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Oliver's Real Food Ltd. (OLI) AI Stock Analysis

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AU:OLI

Oliver's Real Food Ltd.

(ASX:OLI)

Select Model
Rating:48Neutral
Price Target:AUD 0.01▲(66.67% Upside)
Action:reiterated
Date:09/06/26

The overall score is heavily constrained by the company's extremely fragile balance sheet, which shows negative equity and high debt, posing a significant risk of financial distress. While the operational turnaround to positive free cash flow and a very low P/E ratio are encouraging, they are overshadowed by the fundamental weakness in the company's financial foundation and the ongoing decline in revenue.

Positive Factors
Cash-flow recoveryThe return to positive operating and free cash flow materially improves the company’s ability to fund operations internally. If sustained, this recovery can reduce reliance on external financing, support reinvestment in outlets, and provide a stronger foundation for stabilising the business over the next several quarters.
Negative Factors
Deeply negative equityDeeply negative shareholder equity indicates that liabilities materially exceed recorded assets, leaving little balance-sheet protection for investors. This weak capital position limits financial flexibility, increases sensitivity to operating setbacks, and can make refinancing or covenant management more difficult if performance deteriorates.

Oliver's Real Food Ltd. (OLI) vs. iShares MSCI Australia ETF (EWA)

-5%0%5%10%15%20%25%AU:OLI0.00%EWA+16.10%Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
Market Cap
AUD 3.24M
Dividend Yield
―
Average Volume (3M)
―
Price to Earnings (P/E)
5.5
Beta (1Y)
0.58
Revenue Growth
-7.68%
EPS Growth
―
Country
Australia
Employees
120
Sector
Consumer Cyclical
Sector Strength
61
Industry
Restaurants

Oliver's Real Food Ltd. Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Oliver's Real Food Limited operates as an Australian quick-service restaurant chain. Under the Oliver's brand, the company presents an extensive menu that includes various hot beverages, such as coffee, alongside refreshing smoothies and juices. Its...

How the Company Makes Money

OLI makes money primarily by selling food and beverages to customers through its Oliver’s branded outlets (e.g., prepared meals, snacks, and drinks), generating revenue at the point of sale. To the extent the company operates multiple sites, its earn...

Oliver's Real Food Ltd. Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Financial performance is mixed. The income statement shows a fragile return to profitability with declining revenue, scoring 45. The balance sheet is critically weak with negative equity and extreme leverage, scoring 10. Cash flow is a bright spot, turning strongly positive, scoring 70. The overall financial health is heavily weighed down by the distressed balance sheet.

Income Statement

45Neutral

Balance Sheet

10Very Negative

Cash Flow

70Positive
Financial statement breakdown
BreakdownTTMJun 2026Jun 2025Jun 2024Jun 2023Jun 2022
Income Statement
Total Revenue22.82M22.82M24.88M26.39M24.48M19.11M
Gross Profit4.88M4.88M4.35M3.65M4.16M-1.24M
EBITDA2.63M2.63M2.14M1.21M9.23M-7.47M
Net Income598.04K598.04K-2.91M-2.31M5.89M-11.67M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets7.86M7.86M10.52M14.76M9.38M11.04M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments273.48K273.48K209.33K459.60K275.94K225.38K
Total Debt22.29M22.29M25.51M27.51M20.61M28.91M
Total Liabilities26.40M26.40M29.67M32.39M24.71M34.25M
Stockholders Equity-18.55M-18.55M-19.14M-17.63M-15.32M-23.21M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow1.95M1.95M-112.29K-1.38M944.08K-2.22M
Operating Cash Flow2.09M2.09M133.86K1.49M1.17M-1.86M
Investing Cash Flow-31.58K-31.58K-243.42K-3.06M-191.36K231.40K
Financing Cash Flow-1.99M-1.99M-140.71K1.75M-930.31K283.05K

Oliver's Real Food Ltd. Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)

Financial Indicators

AU:OLI against its peers
NameOverall RatingMarket CapP/E RatioROEDividend YieldRevenue GrowthEPS Growth
AU:CEHAU:CEH63NeutralAUD 169.02M28.022.75%―20.82%―
Sector *61Neutral$18.38B12.79-2.54%3.03%1.52%-15.83%
AU:GYGAU:GYG57NeutralAUD 2.75B-102.41-8.88%0.71%19.36%-286.26%
AU:RFGAU:RFG55NeutralAUD 54.09M51.120.57%―-9.06%―
AU:DMPAU:DMP54NeutralAUD 2.10B-17.65-23.54%2.29%-11.19%-2942.58%
AU:CKFAU:CKF50NeutralAUD 1.08B25.2710.53%2.99%4.81%397.47%
AU:OLIAU:OLI48NeutralAUD 3.24M5.45-3.26%―-7.68%―

* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average

Performance Comparison

-40%-20%0%20%AU:OLIAU:CKFAU:DMPAU:RFGAU:CEHAU:GYGDec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
AU:OLI and its peers over the selected period
Show on chartTickerCompany NamePriceChange% Change
AU:OLIOliver's Real Food Ltd.0.01-0.00-9.09%
AU:CKFCollins Foods Limited9.35-1.31-12.29%
AU:DMPDomino's Pizza Enterprises Limited25.063.9018.42%
AU:RFGRetail Food Group Limited0.92-0.52-36.46%
AU:CEHCoast Entertainment Holdings Limited0.44-0.06-12.00%
AU:GYGGuzman y Gomez Ltd.27.654.2618.23%

Oliver's Real Food Ltd. Corporate Events

Oliver’s Real Food Sets Out 2026 Corporate Governance Framework

Aug 31, 2026

Oliver’s Real Food Limited has detailed its 2026 corporate governance framework, underscoring the Board’s central role in overseeing strategy, performance, and risk across the group. The Board is accountable to shareholders, working to optimise compa...

Oliver’s Real Food Delivers Profit Turnaround and Invests in Store Upgrades

Aug 31, 2026

Oliver’s Real Food reported a statutory profit of $598,000 for FY2026, a $3.508 million turnaround from the prior year, despite an 8% drop in revenue to $22.845 million. EBITDAI rose 36.8% to $2.904 million, supported by steady gross margins of 63.85...

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.

Date of analysis: Sep 06, 2026