tiprankstipranks
Tribeca Global Natural Resources Ltd. (AU:TGF)
ASX:TGF
Australian Market
Want to see AU:TGF full AI Analyst Report?

Tribeca Global Natural Resources Ltd. (TGF) AI Stock Analysis

4 Followers

Top Page

AU:TGF

Tribeca Global Natural Resources Ltd.

(Sydney:TGF)

Select Model
Select Model
Select Model
Outperform 71 (OpenAI - Gpt-5.6Sol)
Rating:71Outperform
Price Target:
AU$3.00
â–²(5.26% Upside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:09/06/26
The score is driven by an attractive valuation (very low P/E and high dividend yield) and supportive technical trend (price above major moving averages with positive MACD). The main offset is financial performance risk: despite a strong, low-debt balance sheet, earnings and revenue are highly volatile and cash flow conversion is weak and inconsistent.
Positive Factors
Conservative balance sheet
Zero reported debt across FY2022–FY2026 and equity of about 227.5M against 382.2M of assets provide a durable capital buffer. Low leverage reduces refinancing and interest pressure, helping the portfolio withstand resource-market drawdowns and preserve flexibility for distributions or reinvestment.
Negative Factors
Highly volatile revenue
The sharp FY2026 revenue decline and wide year-to-year swings make the earnings base difficult to forecast. Such variability can affect distributable income, investor confidence and the consistency of shareholder returns, even when individual portfolio positions perform strongly.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Conservative balance sheet
Zero reported debt across FY2022–FY2026 and equity of about 227.5M against 382.2M of assets provide a durable capital buffer. Low leverage reduces refinancing and interest pressure, helping the portfolio withstand resource-market drawdowns and preserve flexibility for distributions or reinvestment.
Read all positive factors

Tribeca Global Natural Resources Ltd. (TGF) vs. iShares MSCI Australia ETF (EWA)

Tribeca Global Natural Resources Ltd. Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Operating as an investment company, Tribeca Global Natural Resources Limited focuses its activities on infrastructure projects and is based in Sydney, New South Wales, Australia....
How the Company Makes Money
TGF does not earn revenue from selling products or providing operating services in the natural-resources industry; instead, it makes money primarily through investment returns generated by its portfolio. Its economic results typically come from (1...

Tribeca Global Natural Resources Ltd. Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Balance sheet strength (no reported debt in FY2022–FY2026 and meaningful equity base) supports financial resilience, but operating results are volatile with large revenue inconsistency (FY2026 revenue down ~86.6% YoY) and weak/uneven cash generation (FY2026 operating cash flow only ~10% of net income; prior years meaningfully negative).
Income Statement
52
Neutral
Balance Sheet
83
Very Positive
Cash Flow
46
Neutral
BreakdownTTMJun 2025Jun 2025Jun 2024Jun 2023Jun 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue30.84M4.15M20.23M-2.40M7.04M52.51M
Gross Profit13.87M138.34M20.23M-10.94M-3.40M36.91M
EBITDA128.31M0.0017.02M-14.38M12.06M-18.73M
Net Income84.84M75.94M5.02M-9.59M7.63M-11.82M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets293.18M382.19M248.21M239.63M318.20M279.32M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments281.66M302.52M163.93M204.03M297.82M181.95M
Total Debt0.000.000.000.000.000.00
Total Liabilities68.42M154.66M78.97M75.40M140.82M134.80M
Stockholders Equity224.76M227.53M169.25M164.23M177.38M144.52M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-8.46M14.78M-15.63M24.08M-23.33M-11.82M
Operating Cash Flow-8.46M14.78M-15.63M24.08M-23.33M-11.82M
Investing Cash Flow0.000.000.000.000.000.00
Financing Cash Flow-13.98M-17.66M0.00-3.56M25.22M0.00

Tribeca Global Natural Resources Ltd. Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price2.85
Price Trends
50DMA
2.52
Positive
100DMA
2.56
Positive
200DMA
2.50
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.09
Negative
RSI
68.44
Neutral
STOCH
33.65
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For AU:TGF, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 2.85 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 2.69, above the 50-day MA of 2.52, and above the 200-day MA of 2.50, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.09 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 68.44 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 33.65 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for AU:TGF.

Tribeca Global Natural Resources Ltd. Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (68)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
71
Outperform
AU$248.83M2.9333.58%5.19%―1457.14%
68
Neutral
$18.00B11.429.92%3.81%9.73%1.22%
67
Neutral
AU$1.45B45.422.41%1.89%2.27%-84.63%
67
Neutral
AU$1.79B6.4819.98%3.92%―40.23%
61
Neutral
AU$43.46M6.8010.39%5.04%296.18%-17.85%
59
Neutral
AU$729.99M-20.65-4.16%8.42%-123.14%-133.85%
46
Neutral
AU$32.39M-24.43-3.10%―-137.88%-267.38%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
AU:TGF
Tribeca Global Natural Resources Ltd.
2.89
1.33
85.61%
AU:NGI
Navigator Global Investments Ltd
2.37
0.25
12.06%
AU:PGF
PM Capital Global Opportunities Fund Ltd.
3.24
0.61
23.01%
AU:GFL
Global Masters Fund Limited
2.87
-0.97
-25.26%
AU:FPC
Fat Prophets Global Contrarian Fund Ltd.
1.36
0.07
5.34%
AU:WGB
WAM Global Ltd.
2.03
-0.36
-15.17%

Tribeca Global Natural Resources Ltd. Corporate Events

Tribeca Global Natural Resources appoints Timothy Lindley as new chairman
Aug 31, 2026
Tribeca Global Natural Resources Ltd. has appointed veteran investment banker Timothy Lindley as Non-Executive Director and Independent Chairman, effective immediately, following the resignation of Rebecca O’Dwyer from the same role. The boa...
Tribeca Global Natural Resources posts indicative NTA update for late August
Aug 31, 2026
Tribeca Global Natural Resources Limited has released an indicative update on its net tangible asset backing per share as at 28 August 2026, reporting an estimated pre-tax NTA of $3.86 and post-tax NTA of $3.32 on 73,693,826 shares on issue. The c...
Tribeca Global Natural Resources Affirms ASX Governance Compliance for 2026
Aug 28, 2026
Tribeca Global Natural Resources Ltd. has confirmed that its corporate governance statement for the year ended 30 June 2026 is current and has been approved by the board. The statement is published on the company’s website, satisfying ASX Li...
Tribeca Global Natural Resources Declares AUD 0.10 Interim Dividend
Aug 28, 2026
Tribeca Global Natural Resources Ltd., an ASX-listed investment company focused on global natural resources assets through its ordinary fully paid TGF shares, aims to deliver returns via active portfolio management in commodities and related secto...
Tribeca Global Natural Resources posts surge in profit and lifts dividend
Aug 27, 2026
Tribeca Global Natural Resources reported a sharp jump in performance for the year to 30 June 2026, with revenue from ordinary activities surging to $138.3 million from $20.2 million a year earlier. Profit from ordinary activities climbed to $109....
Tribeca Global Natural Resources Issues Indicative NTA Update for August
Aug 24, 2026
Tribeca Global Natural Resources has released an updated estimate of its net tangible asset backing per share as at 21 August 2026, reporting a pre-tax NTA of $3.78 and a post-tax NTA of $3.29 based on 73,693,826 shares on issue. The company stres...
Tribeca Global Natural Resources Posts Indicative Mid-August NTA Estimate
Aug 17, 2026
Tribeca Global Natural Resources Ltd. has released an estimated net tangible asset backing per ordinary share as at 14 August 2026, with a pre-tax NTA of $3.45 and a post-tax NTA of $3.06 based on 73,693,826 shares on issue. The company emphasised...
Tribeca Global Natural Resources Posts July NTA Update Amid Volatile Returns
Aug 14, 2026
Tribeca Global Natural Resources Ltd. reported its monthly net tangible asset statement and investment update for 31 July 2026, showing a share price of $2.34 against a pre-tax NTA per share of $3.0339 and post-tax NTA of $2.7710. The update highl...
Tribeca Global Natural Resources posts indicative NTA update for early August
Aug 10, 2026
Tribeca Global Natural Resources Limited has released an estimated net tangible asset backing per ordinary share as at 7 August 2026, reporting a pre-tax NTA of $3.40 and a post-tax NTA of $3.03, based on 73,693,826 shares on issue. The company no...
Tribeca Global Natural Resources Posts Estimated July NTA Per Share
Aug 3, 2026
Tribeca Global Natural Resources Limited has released an estimated net tangible asset backing per ordinary share as at 31 July 2026, reporting $3.03 pre tax and $2.77 post tax based on 73,693,826 shares on issue. The figures are provided net of fe...
Tribeca Global Natural Resources posts interim NTA estimate for July
Jul 27, 2026
Tribeca Global Natural Resources Ltd. has released an estimated net tangible asset backing per ordinary share as at 24 July 2026, indicating a pre-tax NTA of $3.09 and a post-tax NTA of $2.81 based on 73,693,826 shares on issue. These figures are ...
Tribeca Global Natural Resources posts strong FYTD gains despite June setback
Jul 14, 2026
Tribeca Global Natural Resources has reported a pre-tax net tangible asset backing of $3.486 per share and a post-tax NTA of $3.0875 as at 30 June 2026, compared with a share price of $2.60. While the fund recorded a negative pre-tax return of 5.6...
Tribeca Global Natural Resources Releases Indicative Mid-July NTA Per Share
Jul 13, 2026
Tribeca Global Natural Resources Limited has released an estimate of its net tangible asset backing per share as at 10 July 2026, reporting an indicative pre-tax NTA of $3.38 and a post-tax NTA of $3.03 based on 73,693,826 ordinary shares on issue...
Tribeca Global Natural Resources Posts Indicative July NTA Per Share
Jul 6, 2026
Tribeca Global Natural Resources Ltd. reported an estimated net tangible asset backing of $3.55 per share pre-tax and $3.14 per share post-tax as of 3 July 2026, based on 73,693,826 shares on issue. The company emphasised that these figures are in...
Tribeca Global Natural Resources posts estimated NTA per share for late June
Jun 29, 2026
Tribeca Global Natural Resources Ltd. reported an estimated net tangible asset backing per ordinary share of $3.31 pre-tax and $2.99 post-tax as at 26 June 2026, based on 73,693,826 shares on issue. These figures are indicative, derived from previ...
Tribeca Global Natural Resources Issues Mid-June Estimated NTA Update
Jun 22, 2026
Tribeca Global Natural Resources Limited has released an estimated net tangible asset backing per ordinary share as at 19 June 2026, indicating a pre-tax NTA of $3.60 and a post-tax NTA of $3.18 based on 73,693,826 shares on issue. The company emp...
Tribeca Global Natural Resources posts indicative early-June NTA update
Jun 9, 2026
Tribeca Global Natural Resources Limited has released an updated estimate of its net tangible assets backing per ordinary share as at 5 June 2026, putting pre-tax NTA at $3.64 and post-tax NTA at $3.19, based on 73,693,826 shares on issue. The fig...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Sep 06, 2026