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Biglari Holdings (BH) AI Stock Analysis

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BH

Biglari Holdings

(NYSE:BH)

Select Model
Rating:40Underperform
Price Target:$306.00â–¼(-15.54% Downside)
Action:downgraded
Date:11/10/26

The overall score is very low, driven primarily by a significant deterioration in financial performance, including net losses and collapsing free cash flow. This is compounded by a highly bearish technical picture, with the stock trading below all key moving averages and exhibiting strong downward momentum. The negative P/E ratio further confirms the lack of earnings-based value. The company's debt-free balance sheet is the only mitigating factor, but it is insufficient to offset the severe operational and market headwinds.

Positive Factors
Diversified business portfolioDiversification across restaurants, insurance, energy-related assets, and investments gives Biglari Holdings multiple potential sources of operating income and returns. This portfolio structure can reduce dependence on any single business, commodity, or investment outcome over the next several quarters.
Negative Factors
Persistent profitability pressureThe current loss position and lower gross margin indicate that revenue is not translating into durable shareholder earnings. Weaker margins can limit reinvestment and capital allocation capacity, while continued pressure would make the diversified portfolio less effective at compounding value.

Biglari Holdings (BH) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

-20%0%20%40%60%BH+18.14%SPY+14.97%Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
Market Cap
$1.18B
Dividend Yield
―
Average Volume (3M)
117.57K
Price to Earnings (P/E)
-46.8
Beta (1Y)
0.50
Revenue Growth
8.13%
EPS Growth
-1237.07%
Country
US
Employees
2,359
Sector
Consumer Cyclical
Sector Strength
61
Industry
Restaurants

Biglari Holdings Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Biglari Holdings Inc., an enterprise established in 1934 and based in San Antonio, Texas, is a multifaceted company with its primary operations centered on managing and franchising restaurants throughout the United States. Its well-known dining brand...

How the Company Makes Money

Biglari Holdings makes money through a combination of operating business income and investment-related returns across its subsidiaries and holdings. (1) Restaurant operations and franchising: A significant portion of revenue is generated from company...

Biglari Holdings Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Financial performance is weak. The income statement shows a TTM net loss and severe margin contraction, while cash flow generation has halved. The balance sheet is a relative bright spot due to very low leverage, but the company is destroying shareholder value with a negative return on equity. Overall, the deteriorating profitability and cash flow outweigh the strong balance sheet.

Income Statement

28Negative

Balance Sheet

65Positive

Cash Flow

35Negative
Financial statement breakdown
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue417.94M395.26M362.11M365.32M368.23M366.11M
Gross Profit147.42M108.64M138.62M116.38M152.78M142.78M
EBITDA31.97M-1.49M37.82M109.62M82.17M66.76M
Net Income-23.44M-37.49M-3.76M54.95M-32.02M35.48M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets1.07B1.03B866.13M849.42M828.47M894.81M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments368.91M337.83M133.68M119.94M106.93M125.41M
Total Debt267.86M358.64M150.19M101.24M118.83M121.38M
Total Liabilities478.29M501.95M293.17M250.09M272.91M307.11M
Stockholders Equity594.82M523.43M572.96M599.33M546.97M587.70M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow24.44M76.61M19.07M49.60M98.08M164.22M
Operating Cash Flow55.88M106.96M49.66M73.00M127.83M228.77M
Investing Cash Flow-152.97M-65.47M-87.39M-66.08M-136.60M-58.52M
Financing Cash Flow37.51M196.53M39.48M-16.13M3.86M-156.16M

Biglari Holdings Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis SentimentNegative
Last Price362.31

Price Trends

50DMA371.90Negative
100DMA381.37Negative
200DMA353.73Positive

Market Momentum

MACD-7.54Positive
RSI46.54Neutral
STOCH44.34Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For BH, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 362.31 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 385.49, below the 50-day MA of 371.90, and above the 200-day MA of 353.73, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -7.54 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 46.54 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 44.34 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for BH.

Biglari Holdings Risk Analysis

Biglari Holdings disclosed 28 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Biglari Holdings reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.

Higher RiskSector Avg.Lower RiskFinance & CorporateTech & InnovationLegal & RegulatoryProductionAbility to SellMacro & Political
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy

Latest Risks Added

3 New Risks
1.Future sales of our common stock may cause the market price of our common stock to decline.Q4, 2025
2.We have identified a material weakness in our internal control over financial reporting.Q4, 2024
3.There can be no assurance that the fees paid to the Biglari Entities will be commensurate with the benefits received.Q4, 2024

Biglari Holdings Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)

Financial Indicators

BH against its peers
NameOverall RatingMarket CapP/E RatioROEDividend YieldRevenue GrowthEPS Growth
BJRIBJRI67Neutral$1.25B25.2711.84%―5.26%56.29%
Sector *61Neutral$18.38B12.79-2.54%3.03%1.52%-15.83%
WENWEN54Neutral$1.59B15.9981.11%5.99%-0.32%-46.30%
CBRLCBRL53Neutral$1.48B45.447.05%1.54%-4.74%-32.14%
RRGBRRGB53Neutral$170.32M-5.1429.24%―-3.71%50.04%
JACKJACK47Neutral$278.29M8.12-3.65%―-20.21%―
BHBH40Underperform$1.19B-46.78-4.30%―8.13%-1237.07%

* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average

Performance Comparison

0%50%100%150%BHBJRICBRLJACKRRGBWENDec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
BH and its peers over the selected period
Show on chartTickerCompany NamePriceChange% Change
BHBiglari362.3154.7117.79%
BJRIBJ's Restaurants54.8918.6451.42%
CBRLCracker Barrel Old Country Store64.8638.02141.65%
JACKJack In The Box14.07-0.19-1.33%
RRGBRed Robin Gourmet Burgers8.834.82120.20%
WENWendy's Company8.180.293.61%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.

Date of analysis: Nov 10, 2026