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Compania Cervecerias Unidas SA (CCU) Risk Analysis
Risk Overview Q4, 2020
Source: the company's latest filing for the period ended Dec 31, 2020, filed Apr 23, 2021
Risk Change Over Time
No filing history is available.
- Share Price & Shareholder Rights - Risk 1Holders of our ADSs may be subject to certain risks since holders of our ADSs do not hold shares of our common stock directly.
ADS holders may exercise voting rights associated with common stock only in accordance with the deposit agreement governing our ADSs. Accordingly, ADS holders will face practical limitations when exercising their voting rights because ADS holders must first receive a notice of a shareholders' meeting from the depositary and may then exercise their voting rights by instructing the depositary, on a timely basis, on how they wish to vote. This voting process necessarily will take longer for ADS holders than for direct common stockholders, who are able to exercise their vote by attending our shareholders' meetings. Therefore, if the depositary fails to receive timely voting instructions from some or all ADS holders, the depositary will assume that ADS holders agree to give a discretionary proxy to a person designated by us to vote their ADSs on their behalf. Furthermore, ADS holders may not receive voting materials in time to instruct the depositary to vote. Accordingly, ADS holders may not be able to properly exercise their voting rights.
Risk Highlights Q4, 2020
Risk Word Cloud
Risk Factors Full Breakdown - Total Risks 31
- Economy & Political Environment - Risk 1We are substantially dependent on economic, political and social conditions in Chile, which may adversely impact the results of our operations and financial condition.
Chile is our most significant market. The Chile Operating segment generated 67% of our sales revenues in 2020, the International Business Operating segment (which includes Argentina, Bolivia, Paraguay and Uruguay) contributed 22%, and the Wine Operating segment, including the domestic markets in Chile and Argentina, as well as exports, accounted for 13% of revenues. Thus, our operating and financial performance is dependent, to a large extent, on the overall level of economic activity in Chile. The Chilean economy experienced an average annual growth rate (measured by GDP) of 2.5% between 2010 and 2020 (3.3% when the contraction of 5.8% materialized in 2020, as a result of the negative effects of the COVID-19 pandemic, is not considered). In the past, slower economic growth in Chile resulted in a lower growth rate of consumption of our products and, consequently, adversely affected our profitability. Chile's economic growth rate has been affected in the past by the disruption in the global financial markets and global recessions, as was the case in 2009 and 2020. Therefore, economic growth rates of past periods cannot be extrapolated to future performance. Furthermore, Chile, as an emerging and open economy, is more exposed to constant social demands and unfavorable conditions in the international markets, which could have a negative impact on the demand for our products, as well as on third parties with whom we conduct business. Furthermore, the beginning of a massive social movement during the fourth quarter of 2019 triggered material political and economic changes, such as the development of a new constitution and increased pressure or demand on public spending. These measures have increased uncertainty levels in Chile, which could affect economic growth through a deterioration of business and consumer confidence. This could have a negative effect on the demand of our products. Any combination of lower consumer confidence, disrupted global capital markets and/or depressed international economic conditions could have a negative impact on the Chilean economy and, consequently, on our business. In addition, a global liquidity crisis or an increase in interest rates could limit our ability to obtain the cash necessary to meet our commitments and, therefore, increase our financial expenses.
- Economy & Political Environment - Risk 2We are substantially dependent on economic, political and social conditions in Argentina, which may adversely impact our operating results and financial position.
In addition to our Chilean operations, we have significant assets in Argentina and we generate significant income from our operations in this country. The financial position and results of our operations in Argentina are, to a considerable extent, dependent upon political, social and economic conditions in Argentina, as demand for beverage products generally depends on the prevailing economic conditions in the local market. In the past, Argentina has suffered recessions, high levels of inflation, currency devaluations and significant economic decelerations in various periods of its history. During 2016, Argentina's GDP contracted by 2.1% and inflation was close to 40%. In 2017, GDP growth was 2.7% and inflation was close to 20%, showing a slight recovery in the economy. In 2018, Argentina once again entered into a recession and its GDP decreased by 2.5% and accumulated inflation reached 47.6%. Consequently, given that between 2016 and 2018 the cumulative inflation rate exceeded 100%, Argentina was deemed to be a hyperinflationary economy as of July 1, 2018 (see Note 2 to our consolidated financial statements included herein) pursuant to IAS 29. In 2019, the Argentine GDP contracted by 2.2% and inflation reached 53.8%. In 2020, the GDP contracted 9.9%, mainly due to the restriction measures taken to control the spread of the COVID-19 pandemic, while inflation reached 36.1%. Accordingly, given that inflation between 2017 and 2020 exceeded 100%, Argentina is still considered a hyperinflationary economy. If economic conditions in Argentina were to slow down or further contract, if inflation continue to accelerate, or if the Argentine government's measures to attract or retain foreign investment and international financing in the future to incentivize domestic economy activity are unsuccessful, such developments could adversely affect Argentina's economic growth and in turn affect our financial health and results of operations.
- Economy & Political Environment - Risk 3Inflationary pressures in Argentina may negatively impact demand for our goods, profitability and future investments.
Argentina has faced and continues to face inflationary pressures. Increased inflationary risk may erode macroeconomic growth and limit the availability of financing, which may negatively impact our operations. In past periods of high inflation, the Argentine government had regulated prices of consumer goods, including beverages, which impacted our profitability. Even without government regulation, high inflation may impede our ability to pass on higher costs to customers, which would also negatively impact profitability.
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