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Azul SA (AZULQ)
OTHER OTC:AZULQ
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Azul SA (AZULQ) AI Stock Analysis

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AZULQ

Azul SA

(OTC:AZULQ)

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Neutral 41 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:41Neutral
Price Target:
$0.50
▼(-3.85% Downside)
Azul SA's overall stock score is primarily impacted by its financial performance, characterized by high leverage and ongoing losses. Technical indicators show weak momentum, and valuation metrics highlight significant challenges, with a negative P/E ratio and no dividend yield.
Positive Factors
Revenue Growth
The significant revenue growth indicates strong market demand and effective business strategies, enhancing Azul's competitive position in the airline industry.
Operational Efficiency
Improved cost management reflects operational efficiency, which can lead to better profitability and competitive advantage in the long term.
Financial Restructuring
The restructuring plan aims to optimize costs and strengthen financial stability, positioning Azul for sustainable growth and improved market competitiveness.
Negative Factors
High Leverage
High leverage poses financial risks, limiting flexibility and increasing vulnerability to economic downturns, potentially hindering long-term growth.
Persistent Net Losses
Ongoing net losses indicate challenges in achieving profitability, which could strain resources and affect future investment capabilities.
Negative Equity Position
A negative equity position suggests financial instability, raising concerns about Azul's ability to sustain operations and invest in growth opportunities.

Azul SA (AZULQ) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Azul SA Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionAzul SA (AZULQ) is a Brazilian airline based in Barueri, São Paulo, founded in 2008. It operates both domestic and international flights, serving a wide range of destinations across Brazil and in select international markets. The company is known for its low-cost carrier model and a strong focus on customer service, operating a modern fleet that includes Airbus and Embraer aircraft. In addition to passenger transport, Azul also offers cargo services and has established a robust loyalty program to enhance customer retention.
How the Company Makes MoneyAzul SA generates revenue primarily through the sale of passenger tickets, which constitutes the bulk of its earnings. The company utilizes a low-cost carrier model to attract price-sensitive travelers, while also offering premium services on certain routes. Additionally, Azul earns revenue from cargo services, which involve the transportation of freight and goods. Ancillary revenue streams include fees for checked baggage, in-flight services, and seat selection. The airline's loyalty program, TudoAzul, further contributes to revenue through partnerships with hotels, car rental services, and credit card companies, allowing members to accumulate and redeem points. Key partnerships with other airlines for code-sharing and connecting flights also enhance its network and customer base, ultimately driving additional revenue.

Azul SA Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Aug 14, 2025
(Q1-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Nov 14, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
Azul reported strong performance in operational efficiency, revenue growth, and business unit expansion, offset by challenges in currency devaluation, operational disruptions, and equity raise difficulties.
Q1-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Operational Excellence Restored
Azul has returned to operational excellence, with significant improvements in efficiency and reliability following OEM challenges faced in 2024.
Revenue Growth and Capacity Increase
Azul reported revenues of R$5.4 billion with a RASK of R$0.42 and a 16% increase in capacity year-over-year.
Business Units Performance
High-margin business units grew from 19% of RASK in Q1 2024 to 23% in Q1 2025, contributing over R$480 million in the quarter.
Loyalty Program and Ancillary Revenue
Loyalty program membership increased to 19 million, with flown revenue up 65% year-over-year; ancillary revenue up 22%.
Cargo and Logistics Business Expansion
Azul Cargo revenue increased by 20% year-over-year, with international revenue up 62% and EBITDA doubling compared to Q1 2024.
Improved Macroeconomic Conditions
The Brazilian real appreciated by 9.3% in 2025, and heating oil prices decreased by over 17%.
Negative Updates
Currency Devaluation Impact
Azul was significantly impacted by a higher-than-expected devaluation of the local currency.
Operational Disruptions and OEM Challenges
The company faced OEM challenges and irregular operations leading to high operational costs and customer litigation.
Natural Disasters Impact
Floods in Southern Brazil turned 10% of the network offline, affecting operations in a profitable region.
Equity Raise Challenges
Azul faced difficulties in raising additional equity capital due to market conditions and anti-dilution clauses.
Company Guidance
In the first quarter of fiscal year 2025, Azul reported revenue of R$5.4 billion with a RASK of R$0.42, remaining flat year-over-year despite a 16% increase in capacity. The company achieved an EBITDA of R$1.4 billion, reflecting a margin of 26%, while EBIT was reported at R$571 million. Azul's ancillary revenue grew by 22% year-over-year, with a 14% increase in ancillary revenue per passenger. The loyalty program expanded to 19 million members, with flown revenue up 65% year-over-year. Azul Cargo's revenue increased by 20%, and EBITDA doubled compared to the first quarter of 2024. Operational improvements led to a 5% increase in aircraft utilization and a 18.9% rise in productivity. Despite challenges from OEM issues affecting operations, Azul's strategic focus on efficiency and revenue growth from business units contributed to a strong quarter.

Azul SA Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Income Statement
45
Neutral
Balance Sheet
30
Negative
Cash Flow
50
Neutral
Breakdown
Income Statement
Total Revenue
Gross Profit
EBITDA
Net Income
Balance Sheet
Total Assets
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
Total Debt
Total Liabilities
Stockholders Equity
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow
Operating Cash Flow
Investing Cash Flow
Financing Cash Flow

Azul SA Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price0.52
Price Trends
50DMA
0.52
Negative
100DMA
0.52
Negative
200DMA
1.04
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
>-0.01
Negative
RSI
39.21
Neutral
STOCH
73.91
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For AZULQ, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 0.52 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 0.52, below the 50-day MA of 0.52, and below the 200-day MA of 1.04, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of >-0.01 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 39.21 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 73.91 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for AZULQ.

Azul SA Risk Analysis

Azul SA disclosed 65 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Azul SA reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Azul SA Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
71
Outperform
$628.07M10.6910.15%3.76%17.44%
63
Neutral
$10.79B15.437.44%2.01%2.89%-14.66%
63
Neutral
$825.10M-12.00%-7.05%-128.03%
47
Neutral
$60.71M-0.34-378.73%-14.62%-86.07%
45
Neutral
$1.68B-15.12%-1.90%61.06%
43
Neutral
$974.22M-6.63%4.60%49.81%
41
Neutral
$195.65M-0.15-1.94%68.93%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
AZULQ
Azul SA
0.52
-2.28
-81.43%
JBLU
JetBlue Airways
4.57
-2.61
-36.35%
VLRS
Controladora Vuela Compania de Aviacion SAB de CV
6.85
-0.24
-3.39%
MESA
Mesa Air Group
1.45
0.56
62.92%
SNCY
Sun Country Airlines Holdings
11.51
-1.11
-8.80%
ULCC
Frontier Group Holdings
4.15
-2.88
-40.97%

Azul SA Corporate Events

Azul S.A. Releases August Financials Amid Chapter 11 Proceedings
Oct 1, 2025

On September 30, 2025, Azul S.A. reported its unaudited monthly financial information for August 2025 to the US Bankruptcy Court as part of its Chapter 11 process. The report, which includes details such as cash position, revenue, and profit and loss, is part of Azul’s efforts to keep the market informed during its restructuring. The company emphasized that these figures are preliminary and should not be directly compared to its regular financial statements. Azul aims to maintain transparency with stakeholders throughout the restructuring process.

Azul S.A. Ends Merger Talks with Abra Group
Sep 26, 2025

On September 25, 2025, Azul S.A. announced the termination of discussions with Abra Group Limited, the controlling entity of Gol Linhas Aéreas Inteligentes S.A., regarding a potential business combination. This decision also includes ending a commercial cooperation agreement, or codeshare, initially disclosed in May 2024. Azul has committed to honoring all tickets issued under the terminated agreement and continues to focus on strengthening its capital structure. The termination of these discussions and agreements may impact Azul’s strategic positioning in the airline industry.

Azul S.A. Advances Chapter 11 Reorganization Plan
Sep 18, 2025

On September 17, 2025, Azul S.A. announced that it has filed a plan of reorganization with the United States Bankruptcy Court as part of its Chapter 11 proceedings. This filing is a significant step in the company’s financial and operational restructuring, aligning with agreements made with financial creditors and strategic partners. The company is committed to maintaining transparency with its stakeholders throughout the restructuring process.

Azul S.A. Achieves Record Revenue in Q2 2025 Amidst Strategic Restructuring
Aug 15, 2025

Azul S.A. reported its second-quarter results for 2025, showcasing a record operating revenue of R$4.9 billion, an 18.4% increase from the previous year. The company saw significant growth in international operations and a recovery in domestic capacity, leading to a robust load factor of 81.5%. Despite challenges such as currency depreciation and increased legal claims, Azul managed to improve its EBITDA by 8.6% year-over-year to R$1.1 billion. The airline also focused on restructuring its capital through agreements with key stakeholders, enhancing its financial stability and operational performance.

Azul S.A. Secures Court Approval for Major Restructuring Plan
Aug 14, 2025

Azul S.A. announced on August 13, 2025, that it has secured court approval for its Chapter 11 proceedings, including an agreement with its largest lessor, AerCap, and the rejection of multiple leases and contracts. This approval is a significant step in Azul’s restructuring plan, expected to save over US$1 billion and optimize its fleet without affecting its operations. The move is part of Azul’s strategy to strengthen its position and ensure future growth, while maintaining its commitment to its Crewmembers and customers.

Azul S.A. Sets September Deadline for Chapter 11 Claims
Aug 6, 2025

Azul S.A. announced that as part of its Chapter 11 proceedings initiated on May 28, 2025, the U.S. Bankruptcy Court has set a deadline of September 15, 2025, for eligible creditors to file proofs of claim. This restructuring process is intended to strengthen Azul’s financial position and ensure a sustainable future. Despite the ongoing proceedings, Azul continues its regular operations, maintaining flight services and bookings, and remains committed to fulfilling its obligations to stakeholders.

Azul S.A. Secures Backstop Agreement Amid Restructuring
Aug 4, 2025

On July 31, 2025, Azul S.A. entered into a Backstop Commitment Agreement with certain parties to support an equity capital raise of up to $650 million, pending approval from the Bankruptcy Court. This agreement is part of Azul’s restructuring process under Chapter 11, with the company committed to maintaining transparency and communication with stakeholders throughout this period.

Azul S.A. Secures $1.6 Billion Financing Amid Restructuring
Jul 25, 2025

On July 24, 2025, Azul S.A. announced it received final court approval for its US$1.6 billion debtor-in-possession financing, marking a significant milestone in its Chapter 11 restructuring process. This approval, free of objections, strengthens Azul’s financial position and ensures the continuation of its operations while advancing its transformation plan. The company also reported a beneficial agreement with AerCap, expected to generate approximately US$1 billion in contractual benefits, and the rejection of two engine leases, optimizing its fleet and reducing costs. These developments position Azul for long-term success in the competitive aviation industry.

Azul S.A. Reports June Financials Amid Chapter 11 Restructuring
Jul 24, 2025

On July 23, 2025, Azul S.A. presented its monthly operating reports to the United States Bankruptcy Court for the Southern District of New York as part of its ongoing Chapter 11 process. The report, covering the period from May 28 to June 30, 2025, includes financial data such as cash position, revenue, and profit and loss for its subsidiaries involved in the restructuring. Additionally, Azul disclosed preliminary and unaudited consolidated financial information for June 2025 to keep the market informed about its financial and operational status during the restructuring. The company reported a total operating revenue of R$1,640.1 million and an adjusted EBITDA of R$420.4 million for June 2025. Azul emphasizes that this information is preliminary and prepared solely for compliance with Chapter 11 requirements. The company remains committed to transparency and will continue updating stakeholders throughout the restructuring process.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Oct 16, 2025