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Brunswick (BC)
NYSE:BC

Brunswick (BC) AI Stock Analysis

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BC

Brunswick

(NYSE:BC)

63Neutral
Brunswick's stock score reflects a mix of strengths and challenges. Strong cash flow and recurring revenue growth are positive, but declining margins and high leverage pose risks. Technical indicators suggest weak momentum, and the high P/E ratio raises valuation concerns. The balanced sentiment from the earnings call, with both strategic achievements and challenges, adds nuance to the overall assessment.
Positive Factors
Cash Flow
BC expects improved efficiency, guiding for $350M+ in free cash flow following a strong cash quarter.
Financial Performance
BC reported 1Q25 results that beat expectations, focusing on structural cost reductions and managing production, working cap, and inventory.
Negative Factors
Guidance
BC's 2025 guidance was reduced due to tariff and retail pressure.
Tariffs
Tariffs are estimated to create a significant headwind, negatively impacting EPS by approximately $1.00.

Brunswick (BC) vs. S&P 500 (SPY)

Brunswick Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionBrunswick Corporation designs, manufactures, and markets recreation products worldwide. It operates through Propulsion; Parts & Accessories; and Boat segments. The Propulsion segment provides outboard, sterndrive, and inboard engines for independent boat builders and governments through marine dealers and distributors, specialty marine retailers, and marine service centers; and propulsion-related controls, rigging, and propellers to original equipment manufacturers and aftermarket retailers, distributors, and distribution businesses. This segment offers its products under the Mercury, Mercury MerCruiser, Mariner, Mercury Racing, and Mercury Diesel brands. The Parts & Accessories segment provides engine parts and consumables, electrical products, boat parts and systems, engine oils and lubricants, marine electronics and control systems, instruments, trolling motors, fuel systems, and electrical systems, as well as specialty vehicle, mobile, and transportation aftermarket products for aftermarket retailers, distributors, and distribution businesses, as well for as for the original equipment manufacturers in marine and non-marine markets; and supplies parts and accessories. This segment offers its products under the under the Mercury, Mercury Precision Parts, Quicksilver, and Seachoice brands. The Boat segment provides Sea Ray sport boats and cruisers; Bayliner sport cruisers, runabouts and Heyday wake; Boston Whaler fiberglass offshore boats; Lund fiberglass fishing boats; Crestliner, Cypress Cay, Harris, Lowe, Lund, Princecraft aluminum fishing, utility, pontoon, and deck boats; and Thunder Jet heavy-gauge aluminum boats, as well as the freedom boat club, dealer services, and technology to the marine industry through dealers and distributors. Brunswick Corporation was founded in 1845 and is headquartered in Mettawa, Illinois.
How the Company Makes MoneyBrunswick Corporation generates revenue through its diversified portfolio across three main segments. The Propulsion segment is the largest revenue generator, primarily selling marine engines under well-known brands such as Mercury and MerCruiser. This segment benefits from both direct sales to boat manufacturers and aftermarket sales to boat owners. The Parts & Accessories segment contributes to revenue through the sale of marine-related products like electronics, engine parts, and maintenance supplies, often through distribution networks and retail channels. The Boat segment adds to the revenue stream by selling boats under various brands, including Bayliner, Boston Whaler, and Sea Ray. Brunswick's earnings are further bolstered by strategic partnerships and a strong dealer network that enhances market reach and customer engagement, as well as a focus on expanding its presence in international markets.

Brunswick Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Brunswick faces challenges in revenue growth and profitability, with declining margins indicating cost pressures. The balance sheet shows high leverage, raising potential risks in a declining revenue environment, but a reasonable equity ratio provides some stability. Cash flow metrics are strong, with significant free cash flow growth and solid cash flow ratios, offering some resilience. Overall, while cash flow strength is a positive, the company needs to address revenue and margin pressures to improve financial health.
Income Statement
65
Positive
Brunswick has shown a decline in total revenue from $5.24 billion in 2024 to $5.09 billion in the TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) period of 2025. This represents a revenue decline of approximately 2.75%, which is a concern for growth. Gross Profit Margin in the TTM is approximately 24.56%, a decrease from 25.79% in 2024, indicating pressure on profitability. The Net Profit Margin has also decreased to 1.61% in the TTM from 2.49% in 2024, showing reduced profitability. The EBIT Margin stands at 5.13%, down from 5.95% in 2024, while the EBITDA Margin is 9.48%, down from 11.82% in 2024. Overall, the declining margins signal challenges in cost management and profitability.
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
Brunswick's Debt-to-Equity Ratio in the TTM is approximately 1.40, which is relatively high, indicating significant leverage. However, the Equity Ratio of 31.97% suggests a reasonable level of equity to total assets. Return on Equity (ROE) is low at 4.40% in the TTM, down from 6.87% in 2024, reflecting decreased profitability relative to equity. While the company maintains a solid equity base, the high leverage poses potential risks, especially if revenue and profitability continue to decline.
Cash Flow
75
Positive
The Free Cash Flow in the TTM has increased to $406.3 million from $264 million in 2024, indicating a strong growth of 53.94%, which is a positive sign. The Operating Cash Flow to Net Income Ratio is robust at 6.77, showcasing strong cash flow generation relative to net income. The Free Cash Flow to Net Income Ratio is also strong at 4.94, suggesting effective cash management. Overall, the cash flow situation appears strong despite the challenges in income and balance sheet metrics.
Breakdown
Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
5.24B6.40B6.81B5.85B4.35B
Gross Profit
1.35B1.83B1.95B1.67B1.21B
EBIT
311.60M734.90M947.80M812.90M539.30M
EBITDA
618.80M1.01B1.18B980.50M693.50M
Net Income Common Stockholders
130.10M420.40M677.00M593.30M372.70M
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
269.80M468.60M600.10M355.30M576.30M
Total Assets
5.68B6.23B6.32B5.42B3.77B
Total Debt
2.51B2.59B2.51B1.82B951.40M
Net Debt
2.24B2.12B1.91B1.46B431.80M
Total Liabilities
3.79B4.14B4.28B3.51B2.26B
Stockholders Equity
1.89B2.09B2.04B1.91B1.51B
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
264.00M444.30M197.80M306.90M615.90M
Operating Cash Flow
431.40M733.60M586.10M574.00M798.30M
Investing Cash Flow
-168.90M-378.90M-443.20M-1.35B-246.90M
Financing Cash Flow
-442.70M-487.00M110.80M621.80M-361.80M

Brunswick Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price48.08
Price Trends
50DMA
51.36
Negative
100DMA
58.74
Negative
200DMA
68.78
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-1.18
Negative
RSI
50.90
Neutral
STOCH
56.28
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For BC, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 48.08 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 45.54, below the 50-day MA of 51.36, and below the 200-day MA of 68.78, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -1.18 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 50.90 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 56.28 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for BC.

Brunswick Risk Analysis

Brunswick disclosed 39 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Brunswick reported the most risks in the “Finance & Corporate” category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Brunswick Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
74
Outperform
$2.49B40.7712.90%7.85%79.89%
73
Outperform
$2.45B15.8246.60%2.15%4.42%48.23%
THTHO
68
Neutral
$3.93B19.595.13%2.68%-8.45%-25.41%
WEWEN
66
Neutral
$2.28B13.3690.40%8.50%2.18%-5.15%
SOSON
64
Neutral
$4.41B29.065.54%4.71%-4.58%-61.14%
BCBC
63
Neutral
$3.00B38.425.16%3.68%-15.42%-77.50%
61
Neutral
$6.59B11.773.06%3.98%2.56%-20.85%
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
BC
Brunswick
48.08
-33.84
-41.31%
SON
Sonoco Products
45.05
-12.07
-21.13%
CAKE
Cheesecake Factory
49.92
13.22
36.02%
CHEF
The Chefs' Warehouse
62.41
23.91
62.10%
WEN
Wendy's
12.12
-5.79
-32.33%
THO
Thor Industries
76.26
-27.76
-26.69%

Brunswick Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Apr 24, 2025
(Q1-2025)
|
% Change Since: 6.21%|
Next Earnings Date:Jul 24, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call highlighted strong financial performance and market share gains in key segments like Mercury engines and Freedom Boat Club expansion. However, challenges such as tariffs and declines in entry-level product sales, as well as overall sales and operating margins, balanced the positives. Despite these challenges, Brunswick's strategic initiatives and awards recognition are notable achievements.
Q1-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Revenue and Cash Flow Performance
First-quarter financial performance was ahead of expectations, with recurring revenue businesses contributing nearly 60% of adjusted operating earnings. Outstanding free cash flow generation in the quarter resulted in a $160 million improvement versus Q1 2024, marking the second-best first-quarter cash flow on record.
Mercury Outboard Engine Market Share Gains
Mercury's outboard engine lineup gained 40 basis points of US retail share on a rolling twelve-month basis, with strong April performance following significant share increases at 2025 boat shows.
Freedom Boat Club Expansion
Freedom Boat Club continues to expand globally in premier boating locations, delivering steady membership sales growth and a 3% sequential increase in member boat trips in the first quarter.
Awards and Recognition
Brunswick received a pair of Newsweek Awards, including being named to the list of the most trustworthy companies in America for the third consecutive year. Additionally, Brunswick was named to Newsweek's list of America's greatest workplaces for women.
Negative Updates
Entry-Level Product Weakness
There is observed weakness in entry-level products, prompting consideration of streamlining product offerings in the entry-level space. This is attributed to a more economically sensitive consumer.
Tariff and Trade Policy Concerns
The abrupt introduction of tariffs and continued policy confusion are contributing to declining consumer sentiment. Brunswick could incur $100 million to $125 million of incremental net tariff costs in 2025, impacting profitability.
Decrease in Sales and Operating Margins
Versus the first quarter of 2024, net sales in the quarter were down 11%, with adjusted operating margins of 6%. Sales decreases were due to lower wholesale ordering by dealers and OEMs.
Boat Unit Sales Challenges
The US main powerboat industry retail was down modestly in the first quarter, influenced almost entirely by declines in the value segment. Wholesale shipments were down 16%, resulting in an 11% reduction in US pipelines.
Company Guidance
During the Brunswick Corporation's First Quarter 2025 Earnings Conference Call, the company provided guidance indicating a range for the full-year 2025 adjusted EPS between $2.50 and $4.00 per share, highlighting significant uncertainties due to trade policy, foreign exchange rates, and interest rate fluctuations. The company reported that nearly 60% of its first-quarter adjusted operating earnings were contributed by its recurring revenue businesses, such as the engine P&A business and Freedom Boat Club. Brunswick also noted a $160 million improvement in free cash flow over Q1 2024, resulting in $26 million in share repurchases. Despite challenges from tariffs, which could incur up to $100 million to $125 million in additional costs, the company emphasized its mitigation efforts, including supply chain adjustments and pricing strategies. The guidance reflects an anticipated 5% revenue reduction due to softer volumes, largely driven by the uncertain tariff environment.
Glossary
OutperformA stock rated as "Outperform" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider this stock a good buying opportunity.
NeutralA stock rated as "Neutral" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly attractive nor unattractive for investment. Investors may consider holding onto the stock, as it is not expected to either significantly outperform or underperform the market.
UnderperformA stock rated as "Underperform" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock may deliver lower returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider selling the stock or avoiding it as an investment.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.