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Liontown Resources Limited
(Sydney:LTR)
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Rating:42Neutral
Price Target:
AU$1.50
▼(-31.82% Downside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:07/08/26
The score is primarily constrained by weak financial performance—large losses, rising leverage, and substantial free-cash-flow burn—despite a notable FY2025 revenue ramp. Technicals also weigh on the outlook, with the stock trading below all key moving averages and bearish MACD, though near-oversold RSI/Stoch slightly temper the technical downside. Valuation provides limited support because the P/E is negative and no dividend yield is indicated.
Positive Factors
Commercial Revenue Ramp
The sharp FY2025 revenue inflection reflects successful commercialization and establishes a nascent operating revenue base. Sustained production and recurring sales can enable operating leverage, reduce reliance on external funding over time, and provide a foundation for improving margins and cash generation.
Negative Factors
Weak Profitability and Margins
Extremely thin gross margins and deep operating losses indicate the current cost structure and pricing realization are insufficient to produce positive returns. Persistently poor profitability will limit reinvestment, delay breakeven, and make long-term value creation highly sensitive to commodity prices and operational efficiency gains.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Commercial Revenue Ramp
The sharp FY2025 revenue inflection reflects successful commercialization and establishes a nascent operating revenue base. Sustained production and recurring sales can enable operating leverage, reduce reliance on external funding over time, and provide a foundation for improving margins and cash generation.
Read all positive factors
Liontown Resources Limited (LTR) vs. iShares MSCI Australia ETF (EWA)
Market Cap
AU$4.66B
Dividend YieldN/A
Average Volume (3M)24.25M
Price to Earnings (P/E)―
Beta (1Y)2.03
Revenue Growth303.04%
EPS Growth-586.21%
CountryAU
Employees289
SectorBasic Materials
Sector Strength58
IndustryIndustrial Materials
Share Statistics
EPS (TTM)-0.14
Shares Outstanding3,179,110,800
10 Day Avg. Volume26,449,158
30 Day Avg. Volume24,252,243
Financial Highlights & Ratios
PEG Ratio-0.05
Price to Book (P/B)2.93
Price to Sales (P/S)5.71
P/FCF Ratio-5.15
Enterprise Value/Market CapN/A
Enterprise Value/RevenueN/A
Enterprise Value/Gross ProfitN/A
Enterprise Value/EbitdaN/A
Forecast
1Y Price Target
AU$2.14Price Target Upside-2.78% Downside
Rating ConsensusModerate Buy
Number of Analyst Covering9
EPS Forecast (FY)0.16
Revenue Forecast (FY)AU$1.43B
Liontown Resources Limited Business Overview & Revenue Model
Company Description
Liontown Resources Limited is an Australian company, established in 2006 and based in West Perth, that focuses on discovering, assessing, and advancing mineral deposits throughout Australia. The firm's exploration activities concentrate on various...
How the Company Makes Money
Liontown’s primary source of revenue is intended to be the sale of lithium-bearing product from its mining operations—principally spodumene concentrate—under offtake or sales arrangements with customers in the battery and electric-vehicle supply c...
Liontown Resources Limited Financial Statement Overview
Summary
Income Statement
28
Negative
Balance Sheet
40
Negative
Cash Flow
18
Very Negative
| Breakdown | TTM | Jun 2025 | Jun 2024 | Jun 2023 | Jun 2022 | Jun 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Income Statement | ||||||
| Total Revenue | 404.69M | 297.56M | 0.00 | 147.00K | 0.00 | 600.00K |
| Gross Profit | -193.78M | 13.51M | -1.38M | -322.00K | -226.00K | 600.00K |
| EBITDA | 6.14M | 1.33M | -59.31M | -21.85M | 41.59M | -10.97M |
| Net Income | -362.00M | -193.28M | -64.92M | -22.21M | 40.85M | -10.57M |
Balance Sheet | ||||||
| Total Assets | 1.86B | 1.56B | 1.38B | 655.16M | 487.06M | 15.39M |
| Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments | 411.85M | 181.93M | 122.95M | 305.44M | 453.08M | 12.55M |
| Total Debt | 840.62M | 831.10M | 460.91M | 121.27M | 231.00K | 75.55K |
| Total Liabilities | 1.10B | 982.97M | 614.85M | 205.42M | 20.21M | 1.90M |
| Stockholders Equity | 763.22M | 580.57M | 770.07M | 449.74M | 466.85M | 13.49M |
Cash Flow | ||||||
| Free Cash Flow | -162.62M | -329.98M | -712.75M | -249.01M | -60.28M | -8.32M |
| Operating Cash Flow | -17.16M | 713.00K | -47.02M | -16.35M | -47.01M | -8.23M |
| Investing Cash Flow | -140.46M | -330.69M | -680.79M | -244.07M | -13.95M | 1.41M |
| Financing Cash Flow | 367.09M | 362.60M | 545.31M | 112.78M | 501.49M | 14.11M |
Liontown Resources Limited Technical Analysis
Negative
2.20
Price Trends
2.13
Negative
1.97
Negative
1.72
Negative
Market Momentum
-0.17
Positive
29.07
Positive
7.01
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For AU:LTR, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 2.2 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 1.81, above the 50-day MA of 2.13, and above the 200-day MA of 1.72, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.17 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 29.07 is Positive, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 7.01 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for AU:LTR.
Liontown Resources Limited Peers Comparison
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Name | Overall Rating | Market Cap | P/E Ratio | ROE | Dividend Yield | Revenue Growth | EPS Growth |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
61 Neutral | $10.43B | 7.12 | -0.05% | 2.87% | 2.86% | -36.73% | |
49 Neutral | AU$5.25B | -25.10 | -9.95% | ― | -36.60% | 80.62% | |
47 Neutral | AU$825.38M | -25.49 | -10.17% | ― | -100.00% | 59.85% | |
47 Neutral | AU$447.71M | -0.05 | -3.90% | ― | ― | 5.36% | |
46 Neutral | AU$267.02M | -0.88 | -30.65% | ― | 6.78% | 32.51% | |
43 Neutral | AU$1.30B | -4.89 | -9.72% | ― | -3.54% | -49.86% | |
42 Neutral | AU$4.66B | -10.38 | -53.88% | ― | 303.04% | -586.21% |
* Basic Materials Sector Average
AU:LTR
Liontown Resources Limited
1.48
0.68
84.38%
AU:SYR
Syrah Resources
0.12
-0.12
-51.68%
AU:CXO
Core Lithium Ltd
0.26
0.15
142.86%
AU:INR
ioneer Limited
0.15
0.04
45.00%
AU:IGO
IGO
6.78
2.26
50.00%
AU:VUL
Vulcan Energy Resources Ltd.
2.89
-0.46
-13.63%
Liontown Resources Limited Corporate Events
Liontown Rights Lapse Trims Future Equity Incentive Overhang
Jun 29, 2026
Liontown Limited has reported the lapse of several classes of performance and employee rights, covering both long-term and short-term incentive plans for financial years 2024 through 2026. These rights, including hundreds of thousands of securitie...
Liontown Issues New FY26 Long-Term Performance Rights
Jun 29, 2026
Liontown Limited has issued 146,958 unquoted performance rights under its FY26 long-term incentive plan, as part of an employee incentive scheme. The new securities, which will not be quoted on the ASX, reflect the company’s continued use of...
Liontown reiterates lithium reserve guidance and cautions on forward‑looking FY26 outlook
Apr 30, 2026
Liontown Resources has released a March quarter FY2026 investor presentation outlining summary information on its operations and financial parameters, with a particular focus on the Kathleen Valley Lithium Operation and previously reported product...
Liontown Delivers Record Cash Quarter as Underground Kathleen Valley Hits Planned Run Rate
Apr 30, 2026
Liontown Resources reported its strongest quarter since production began at Kathleen Valley, underpinned by a fully underground operation running at an annualised 1.5Mtpa rate and stable processing performance. The company produced 96,367 dry metr...
Liontown starts early works for Kathleen Valley lithium expansion
Apr 29, 2026
Liontown Limited has begun early works and long-lead procurement to support a staged expansion of its Kathleen Valley Lithium Operation in Western Australia, ahead of a final investment decision expected at the end of Q1 FY2027. The program includ...
Liontown Schedules Webcast to Present March Quarter Update
Apr 24, 2026
Liontown Resources has announced that CEO and Managing Director Tony Ottaviano will host a webcast on 30 April 2026 to discuss the company’s Quarterly Activities Report for the period ended 31 March 2026. The event, aimed at investors, analy...
Liontown appoints new director Giselle Collins with no current shareholding
Apr 8, 2026
Liontown Limited has appointed Giselle Marie Collins as a director, effective 8 April 2026, and lodged the required initial director’s interest notice with the ASX. The filing confirms that Collins currently holds no relevant interests in th...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Disclaimer
This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.