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Stockland
(Sydney:SGP)
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Rating:64Neutral
Price Target:
AU$4.50
▼(-17.88% Downside)
Action:Downgraded
Date:04/03/26
The score is supported by solid financial performance and attractive income/valuation (high dividend yield and modest P/E). These positives are tempered by notably weak technicals, with the stock in a clear downtrend and bearish momentum despite oversold readings.
Positive Factors
Diversified earnings mix
Stockland's dual model of residential development plus recurring rental and property‑management income creates durable cash flow diversification. Recurring rents (including CPI‑linked escalations) smooth earnings while development projects offer higher-margin upside when housing demand normalises, supporting stability over months.
Negative Factors
Residential cyclicality
A meaningful portion of earnings depends on residential settlements and development margins, which are sensitive to housing demand, interest rates and project timing. This structural cyclicality can produce multi‑month swings in profit recognition and cash flow, complicating steady earnings delivery.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Diversified earnings mix
Stockland's dual model of residential development plus recurring rental and property‑management income creates durable cash flow diversification. Recurring rents (including CPI‑linked escalations) smooth earnings while development projects offer higher-margin upside when housing demand normalises, supporting stability over months.
Read all positive factors
Stockland (SGP) vs. iShares MSCI Australia ETF (EWA)
Market Cap
AU$10.49B
Dividend Yield4.29%
Average Volume (3M)6.56M
Price to Earnings (P/E)11.8
Beta (1Y)0.92
Revenue Growth9.71%
EPS Growth93.78%
CountryAU
Employees1,600
SectorReal Estate
Sector Strength53
IndustryREIT - Diversified
Share Statistics
EPS (TTM)0.36
Shares Outstanding2,431,644,000
10 Day Avg. Volume7,109,613
30 Day Avg. Volume6,560,095
Financial Highlights & Ratios
PEG Ratio0.09
Price to Book (P/B)1.26
Price to Sales (P/S)4.09
P/FCF Ratio39.36
Enterprise Value/Market CapN/A
Enterprise Value/RevenueN/A
Enterprise Value/Gross ProfitN/A
Enterprise Value/EbitdaN/A
Forecast
1Y Price Target
AU$5.11Price Target Upside-6.75% Downside
Rating ConsensusModerate Buy
Number of Analyst Covering7
EPS Forecast (FY)0.35
Revenue Forecast (FY)AU$1.22B
Stockland Business Overview & Revenue Model
Company Description
Established in 1952, Stockland (ASX:SGP) has evolved into one of Australia's premier diversified property developers, owners, and managers. The company oversees a substantial portfolio encompassing bustling retail hubs, vibrant residential communi...
How the Company Makes Money
Stockland generates earnings from a mix of development profits and recurring property income. (1) Residential development: The company sells residential land lots in master‑planned communities and, where applicable, completed housing product; reve...
Stockland Financial Statement Overview
Summary
Income Statement
75
Positive
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
Cash Flow
68
Positive
| Breakdown | TTM | Jun 2025 | Jun 2024 | Jun 2023 | Jun 2022 | Jun 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Income Statement | ||||||
| Total Revenue | 3.37B | 3.13B | 2.99B | 2.81B | 2.81B | 2.73B |
| Gross Profit | 1.51B | 1.22B | 1.18B | 862.00M | 760.00M | 1.07B |
| EBITDA | 894.00M | 1.00B | 701.00M | 614.00M | 755.00M | 1.19B |
| Net Income | 873.00M | 826.00M | 305.00M | 440.00M | 1.38B | 1.10B |
Balance Sheet | ||||||
| Total Assets | 18.79B | 17.74B | 17.06B | 16.64B | 20.41B | 19.30B |
| Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments | 470.00M | 647.00M | 807.00M | 306.00M | 399.00M | 1.29B |
| Total Debt | 5.67B | 5.18B | 4.77B | 3.95B | 4.51B | 4.79B |
| Total Liabilities | 8.44B | 7.56B | 7.17B | 6.46B | 10.05B | 9.72B |
| Stockholders Equity | 10.35B | 10.19B | 9.89B | 10.18B | 10.36B | 9.58B |
Cash Flow | ||||||
| Free Cash Flow | 198.00M | 325.00M | 110.00M | 309.00M | 896.00M | 1.03B |
| Operating Cash Flow | 200.00M | 328.00M | 114.00M | 332.00M | 918.00M | 1.05B |
| Investing Cash Flow | -151.00M | -139.00M | 101.00M | 763.00M | -976.00M | 95.00M |
| Financing Cash Flow | -179.00M | -261.00M | 233.00M | -1.22B | -705.00M | -423.00M |
Stockland Technical Analysis
Positive
5.48
Price Trends
4.07
Positive
4.38
Negative
5.16
Negative
Market Momentum
0.06
Negative
59.94
Neutral
45.17
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For AU:SGP, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 5.48 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 4.09, above the 50-day MA of 4.07, and above the 200-day MA of 5.16, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.06 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 59.94 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 45.17 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for AU:SGP.
Stockland Peers Comparison
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (65)
Name | Overall Rating | Market Cap | P/E Ratio | ROE | Dividend Yield | Revenue Growth | EPS Growth |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
70 Outperform | AU$11.17B | 20.39 | 19.38% | 1.97% | 18.04% | 71.29% | |
69 Neutral | AU$9.87B | 11.67 | 7.84% | 4.41% | 3.78% | ― | |
65 Neutral | $2.17B | 12.19 | 3.79% | 4.94% | 3.15% | 1.96% | |
65 Neutral | AU$65.45B | 39.13 | 7.19% | 1.02% | 1.76% | 73.69% | |
64 Neutral | AU$10.49B | 11.76 | 8.50% | 4.29% | 9.71% | 93.78% | |
57 Neutral | AU$924.94M | 42.46 | 0.74% | 7.11% | 4.64% | ― | |
56 Neutral | AU$6.18B | 12.55 | 4.78% | 5.32% | -1.07% | ― |
* Real Estate Sector Average
AU:SGP
Stockland
4.17
-0.91
-17.90%
AU:CHC
Charter Hall Group
23.12
4.33
23.04%
AU:DXS
Dexus
5.52
-0.75
-11.96%
AU:GMG
Goodman Group
32.10
-1.82
-5.35%
AU:GPT
GPT Group
4.97
0.35
7.53%
AU:ABG
Abacus Property Group
1.02
-0.06
-5.64%
Stockland Corporate Events
Stockland Forms 50/50 Venture With EdgeConneX to Build Australian Data Centres
Mar 2, 2026
Stockland has established Stockland EdgeConneX, a 50/50 partnership with global data centre specialist EdgeConneX, to develop, own and operate an Australian portfolio of data centres. The venture will utilise Stockland’s landholdings and dev...
Stockland Updates Half‑Year Distribution Details and Confirms DRP Price
Jan 27, 2026
Stockland has updated its previously announced distribution details for the six‑month period ending 31 December 2025, relating to its fully paid stapled securities. The latest filing, dated 28 January 2026, confirms an amendment to the earli...
Stockland Reports Lapse of 311,934 Performance Rights
Jan 11, 2026
Stockland has notified the ASX of the cessation of 311,934 performance rights (SGPAA), which lapsed on 31 December 2025 because the conditions attached to those rights were not met or became incapable of being satisfied. The lapse reduces the pool...
Stockland to Issue 3.8 Million Unquoted Performance Rights Under Incentive Plan
Jan 11, 2026
Stockland has notified the market of the planned issue of 3,805,255 unquoted performance rights under its employee incentive scheme, scheduled for 16 October 2025. The new performance rights, which will not be quoted on the ASX, form part of Stock...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Disclaimer
This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.