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VGI Partners Ltd. (AU:RPL)
ASX:RPL
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VGI Partners Ltd. (RPL) AI Stock Analysis

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AU:RPL

VGI Partners Ltd.

(Sydney:RPL)

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Outperform 82 (OpenAI - Gpt-5.6Sol)
Rating:82Outperform
Price Target:
AU$3.00
▲(5.63% Upside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:08/06/26
The score is led by strong financial performance (improving profitability, low leverage, and solid cash conversion) and supportive valuation (low P/E and high dividend yield). Technicals contribute less positively due to mixed momentum despite the price trading above key moving averages.
Positive Factors
Revenue and Margin Expansion
The sharp 2025 revenue increase combined with materially higher margins indicates strong operating improvement and better earnings conversion. If profitability remains elevated, the company should have greater capacity to reinvest, support distributions, and strengthen its competitive position over the next several quarters.
Negative Factors
Cyclical Earnings Profile
The substantial variation in revenue and profitability shows that RPL’s earnings are not consistently stable across the cycle. Such volatility can make budgeting, distributions, and reinvestment harder to plan, while weaker market or performance periods may materially reduce earnings over several quarters.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Revenue and Margin Expansion
The sharp 2025 revenue increase combined with materially higher margins indicates strong operating improvement and better earnings conversion. If profitability remains elevated, the company should have greater capacity to reinvest, support distributions, and strengthen its competitive position over the next several quarters.
Read all positive factors

VGI Partners Ltd. (RPL) vs. iShares MSCI Australia ETF (EWA)

VGI Partners Ltd. Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Regal Partners Limited is an ASX-listed specialist alternative investment manager. It manages a range of investment strategies covering hedge funds, growth equity, real & natural assets and credit & royalties on behalf of institutions, family offi...
How the Company Makes Money
RPL primarily makes money by charging investment management fees for managing investor capital in its funds and investment vehicles. These fees are typically calculated as a percentage of funds under management (FUM) and accrue as recurring revenu...

VGI Partners Ltd. Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Strong overall fundamentals driven by sharply higher 2025 revenue (+52%) and materially improved margins, supported by conservative leverage (debt-to-equity ~0.07) and cash flows that broadly track earnings. Key risk is cyclicality/volatility in revenue and earnings (notably the 2023 trough), which can create swings in returns.
Income Statement
86
Very Positive
Balance Sheet
90
Very Positive
Cash Flow
84
Very Positive
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue470.71M369.03M253.20M104.45M84.18M150.01M
Gross Profit426.42M325.66M223.17M40.26M74.88M98.76M
EBITDA276.38M203.82M119.83M25.64M25.02M87.74M
Net Income198.35M130.55M66.24M1.60M11.62M42.71M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets1.17B1.11B949.22M689.25M486.62M168.36M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments239.35M180.23M95.22M211.72M213.46M51.73M
Total Debt32.71M65.13M7.95M46.05M4.51M5.92M
Total Liabilities177.61M164.10M95.21M110.48M50.68M89.58M
Stockholders Equity981.54M943.97M850.42M575.57M432.13M134.56M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow166.88M71.11M51.44M15.39M28.64M45.78M
Operating Cash Flow167.47M72.34M52.27M16.12M31.49M46.01M
Investing Cash Flow-8.06M2.85M72.14M-49.55M-53.86M1.62M
Financing Cash Flow-107.46M-66.20M-90.77M10.63M45.55M-38.99M

VGI Partners Ltd. Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price2.84
Price Trends
50DMA
2.75
Negative
100DMA
2.61
Negative
200DMA
2.68
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.07
Positive
RSI
36.02
Neutral
STOCH
8.44
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For AU:RPL, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 2.84 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 2.68, above the 50-day MA of 2.75, and above the 200-day MA of 2.68, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.07 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 36.02 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 8.44 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for AU:RPL.

VGI Partners Ltd. Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (68)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
82
Outperform
AU$967.23M4.9020.60%11.02%97.07%327.59%
77
Outperform
AU$7.13B27.853.80%4.07%2.17%0.68%
71
Outperform
AU$2.55B17.488.75%7.44%-17.31%-45.44%
71
Outperform
AU$2.20B24.165.64%5.71%-16.00%
70
Outperform
AU$3.27B18.0616.92%4.20%22.38%22.74%
68
Neutral
$18.00B11.429.92%3.81%9.73%1.22%
56
Neutral
AU$1.01B47.104.22%4.10%42.16%-48.90%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
AU:RPL
VGI Partners Ltd.
2.45
-0.14
-5.26%
AU:MFG
Magellan Financial Group Ltd
8.74
-0.82
-8.54%
AU:PPT
Perpetual Limited
19.09
0.44
2.36%
AU:ARG
Argo Investments Limited
9.47
0.43
4.71%
AU:PNI
Pinnacle Investment Management Group Limited
14.27
-4.30
-23.15%
AU:MAF
MA Financial Group Limited
5.36
-3.72
-40.94%

VGI Partners Ltd. Corporate Events

Regal Partners Updates Market on Director Brendan O’Connor’s Equity Interests
Sep 4, 2026
Regal Partners has reported a change in the interests of director Brendan O’Connor, reflecting a detailed mix of direct and indirect holdings in fully paid ordinary shares and performance-based rights. His indirect interests are held via fam...
Regal Partners to List 2.5 Million New Shares on ASX
Sep 3, 2026
Regal Partners Limited has applied for quotation on the ASX of 2,545,836 new ordinary fully paid shares, which are scheduled to be issued on 4 September 2026. The additional securities arise from the exercise or conversion of existing options or o...
Regal Partners CIO Philip King Begins Staged Transition to Retirement
Aug 23, 2026
Regal Partners has announced that Philip King, Chief Investment Officer for Long Short Equities, will begin a staged transition to retirement while remaining in his current roles until at least 30 June 2027. King, who directly manages about 16% of...
Regal Partners’ Profit Surges on Record Inflows as Governance Overhaul Looms
Aug 23, 2026
Regal Partners reported a sharp increase in profitability for the first half of 2026, with normalised net profit after tax more than doubling year-on-year and statutory profit climbing 258%, driven by strong performance fees and steady growth in m...
Regal Partners Declares Interim Dividend and Confirms Equal Participation of PM Capital Converting Shares
Aug 23, 2026
Regal Partners Limited has declared an interim dividend of AUD 0.12 per ordinary fully paid share for the six-month period ended 30 June 2026, with an ex-dividend date of 28 August, a record date of 31 August, and payment due on 30 September. The ...
Regal Partners Files Half-Year Appendix 4D and Interim Report
Aug 23, 2026
Regal Partners Limited has lodged its Appendix 4D for the half year ended 30 June 2026 with the ASX. The filing is accompanied by an Interim Financial Report that includes the Directors’ Report to shareholders and condensed consolidated fina...
Regal Partners Refines Profit Metrics Ahead of 1H26 Results
Aug 14, 2026
Regal Partners Limited has introduced a revised Normalised profit presentation ahead of reporting its first-half 2026 results, separating management and loan fee pre-tax profit from performance fee pre-tax profit to better highlight key drivers of...
Regal Partners schedules 1H26 results briefing for investors
Aug 3, 2026
Regal Partners Limited, an ASX-listed alternative investment manager with over $21 billion in funds under management, offers hedge funds, credit and royalties, growth equity, and real and natural asset strategies to a broad base of institutional a...
Macquarie Group Exits Substantial Holding in Regal Partners
Jul 24, 2026
Macquarie Group Limited and its controlled entities have lodged a notice stating they have ceased to be a substantial holder in Regal Partners Limited. The filing, made under Australian corporations law, indicates a reduction in Macquarie’s ...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Aug 06, 2026