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Ridley Corporation Limited (RIC) AI Stock Analysis

AU:RIC

Ridley Corporation Limited

(ASX:RIC)

Select Model
Rating:54Neutral
Price Target:AUD 3.00â–²(11.94% Upside)
Action:downgraded
Date:08/21/26

The score is held back primarily by weaker financial quality (margin compression, lower earnings, and a materially more leveraged balance sheet) and a high P/E valuation. These are partially offset by constructive FY27 guidance and a technically strong uptrend with positive momentum.

Positive Factors
Acquisition-Driven Earnings ExpansionThe fertilizers acquisition has materially expanded Ridley’s earnings base and diversified operations. Its first nine-month contribution provides a platform for further growth as the business receives a full-year benefit and integration efficiencies mature.
Negative Factors
Higher Leverage and Finance CostsThe acquisition shifted Ridley from net cash to material net debt and substantially increased finance costs. Although liquidity headroom remains available, higher leverage reduces financial flexibility and makes future earnings more sensitive to operating underperformance.

Ridley Corporation Limited (RIC) vs. iShares MSCI Australia ETF (EWA)

-20%-10%0%10%20%AU:RIC-5.37%EWA+13.51%Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26
Market Cap
AUD 704.72M
Dividend Yield
3.78%
Average Volume (3M)
779.41K
Price to Earnings (P/E)
36.7
Beta (1Y)
1.00
Revenue Growth
119.88%
EPS Growth
-45.11%
Country
Australia
Employees
613
Sector
Consumer Defensive
Sector Strength
62
Industry
Packaged Foods

Ridley Corporation Limited Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Ridley Corporation Limited, an Australian enterprise, specializes in offering extensive animal nutrition solutions. Its operations are divided into two main segments: Packaged Feeds and Ingredients, and Bulk Stockfeeds. The company provides a diverse...

How the Company Makes Money

RIC primarily makes money by selling manufactured animal feed and animal nutrition products to agricultural customers. Its revenue model is largely volume-driven: it procures feed ingredients (commodities and additives), processes them into formulate...

Ridley Corporation Limited Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Aug 18, 2026(Q4-2026)|% Change Since:-8.69%|Next Earnings Date:Feb 23, 2027
Earnings Call SentimentPositive

The call emphasized strong, acquisition-driven earnings growth and solid cash generation (61.8% EBITDA growth, EPS +18%, fertilizer EBITDA contribution), successful integration steps and several operational wins (volume growth in Bulk, private-label gains in Packaged Feeds). Offsetting negatives include an $11.4M decline in Packaged & Ingredients EBITDA due to operational issues, a $28.7M NovaqPro impairment, one-off acquisition/integration costs and a move from net cash to $296M net debt with higher finance costs. Management presented a constructive FY'27 outlook with expected earnings growth across segments, ongoing integration synergies and a maintained dividend policy, indicating confidence in delivering accretion from the acquisition despite near-term headwinds.

Positive Updates

Strong EBITDA Growth
Underlying EBITDA increased 61.8% year-on-year to $157.8 million in FY'26, driven by the nine-month contribution from the acquired fertilizers business and earnings growth in Bulk Stockfeeds and Packaged Feeds.

Negative Updates

Packaged & Ingredients Earnings Decline
Packaged and Ingredients delivered EBITDA of $51.6 million, down $11.4 million year-on-year. Operational disruptions (Maroota dam reconstruction and Timaru greenfield commissioning/design issues) and lower ovine raw material availability were the primary drivers.

Company Guidance

Guidance: Ridley expects group earnings growth in FY27 in each segment — driven by a full‑year contribution from Fertilisers, volume growth and higher capacity utilisation in Bulk Stockfeeds, and operational recovery plus a better commodity outlook in Packaged & Ingredients — and will continue its capital allocation framework targeting a dividend payout ratio of 50–70% of NPAT. Key metrics and assumptions: FY26 EBITDA was $157.8m (Fertilisers 9‑month EBITDA $72.2m; Bulk $50.3m; Packaged & Ingredients $51.6m), underlying EPS $0.163 (up 18%), operating cash flow $122m (including $40m one‑offs), headline leverage 0.85x at 30 June (net debt $296m versus prior net cash $64m) with $444m liquidity headroom and a target leverage range of 1–2x, capex $67m (growth capex $23m), maintenance/ESG capex reset to 80–100% of depreciation, expected normalized tax rate ~26–30%, integration/IT program $30m ( $13.3m spent in FY26) delivering ~$7m IT synergies over two years plus ~$8m headcount savings in FY27 and $5–10m procurement savings by FY28; FY26 included an ISI net charge of $4.8m after tax and a NovaqPro non‑cash write‑off of $28.7m after tax.

Ridley Corporation Limited Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Despite a large FY2026 revenue step-up, profitability deteriorated (net margin ~1.0% vs ~3.3% prior year) and earnings declined. Balance sheet risk rose materially with sharply higher debt and weaker ROE (~5.5%). Cash flow remains positive (OCF ~A$122m; FCF ~A$54m) but FCF fell year over year and conversion quality softened.

Income Statement

56Neutral

Balance Sheet

35Negative

Cash Flow

40Negative
Financial statement breakdown
BreakdownTTMJun 2026Jun 2025Jun 2024Jun 2023Jun 2022
Income Statement
Total Revenue2.86B2.86B1.30B1.26B1.26B1.05B
Gross Profit216.88M216.04M121.20M115.94M111.36M99.56M
EBITDA149.68M149.68M92.99M90.37M88.90M89.08M
Net Income27.57M27.57M43.32M39.85M41.83M42.43M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets1.98B1.98B734.55M664.38M617.70M607.37M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments251.57M251.57M84.67M34.20M43.02M27.08M
Total Debt761.12M761.12M94.17M98.29M81.17M61.79M
Total Liabilities1.49B1.49B276.44M341.26M302.31M291.34M
Stockholders Equity498.72M498.72M458.12M323.12M315.39M316.03M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow53.72M53.72M34.00M74.19M43.75M22.79M
Operating Cash Flow122.41M122.41M68.26M105.06M78.52M46.59M
Investing Cash Flow-412.19M-412.19M-28.57M-86.17M-34.77M36.36M
Financing Cash Flow456.68M456.68M10.78M-27.71M-28.37M-95.78M

Ridley Corporation Limited Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform
Sector (62)

Financial Indicators

AU:RIC against its peers
NameOverall RatingMarket CapP/E RatioROEDividend YieldRevenue GrowthEPS Growth
AU:CLVAU:CLV77OutperformAUD 167.00M15.9713.83%2.42%13.26%49.05%
AU:SHVAU:SHV70OutperformAUD 576.18M19.315.52%0.85%-5.67%-9.70%
Sector *62Neutral$20.33B14.63-3.31%3.23%1.93%-12.26%
AU:BGAAU:BGA56NeutralAUD 1.92B35.765.46%2.31%6.66%―
AU:RICAU:RIC54NeutralAUD 1.00B36.715.30%3.78%119.88%-45.11%
AU:NOUAU:NOU49NeutralAUD 33.25M-0.5113.40%―8.82%55.22%
AU:AHFAU:AHF45NeutralAUD 12.97M-4.21-12.90%―0.46%46.48%

* Consumer Defensive Sector Average

Performance Comparison

-50%-25%0%25%50%AU:RICAU:SHVAU:NOUAU:AHFAU:BGAAU:CLVDec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26
AU:RIC and its peers over the selected period
Show on chartTickerCompany NamePriceChange% Change
AU:RICRidley Corporation Limited2.68-0.15-5.37%
AU:SHVSelect Harvests Limited4.100.318.29%
AU:NOUNoumi Limited0.12-0.02-14.29%
AU:AHFAustralian Dairy Nutritionals Group0.02-0.02-54.29%
AU:BGABega Cheese Limited6.291.0520.06%
AU:CLVClover Corporation Limited1.000.3450.60%

Ridley Corporation Limited Corporate Events

Ridley boosts earnings base with fertiliser acquisition and broader agri portfolio

Aug 19, 2026

Ridley Corporation has reported its FY26 results highlighting a strategic step-change, anchored by the acquisition of Incitec Pivot Fertilisers and the creation of a more diversified, resilient portfolio. The company emphasized that each of its opera...

Ridley Corporation Declares Interim Dividend for June 2026 Half-Year

Aug 19, 2026

Ridley Corporation Limited has declared a fully franked interim dividend of AUD 0.0535 per ordinary share for the six‑month period ended 30 June 2026, reinforcing its commitment to returning capital to shareholders. The dividend will trade ex&#...

Ridley grows revenue on fertiliser acquisition but profit hit by impairments

Aug 19, 2026

Ridley reported a sharp 119.9% jump in revenue to $2.86 billion for the year to 30 June 2026, largely driven by the first nine months’ contribution from its newly acquired fertilisers distribution business, and lifted EBITDA after significant i...

Ridley Corporation Cancels 150,985 Performance Rights in Capital Adjustment

Jul 8, 2026

Ridley Corporation has reported the cessation of 150,985 performance rights from its issued capital, following a cancellation agreed between the company and the holder. The change, effective 3 July 2026, slightly reduces the pool of outstanding equit...

Ridley Sets Date for Release of FY26 Results and Investor Briefing

Jul 2, 2026

Ridley Corporation has scheduled the release of its full-year FY26 financial results for 20 August 2026, prior to the market open. The announcement signals an upcoming detailed update on the company’s performance for the year ended 30 June 2026...

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.

Date of analysis: Aug 21, 2026