BlackSky Technology (BKSY) AI Stock Analysis

• Market Cap: $838.38M
• Dividend Yield: N/A
• Average Volume (3M): 2.29M
• Price to Earnings (P/E): ―
• Beta (1Y): 2.17
• Revenue Growth: -1.21%
• EPS Growth: -112.08%
• Country: US
• Employees: 340
• Sector: Industrials
• Sector Strength: 72
• Industry: Hardware, Equipment & Parts
• EPS (TTM): -1.27
• Shares Outstanding: 35,464,516
• 10 Day Avg. Volume: 1,946,111
• 30 Day Avg. Volume: 2,294,032
• PEG Ratio: N/A
• Price to Book (P/B): N/A
• Price to Sales (P/S): N/A
• P/FCF Ratio: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Market Cap: 0.84
• Enterprise Value/Revenue: 6.72
• Enterprise Value/Gross Profit: 10.81
• Enterprise Value/Ebitda: -25.90
• 1Y Price Target: $32.33
• Price Target Upside: 38.64% Upside
• Rating Consensus: Strong Buy
• Number of Analyst Covering: 4

• Rating: 50 Neutral
• Price Target: $21.50 ▼(-7.80% Downside)

BlackSky Technology's overall stock score reflects significant financial challenges and a cautious valuation, offset by positive earnings call sentiment and some technical strength. The company's strategic initiatives and international growth potential are promising, but financial instability and market uncertainties pose risks.

Positive Factors

International Growth

Strong international demand for Gen-3 services indicates robust market expansion potential, enhancing revenue diversification and reducing reliance on domestic markets.

Debt Refinancing

Successful debt refinancing improves liquidity and strengthens the balance sheet, providing financial flexibility for strategic investments and growth initiatives.

Gen-3 Satellite Advancements

Advancements in Gen-3 satellite technology set new industry standards, enhancing product offerings and competitive positioning in the geospatial intelligence market.

Negative Factors

Revenue Decline

A decline in revenue growth indicates challenges in market penetration or product demand, potentially impacting long-term financial stability and growth prospects.

Negative Cash Flow

Significant negative cash flow growth suggests operational inefficiencies and cash constraints, which could hinder the company's ability to invest in growth and innovation.

U.S. Government Spending Uncertainty

Uncertainty in U.S. government spending poses risks to revenue stability, especially for contracts dependent on government budgets, affecting long-term planning and operations.

BlackSky Technology Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

BlackSky Technology Inc. provides geospatial intelligence, imagery and related data analytic products and services, and mission systems that include the development, integration, and operations of satellite and ground systems to commercial and government customers worldwide. The company processes a range of observations from its constellation, as well as various space, internet-of-things, and terrestrial based sensors and data feeds. Its products are used in government defense and intelligence; commercial, construction, and industrial; and catastrophe, climate, and environment applications. The company was incorporated in 2014 and is headquartered in Herndon, Virginia.

How the Company Makes Money

BlackSky Technology generates revenue primarily through the sale of satellite imagery and geospatial analytics services. Its revenue model includes subscription-based offerings, where clients pay for ongoing access to data and analytics, as well as one-time purchases of specific imagery and reports. Key revenue streams also stem from contracts with government agencies and defense organizations that require high-resolution imagery for reconnaissance and surveillance purposes. Additionally, partnerships with technology firms and data integrators enhance its service offerings and market reach, contributing to revenue growth. The company may also explore collaborative projects and joint ventures to expand its capabilities and client base.

BlackSky Technology Financial Statement Overview

Summary

BlackSky Technology faces considerable financial challenges with declining revenue growth, significant net losses, and negative cash flow growth. While the gross profit margin is reasonable and debt levels are manageable, operational inefficiencies and cash constraints are major concerns.

Income Statement

BlackSky Technology's income statement reveals a challenging financial position. The company has experienced a decline in revenue growth rate of -2.55% in the TTM, indicating a contraction in sales. The gross profit margin stands at 37.65%, which is relatively healthy, but the net profit margin is significantly negative at -82.23%, highlighting substantial losses. The EBIT and EBITDA margins are also negative, reflecting operational inefficiencies and high costs relative to revenue.

Balance Sheet

The balance sheet shows a moderate debt-to-equity ratio of 0.15, suggesting manageable leverage. However, the return on equity is negative at -90.67%, indicating that the company is not generating profit from its equity base. The equity ratio is not explicitly calculated, but the relatively low debt levels provide some stability.

Cash Flow

Cash flow analysis indicates significant challenges, with a negative free cash flow growth rate of -179.12% in the TTM. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is 0.51, showing that operating cash flows are insufficient to cover net losses. The free cash flow to net income ratio is low at 0.10, further emphasizing cash flow constraints.

Breakdown	TTM	Dec 2024	Dec 2023	Dec 2023	Dec 2023	Dec 2023
Income Statement
Total Revenue	104.66M	102.09M	94.49M	94.49M	94.49M	94.49M
Gross Profit	65.09M	74.66M	60.71M	60.71M	60.71M	60.71M
EBITDA	-27.17M	-542.00K	434.00K	434.00K	434.00K	434.00K
Net Income	-86.06M	-57.22M	-53.86M	-53.86M	-53.86M	-53.86M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets	310.80M	254.15M	224.07M	224.07M	224.07M	224.07M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments	94.94M	52.46M	52.51M	52.51M	52.51M	52.51M
Total Debt	130.26M	9.97M	87.16M	87.16M	87.16M	87.16M
Total Liabilities	224.24M	160.16M	130.91M	130.91M	130.91M	130.91M
Stockholders Equity	86.56M	93.99M	93.16M	93.16M	93.16M	93.16M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow	1.99M	-22.06M	-61.14M	-61.14M	-61.14M	-61.14M
Operating Cash Flow	19.18M	-6.38M	-17.42M	-17.42M	-17.42M	-17.42M
Investing Cash Flow	-95.10M	-68.33M	-15.21M	-15.21M	-15.21M	-15.21M
Financing Cash Flow	72.98M	55.66M	29.05M	29.05M	29.05M	29.05M

BlackSky Technology Technical Analysis

• Technical Analysis Sentiment: Neutral
• Last Price: 23.32
• 50DMA: Positive
• 100DMA: Positive
• 200DMA: Positive
• MACD: Positive
• RSI: Neutral
• STOCH: Positive

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For BKSY, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 23.32 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 26.08, above the 50-day MA of 21.33, and above the 200-day MA of 15.57, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.55 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 47.80 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 16.56 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for BKSY.

BlackSky Technology Peers Comparison

Name	Overall Rating	Market Cap	P/E Ratio	ROE	Dividend Yield	Revenue Growth	EPS Growth
LYTS	―	$723.55M	29.93	11.21%	0.84%	22.09%	-5.26%
Sector *	―	$10.79B	15.43	7.44%	2.01%	2.89%	-14.66%
KOPN	―	$617.03M	―	-173.01%	―	13.03%	77.68%
BKSY	―	$838.38M	―	-105.30%	―	-1.21%	-112.08%
KULR	―	$178.00M	―	-24.65%	―	35.81%	55.13%
MVIS	―	$361.16M	-3.11	-115.11%	―	-71.30%	17.62%
SATL	―	$298.01M	―	―	―	―	―

BlackSky Technology Corporate Events

BlackSky Technology Holds Annual Stockholders Meeting

On September 10, 2025, BlackSky Technology Inc. held its annual meeting of stockholders where key decisions were made. The election of Class I directors, the ratification of Deloitte & Touche LLP as the independent accounting firm, and the approval of executive compensation were among the main agenda items. The board also decided to hold annual advisory votes on executive compensation, reflecting the stockholders’ preference.

The most recent analyst rating on (BKSY) stock is a Hold with a $17.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on BlackSky Technology stock, see the BKSY Stock Forecast page.

BlackSky’s Earnings Call Highlights Growth Amid Challenges

BlackSky Technology Inc. recently held its earnings call, revealing a generally positive sentiment driven by strong operational and financial performance. The company celebrated successful satellite launches and significant international market expansion, bolstered by a solid financial position. However, concerns were raised regarding U.S. government spending uncertainty and a decline in adjusted EBITDA, which could pose potential risks despite the strong growth trajectory.

BlackSky Technology’s Q2 2025: Satellite Launches and Financial Moves

BlackSky Technology Inc. is a space-based intelligence company that provides real-time, high-frequency imagery and analytics, primarily serving government agencies and commercial businesses globally. In its second quarter of 2025, BlackSky reported significant advancements with the successful launch of its second Gen-3 satellite, which began delivering high-resolution imagery within 12 hours. The company also raised $185 million through a convertible note offering, enhancing its financial position.