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Biglari Holdings (BH) AI Stock Analysis

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BH

Biglari Holdings

(NYSE:BH)

Select Model
Rating:55Neutral
Price Target:$461.00â–²(23.99% Upside)
Action:reiterated
Date:08/18/26

The score is driven primarily by mixed financial performance: improving revenue and operating metrics plus consistently positive cash flow are offset by continued net losses, elevated leverage versus prior years, and a material recent decline in free cash flow. Technicals are moderately supportive with price above key longer-term moving averages and neutral momentum. Valuation is pressured by the negative P/E, indicating earnings losses with no dividend yield data to offset that.

Positive Factors
Improving Revenue and Operating MarginsThe recent improvement in revenue growth, gross margin, and EBITDA margin indicates that operating performance is moving in a better direction. If sustained, these gains can strengthen the earnings foundation across the restaurant and diversified operating portfolio over the coming quarters.
Negative Factors
Persistent Net LossesThe shift from profit to losses across successive periods shows that improved operating metrics have not yet translated into durable bottom-line earnings. Continued net losses can weaken shareholder returns, constrain internally funded growth, and make overall performance more dependent on portfolio outcomes.

Biglari Holdings (BH) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

-40%-30%-20%-10%0%10%20%30%40%BH+2.82%SPY+12.53%Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
Market Cap
$1.18B
Dividend Yield
―
Average Volume (3M)
130.53K
Price to Earnings (P/E)
-38.4
Beta (1Y)
0.40
Revenue Growth
7.54%
EPS Growth
-176.04%
Country
US
Employees
2,359
Sector
Consumer Cyclical
Sector Strength
61
Industry
Restaurants

Biglari Holdings Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Biglari Holdings Inc., an enterprise established in 1934 and based in San Antonio, Texas, is a multifaceted company with its primary operations centered on managing and franchising restaurants throughout the United States. Its well-known dining brand...

How the Company Makes Money

Biglari Holdings makes money through a combination of operating business income and investment-related returns across its subsidiaries and holdings. (1) Restaurant operations and franchising: A significant portion of revenue is generated from company...

Biglari Holdings Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Mixed fundamentals. Revenue shows improved momentum in TTM, gross margin improved, and EBITDA margin turned positive again, but net margin remains negative with volatile profitability (profits in 2023 followed by losses in 2024–2025 and deeper TTM loss). Balance sheet is equity-supported but leverage rose notably versus 2023–2024. Cash flow is the strongest area with positive operating and free cash flow throughout, though TTM free cash flow fell materially versus 2025.

Income Statement

44Neutral

Balance Sheet

58Neutral

Cash Flow

67Positive
Financial statement breakdown
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue405.61M395.26M362.11M365.32M368.23M366.11M
Gross Profit137.36M108.64M138.62M116.38M152.78M142.78M
EBITDA21.74M-1.49M37.82M109.62M82.17M66.76M
Net Income-29.75M-37.49M-3.76M54.95M-32.02M35.48M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets1.06B1.05B866.13M849.42M828.47M894.81M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments68.39M337.83M133.68M119.94M106.93M125.41M
Total Debt289.33M358.64M150.19M101.24M118.83M121.38M
Total Liabilities514.80M525.71M293.17M250.09M272.91M307.11M
Stockholders Equity543.79M523.43M572.96M599.33M546.97M587.70M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow49.94M76.61M19.07M49.60M98.08M164.22M
Operating Cash Flow83.92M106.96M49.66M73.00M127.83M228.77M
Investing Cash Flow-276.68M-65.47M-87.39M-66.08M-136.60M-58.52M
Financing Cash Flow228.40M196.53M39.48M-16.13M3.86M-156.16M

Biglari Holdings Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis SentimentNegative
Last Price371.81

Price Trends

50DMA376.25Negative
100DMA380.38Negative
200DMA356.56Positive

Market Momentum

MACD3.08Positive
RSI42.87Neutral
STOCH11.45Positive

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For BH, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 371.81 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 395.80, below the 50-day MA of 376.25, and above the 200-day MA of 356.56, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 3.08 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 42.87 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 11.45 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for BH.

Biglari Holdings Risk Analysis

Biglari Holdings disclosed 28 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Biglari Holdings reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.

Higher RiskSector Avg.Lower RiskFinance & CorporateTech & InnovationLegal & RegulatoryProductionAbility to SellMacro & Political
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy

Latest Risks Added

0 New Risks

Biglari Holdings Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)

Financial Indicators

BH against its peers
NameOverall RatingMarket CapP/E RatioROEDividend YieldRevenue GrowthEPS Growth
BJRIBJRI67Neutral$1.34B31.0710.97%―3.54%56.84%
Sector *61Neutral$18.38B12.79-2.54%3.03%1.52%-15.83%
BHBH55Neutral$1.23B-38.37-5.49%―7.54%-176.04%
CBRLCBRL55Neutral$1.56B47.877.05%1.46%-4.74%-32.14%
RRGBRRGB53Neutral$172.78M-5.3629.24%―-3.71%50.04%
JACKJACK47Neutral$264.67M7.63-3.65%―-20.21%―
WENWEN45Neutral$1.38B11.02109.00%6.74%-0.98%-31.26%

* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average

Performance Comparison

0%50%100%BHBJRICBRLJACKRRGBWENDec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
BH and its peers over the selected period
Show on chartTickerCompany NamePriceChange% Change
BHBiglari371.812.430.66%
BJRIBJ's Restaurants60.6224.8369.38%
CBRLCracker Barrel Old Country Store68.3336.16112.40%
JACKJack In The Box13.27-3.86-22.53%
RRGBRed Robin Gourmet Burgers9.064.4094.42%
WENWendy's Company7.27-1.26-14.81%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.

Date of analysis: Aug 17, 2026