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Atlantic Union Bankshares Corporation (AUB)
NYSE:AUB
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Atlantic Union Bankshares (AUB) AI Stock Analysis

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AUB

Atlantic Union Bankshares

(NYSE:AUB)

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Outperform 78 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:78Outperform
Price Target:
$41.00
▲(13.98% Upside)
Atlantic Union Bankshares demonstrates strong financial performance with robust revenue growth and cash flow generation. The successful acquisition and integration of Sandy Spring Bank, along with improvements in net interest margin and loan growth, are significant positives. However, challenges in profitability and increased non-performing assets post-acquisition slightly temper the outlook.
Positive Factors
Successful Acquisition
The successful acquisition and integration of Sandy Spring Bank enhances AUB's market position and operational scale, providing long-term growth opportunities.
Net Interest Margin Expansion
Improved net interest margins indicate efficient asset-liability management, enhancing profitability and financial stability over the long term.
Strong Loan Growth
Robust loan growth reflects strong demand for AUB's financial products, supporting sustained revenue generation and market expansion.
Negative Factors
Declining Profit Margins
Decreasing profit margins suggest rising costs or pricing pressures, potentially impacting long-term profitability and financial health.
Increased Non-Performing Assets
Rising non-performing assets could indicate credit quality issues, posing risks to asset quality and future earnings stability.
High Noninterest Expense
Elevated noninterest expenses due to merger costs may pressure short-term profitability, affecting financial flexibility and cost management.

Atlantic Union Bankshares (AUB) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Atlantic Union Bankshares Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionAtlantic Union Bankshares Corporation operates as the holding company for Atlantic Union Bank that provides banking and related financial services to consumers and businesses. The company accepts various deposit products, including checking, savings, NOW, time deposit, and money market accounts; certificates of deposit; and other depository services. It also provides loans for commercial, industrial, residential mortgage, and consumer purposes. In addition, the company offers credit cards, automated teller machine (ATM) services, mobile and internet banking services, and online bill payment services, as well as financial planning, trust, and wealth management services. Further, it provides securities, brokerage, and investment advisory products and services; and originates and sells residential loan products in the secondary market. As of February 25, 2022, it operated 130 branches and approximately 150 ATMs in Virginia, Maryland, and North Carolina. The company was formerly known as Union Bankshares Corporation and changed its name to Atlantic Union Bankshares Corporation in May 2019. Atlantic Union Bankshares Corporation was founded in 1902 and is headquartered in Richmond, Virginia.
How the Company Makes MoneyAtlantic Union Bankshares generates revenue primarily through interest income from loans and investments. The bank's loan portfolio includes commercial loans, residential mortgages, and consumer loans, which contribute significantly to its earnings as borrowers pay interest over time. Additionally, the bank earns non-interest income through fees associated with various banking services, including account maintenance fees, transaction fees, and service charges. Wealth management services also provide a steady income stream as clients pay for investment advisory and financial planning services. The company may engage in partnerships with other financial institutions or technology firms to enhance its service offerings, further diversifying its revenue sources. Overall, the combination of interest income and fee-based services forms the backbone of Atlantic Union Bankshares' revenue model.

Atlantic Union Bankshares Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Jun 30, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Oct 27, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call highlighted a successful acquisition and integration of Sandy Spring Bank, significant improvements in net interest margin, and strong loan growth. However, there were challenges related to seasonal deposit growth slowdown, increased NPAs, and high merger-related costs.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Successful Acquisition of Sandy Spring Bank
The acquisition of Sandy Spring Bank closed on April 1, 2025, ahead of schedule, and the integration is progressing smoothly. The acquisition introduced merger accounting noise, but the operating performance is meeting expectations.
Expansion in Core Net Interest Margin
The reported FTE net interest margin expanded by 38 basis points to 3.83%, with the core net interest margin improving by 8 basis points.
Strong Loan Growth
Pro forma loan growth was approximately 4.0% annualized quarter-over-quarter, exceeding internal expectations despite economic uncertainties, with a strong loan pipeline.
Solid Credit Quality
Credit quality remains solid with only 1 basis point of annualized net charge-offs and a low percentage of past due loans.
Negative Updates
Seasonal Slowdown in Deposit Growth
Deposit growth was seasonally slow in the second quarter, with a reduction in higher cost non-relationship deposits acquired in the Sandy Spring portfolio.
Increased Non-Performing Assets Post-Acquisition
Second quarter NPAs as a percentage of loans held for investment increased to 0.60% due to AUB's more conservative loan rating approach under acquisition accounting.
High Noninterest Expense Due to Merger Costs
Noninterest expense increased significantly by $145.5 million due to $78.9 million of merger-related costs associated with the Sandy Spring acquisition.
Company Guidance
During Atlantic Union Bankshares' second quarter 2025 earnings call, the company reported key metrics and guidance following its acquisition of Sandy Spring Bank. The acquisition closed on April 1, 2025, and contributed to a quarter-end loan-to-deposit ratio of approximately 88%. The CET1 capital ratio was noted at 9.8%, while the bank level CRE concentration ratio stood at 284%. The reported fully tax-equivalent (FTE) net interest margin expanded by 38 basis points to 3.83%, with core net interest margin improving by 8 basis points. Loan growth was approximately 4.0% annualized quarter-over-quarter, with year-end loan balances projected between $28 billion and $28.5 billion. Additionally, the company reported an adjusted operating return on tangible common equity of 23.8% and an adjusted operating return on assets of 1.46%. Credit quality remained solid, with a net charge-off ratio of 1 basis point and nonperforming assets as a percentage of loans held for investment at 0.60%. The company anticipates a net charge-off ratio of 15 to 20 basis points for the full year. The integration of Sandy Spring is progressing smoothly, and the company plans to expand its presence in North Carolina by opening 10 new branches starting in 2026.

Atlantic Union Bankshares Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Atlantic Union Bankshares demonstrates a solid financial standing with consistent revenue and strong cash flow management. While profitability metrics are stable, there are areas of concern in terms of return on equity. Overall, the company maintains a balanced approach to growth and stability, with moderate leverage and efficient cash flows.
Income Statement
75
Positive
The income statement shows a steady revenue stream with a slight decline in the TTM compared to the previous year. Gross profit margin remains healthy, indicating strong core operations. Net profit margin is stable, though slightly lower in the recent period. The company shows good control over its costs, with improving EBIT and EBITDA margins.
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
The balance sheet reflects a stable financial position with a reasonable debt-to-equity ratio, suggesting manageable leverage. The equity ratio is robust, indicating solid asset backing. However, the return on equity has been decreasing, reflecting potential inefficiencies in generating returns for shareholders.
Cash Flow
80
Positive
Cash flow analysis reveals strong operating cash flow, supporting a healthy cash generation capability. Free cash flow growth is consistent, and both operating and free cash flow ratios to net income indicate efficient cash utilization. This reflects effective cash management strategies.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue1.64B1.35B1.05B778.96M711.16M784.94M
Gross Profit908.54M767.33M670.27M683.76M730.95M599.64M
EBITDA281.22M295.11M280.86M325.39M369.49M229.40M
Net Income203.81M209.13M201.82M234.51M263.92M158.23M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets37.29B24.59B21.17B20.46B20.06B19.63B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments1.69B2.79B2.60B3.06B4.28B3.03B
Total Debt892.77M534.62M1.31B1.71B506.59M840.72M
Total Liabilities32.46B21.44B18.61B18.09B17.35B16.92B
Stockholders Equity4.83B3.14B2.56B2.37B2.71B2.71B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow2.13B301.06M272.94M416.82M328.39M202.35M
Operating Cash Flow2.13B308.46M278.05M419.67M337.79M231.92M
Investing Cash Flow173.92M-295.69M-603.28M-1.28B-345.44M-1.92B
Financing Cash Flow-1.16B-36.83M383.42M375.18M316.86M1.74B

Atlantic Union Bankshares Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price35.97
Price Trends
50DMA
34.10
Positive
100DMA
32.35
Positive
200DMA
32.70
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.48
Positive
RSI
58.89
Neutral
STOCH
61.04
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For AUB, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 35.97 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 35.61, above the 50-day MA of 34.10, and above the 200-day MA of 32.70, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.48 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 58.89 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 61.04 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for AUB.

Atlantic Union Bankshares Risk Analysis

Atlantic Union Bankshares disclosed 67 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Atlantic Union Bankshares reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Atlantic Union Bankshares Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (68)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
81
Outperform
4.94B11.7216.15%9.00%-2.90%
79
Outperform
5.13B13.209.99%1.00%5.95%25.95%
78
Outperform
$5.13B17.505.18%3.78%37.25%-8.67%
75
Outperform
5.36B11.6710.78%2.77%0.76%27.66%
72
Outperform
5.29B13.207.36%3.96%7.29%6.87%
66
Neutral
4.88B19.9014.14%2.17%14.53%21.78%
68
Neutral
$18.00B11.429.92%3.81%9.73%1.22%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
AUB
Atlantic Union Bankshares
35.97
-0.23
-0.64%
ABCB
Ameris Bancorp
74.86
13.08
21.17%
AX
Axos Financial
87.45
24.57
39.07%
FFIN
First Financial Bankshares
34.11
-2.16
-5.96%
HWC
Hancock Whitney
63.26
13.63
27.46%
UBSI
United Bankshares
37.35
1.70
4.77%

Atlantic Union Bankshares Corporate Events

M&A TransactionsBusiness Operations and Strategy
Atlantic Union Bankshares Acquires Sandy Spring Bancorp
Neutral
Aug 1, 2025

Atlantic Union Bankshares Corporation has issued a handout for investor meetings during the third quarter of 2025, detailing its recent acquisition of Sandy Spring Bancorp, Inc. The release discusses the anticipated benefits of the acquisition, including cost savings and strategic gains, while also addressing potential risks and uncertainties that could impact future performance. The company is focused on expanding its market share, particularly in North Carolina and Maryland, and is navigating various economic and regulatory challenges.

Dividends
Atlantic Union Bankshares Announces Increased Quarterly Dividend
Positive
Jul 24, 2025

On July 24, 2025, Atlantic Union Bankshares Corporation announced that its Board of Directors declared a quarterly dividend of $0.34 per share of common stock, reflecting a 6% increase from the previous year. Additionally, a quarterly dividend on the company’s 6.875% Perpetual Non-Cumulative Preferred Stock, Series A, was declared, with a payment of $171.88 per share, equivalent to $0.43 per depositary share, scheduled for September 2, 2025. These announcements indicate the company’s stable financial performance and commitment to returning value to shareholders.

M&A TransactionsBusiness Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Atlantic Union Bankshares Reports Q2 2025 Financial Results
Positive
Jul 24, 2025

Atlantic Union Bankshares reported its second-quarter financial results for 2025, highlighting a net income of $16.8 million and adjusted operating earnings of $135.1 million. The quarter was marked by the completion of the Sandy Spring Bancorp acquisition on April 1, 2025, which significantly increased the company’s assets and liabilities. The acquisition led to various financial adjustments, including merger-related costs and provisions for credit losses. The company also completed the sale of $2.0 billion in commercial real estate loans, generating a $15.7 million pre-tax gain. These activities reflect Atlantic Union’s strategic focus on sustainable growth and profitability, despite the initial costs associated with the merger.

Financial Disclosures
Atlantic Union Bankshares to Announce Q2 2025 Results
Neutral
Jul 2, 2025

On July 2, 2025, Atlantic Union Bankshares Corporation announced it will release its second quarter 2025 financial results on July 24, 2025, before the market opens. Following the release, the company will host a conference call and webcast to discuss the results and recent activities, providing stakeholders with insights into its financial performance and operational updates.

M&A TransactionsBusiness Operations and Strategy
Atlantic Union Bankshares Completes $2 Billion Loan Sale
Positive
Jun 26, 2025

On June 26, 2025, Atlantic Union Bankshares Corporation announced the completion of a significant transaction involving the sale of approximately $2 billion of commercial real estate loans to Blackstone Real Estate Debt Strategies. This sale, part of Atlantic Union’s merger with Sandy Spring Bancorp, allows the company to reduce its CRE concentration and use the proceeds to pay down high-cost deposits and enhance its securities portfolio, demonstrating its strategic execution capabilities and potential for future growth.

Executive/Board Changes
Atlantic Union Bankshares CFO Retirement Announcement
Neutral
May 22, 2025

On May 22, 2025, Atlantic Union Bankshares announced the planned retirement of Robert M. Gorman, its executive vice president and chief financial officer, effective by March 31, 2026. Gorman, who has been instrumental in the company’s growth from a $4 billion asset community bank to a $40 billion regional leader, will continue in an advisory role post-retirement to ensure a smooth transition as the company conducts a nationwide search for his successor.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Sep 24, 2025