double-digit rate year over year.

CDW Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Profitability and cash generation are solid (TTM gross margin ~21%, net margin ~4.6%, operating cash flow ~$1.05B and FCF ~$0.93B with ~0.88x FCF-to-net-income conversion). However, the balance sheet remains meaningfully levered (debt-to-equity ~2.44x) and TTM free cash flow declined ~15.8%, which reduces flexibility despite improving TTM revenue growth (~4.3%).

Income Statement

72Positive

Balance Sheet

55Neutral

Cash Flow

60Neutral
Financial statement breakdown
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue24.52B22.42B21.00B21.38B23.75B20.82B
Gross Profit5.15B4.87B4.60B4.65B4.69B3.57B
EBITDA1.83B1.95B1.93B1.95B2.01B1.64B
Net Income1.10B1.07B1.08B1.10B1.11B988.60M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets19.59B16.03B14.68B13.28B13.13B13.20B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments1.54B618.70M717.70M588.70M315.20M258.10M
Total Debt7.27B6.33B5.99B5.81B6.10B7.35B
Total Liabilities16.95B13.42B12.33B11.24B11.53B12.49B
Stockholders Equity2.64B2.61B2.35B2.04B1.60B705.70M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow1.18B1.09B1.15B1.45B1.21B684.60M
Operating Cash Flow1.33B1.21B1.28B1.60B1.34B784.60M
Investing Cash Flow-626.00M70.20M-659.20M-229.60M-164.50M-2.77B
Financing Cash Flow373.30M-1.18B-686.90M-1.10B-1.10B832.80M

CDW Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis SentimentPositive
Last Price173.08

Price Trends

50DMA149.88Positive
100DMA143.96Positive
200DMA133.68Positive

Market Momentum

MACD5.17Negative
RSI63.37Neutral
STOCH84.72Negative

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For CDW, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 173.08 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 159.91, above the 50-day MA of 149.88, and above the 200-day MA of 133.68, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 5.17 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 63.37 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 84.72 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for CDW.

CDW Risk Analysis

CDW disclosed 23 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. CDW reported the most risks in the "Production" category.

Higher RiskSector Avg.Lower RiskFinance & CorporateTech & InnovationLegal & RegulatoryProductionAbility to SellMacro & Political
Production - Risks related to the company’s ability to manufacture goods and services

Latest Risks Added

2 New Risks
1.We have outsourced certain business processes to third-party outsource partners and any service failures or disruptions related to these outsourcing arrangements could adversely affect our business.Q4, 2024
2.Issues relating to the use or capabilities of artificial intelligence, including social and ethical issues, in hardware, software and services offerings may result in reputational harm and liability and increased costs.Q4, 2023

CDW Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)

Financial Indicators

CDW against its peers
NameOverall RatingMarket CapP/E RatioROEDividend YieldRevenue GrowthEPS Growth
INGMINGM86Outperform$6.31B14.0710.81%1.21%14.83%60.93%
IBMIBM79Outperform$231.11B20.8632.95%2.72%6.83%39.80%
CTSHCTSH77Outperform$29.06B11.7317.36%2.02%4.96%27.16%
CDWCDW75Outperform$21.14B20.1042.94%1.46%10.94%8.13%
NSITNSIT71Outperform$4.86B28.2911.31%―9.02%33.07%
VRRMVRRM63Neutral$313.14M8.2414.37%―6.49%-25.87%
Sector *61Neutral$37.18B12.37-10.20%1.83%8.50%-7.62%

* Technology Sector Average

Performance Comparison

-50%0%50%CDWCTSHNSITIBMVRRMINGMDec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
CDW and its peers over the selected period
Show on chartTickerCompany NamePriceChange% Change
CDWCDW Corporation173.0829.2620.34%
CTSHCognizant Technology Solutions64.43-7.51-10.43%
NSITInsight Enterprises Inc.169.4478.9587.25%
IBMInternational Business Machines Corporation248.22-48.50-16.35%
VRRMVerra Mobility2.06-20.61-90.91%
INGMIngram Micro Holding Corporation28.007.8238.76%

CDW Corporate Events

DividendsFinancial Disclosures

CDW Reports Strong Third-Quarter Sales and Earnings Growth

Positive
Nov 4, 2026

On November 4, 2026, CDW reported third-quarter net sales of $6.755 billion, up 17.7% from a year earlier, while gross profit increased 10.3% to $1.385 billion. Non-GAAP net income per diluted share rose 20.4% to $3.26, reflecting broad-based demand...

Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board Changes

CDW appoints Sam Balaji to board of directors

Positive
Oct 19, 2026

On October 15, 2026, CDW Corporation expanded its Board of Directors from nine to ten members and appointed Sam Balaji, former Global Chief Executive Officer of Consulting & Advisory at Deloitte, as a director. Balaji was deemed independent under Nas...

Business Operations and StrategyPrivate Placements and Financing

CDW Completes $1.5 Billion Senior Notes Offering

Positive
Sep 21, 2026

On September 21, 2026, CDW LLC and CDW Finance Corporation completed a registered offering of $1.5 billion in senior unsecured notes, split among 5.700% notes due 2029, 6.100% notes due 2032, and 6.350% notes due 2033, with interest payments beginnin...

Private Placements and FinancingRegulatory Filings and Compliance

CDW announces $1.5 billion senior notes offering

Positive
Sep 15, 2026

On September 14, 2026, CDW LLC and CDW Finance Corporation, with CDW Corporation as guarantor, entered into an underwriting agreement with a syndicate led by BofA Securities, J.P. Morgan, Mizuho Securities USA, and Wells Fargo Securities. Under this...

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.

Date of analysis: Nov 05, 2026