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Vault Minerals Limited
(Sydney:VAU)
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Rating:76Outperform
Price Target:
AU$6.50
â–Ľ(-6.47% Downside)
Action:Upgraded
Date:08/21/26
The score is primarily supported by strong recent financial execution—higher revenue, materially improved profitability, robust cash generation, and very low leverage—offset by a stretched valuation (high P/E) and technically overbought signals (RSI ~72, Stoch ~87) that raise near-term pullback risk despite a clear uptrend.
Positive Factors
Revenue and margin expansion
Vault Minerals has recently achieved both stronger scale and materially improved profitability. This combination indicates that revenue growth is translating into operating leverage, creating greater earnings capacity and supporting reinvestment across its gold-producing operations over the coming quarters.
Negative Factors
History of losses and earnings volatility
The recent turnaround is encouraging, but the preceding multi-year loss period shows that profitability has not yet been demonstrated consistently across the cycle. This history suggests earnings remain sensitive to operating conditions and gold-market changes, increasing uncertainty around normalized future performance.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Revenue and margin expansion
Vault Minerals has recently achieved both stronger scale and materially improved profitability. This combination indicates that revenue growth is translating into operating leverage, creating greater earnings capacity and supporting reinvestment across its gold-producing operations over the coming quarters.
Read all positive factors
Vault Minerals Limited (VAU) vs. iShares MSCI Australia ETF (EWA)
Market Cap
AU$5.75B
Dividend Yield1.24%
Average Volume (3M)4.10M
Price to Earnings (P/E)21.1
Beta (1Y)1.78
Revenue Growth34.53%
EPS Growth18.01%
CountryAU
Employees732
SectorBasic Materials
Sector Strength58
IndustryGold
Share Statistics
EPS (TTM)0.27
Shares Outstanding1,034,565,900
10 Day Avg. Volume3,646,215
30 Day Avg. Volume4,102,363
Financial Highlights & Ratios
PEG Ratio0.80
Price to Book (P/B)2.03
Price to Sales (P/S)2.25
P/FCF Ratio7.92
Enterprise Value/Market CapN/A
Enterprise Value/RevenueN/A
Enterprise Value/Gross ProfitN/A
Enterprise Value/EbitdaN/A
Forecast
1Y Price Target
AU$6.85Price Target Upside-1.50% Downside
Rating ConsensusStrong Buy
Number of Analyst Covering5
EPS Forecast (FY)0.56
Revenue Forecast (FY)AU$2.30B
Vault Minerals Limited Business Overview & Revenue Model
Company Description
Vault Minerals Limited undertakes the prospecting, extraction, and processing of gold and gold/copper concentrates at its operations throughout Canada and Australia. The company, which was founded in 1995 and has its main office in South Perth, Au...
How the Company Makes Money
Vault Minerals makes money primarily by producing and selling gold. Its main revenue stream is sales of gold produced from its mining operations, with revenue generally driven by (1) the volume of gold produced and sold (ounces), (2) the realized ...
Vault Minerals Limited Financial Statement Overview
Summary
Income Statement
84
Very Positive
Balance Sheet
88
Very Positive
Cash Flow
86
Very Positive
| Breakdown | Jun 2026 | Jun 2025 | Jun 2024 | Jun 2023 | Jun 2022 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Income Statement | |||||
| Total Revenue | 1.93B | 1.43B | 620.00M | 422.75M | 162.90M |
| Gross Profit | 690.91M | 319.71M | 90.40M | 110.87M | -4.21M |
| EBITDA | 990.11M | 616.63M | 149.78M | 78.98M | -5.26M |
| Net Income | 278.41M | 236.98M | -5.44M | -8.73M | -28.53M |
Balance Sheet | |||||
| Total Assets | 2.67B | 2.44B | 2.17B | 670.48M | 577.37M |
| Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments | 825.78M | 674.24M | 428.81M | 20.11M | 32.53M |
| Total Debt | 74.35M | 98.36M | 207.84M | 209.11M | 272.36M |
| Total Liabilities | 530.02M | 444.26M | 546.79M | 340.41M | 394.57M |
| Stockholders Equity | 2.14B | 2.00B | 1.62B | 330.09M | 182.81M |
Cash Flow | |||||
| Free Cash Flow | 548.50M | 239.26M | 182.40M | -79.50M | -182.66M |
| Operating Cash Flow | 887.96M | 540.06M | 206.63M | 46.66M | -5.09M |
| Investing Cash Flow | -364.46M | -300.81M | 270.03M | -126.17M | -160.10M |
| Financing Cash Flow | -371.39M | 6.10M | -67.98M | 67.18M | 176.86M |
Vault Minerals Limited Technical Analysis
Negative
6.95
Price Trends
6.22
Negative
5.60
Negative
5.24
Positive
Market Momentum
-0.19
Positive
42.10
Neutral
34.86
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For AU:VAU, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 6.95 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 5.80, above the 50-day MA of 6.22, and above the 200-day MA of 5.24, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.19 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 42.10 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 34.86 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for AU:VAU.
Vault Minerals Limited Peers Comparison
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Name | Overall Rating | Market Cap | P/E Ratio | ROE | Dividend Yield | Revenue Growth | EPS Growth |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
78 Outperform | AU$4.94B | 6.87 | 35.03% | 2.94% | 42.59% | 180.54% | |
78 Outperform | AU$6.19B | 21.79 | 20.93% | 0.74% | 44.67% | 70.20% | |
77 Outperform | AU$6.77B | 57.75 | 3.01% | 1.67% | -14.16% | -84.78% | |
76 Outperform | AU$5.75B | 21.11 | 13.62% | 1.24% | 34.53% | 18.01% | |
73 Outperform | AU$5.04B | 11.66 | 19.72% | 1.87% | 79.44% | 1173.17% | |
72 Outperform | AU$7.84B | 12.99 | 33.52% | 0.75% | 89.36% | 165.30% | |
61 Neutral | $10.43B | 7.12 | -0.05% | 2.87% | 2.86% | -36.73% |
* Basic Materials Sector Average
AU:VAU
Vault Minerals Limited
5.56
1.14
25.71%
AU:RRL
Regis Resources Limited
6.51
0.64
10.88%
AU:RMS
Ramelius Resources Limited
3.59
0.36
11.18%
AU:WGX
Westgold Resources
5.36
0.40
8.06%
AU:GMD
Genesis Minerals Limited
6.67
1.06
19.00%
AU:CMM
Capricorn Metals Ltd
13.54
1.21
9.86%
Vault Minerals Limited Corporate Events
Vault Minerals Lodges Updated Governance Statement with ASX
Oct 27, 2026
Vault Minerals Limited operates in the mining sector, focusing on mineral exploration and development and is listed on the ASX. The company’s governance framework is structured around ASX Corporate Governance Council principles, with board c...
Vault Minerals Strengthens Governance Framework to Support Growth
Oct 27, 2026
Vault Minerals Limited is an ASX-listed mining company headquartered in South Perth, concentrating on mineral operations and exploration. Its board blends executive and independent non-executive directors with deep experience in mining, geology, e...
Vault Minerals Releases 2026 Annual Report Detailing Governance, ESG and Financial Performance
Oct 27, 2026
Vault Minerals Limited has released its 2026 Annual Report, providing shareholders with a comprehensive overview of the company’s governance, operational resources and reserves, ESG initiatives, climate-related disclosures, and detailed fina...
Vault Minerals Sends Scheme Booklet as Genesis Merger Advances
Oct 14, 2026
Vault Minerals Limited has completed dispatch of its scheme booklet to shareholders, outlining the proposed merger under which Genesis Minerals Limited would acquire all Vault shares via a scheme of arrangement. Shareholders have been sent either ...
Macquarie Group Exits Substantial Holder Position in Vault Minerals
Oct 8, 2026
Macquarie Group Limited and a wide range of its controlled entities have filed notice that they have ceased to be substantial holders in Vault Minerals Limited, in line with Australian Corporations Act disclosure rules. The filing lists Macquarie ...
Vault Minerals Advances Genesis Merger as Scheme Booklet Cleared
Oct 6, 2026
Vault Minerals has taken a key step in its proposed merger with Genesis Minerals by securing Australian Securities and Investments Commission registration of its scheme booklet, paving the way for shareholders to vote on Genesis acquiring all Vaul...
Court Clears Next Steps for Vault Minerals–Genesis Merger Scheme
Oct 5, 2026
The Supreme Court of Western Australia has approved the convening of a shareholder meeting and the dispatch of a scheme booklet for Vault Minerals’ proposed merger with Genesis Minerals, under which Genesis would acquire all Vault shares via...
UBS Group AG Drops Below Substantial Holder Threshold in Vault Minerals
Sep 24, 2026
UBS Group AG and its related bodies corporate have ceased to be a substantial shareholder in Vault Minerals Limited as of 22 September 2026, according to a Form 605 notice lodged under Section 671B of the Corporations Law. The change reflects a re...
Vault Minerals Completes AUD 53.9m On-Market Share Buy-Back
Sep 7, 2026
Vault Minerals Limited has confirmed the completion of its on-market share buy-back program for its ordinary fully paid shares, providing a final notification to the Australian Securities Exchange. The program forms part of the company’s cap...
Vault Minerals Trims Future Dilution as Performance Rights Lapse
Sep 2, 2026
Vault Minerals Limited has notified the market of the cessation of a tranche of performance rights from its issued capital, with a total of 209,484 VAUAA performance rights lapsing in August and September 2026. The rights expired after the conditi...
Vault Clears ACCC Hurdle in Genesis Merger Push
Aug 27, 2026
Vault Minerals has reported that the Australian Competition and Consumer Commission has confirmed its proposed merger with Genesis Minerals does not require formal notification, satisfying a key regulatory approval condition. The scheme of arrange...
Vault Minerals posts surge in FY26 profits and cash as it accelerates growth and Genesis merger
Aug 20, 2026
Vault Minerals reported a transformational FY26, delivering group gold production of 336,540 ounces and sales of 334,904 ounces, with revenue rising 31% to $1.88 billion and underlying EBITDA up 54% to $953.3 million. Underlying net profit before ...
Vault Minerals lifts revenue and profit, introduces interim dividend
Aug 20, 2026
Vault Minerals Limited reported a strong increase in revenue from ordinary activities for the year ended 30 June 2026, with sales rising 35% to A$1.93 billion. Net profit attributable to members rose 17% to A$278.4 million, while net tangible asse...
Macquarie Group Ceases to Be Substantial Holder in Vault Minerals
Jul 31, 2026
Macquarie Group Limited and a wide range of its controlled entities have lodged a notice that they have ceased to be a substantial holder in Vault Minerals Limited. The filing, signed by Macquarie Group Company Secretary Simone Kovacic and dated 3...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Disclaimer
This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.