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Crescent Capital BDC (CCAP) AI Stock Analysis

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CCAP

Crescent Capital BDC

(NASDAQ:CCAP)

Select Model
Rating:62Neutral
Price Target:$10.00â–¼(-2.44% Downside)
Action:reiterated
Date:11/10/26

Overall score reflects mid-range financial performance driven by solid revenue growth but sharply weaker profitability and softer free-cash-flow momentum. The earnings call was a relative positive (NII covering the dividend, no new nonaccruals, and planned JV/buybacks aimed at deleveraging), while technicals are mixed (below longer-term moving averages). Valuation is helped by the very high dividend yield, but the negative P/E tempers the valuation signal.

Positive Factors
Diversified senior-secured portfolioA broad portfolio dominated by senior first lien loans can limit concentration risk and improve recovery prospects relative to junior exposure. Small average investments across 190 companies also support more stable portfolio income and reduce the effect of any single borrower setback.
Negative Factors
Leverage above targetLeverage above management’s long-term target reduces capacity for new investments and leaves less flexibility if portfolio performance weakens. It also makes returns more sensitive to funding costs and credit losses until realizations and the planned joint venture lower indebtedness.

Crescent Capital BDC (CCAP) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

-30%-20%-10%0%10%20%CCAP-14.01%SPY+14.28%Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
Market Cap
$377.67M
Dividend Yield
15.41%
Average Volume (3M)
252.48K
Price to Earnings (P/E)
-1025.0
Beta (1Y)
0.59
Revenue Growth
-21.64%
EPS Growth
-100.43%
Country
US
Employees
250
Sector
Financial
Sector Strength
68
Industry
Asset Management

Crescent Capital BDC Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Crescent Capital BDC, Inc. functions as a Business Development Company (BDC), managing a fund dedicated to private equity, leveraged buyouts, and providing loan capital. The firm's strategy centers on making direct investments, with a specific focus...

How the Company Makes Money

CCAP makes money primarily from investment income generated by its portfolio of loans and other investments. The core revenue stream is interest income earned on debt investments (most commonly senior secured loans) made to middle-market borrowers; t...

Crescent Capital BDC Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 09, 2026(Q3-2026)|% Change Since:10.93%|Next Earnings Date:Feb 24, 2027
Earnings Call SentimentPositive

The call was broadly positive, supported by net investment income above the regular dividend, stable overall portfolio performance, no new nonaccruals, strong platform commitments, substantial liquidity, and announced share repurchase and joint venture initiatives. However, the company continues to face subdued LBO activity, delayed realizations, leverage above its long-term target, a higher watch-list percentage, limited new deployment and ongoing credit-management challenges. The positive operating results and shareholder-support initiatives significantly outweighed the stated challenges.

Positive Updates

Net Investment Income Exceeded Regular Dividend
Third-quarter net investment income was $0.37 per share, up from $0.36 per share in the prior quarter and above the $0.34 per share base dividend. CCAP also paid the second of three previously announced special dividends of $0.03 per share during the quarter.

Negative Updates

LBO and Direct Lending Activity Declined
Sponsor-backed M&A remained subdued during the third quarter. Direct lending volumes supporting leveraged buyouts were down roughly 21% from the prior quarter and 60% from the third quarter of last year.

Company Guidance

CCAP expects the unconsolidated joint venture to be completed during the fourth quarter of 2026, seeded with approximately $150 million of performing first lien assets, with CCAP committing $30 million of equity and the joint venture equity partner contributing $30 million, alongside an ABL facility; the company is targeting a low to mid-teens ROE, expects the joint venture to be accretive to gross yield, and expects its total size to be around $150 million to $200 million, or roughly 2% of the portfolio, going forward. CCAP expects to use JV proceeds to reduce leverage to its target range and fund its $50 million share repurchase program, while Sun Life will purchase up to an additional $25 million of shares at certain thresholds below net asset value per share; pending portfolio realizations and the joint venture are expected to bring net leverage to within the target range by year-end. The company is not contemplating any further JVs in the near term, expects the JV to be a permanent part of the CCAP portfolio in the near term and to replenish assets as the initial seed portfolio rotates, and expects a pickup in activity going into 2027.

Crescent Capital BDC Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Mid-range fundamentals: TTM revenue growth is solid (+12.5%), but profitability and returns weakened sharply (TTM net margin ~2.7% vs much higher prior years; slightly negative ROE TTM). Cash generation remains positive (~$33.1M OCF/FCF), though FCF is materially down (~-43% TTM). Balance sheet signals are mixed, with historically meaningful leverage and improved reported TTM debt levels, but current profitability pressure.

Income Statement

54Neutral

Balance Sheet

57Neutral

Cash Flow

60Neutral
Financial statement breakdown
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue126.81M156.19M142.44M147.33M52.10M101.10M
Gross Profit68.68M121.85M83.50M92.46M23.17M84.93M
EBITDA35.09M97.07M74.74M84.11M16.50M87.28M
Net Income3.42M34.51M73.65M83.84M15.54M83.63M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets1.60B1.62B1.66B1.63B1.30B1.32B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments36.20M5.04M10.13M7.78M6.40M10.07M
Total Debt0873.76M875.84M844.78M654.46M631.04M
Total Liabilities948.51M916.10M915.64M884.78M690.34M665.52M
Stockholders Equity652.93M706.04M740.64M742.59M612.54M652.28M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow33.11M74.72M82.75M61.81M58.38M28.45M
Operating Cash Flow33.11M74.72M82.75M61.81M58.38M28.45M
Investing Cash Flow-27.48M0-23.85M30.48M-30.43M-186.11M
Financing Cash Flow-24.64M-82.54M-43.47M-84.99M-34.41M166.32M

Crescent Capital BDC Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis SentimentPositive
Last Price10.25

Price Trends

50DMA9.31Positive
100DMA9.94Positive
200DMA10.82Negative

Market Momentum

MACD0.19Negative
RSI67.46Neutral
STOCH76.42Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For CCAP, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 10.25 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 9.18, above the 50-day MA of 9.31, and below the 200-day MA of 10.82, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.19 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 67.46 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 76.42 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for CCAP.

Crescent Capital BDC Risk Analysis

Crescent Capital BDC disclosed 1 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Crescent Capital BDC reported the most risks in the "Legal & Regulatory" category.

Higher RiskSector Avg.Lower RiskFinance & CorporateTech & InnovationLegal & RegulatoryProductionAbility to SellMacro & Political
Legal & Regulatory - Litigation, compliance, new legislation, and taxation risks

Latest Risks Added

0 New Risks

Crescent Capital BDC Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform
Sector (68)

Financial Indicators

CCAP against its peers
NameOverall RatingMarket CapP/E RatioROEDividend YieldRevenue GrowthEPS Growth
BBDCBBDC70Outperform$918.28M10.327.89%8.89%1.24%-12.68%
Sector *68Neutral$18.00B11.429.92%3.81%9.73%1.22%
CIONCION65Neutral$312.44M-13.00-3.95%21.35%-13.70%-238.64%
SCMSCM63Neutral$193.87M11.690.00%18.96%-11.79%-47.23%
CCAPCCAP62Neutral$382.46M-1025.00-0.02%15.41%-21.64%-100.43%
TCPCTCPC61Neutral$346.52M-1.76-36.53%18.31%-374.71%-2111.43%
SARSAR42Neutral$196.21M-50.72-1.08%25.63%-10.96%-110.82%

* Financial Sector Average

Performance Comparison

-20%0%CCAPSARBBDCSCMTCPCCIONDec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
CCAP and its peers over the selected period
Show on chartTickerCompany NamePriceChange% Change
CCAPCrescent Capital Bdc, Inc.10.25-1.61-13.57%
SARSaratoga Investment12.68-6.32-33.26%
BBDCBarings Bdc8.770.8310.47%
SCMStellus Capital Investment6.75-3.72-35.56%
TCPCBlackRock TCP Capital Corp.4.15-0.69-14.22%
CIONCion Investment Corp.6.37-2.08-24.62%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.

Date of analysis: Nov 10, 2026