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Avis Budget (CAR) Risk Analysis
Risk Overview Q2, 2026
Source: the company's latest filing for the period ended Jun 30, 2026, filed Jul 29, 2026
Risk Change Over Time
- Taxation & Government Incentives - Risk 1We face risks associated with changes in tax laws. laws, including the expiration of tax credits.
The Tax Cuts and Jobs Act of 2017 (the "Tax Act") eliminated the use of like-kind exchange for personal property and allowed for full expensing of qualified property purchases through 2022. From 2004 until its elimination, we utilized like-kind exchange to replace vehicles in a manner that allowed for a material deferral of United States (U.S.) federal and state income taxes. The effect of the repeal of the like-kind exchange treatment for vehicle sales has been largely offset through 2022 by the availability of full expensing for certain business assets (including our vehicles) in the year placed in service. During 2023, the full expensing provision started to phase-out ratably by 20% each year; however, in July 2025, the One Big Beautiful Bill Act ("OBBBA") was enacted, making permanent key provisions of the Tax Act, including full expensing for qualified property, thereby eliminating the scheduled phase-out. Certain U.S. states have modified their tax statutes as a result of the Tax Act, and such state legislation does not allow the use of full expensing benefits for state tax purposes, which negatively impacts our tax liability in such states. Other U.S. states continue to modify their tax statutes related to full expensing. Therefore, we cannot offer assurance that the benefits from the expected tax deductions will continue. The Inflation Reduction Act of 2022 (the "IRA") included a 15% corporate alternative minimum tax on certain large corporations and a 1% excise tax on certain corporate stock repurchases. The impact on the Company of these provisions, which became effective on January 1, 2023, will depend on several factors, including recently released and forthcoming interpretive regulatory guidance, as well as recent legislative changes, such as those implemented under the OBBBA. The Company continues to review and assess the provisions of the IRA, and its potential impact on our financial condition, results of operations, liquidity, and cash flows. There is also a high level of uncertainty in today's tax environment stemming from both global initiatives put forth by the Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development (the "OECD"), and unilateral measures being implemented by various countries. As an example, the OECD has put forth two proposals-Pillar One and Pillar Two-that revise the existing profit allocation and nexus rules (profit allocation based on location of sales versus physical presence) and ensure a minimal level of taxation, respectively. The OECD issued administrative guidance and proposals which provide for transition and safe harbor rules for the global minimum tax, which is effective fiscal year 2024. Further, many countries have proposed or have begun to implement changes to existing tax laws in response to the OECD's proposals. The Company continues to closely monitor any such developments and guidance issued to determine any impact on our effective tax rate, cash tax obligations and operations. Additionally, certain tax credits and other incentives for EVs that have been available in the past have been modified or have been phased out, which may have an adverse impact on demand for EVs. For example, the OBBBA, which eliminated, limited or phased out certain tax credits that had previously provided significant benefits to lessees and purchasers of EVs and added new eligibility requirements on manufacturers to continue claiming tax credits on EV components. It also eliminated certain penalties for noncompliance with certain fuel efficiency standards and introduced certain key tax law modifications. A reduction in value of the EV market generally may have an adverse effect our financial condition, results of operations, liquidity, and cash flows. See "Risks Related to the Nature of Our Business – We face risks related to vehicle electrification."
Risk Highlights Q2, 2026
Risk Word Cloud
Risk Factors Full Breakdown - Total Risks 32
- Manufacturing - Risk 1We face risks related to vehicle electrification.
Vehicle electrification refers to a range of technologies that use electricity to propel a vehicle and includes hybrid, plug-in, extended-range and battery electric vehicles, as well as autonomous vehicles. We believe that the vehicle industry will continue to experience significant change in the coming years, in particular as it relates to vehicle electrification. If we are not adequately prepared to meet consumer demand for electric, hybrid and autonomous vehicles as such demand develops, including if we are unable to attain an optimal and consistently reliable charging infrastructure and systems, which will require substantial capital investment, or if consumer demand for electric, hybrid and autonomous vehicles fails to meet our expectations, including due to slower or inadequate investments in charging infrastructure by third parties, changes in governmental regulations, tax credits, rebates and subsidies, or changes in consumer sentiment, our financial condition or results of operations could be adversely impacted. Additionally, federal and state administrations have introduced additional uncertainty for the electric vehicle ("EV") industry. Any unavailability, reduction or elimination of government and economic incentives, including tax credits, because of policy changes, or other reasons, may result in the diminished value of our EV fleet. Additionally, federal, state, and local laws may impose additional barriers to EV adoption, including additional costs. For example, many states have enacted or proposed laws imposing additional registration fees for certain hybrids and EVs to support transportation infrastructure, such as highway repairs and improvements, which have traditionally been funded through federal and state gasoline taxes. These policy changes may be implemented more rapidly than we are able to change the composition of our fleet. Any of the foregoing, and any resulting mismatches between the vehicles in our fleet, consumer preferences and government policies, could materially and adversely affect the growth of the EV market and value of EVs and our financial condition and results of operations.
- Manufacturing - Risk 2We face risks related to safety recalls affecting our vehicles.
Our vehicles have in the past and may in the future be subject to safety recalls by their manufacturers. Such recalls have an adverse impact on our business when we remove recalled vehicles from our rentable fleet. We can neither control nor predict the number of vehicles that will be subject to manufacturer recalls in the future. Recalls often require us to retrieve vehicles from customers and/or hold vehicles from rental or sale until we can arrange for the repairs described in the recalls to be completed. Recalls increase our costs, negatively impact our revenues and reduce our fleet utilization. If a large number of vehicles were to be the subject of one or more recalls, which has occurred in the past, or if needed replacement parts are not readily available to us, we may be unable to utilize recalled vehicles for a significant period of time. We may also be subject to material liability claims or regulatory action related to vehicles subject to a safety recall. Depending on the nature and severity of the recall, it could create customer service problems, reduce the residual value of the vehicles involved, harm our reputation and/or have an adverse impact on our financial condition or results of operations.
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