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Banco do Brasil SA (BDORY) AI Stock Analysis

BDORY

Banco do Brasil SA

(Other OTC:BDORY)

Select Model
Rating:53Neutral
Price Target:$3.00▼(-3.29% Downside)
Action:reiterated
Date:10/30/26

The score is held back primarily by sharply eroding profitability: despite strong revenue growth, net income has more than halved and return on equity has fallen from the high teens to mid-single digits, signalling an ongoing credit and margin down-cycle. Technicals compound the caution, with the stock trading well below all major moving averages and a negative MACD, although deeply oversold readings suggest the decline is extended. Offsetting these risks are robust cash generation that fully backs reported earnings, a large and adequately capitalised balance sheet, and an inexpensive valuation at roughly 7.7x earnings with a ~3.9% dividend yield. A recovery in earnings and return on equity is the key catalyst to watch.

Positive Factors
Strong Revenue GrowthThe sharp increase in revenue indicates strong recent business expansion across the bank’s activities. If growth persists, the larger revenue base can support operating investment, broaden customer relationships, and improve earnings capacity over the next several quarters.
Negative Factors
Higher Balance-Sheet LeverageThe substantial increase in leverage raises financial risk and reduces flexibility if credit conditions or earnings weaken. Higher balance-sheet obligations can constrain future capital allocation and make it harder to absorb stress while maintaining lending and other strategic investments.

Banco do Brasil SA (BDORY) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

-30%-20%-10%0%10%20%30%BDORY-25.89%SPY+12.58%Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
Market Cap
$17.70B
Dividend Yield
3.88%
Average Volume (3M)
942.60K
Price to Earnings (P/E)
7.7
Beta (1Y)
0.40
Revenue Growth
20.12%
EPS Growth
-16.71%
Country
US
Employees
85,953
Sector
Financial
Sector Strength
68
Industry
Banks - Regional

Banco do Brasil SA Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Banco do Brasil S.A. (BDORY) is a prominent financial institution that, through its various subsidiaries, offers a comprehensive range of banking and financial services. Its operations span both Brazil and international territories, serving a diverse...

How the Company Makes Money

Banco do Brasil makes money primarily through a mix of interest-based income and fee-based financial services across its banking and related businesses. A major driver is net interest income: it earns interest and similar revenue on loans and credit...

Banco do Brasil SA Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 11, 2025(Q3-2025)|% Change Since:-28.19%|Next Earnings Date:Nov 10, 2026
Earnings Call SentimentNeutral

The earnings call highlighted Banco do Brasil's resilience and strategic focus on personal loans and technological advancements. However, significant challenges persist in the agribusiness segment, particularly with high delinquency rates and increased provisions impacting profitability.

Positive Updates

Strong Net Profit Amid Challenges
Banco do Brasil achieved a net profit of approximately BRL 20 billion, showcasing resilience despite challenges in the agribusiness sector.

Negative Updates

High Delinquency Rates in Agribusiness Portfolio
The agribusiness segment faced a significant delinquency rate of 5.3%, a historically high level due to challenges in the sector.

Company Guidance

During the call, Banco do Brasil provided guidance on several key financial metrics. The bank adjusted its forecast for the cost of credit to be between BRL 59 billion and BRL 62 billion and projected adjusted profit to range from BRL 18 billion to BRL 21 billion. The bank also discussed its capital strength, with a principal capital ratio of 11.16%, and an ambition to achieve 20% market participation. Additionally, the bank highlighted its efforts to manage delinquency rates, especially in the agribusiness sector, with provisions for credit risk adjustments and a focus on the renegotiation of loans under the BB Regulariza Agro program, leveraging MP 1314. The bank is targeting BRL 24 billion in renegotiated loans as part of this initiative. The discussion also touched on the bank's strategy to navigate regulatory changes and its commitment to generating shareholder value while maintaining a payout ratio of 30% for dividends.

Banco do Brasil SA Financial Statement Overview

Summary

A mixed and deteriorating profile. Revenue continues to expand strongly (~R$362bn TTM, +74% y/y), but net income has more than halved over two years to ~R$12bn and net margin has compressed from ~25% to ~4%, with operating margins barely above breakeven — consistent with rising funding costs and credit provisions. The balance sheet is large (~R$2.58trn assets) with an adequate ~7% equity-to-assets cushion, but return on equity has collapsed from the high teens to ~6.6%, equity has edged lower, and reported leverage jumped to ~6.1x, adding opacity. The clearest strength is cash generation: ~R$98bn operating cash flow and ~R$92bn free cash flow, covering ~97% of net income, though free cash flow fell roughly 63% versus the prior period and remains volatile.

Income Statement

42Neutral

Balance Sheet

52Neutral

Cash Flow

63Positive
Financial statement breakdown
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue293.59B342.86B310.75B125.47B123.25B168.71B
Gross Profit125.58B59.72B141.76B125.47B123.11B99.78B
EBITDA11.34B3.78B32.82B1.20B49.98B31.12B
Net Income12.23B13.43B26.36B29.86B31.11B19.71B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets2.58T2.46T2.40T2.15T2.03T1.93T
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments144.80B200.87B252.07B194.53B168.68B130.12B
Total Debt1.14T163.43B170.14B142.19B155.20B171.95B
Total Liabilities2.40T2.26T2.21T1.98T1.87T1.79T
Stockholders Equity181.70B189.21B179.62B169.24B160.57B142.00B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow91.97B151.89B121.46B11.71B58.10B-51.10B
Operating Cash Flow97.90B159.25B127.21B16.74B64.69B-46.19B
Investing Cash Flow-105.54B-168.39B-93.49B21.64B-17.88B-53.28B
Financing Cash Flow3.55B-6.84B-21.36B-34.34B-26.98B-23.78B

Banco do Brasil SA Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis SentimentNegative
Last Price3.10

Price Trends

50DMA4.35Negative
100DMA4.14Negative
200DMA4.35Negative

Market Momentum

MACD-0.36Positive
RSI28.16Positive
STOCH4.28Positive

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For BDORY, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 3.10 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 4.37, below the 50-day MA of 4.35, and below the 200-day MA of 4.35, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.36 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 28.16 is Positive, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 4.28 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for BDORY.

Banco do Brasil SA Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform
Sector (68)

Financial Indicators

BDORY against its peers
NameOverall RatingMarket CapP/E RatioROEDividend YieldRevenue GrowthEPS Growth
BSACBSAC79Outperform$14.72B13.4822.03%4.69%7.69%9.88%
CIBCIB75Outperform$23.93B9.1619.85%4.25%7.13%-22.31%
BCHBCH71Outperform$18.91B15.5721.27%5.78%3.94%3.40%
Sector *68Neutral$18.00B11.429.92%3.81%9.73%1.22%
BBDBBD64Neutral$27.28B5.2314.24%11.98%29.04%34.36%
BSBRBSBR57Neutral$16.51B29.2010.09%3.27%18.27%16.65%
BDORYBDORY53Neutral$17.32B7.666.55%3.88%20.12%-16.71%

* Financial Sector Average

Performance Comparison

-25%0%25%50%75%BDORYBBDBCHBSBRBSACCIBDec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
BDORY and its peers over the selected period
Show on chartTickerCompany NamePriceChange% Change
BDORYBanco do Brasil S.A.3.10-0.99-24.28%
BBDBanco Bradesco2.56-0.67-20.64%
BCHBanco De Chile37.824.1412.28%
BSBRBanco Santander Brasil SA4.51-1.07-19.10%
BSACBanco Santander-Chile31.594.2115.36%
CIBGrupo Cibest S.A.92.0737.2768.02%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.

Date of analysis: Oct 30, 2026