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Bank First National (BFC) AI Stock Analysis

BFC

Bank First National

(NASDAQ:BFC)

Select Model
Rating:77Outperform
Price Target:$174.00▲(14.43% Upside)
Action:reiterated
Date:08/08/26

BFC scores well primarily on strong financial performance (profitability, growth, and low leverage) and supportive technicals with the stock trading above major moving averages. The score is tempered by only average valuation (P/E ~19.86 and ~1.28% yield) and some cash-flow variability; corporate events are a modest positive but add execution risk via the pending acquisition.

Positive Factors
Strong Profitability and Revenue GrowthTTM revenue rose 10.31% and net income reached $81.1M, while net and EBITDA margins were about 27.8% and 36.9%. This indicates durable earnings capacity and a solid operating base, despite some margin normalization.
Negative Factors
Inconsistent Operating Cash FlowPositive free cash flow and strong conversion are encouraging, but the decline in operating cash flow and inconsistent coverage metrics indicate uneven cash generation. Persistent volatility could constrain reinvestment flexibility and reduce earnings quality.

Bank First National (BFC) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

-10%-5%0%5%10%15%20%25%30%BFC+23.66%SPY+12.58%Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
Market Cap
$1.67B
Dividend Yield
1.39%
Average Volume (3M)
73.11K
Price to Earnings (P/E)
18.8
Beta (1Y)
0.64
Revenue Growth
32.72%
EPS Growth
12.75%
Country
US
Employees
509
Sector
Financial
Sector Strength
68
Industry
Banks - Regional

Bank First National Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Bank First Corporation, established in 1894 and headquartered in Manitowoc, Wisconsin, functions as the parent entity for Bank First N.A. This financial institution delivers a comprehensive array of consumer and commercial financial solutions through...

How the Company Makes Money

null

Bank First National Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Strong overall fundamentals: solid profitability and growth (TTM revenue +10.31%, net income $81.1M) and a conservatively positioned balance sheet (debt-to-equity ~0.13, ROE ~11%). Main offset is cash-flow consistency, with operating cash flow down vs. 2025 and noted volatility in coverage metrics despite positive TTM free cash flow ($38.8M).

Income Statement

86Very Positive

Balance Sheet

88Very Positive

Cash Flow

72Positive
Financial statement breakdown
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue291.54M240.45M223.24M186.47M130.77M116.78M
Gross Profit216.14M169.14M155.44M132.79M116.12M105.38M
EBITDA108.43M95.59M87.56M107.19M63.61M63.15M
Net Income81.06M71.50M65.56M74.51M45.21M45.44M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets5.95B4.52B4.50B4.22B3.66B2.94B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments875.15M55.34M414.29M407.44M424.38M509.55M
Total Debt104.85M123.55M147.37M127.14M122.63M66.63M
Total Liabilities5.13B3.88B3.86B3.60B3.21B2.61B
Stockholders Equity819.31M643.84M639.68M619.80M453.10M322.65M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow42.58M51.04M58.62M39.46M33.14M31.57M
Operating Cash Flow57.25M62.48M65.85M52.95M40.01M40.28M
Investing Cash Flow214.81M-15.97M-252.94M269.00M-177.81M-93.89M
Financing Cash Flow-125.87M-64.64M200.95M-193.82M-39.71M180.24M

Bank First National Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis SentimentPositive
Last Price152.06

Price Trends

50DMA150.10Positive
100DMA149.60Positive
200DMA144.33Positive

Market Momentum

MACD-0.12Negative
RSI55.08Neutral
STOCH89.78Negative

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For BFC, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 152.06 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 147.53, above the 50-day MA of 150.10, and above the 200-day MA of 144.33, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of -0.12 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 55.08 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 89.78 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for BFC.

Bank First National Risk Analysis

Bank First National disclosed 41 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Bank First National reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.

Higher RiskSector Avg.Lower RiskFinance & CorporateTech & InnovationLegal & RegulatoryProductionAbility to SellMacro & Political
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy

Latest Risks Added

0 New Risks

Bank First National Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform
Sector (68)

Financial Indicators

BFC against its peers
NameOverall RatingMarket CapP/E RatioROEDividend YieldRevenue GrowthEPS Growth
FMBHFMBH84Outperform$1.34B11.8010.50%1.96%14.51%19.30%
LKFNLKFN84Outperform$1.48B13.7415.07%3.36%2.03%18.45%
GABCGABC83Outperform$1.84B12.9512.39%2.43%12.24%35.76%
SRCESRCE79Outperform$2.11B12.2213.75%1.94%3.90%20.76%
BFCBFC77Outperform$1.65B18.8411.18%1.39%32.72%12.75%
QCRHQCRH76Outperform$1.65B12.0812.50%0.40%3.11%18.83%
Sector *68Neutral$18.00B11.429.92%3.81%9.73%1.22%

* Financial Sector Average

Performance Comparison

0%20%40%BFCSRCEGABCLKFNQCRHFMBHDec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
BFC and its peers over the selected period
Show on chartTickerCompany NamePriceChange% Change
BFCBank First National Corp150.9531.9426.84%
SRCE1st Source Corporation89.2230.1150.94%
GABCGerman American Bancorp50.2312.2032.10%
LKFNLakeland Financial61.846.3611.45%
QCRHQCR Holdings103.4427.6936.56%
FMBHFirst Mid-Illinois Bancshares, Inc.51.4716.3446.49%

Bank First National Corporate Events

Executive/Board Changes

Bank First National strengthens board with three new directors

Positive
Jun 23, 2026

On June 16, 2026, Bank First Corporation, together with its wholly owned banking subsidiary Bank First, N.A., elected three new directors to its Board of Directors: SriRaj Kantamneni, Tracy C. Pearson and William J. Ring. Each of the newly elected di...

Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board ChangesRegulatory Filings and ComplianceShareholder Meetings

Bank First National Announces Board Changes and Governance Votes

Positive
Jun 18, 2026

On June 15, 2026, Bank First Corporation held its Annual Meeting of Shareholders, where longtime director Stephen E. Johnson retired from the Board, and shareholders elected new directors Steven M. Eldred and Todd A. Sprang, while re-electing Preside...

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.

Date of analysis: Aug 08, 2026