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Coca-Cola Europacific Partners Plc (CCEP)
:CCEP
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Coca-Cola Europacific Partners (CCEP) AI Stock Analysis

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CCEP

Coca-Cola Europacific Partners

(NASDAQ:CCEP)

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Outperform 72 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:72Outperform
Price Target:
$100.00
▲(11.19% Upside)
Coca-Cola Europacific Partners' strong financial performance and positive earnings call sentiment are the most significant factors supporting the stock score. Technical indicators and valuation suggest caution, with potential overvaluation and bearish momentum. The company's ability to manage challenges in specific markets and FX headwinds will be crucial for future performance.
Positive Factors
Revenue Growth
Consistent revenue growth indicates strong market demand and effective sales strategies, enhancing long-term business sustainability.
Cash Flow Generation
Robust cash flow generation supports ongoing investments and debt repayment, ensuring financial flexibility and stability.
Operating Profit Growth
Sustained operating profit growth reflects efficient management and operational effectiveness, contributing to long-term profitability.
Negative Factors
Market Challenges in Indonesia
Challenges in Indonesia could hinder overall growth, requiring strategic adjustments to mitigate regional performance issues.
Higher Effective Tax Rate
An increased tax rate reduces net income, potentially affecting shareholder returns and reinvestment capabilities.
FX Headwind
FX headwinds can erode profitability and revenue, necessitating effective hedging strategies to protect financial performance.

Coca-Cola Europacific Partners (CCEP) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Coca-Cola Europacific Partners Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionCoca-Cola Europacific Partners PLC, together with its subsidiaries, produces, distributes, and sells a range of non-alcoholic ready to drink beverages. The company offers flavours, mixers, and energy drinks; soft drinks, waters, enhanced water, and isotonic drinks; and ready-to-drink tea and coffee, juices, and other drinks. It provides its products under the Coca-Cola, Diet Coke, Coca-Cola Zero Sugar, Fanta, Sprite, Monster Energy, Coca-Cola Energy, Relentless, nalu, URGE, BURN, Kuli, REIGN, POWERADE, Appletiser, Schweppes, FINLEY, mezzo mix, Royal Bliss, Lift, Vio SCHORLE, Coca-Cola Signature Mixers, NORDIC MIST, smartwater, Chaudfontaine, AQUARIUS, VILAS del Turbon, BONAQUA, Apollinaris, Krystal, Honest, Costa Coffee, Fuzetea, CHAQWA, NESTEA, Capri-Sun, Oasis, Minute Maid, MER, and Tropico brands. In addition, the company engages in the bottling and other operations. As of March 15, 2022, it served approximately 600 million consumers. The company was formerly known as Coca-Cola European Partners plc and changed its name to Coca-Cola Europacific Partners PLC in May 2021. Coca-Cola Europacific Partners PLC was founded in 1986 and is based in Uxbridge, the United Kingdom.
How the Company Makes MoneyCCEP generates revenue primarily through the sale of beverages to retailers and food service customers. Its revenue model is based on the wholesale distribution of products, where it purchases concentrates and syrups from The Coca-Cola Company and then produces and sells finished goods. Key revenue streams include sales from carbonated soft drinks, non-carbonated beverages, and energy drinks. Additionally, CCEP benefits from partnerships with major retailers, which help enhance product visibility and accessibility. Marketing initiatives and promotions also play a significant role in driving sales, while operational efficiencies and cost management contribute to profitability.

Coca-Cola Europacific Partners Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Revenue by Geography
Revenue by Geography
Breaks down revenue across different regions, revealing where Coca-Cola Europacific Partners is strongest and where it may face risk or growth potential due to local economic conditions or market share shifts.
Chart InsightsCoca-Cola Europacific Partners is experiencing robust revenue growth in the Philippines, marking a significant entry into this market in 2024. Meanwhile, established markets like Great Britain, Germany, and Iberia continue to show steady increases, indicating strong brand resilience. However, revenue in regions like Norway and Indonesia & Papua New Guinea is facing challenges, suggesting potential market-specific issues. The strategic expansion into the Philippines could offset slower growth elsewhere, positioning the company for diversified revenue streams and reduced regional dependency.
Data provided by:Main Street Data

Coca-Cola Europacific Partners Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Jun 27, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Feb 12, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call reflected positive achievements in shareholder returns, operating profit growth, and successful marketing campaigns. However, challenges in the Indonesian market, adverse weather impacts in the Philippines, and financial pressures from a higher tax rate and FX headwinds balanced the sentiment.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Total Shareholder Return
Coca-Cola Europacific Partners achieved an impressive Total Shareholder Return (TSR) of around 235% since 2016.
Solid Operating Profit Growth
Operating profit grew by 7.2%, with expansion in both Europe and APS regions.
Successful Share Buybacks and Dividend
Completed EUR 460 million of share buybacks and paid a dividend in line with a 50% annualized payout policy.
Monster Energy Segment Performance
Monster volumes up nearly 15%, with Ultra and Zero variants up over 20%.
Innovation and Brand Campaigns
Successful execution of the Share a Coke campaign and the launch of the This Is My Taste campaign for Diet Coke.
Negative Updates
Impact of Indonesia Market
Slower-than-expected trajectory in Indonesia, impacting group volumes by about 1% in Q2.
Challenges in the Philippines
Recent flooding in the Philippines poses a potential impact on the business in the second half.
Higher Effective Tax Rate
The effective tax rate increased to 26%, compared to 25% last year, impacting EPS growth.
FX Headwind
Anticipated full-year FX headwind of around 150 basis points to revenue and almost 200 basis points to operating profit.
Company Guidance
During the Coca-Cola Europacific Partners Half Year 2025 Results Conference Call, CEO Damian Gammell provided guidance indicating a reaffirmation of their full-year profit and cash flow expectations despite some revenue adjustments. The company anticipates a full-year revenue growth of 3% to 4%, slightly reduced from approximately 4%, largely due to slower-than-expected performance in Indonesia, which impacted group volumes by around 1% in Q2. Gammell highlighted strong top and bottom-line growth, with operating profit increasing by 7.2% and operating margin expansion in Europe and APS. The company completed around EUR 460 million in share buybacks, contributing to their disciplined capital allocation framework. Coca-Cola Europacific Partners continues to focus on resilient categories and innovation, with notable performance in the ARTD and NARTD categories, and strong results in markets such as the Philippines. Despite challenges in Indonesia, the business remains optimistic about long-term opportunities and continues to invest in future growth supported by technology and digital advancements.

Coca-Cola Europacific Partners Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Coca-Cola Europacific Partners shows strong financial health with consistent revenue growth, efficient operational management, and solid cash flow generation. The balance sheet is stable, though there is room for improvement in reducing leverage.
Income Statement
85
Very Positive
Coca-Cola Europacific Partners has demonstrated a consistent increase in revenue over the years, with a notable revenue growth rate of 11.66% from 2023 to 2024. Gross profit margin remains strong at 35.64% in 2024, although net profit margin declined slightly to 6.94% due to reduced net income. The EBIT and EBITDA margins are solid, reflecting efficient operational management.
Balance Sheet
78
Positive
The balance sheet reflects a stable financial position with a debt-to-equity ratio of 1.35, indicating moderate leverage. Return on equity is robust at 16.70%, showcasing effective use of equity. The equity ratio of 27.29% suggests a reliable level of financial stability, though there is room for improvement in reducing debt levels.
Cash Flow
80
Positive
Cash flow statements show a strong free cash flow growth rate of 6.36% from 2023 to 2024. The operating cash flow to net income ratio of 2.16 signifies good cash conversion, while the free cash flow to net income ratio of 1.60 indicates solid cash generation capabilities relative to profit, supporting continued investment and debt repayment.
BreakdownDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue20.44B18.30B17.32B13.76B10.61B
Gross Profit7.28B6.73B6.22B5.16B3.73B
EBITDA3.27B2.88B2.94B2.32B1.54B
Net Income1.42B1.67B1.51B982.00M498.00M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets31.10B29.25B29.31B29.09B19.24B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments1.71B1.99B1.64B1.47B1.52B
Total Debt11.33B11.40B11.91B13.14B7.19B
Total Liabilities22.11B21.28B21.87B21.88B13.21B
Stockholders Equity8.49B7.98B7.45B7.03B6.03B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow2.27B2.13B2.33B1.77B1.08B
Operating Cash Flow3.06B2.81B2.93B2.12B1.49B
Investing Cash Flow-1.96B-937.00M-645.00M-5.61B-370.00M
Financing Cash Flow-973.00M-1.82B-2.28B3.29B100.00M

Coca-Cola Europacific Partners Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price89.94
Price Trends
50DMA
92.88
Negative
100DMA
91.97
Negative
200DMA
86.42
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.71
Negative
RSI
48.71
Neutral
STOCH
47.13
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For CCEP, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 89.94 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 89.15, below the 50-day MA of 92.88, and above the 200-day MA of 86.42, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.71 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 48.71 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 47.13 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for CCEP.

Coca-Cola Europacific Partners Risk Analysis

Coca-Cola Europacific Partners disclosed 36 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Coca-Cola Europacific Partners reported the most risks in the "Legal & Regulatory" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Coca-Cola Europacific Partners Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (62)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
80
Outperform
62.62B40.050.00%3.70%-0.53%
75
Outperform
194.08B25.8540.99%3.92%-0.34%-20.51%
74
Outperform
285.89B23.5442.62%3.03%1.34%14.67%
72
Outperform
$41.44B24.7717.99%2.47%9.65%-4.26%
72
Outperform
9.84B18.8635.92%5.24%3.22%23.88%
67
Neutral
36.83B24.056.15%3.39%4.63%-28.22%
62
Neutral
$20.33B14.63-3.31%3.23%1.93%-12.26%
* Consumer Defensive Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
CCEP
Coca-Cola Europacific Partners
89.94
11.55
14.73%
COKE
Coca-Cola Bottling Co Consolidated
113.22
-17.15
-13.15%
KO
Coca-Cola
66.43
-3.21
-4.61%
KDP
Keurig Dr Pepper
27.11
-9.88
-26.71%
MNST
Monster Beverage
64.13
11.80
22.55%
PEP
PepsiCo
141.76
-23.94
-14.45%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Sep 20, 2025