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Mayfield Childcare Ltd.
(Sydney:MFD)
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Rating:46Neutral
Price Target:
AU$0.11
â–¼(-76.94% Downside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:09/24/26
The score is primarily weighed down by weakened financial performance—especially the sharp swing to a large net loss and materially higher leverage—despite continued positive operating and free cash flow. Technicals add only modest support due to short-term strength against a clearly weaker long-term trend. Valuation remains constrained by negative earnings and no dividend yield data.
Positive Factors
Revenue Scale
The substantial expansion in revenue over the 2020–2025 period indicates that Mayfield Childcare has built a meaningfully larger operating base. Although growth turned negative in 2025, the accumulated scale can support broader operations and future recovery if profitability improves.
Negative Factors
Earnings Deterioration
The shift from modest or near-breakeven results in 2024 to a substantial 2025 net loss weakens earnings durability and reduces the company’s ability to fund expansion from profits. Persistently poor bottom-line performance could also restrict financial flexibility and shareholder returns.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Revenue Scale
The substantial expansion in revenue over the 2020–2025 period indicates that Mayfield Childcare has built a meaningfully larger operating base. Although growth turned negative in 2025, the accumulated scale can support broader operations and future recovery if profitability improves.
Read all positive factors
Mayfield Childcare Ltd. (MFD) vs. iShares MSCI Australia ETF (EWA)
Market Cap
AU$12.14M
Dividend Yield0.88%
Average Volume (3M)24.99K
Price to Earnings (P/E)―
Beta (1Y)0.77
Revenue Growth-4.90%
EPS Growth-51.63%
CountryAU
Employees1,100
SectorConsumer Cyclical
Sector Strength84
IndustryPersonal Products & Services
Share Statistics
EPS (TTM)-0.37
Shares Outstanding105,594,350
10 Day Avg. Volume35,867
30 Day Avg. Volume24,993
Financial Highlights & Ratios
PEG Ratio<0.01
Price to Book (P/B)0.67
Price to Sales (P/S)0.36
P/FCF Ratio3.71
Enterprise Value/Market CapN/A
Enterprise Value/RevenueN/A
Enterprise Value/Gross ProfitN/A
Enterprise Value/EbitdaN/A
Forecast
1Y Price TargetN/A
Price Target UpsideN/A
Rating ConsensusN/A
Number of Analyst Covering0
EPS Forecast (FY)N/A
Revenue Forecast (FY)N/A
Mayfield Childcare Ltd. Business Overview & Revenue Model
Company Description
Established in 2015, Mayfield Childcare Limited is an Australian firm specializing in the provision of long-day early learning and childcare services. The company manages a network of 36 centers distributed across Victoria, Queensland, and South A...
Mayfield Childcare Ltd. Financial Statement Overview
Summary
Income Statement
34
Negative
Balance Sheet
18
Very Negative
Cash Flow
62
Positive
| Breakdown | TTM | Dec 2025 | Dec 2024 | Dec 2023 | Dec 2022 | Dec 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Income Statement | ||||||
| Total Revenue | 88.77M | 91.41M | 87.16M | 76.51M | 68.98M | 39.73M |
| Gross Profit | 4.55M | 4.90M | 87.16M | 3.22M | 10.25M | 6.78M |
| EBITDA | 15.42M | 15.93M | 17.54M | 13.18M | 20.22M | 9.99M |
| Net Income | -31.36M | -21.38M | 239.64K | -1.43M | 4.88M | 2.57M |
Balance Sheet | ||||||
| Total Assets | 197.58M | 218.02M | 246.10M | 235.71M | 219.23M | 226.61M |
| Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments | 194.62K | 87.70K | 103.00K | 362.67K | 2.66M | 2.27M |
| Total Debt | 169.45M | 157.35M | 168.63M | 160.41M | 141.09M | 144.08M |
| Total Liabilities | 181.05M | 169.62M | 180.64M | 170.32M | 149.45M | 161.01M |
| Stockholders Equity | 16.54M | 48.40M | 65.46M | 65.38M | 69.78M | 65.61M |
Cash Flow | ||||||
| Free Cash Flow | 6.20M | 8.79M | 10.56M | 7.28M | 13.77M | 8.83M |
| Operating Cash Flow | 8.17M | 10.31M | 11.81M | 9.19M | 15.12M | 9.86M |
| Investing Cash Flow | -1.97M | -1.52M | -3.82M | -6.29M | -1.16M | -11.65M |
| Financing Cash Flow | -6.39M | -8.81M | -8.24M | -5.20M | -10.88M | 2.53M |
Mayfield Childcare Ltd. Technical Analysis
Neutral
0.49
Price Trends
0.11
Positive
0.17
Negative
0.28
Negative
Market Momentum
<0.01
Negative
61.46
Neutral
82.76
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For AU:MFD, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 0.49 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 0.11, above the 50-day MA of 0.11, and above the 200-day MA of 0.28, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of <0.01 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 61.46 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 82.76 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for AU:MFD.
Mayfield Childcare Ltd. Peers Comparison
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Name | Overall Rating | Market Cap | P/E Ratio | ROE | Dividend Yield | Revenue Growth | EPS Growth |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
61 Neutral | $18.38B | 12.79 | -2.54% | 3.03% | 1.52% | -15.83% | |
60 Neutral | AU$83.50M | -11.70 | -9.41% | 14.46% | 5.99% | -145.93% | |
53 Neutral | AU$145.74M | 12.88 | 9.02% | 4.10% | 6.54% | 17.11% | |
46 Neutral | AU$12.14M | -0.31 | -96.59% | 0.88% | -4.90% | -51.63% | |
41 Neutral | AU$11.85M | -0.93 | -93.41% | ― | -7.29% | 18.24% |
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
AU:MFD
Mayfield Childcare Ltd.
0.12
-0.18
-61.54%
AU:EVO
Evolve Education Group Ltd
0.42
-0.20
-32.08%
AU:NXD
iCollege Ltd.
0.05
-0.15
-75.00%
AU:BBN
Baby Bunting Group Ltd.
1.05
-2.06
-66.29%
Mayfield Childcare Ltd. Corporate Events
Mayfield Childcare Issues 2026 Half-Year Update With Strong Cautions for Investors
Sep 1, 2026
Mayfield Childcare Limited has released its 2026 half-year results for the six months ended 30 June 2026, presented as summary information to be read alongside its interim financial report and ASX disclosures. The company emphasises that the prese...
Mayfield Childcare posts wider loss but secures funding as occupancy slowly recovers
Aug 31, 2026
Mayfield Childcare Limited reported a 6% fall in half-year revenue to $41.3 million and a wider statutory net loss of $31.9 million, driven by lower average occupancy and $29 million of non-cash impairments. Underlying Centre EBITDA slipped 11% to...
Mayfield Childcare Releases Half-Year 2026 Financial Report
Aug 31, 2026
Mayfield Childcare Limited has released its half-year report for the period ended 30 June 2026, outlining interim financial statements and related disclosures. The report includes the director’s commentary, auditor’s independence decla...
Mayfield Childcare Swings Deeper Into Loss as Revenue and Occupancy Fall
Aug 31, 2026
Mayfield Childcare Limited reported a challenging first half to 30 June 2026, with revenue falling 6% to $41.3 million, primarily due to a 3 percentage point decline in portfolio occupancy. The company posted an underlying EBITDA loss of $0.8 mill...
Mayfield Childcare Director Increases Stake via Entitlement Offer
Aug 28, 2026
Mayfield Childcare Limited has reported a change in director Roseanne Celeste Healy’s holdings, reflecting increased equity participation in the company. Healy now holds 70,000 fully paid ordinary shares, up from 50,000, following her involv...
Mayfield Childcare Director Increases Stake Through Entitlement Offer
Aug 28, 2026
Mayfield Childcare Limited has disclosed a change in director Gregory James Johnson’s interests, reflecting his increased stake in the company’s ordinary shares. Johnson holds shares both directly and through the G J Superannuation Fun...
Mayfield Childcare to Brief Investors on FY26 Half-Year Results via Webinar
Aug 28, 2026
Mayfield Childcare Limited, an Australian operator of 45 childcare centres offering over 4,000 places across Victoria, Queensland, and South Australia, specialises in early childhood education and care. The group emphasises high-quality services, ...
Mayfield Childcare Raises $3m in Fully Subscribed Entitlement Offer
Aug 27, 2026
Mayfield Childcare has successfully completed a non-renounceable pro rata entitlement offer of two shares for every five held at an issue price of $0.10, raising about $3 million before costs. Eligible shareholders subscribed for around 90.1% of t...
Mayfield 360 Gains NDIS Registration to Expand Allied Health Services
Aug 13, 2026
Mayfield Childcare’s allied health arm, Mayfield 360, has been approved as a registered National Disability Insurance Scheme provider, marking a key milestone in the development of its early childhood developmental support offering. This reg...
Mayfield Childcare Launches Partially Underwritten Entitlement Offer
Aug 3, 2026
Mayfield Childcare Limited has launched a pro-rata non-renounceable entitlement offer, allowing existing shareholders to subscribe for two new shares for every five held at an issue price of $0.10, aiming to raise up to approximately $3 million. T...
Mayfield Childcare to Raise $3 Million via Fully Covered Entitlement Offer
Aug 3, 2026
Mayfield Childcare Limited has launched a non-renounceable pro rata entitlement offer, issuing two new shares for every five held at $0.10 each to raise about $3 million, a 29% discount to its last closing price, in a move aimed at bolstering its ...
Mayfield Childcare Plans Non-Renounceable Pro Rata Share Issue
Aug 3, 2026
Mayfield Childcare Ltd. has announced a non-renounceable pro rata offer of up to 30,169,843 new ordinary fully paid shares to existing shareholders. The offer, scheduled with an ex-date of 5 August 2026, a record date of 6 August 2026, and an issu...
Mayfield Childcare Margins Squeezed as Occupancy Dips but Improvement Plan Gains Traction
Jul 24, 2026
Mayfield Childcare reported second-quarter FY26 revenue of $21.4 million, down from $22.4 million a year earlier, as lower occupancy and rising operating costs squeezed margins and reduced underlying centre EBITDA to $1.8 million. The company said...
Mayfield Childcare Withdraws FY26 Guidance as Conditions Tighten and New Service Gains Traction
Jul 9, 2026
Mayfield Childcare has withdrawn its FY26 earnings guidance, citing a significantly more challenging operating environment in early childhood education, including higher labour costs, occupancy volatility, wage pressures and regulatory changes aff...
Mayfield Childcare Reshapes Finance Leadership as CFO Departs
Jul 3, 2026
Mayfield Childcare Limited has confirmed that Christopher Hayes has stepped down as Chief Financial Officer, effective 3 July 2026, with the board expressing appreciation for his leadership across financial reporting, treasury, governance and the ...
Mayfield Childcare Director Increases On-Market Shareholding
Jul 1, 2026
Mayfield Childcare Limited has disclosed a change in director Gregory James Johnson’s holdings, after he acquired 30,000 fully paid ordinary shares on market. The purchase, valued at $5,416.09, lifts Johnson’s direct holding to 30,000 ...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Disclaimer
This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.