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Bridgewater Bancshares Inc (BWB)
NASDAQ:BWB
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Bridgewater Bancshares (BWB) AI Stock Analysis

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BWB

Bridgewater Bancshares

(NASDAQ:BWB)

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Neutral 67 (OpenAI - Gpt-5.6Sol)
Rating:67Neutral
Price Target:
$23.00
▲(10.68% Upside)
Action:Downgraded
Date:08/27/26
The score is driven primarily by stable but mixed financial performance: a strengthening capital/leverage profile and decent returns are offset by a notable TTM revenue decline and weaker operating profitability versus FY2025. The latest earnings call adds support via improved NIM/NII momentum and constructive guidance, though deposit competition and credit concentration remain key watch items. Technicals are neutral-to-soft in the near term, while valuation appears reasonable on P/E with no dividend yield data to add support.
Positive Factors
NIM and net interest income expansion
Improved loan yields and margin expansion strengthen the bank’s core earnings engine. Management expects further NIM gains and mid- to high-single-digit loan growth, supporting durable interest-income growth if funding costs remain controlled.
Negative Factors
Revenue decline and operating margin pressure
The revenue contraction and lower operating margin indicate pressure on the core earnings base despite higher net income. Sustained margin compression could limit profitability and reduce the benefit of management’s growth initiatives.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
NIM and net interest income expansion
Improved loan yields and margin expansion strengthen the bank’s core earnings engine. Management expects further NIM gains and mid- to high-single-digit loan growth, supporting durable interest-income growth if funding costs remain controlled.
Read all positive factors

Bridgewater Bancshares (BWB) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Bridgewater Bancshares Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Bridgewater Bancshares, Inc. functions as the holding company for Bridgewater Bank, which delivers a comprehensive array of banking products and services. Its core clientele includes commercial real estate investors, small business entrepreneurs, ...
How the Company Makes Money
Bridgewater Bancshares makes money primarily through its banking subsidiary by generating net interest income and noninterest income. Net interest income is earned from the spread between (1) interest income on loans and other interest-earning ass...

Bridgewater Bancshares Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Jul 21, 2026
(Q2-2026)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Oct 22, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call conveyed a broadly positive picture: strong margin expansion (3.07% NIM), material net interest income growth (21% annualized), improved profitability (ROA >1%), meaningful tangible book and capital build, and low net charge-offs. Management tempered optimism with clear headwinds: seasonal/core deposit softness, elevated payoff activity moderating loan growth, modestly higher NPAs with increased specific reserves, and front-loaded personnel costs. Overall the operational and credit metrics are supportive of continued momentum, though execution risks around deposit funding, competitive spreads, and resolving the few larger problem credits remain.
Positive Updates
Net Interest Margin and Net Interest Income Expansion
Net interest margin expanded to 3.07% in Q2 (June month 3.08%), exceeding the 3.0% year-end target; net interest income grew at a 21% annualized pace in the quarter. Loan yields expanded 10 bps in Q2 and are up 13 bps year-to-date.
Negative Updates
Core Deposit Pressure and Elevated Market Competition
Core deposits declined 3.5% in Q2 (seasonal low), even though total deposits grew $41 million (3.8% annualized). Management noted elevated deposit competition in the Twin Cities and the need to supplement with wholesale funding at times.
Read all updates
Q2-2026 Updates
Negative
Net Interest Margin and Net Interest Income Expansion
Net interest margin expanded to 3.07% in Q2 (June month 3.08%), exceeding the 3.0% year-end target; net interest income grew at a 21% annualized pace in the quarter. Loan yields expanded 10 bps in Q2 and are up 13 bps year-to-date.
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
Bridgewater guided to mid- to high-single-digit loan growth in the back half of 2026, expecting continued net interest margin expansion but at a slower pace after already surpassing its 3.0% year‑end goal (Q2 NIM 3.07%, June 3.08%), which should support further net interest income after NII grew 21% annualized in Q2; management also reiterated expectations that expenses will be relatively flat from Q2 levels for the remainder of 2026 after revenue increased ~20% annualized while non‑interest expense rose 13%. They plan to align loan growth with core deposit growth (total deposits rose $41M, +3.8% annualized; core deposits down 3.5% in Q2) while supplementing with wholesale funding and about $600M of time/brokered deposits that reprice around 4–4.5%. Key balance sheet metrics cited include Q2 loan growth of 5.4% annualized, 64% of loans fixed‑rate with $629M maturing in 12 months (WAC 5.62%) and $114M AR loans repricing at 3.99%, variable loans now 25% (vs. 18% a year ago); capital and credit guidance reflected CET1 9.61% (up 8 bps q/q, 58 bps y/y), tangible book $16.61 (17% annualized), NPA 40 bps, allowance 1.30% of loans (down 5 bps y/y), and very low net charge‑offs of 4 bps.

Bridgewater Bancshares Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Overall fundamentals are steady but mixed. The balance sheet is a relative strength (improving leverage with ~0.79 debt-to-equity and better ROE ~10.8%), while income trends show pressure (TTM revenue down ~15.9% and EBIT margin compressed vs FY2025). Cash flow is positive with strong FCF growth (+30.7%) and solid earnings coverage (~80%), but cash conversion is less than 1:1 and has been volatile.
Income Statement
66
Positive
Balance Sheet
71
Positive
Cash Flow
62
Positive
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue255.29M291.63M251.44M226.95M169.34M134.19M
Gross Profit107.99M137.62M104.22M109.94M127.64M109.67M
EBITDA34.92M64.70M45.74M55.66M74.96M64.13M
Net Income56.35M46.09M32.83M39.96M53.39M45.69M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets5.39B5.41B5.07B4.61B4.35B3.48B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments775.22M449.71M619.83M732.67M636.84M584.71M
Total Debt434.88M508.18M452.92M412.54M476.65M134.74M
Total Liabilities4.84B4.89B4.61B4.19B3.95B3.10B
Stockholders Equity547.91M517.10M457.94M425.51M394.06M379.27M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow38.16M21.96M42.30M27.05M83.37M53.46M
Operating Cash Flow42.30M27.81M46.38M30.02M85.00M54.24M
Investing Cash Flow-104.02M-417.47M-95.24M-209.18M-938.24M-571.42M
Financing Cash Flow14.03M283.40M150.06M220.69M796.81M499.99M

Bridgewater Bancshares Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price20.78
Price Trends
50DMA
21.22
Negative
100DMA
19.96
Positive
200DMA
19.01
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.12
Positive
RSI
45.50
Neutral
STOCH
16.67
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For BWB, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 20.78 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 21.49, below the 50-day MA of 21.22, and above the 200-day MA of 19.01, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.12 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 45.50 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 16.67 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for BWB.

Bridgewater Bancshares Risk Analysis

Bridgewater Bancshares disclosed 52 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Bridgewater Bancshares reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Bridgewater Bancshares Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (68)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
82
Outperform
$570.13M8.3220.68%2.36%18.07%52.19%
80
Outperform
$654.13M12.2013.02%2.28%24.95%95.35%
68
Neutral
$18.00B11.429.92%3.81%9.73%1.22%
67
Neutral
$590.02M11.2210.78%13.62%52.53%
62
Neutral
$704.83M12.2811.82%2.99%8.43%69.62%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
BWB
Bridgewater Bancshares
21.32
4.94
30.16%
ACNB
ACNB
64.52
20.25
45.73%
AROW
Arrow Financial
38.30
9.51
33.05%
NRIM
Northrim Bancorp
25.80
2.72
11.78%

Bridgewater Bancshares Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyStock Buyback
Bridgewater Bancshares Extends Stock Repurchase Program Timeline
Positive
Aug 26, 2026
On August 25, 2026, Bridgewater Bancshares’ board extended the expiration date of its 2022 Stock Repurchase Program by one year, pushing it from August 26, 2026 to August 25, 2027. As of that date, $12.4 million remained authorized under the...
Business Operations and StrategyFinancial DisclosuresRegulatory Filings and Compliance
Bridgewater Bancshares Updates Investors With New Presentation
Positive
Aug 12, 2026
Bridgewater Bancshares, Inc., a commercially focused community bank based in St. Louis Park, Minnesota, operates a branch-light model in the Twin Cities and offers a range of commercial real estate, multifamily, construction, affordable housing, b...
Business Operations and StrategyStock BuybackDividendsFinancial Disclosures
Bridgewater Bancshares Posts Solid Second-Quarter 2026 Results
Positive
Jul 21, 2026
On July 21, 2026, Bridgewater Bancshares reported second-quarter 2026 net income of $14.0 million, or $0.45 per diluted share, down from the prior quarter but above the year-ago period, as net interest income rose 21% annualized and net interest m...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Aug 27, 2026