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Metgasco Ltd (MEL) AI Stock Analysis

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AU:MEL

Metgasco Ltd

(ASX:MEL)

Select Model
Rating:38Underperform
Price Target:AUD 0.01â–¼(-7.14% Downside)
Action:downgraded
Date:11/13/26

The overall score is severely depressed by the company's critical financial instability, marked by negative equity and unprofitable operations. While a recent uptick in operating cash flow offers a minor positive signal, it is overshadowed by weak technical momentum and a negative P/E ratio that underscores the lack of earnings. The company faces a high risk of financial failure.

Positive Factors
Improved cash generationPositive operating and free cash flow in 2026 marks a meaningful improvement from the cash burn recorded in 2023–2025. If sustained, internally generated cash could reduce reliance on external funding and provide greater flexibility to progress petroleum assets.
Negative Factors
Negative shareholders’ equityNegative equity materially weakens the balance sheet and reduces the cushion available to absorb further losses or fund investment. Combined with meaningful debt, it can constrain capital allocation and increase dependence on refinancing or additional equity issuance.

Metgasco Ltd (MEL) vs. iShares MSCI Australia ETF (EWA)

-60%-40%-20%0%20%40%AU:MEL-39.13%EWA+17.50%Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
Market Cap
AUD 514.39K
Dividend Yield
―
Average Volume (3M)
151.35K
Price to Earnings (P/E)
-0.3
Beta (1Y)
-0.61
Revenue Growth
-37.26%
EPS Growth
60.08%
Country
Australia
Employees
3,000
Sector
Energy
Sector Strength
65
Industry
Oil & Gas Exploration & Production

Metgasco Ltd Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Metgasco Limited is an Australian firm dedicated to the discovery and cultivation of oil and natural gas deposits. Furthermore, it allocates capital to and constructs energy infrastructure relevant to its operations. The company was founded in 1999 a...

How the Company Makes Money

Metgasco Ltd’s typical monetisation approach (consistent with oil and gas explorers/developers) would be to generate value and potential income through progressing petroleum assets and then realising returns via outcomes such as farm-out agreements,...

Metgasco Ltd Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Financial health is critically weak. The company is deeply unprofitable with negative gross margins (-66%) and a substantial net loss, despite recent revenue growth. The balance sheet shows negative equity, signaling insolvency risk. Positive operating cash flow in FY2026 is a lone bright spot but appears fragile against a history of heavy cash burn.

Income Statement

18Very Negative

Balance Sheet

8Very Negative

Cash Flow

35Negative
Financial statement breakdown
BreakdownTTMJun 2026Jun 2025Jun 2024Jun 2023Jun 2022
Income Statement
Total Revenue1.35M1.35M2.16M2.37M475.84K0
Gross Profit-693.28K-893.28K-177.28K1.14M-286.00K-861
EBITDA-1.34M-317.44K-1.25M-11.76M-1.34M-6.11M
Net Income-1.64M-1.28M-3.27M-13.20M-1.53M-6.11M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets8.12M8.12M9.76M9.16M18.05M17.28M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments1.62M1.62M1.12M880.61K642.16K3.64M
Total Debt2.54M2.54M4.30M2.66M771.41K0
Total Liabilities11.97M11.97M12.35M9.45M6.78M6.98M
Stockholders Equity-3.85M-3.85M-2.58M-291.79K11.27M10.30M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow294.32K294.32K-746.97K-2.33M-7.56M-6.13M
Operating Cash Flow668.12K668.12K-651.81K-282.74K-1.37M2.85M
Investing Cash Flow-623.39K-623.39K-2.01M-2.05M-6.19M-8.81M
Financing Cash Flow453.51K453.51K2.90M2.57M4.56M9.03M

Metgasco Ltd Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform
Sector (65)

Financial Indicators

AU:MEL against its peers
NameOverall RatingMarket CapP/E RatioROEDividend YieldRevenue GrowthEPS Growth
Sector *65Neutral$15.17B7.614.09%5.20%3.87%-62.32%
AU:BRUAU:BRU47NeutralAUD 19.02M-3.11-23.11%――71.52%
AU:BLUAU:BLU46NeutralAUD 9.04M-15.00-1.65%――37.50%
AU:CTPAU:CTP45NeutralAUD 36.13M-7.27-13.43%―2.57%-163.46%
AU:STXAU:STX42NeutralAUD 357.02M-12.60-7.49%―-13.67%85.97%
AU:COIAU:COI39UnderperformAUD 102.42M-16.76-4.77%――-76.19%
AU:MELAU:MEL38UnderperformAUD 447.03K-0.3136.32%―-37.26%60.08%

* Energy Sector Average

Performance Comparison

-50%-25%0%25%50%AU:MELAU:BRUAU:COIAU:CTPAU:STXDec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
AU:MEL and its peers over the selected period
Show on chartTickerCompany NamePriceChange% Change
AU:MELMetgasco Ltd0.01-0.01-39.13%
AU:BRUBuru Energy Limited0.01-0.00-22.22%
AU:COIComet Ridge Ltd0.06-0.05-44.64%
AU:CTPCentral Petroleum Limited0.05-0.01-22.58%
AU:STXStrike Energy Limited0.10-0.02-19.17%
AU:BLUBlue Energy Limited―――

Metgasco Ltd Corporate Events

Metgasco outlines 1.1c entitlement offer

Nov 9, 2026

Metgasco has presented an entitlement offer at 1.1 cents, structured on a five-for-one basis. The stated terms include one free attaching three-year option with every new share issued.The presentation says an independent assessment of reserves and re...

Metgasco Prospectus Sets Out Approximately $2.02 Million Entitlement Offer

Nov 9, 2026

Metgasco’s prospectus covers a partially underwritten renounceable entitlement offer of approximately 183,711,380 new shares. Eligible shareholders are offered five new shares for every share held at the record date at $0.011 each, with one free atta...

Metgasco proposes renounceable pro rata securities issue

Nov 9, 2026

The release provides no information on Metgasco Ltd’s industry, primary products or services, or market focus. It proposes a renounceable standard pro rata issue comprising a maximum of 183,711,380 options expiring 4 December 2029 at an exercise pric...

Metgasco announces partially underwritten entitlement offer

Nov 9, 2026

Metgasco announced a renounceable pro-rata entitlement offer for eligible shareholders to raise up to approximately $2.02 million before costs, offering five new shares for every existing share at 1.1 cents. Each new share will include one free attac...

Metgasco Requests Trading Halt for Capital Raising

Nov 6, 2026

Metgasco Ltd is an Australian-listed company, but the release does not specify its industry, products or services. The company requested a trading halt on its securities pending an announcement about a material capital raising, temporarily suspending...

Metgasco Moves AGM Materials Online as It Calls November 2026 Meeting

Oct 27, 2026

Metgasco Ltd has called its annual general meeting for 11:00am WST on 27 November 2026 at Level 4, 88 William Street, Perth, Western Australia. The company has made the notice of meeting and explanatory statement available electronically, while advis...

Metgasco Details Alignment with ASX Corporate Governance Standards

Oct 26, 2026

Metgasco Ltd has detailed its corporate governance arrangements, confirming broad alignment with the ASX Corporate Governance Principles and Recommendations, 4th Edition, as at 26 October 2026. The company’s Board Charter and Corporate Governance Pla...

Metgasco Details Corporate Directory in 2026 Annual Report

Oct 26, 2026

Metgasco Ltd, an ASX-listed energy-sector company based in Perth, has outlined its corporate structure for the year ended 30 June 2026, highlighting a board led by Non-Executive Chairman Michael Glennon and Managing Director Ken Aitken. The governanc...

Metgasco Reclassifies Cooper Basin Gas, Shifting Volumes to Contingent Resources

Oct 25, 2026

Metgasco has reported a substantial reclassification of reserves and contingent resources at its Vali and Odin gas fields in the Cooper Basin, following an independent review by Chris Dykes Reserves International. While the total gas in place remains...

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.

Date of analysis: Nov 13, 2026