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Liontown Resources Limited (AU:LTR)
ASX:LTR

Liontown Resources Limited (LTR) AI Stock Analysis

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AU

Liontown Resources Limited

(Sydney:LTR)

Rating:36Underperform
Price Target:
Liontown Resources Limited's financial struggles, characterized by no revenue and persistent losses, are the primary concerns impacting its stock performance. The technical analysis supports a bearish outlook with the stock trading below key moving averages and weak momentum indicators. The negative P/E ratio adds to the unfavorable valuation, resulting in a low overall stock score. The company needs to achieve revenue growth and improve cash management to enhance its financial health and stock performance.

Liontown Resources Limited (LTR) vs. iShares MSCI Australia ETF (EWA)

Liontown Resources Limited Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionLiontown Resources Limited engages in the exploration, evaluation, and development of mineral properties in Australia. The company explores for lithium, gold, vanadium, copper, and nickel deposits, as well as platinum group elements. Its flagship property is the Kathleen Valley lithium project located in Perth, Western Australia. The company was incorporated in 2006 and is based in West Perth, Australia.
How the Company Makes MoneyLiontown Resources Limited generates revenue primarily through the exploration and development of its lithium projects, with a focus on advancing its assets to production-ready status. The company makes money by selling lithium concentrate extracted from its mining operations to global customers, including manufacturers of electric vehicle batteries and energy storage systems. Key revenue streams include strategic partnerships and off-take agreements with major players in the battery and automotive industries, which secure long-term sales contracts and financing to support project development. Additionally, Liontown may engage in joint ventures or sell a portion of its assets to raise capital and accelerate project timelines.

Liontown Resources Limited Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Liontown Resources Limited faces significant financial challenges with no revenue and persistent losses. The balance sheet shows adequate equity levels, but liquidity concerns remain due to declining cash reserves. The company must focus on revenue generation and improving cash flow to enhance its financial stability.
Income Statement
20
Very Negative
Liontown Resources Limited has been operating with no revenue for the past few years, leading to consistent negative gross profit and net income. The EBIT and EBITDA margins are also deeply negative, reflecting significant operational challenges. Without revenue growth, the company faces difficulty in improving profitability.
Balance Sheet
45
Neutral
The balance sheet displays a moderate debt-to-equity ratio, indicating a manageable level of leverage. However, there is a decline in cash reserves over time. The company's equity ratio is satisfactory, showing a strong capital position against total assets.
Cash Flow
30
Negative
The cash flow analysis reveals negative free cash flow growth, indicating challenges in generating cash. Operating cash flows are consistently negative and there is a heavy reliance on financing activities to fund operations and investments. The free cash flow to net income ratio is unfavorable, suggesting inefficiencies in cash management.
Breakdown
TTMJun 2024Jun 2023Jun 2022Jun 2021Jun 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
100.39M0.000.000.00600.00K1.50M
Gross Profit
-6.31M-1.38M-322.00K-226.00K600.00K538.00
EBIT
-53.32M-60.48M-34.14M-51.53M-11.08M-12.91M
EBITDA
-51.81M-59.31M-21.85M41.59M-10.97M-12.74M
Net Income Common Stockholders
-49.14M-64.92M-22.21M40.85M-10.57M-12.83M
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
192.87M122.95M305.44M453.08M12.55M5.26M
Total Assets
1.69B1.38B655.16M487.06M15.39M7.34M
Total Debt
844.28M460.91M121.27M231.00K75.55K117.31K
Net Debt
651.41M337.96M-9.16M-452.85M-12.47M-5.14M
Total Liabilities
931.44M614.85M205.42M20.21M1.90M820.91K
Stockholders Equity
758.12M770.07M449.74M466.85M13.49M6.52M
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
-668.40M-712.75M-249.01M-60.28M-8.32M-15.88M
Operating Cash Flow
-64.98M-47.02M-16.35M-47.01M-8.23M-15.76M
Investing Cash Flow
-608.38M-680.79M-244.07M-13.95M1.41M-122.31K
Financing Cash Flow
349.30M545.31M112.78M501.49M14.11M17.77M

Liontown Resources Limited Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price0.69
Price Trends
50DMA
0.60
Positive
100DMA
0.62
Positive
200DMA
0.67
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.02
Negative
RSI
58.23
Neutral
STOCH
91.43
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For AU:LTR, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 0.69 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 0.65, above the 50-day MA of 0.60, and above the 200-day MA of 0.67, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.02 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 58.23 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 91.43 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for AU:LTR.

Liontown Resources Limited Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (51)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
AUMAU
56
Neutral
AU$448.13M-179.51%-100.00%-27.86%
AUMMI
53
Neutral
AU$390.28M-87.03%30.32%-22.58%
51
Neutral
$2.04B-1.26-21.09%3.98%2.91%-30.49%
AUSVM
42
Neutral
AU$459.33M-77.74%-654.93%
AULTR
36
Underperform
€1.62B-6.32%3.33%
AUVUL
AU$826.58M-13.59%
AUCAY
26
Underperform
AU$353.12M-33.55%-175.00%
* Basic Materials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
AU:LTR
Liontown Resources Limited
0.69
-0.33
-32.35%
AU:SVM
Sovereign Metals Limited
0.70
0.12
20.69%
AU:MMI
Metro Mining Limited
0.06
0.02
50.00%
AU:MAU
Magnetic Resources NL
1.67
0.63
60.58%
AU:VUL
Vulcan Energy Resources Ltd.
3.77
-0.40
-9.59%
AU:CAY
Canyon Resources Limited
0.24
0.18
300.00%

Liontown Resources Limited Corporate Events

Liontown Resources Outlines FY25 Operational Guidance Amidst Market Challenges
Apr 24, 2025

Liontown Resources Limited has released its March Quarter FY25 Presentation, highlighting key operational and financial guidance for the second half of FY25. The company is focusing on the development of its Kathleen Valley Operation, with plans to transition to underground mining in FY26. However, the presentation notes that the forward-looking statements are subject to various risks and uncertainties, including macroeconomic conditions and project development challenges, which may impact production and sales estimates.

Liontown Resources Declares Commercial Production at Kathleen Valley with Strong Financial Performance
Apr 24, 2025

Liontown Resources Limited has declared commercial production at its Kathleen Valley Lithium Operation, achieving significant milestones in the March 2025 quarter. The company reported a 17% increase in revenue to A$104 million, driven by increased sales volumes and improved cost efficiencies, including an 18% reduction in unit operating costs. The company also progressed with preparations for underground production, achieving operational milestones and maintaining strong production and sales metrics, which positions it well in the volatile lithium market.

Liontown Resources Announces Quarterly Webcast for Investors and Analysts
Apr 17, 2025

Liontown Resources Limited has announced a webcast to be hosted by CEO Tony Ottaviano on April 24, 2025, to discuss the company’s Quarterly Activities Report for the period ending March 31, 2025. This webcast provides an opportunity for investors, analysts, and media to gain insights into the company’s recent activities and strategic direction, potentially impacting its operations and market positioning.

Liontown Resources Begins Underground Production at Kathleen Valley
Apr 9, 2025

Liontown Resources Limited has commenced underground production at its Kathleen Valley Lithium Operation, marking a significant milestone in its transition to underground mining. The first production stope was fired on schedule, with trials confirming the processability of underground ore and lithia recoveries exceeding 70%. This strategic move is expected to optimize throughput and maximize value, with the mine development focusing on high-margin ore and future shareholder returns.

Liontown Resources Releases Half-Year Financial Results
Mar 14, 2025

Liontown Resources Limited has released its half-year financial results for the period ending 31 December 2024. The company will discuss these results in a webcast hosted by CEO Tony Ottaviano. This announcement reflects Liontown’s ongoing commitment to transparency and engagement with investors, analysts, and media, highlighting its strategic focus on expanding its lithium portfolio and enhancing its industry positioning.

Liontown Resources Limited Releases Half-Year Financial Report
Mar 13, 2025

Liontown Resources Limited has released its financial report for the half-year ending December 31, 2024. The report provides insights into the company’s financial performance and positions Liontown within the mining industry, particularly focusing on its operations and market presence in Australia. This announcement is crucial for stakeholders as it reflects the company’s current financial health and strategic direction, potentially impacting investor confidence and market positioning.

Liontown Resources to Discuss Half-Year Results in Upcoming Webcast
Mar 12, 2025

Liontown Resources Limited announced that its CEO and Managing Director, Tony Ottaviano, will host a webcast on March 14, 2025, to discuss the company’s half-year results for the period ending December 31, 2024. This webcast is a significant event for investors, analysts, and media, as it will provide insights into the company’s financial performance and strategic direction, potentially impacting its market positioning and stakeholder interests.

Liontown Resources Sets Strategic Path Amid Economic Uncertainty
Feb 24, 2025

Liontown Resources Limited has released a presentation, indicating its strategic plans and operational guidance for the second half of fiscal year 2025. The company is navigating an uncertain economic environment, marked by inflationary pressures and market volatility, as it progresses with the development and potential transition to underground mining at its Kathleen Valley project. While the company’s forward-looking statements highlight anticipated production and sales metrics, these projections are subject to risks and uncertainties inherent in the mining sector.

Liontown Resources Focuses on Operational Excellence Amid Production Ramp-Up
Feb 13, 2025

Liontown Resources Limited presented at the Bell Potter Unearthed Conference, emphasizing their commitment to operational excellence as they ramp up production. This move is set to enhance their industry positioning by potentially increasing their market share and improving stakeholder confidence in their growth trajectory.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.