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Lovisa Holdings Ltd.
(Sydney:LOV)
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Rating:65Neutral
Price Target:
AU$24.00
▼(-2.04% Downside)
Action:Downgraded
Date:10/09/26
The score is primarily supported by strong growth and healthy operating profitability, but is held back by meaningful balance-sheet risk from very high leverage and uneven recent free-cash-flow trends. Technical signals are mixed-to-soft with the stock trading below key moving averages, while valuation looks somewhat demanding despite a supportive dividend yield.
Positive Factors
Strong Revenue Growth
Sustained revenue expansion indicates continuing demand for Lovisa’s affordable, trend-led merchandise and supports the scalability of its retail model. Continued top-line growth can provide a durable base for store expansion, product investment, and earnings generation over the coming quarters.
Negative Factors
High and Rising Leverage
Very high and rising leverage leaves Lovisa with a relatively thin equity base and increases sensitivity to any earnings slowdown or cost pressure. Although returns on equity are strong, leverage amplifies those returns and can constrain financial flexibility during the next several quarters.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Strong Revenue Growth
Sustained revenue expansion indicates continuing demand for Lovisa’s affordable, trend-led merchandise and supports the scalability of its retail model. Continued top-line growth can provide a durable base for store expansion, product investment, and earnings generation over the coming quarters.
Read all positive factors
Lovisa Holdings Ltd. (LOV) vs. iShares MSCI Australia ETF (EWA)
Market Cap
AU$2.61B
Dividend Yield3.65%
Average Volume (3M)494.90K
Price to Earnings (P/E)27.1
Beta (1Y)1.92
Revenue Growth17.62%
EPS Growth10.44%
CountryAU
Employees8,000
SectorConsumer Cyclical
Sector Strength84
IndustrySpecialty Retail
Share Statistics
EPS (TTM)0.87
Shares Outstanding110,738,495
10 Day Avg. Volume388,568
30 Day Avg. Volume494,905
Financial Highlights & Ratios
PEG Ratio2.68
Price to Book (P/B)33.56
Price to Sales (P/S)2.79
P/FCF Ratio15.96
Enterprise Value/Market CapN/A
Enterprise Value/RevenueN/A
Enterprise Value/Gross ProfitN/A
Enterprise Value/EbitdaN/A
Forecast
1Y Price Target
AU$29.69Price Target Upside21.16% Upside
Rating ConsensusModerate Buy
Number of Analyst Covering10
EPS Forecast (FY)1.03
Revenue Forecast (FY)AU$1.06B
Lovisa Holdings Ltd. Business Overview & Revenue Model
Company Description
Lovisa Holdings Limited operates as a global retailer, focusing on fashionable jewelry and accessories. The company manages the entire product lifecycle under its proprietary Lovisa brand, encompassing design, development, sourcing, and merchandis...
How the Company Makes Money
Lovisa primarily makes money by selling fashion jewelry and accessories directly to consumers through its store network, with revenue recognized at the point of sale. Its core revenue stream is retail merchandise sales (high-volume, lower-ticket i...
Lovisa Holdings Ltd. Financial Statement Overview
Summary
Income Statement
86
Very Positive
Balance Sheet
52
Neutral
Cash Flow
72
Positive
| Breakdown | Jun 2026 | Jun 2025 | Jun 2024 | Jun 2023 | Jun 2022 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Income Statement | |||||
| Total Revenue | 938.76M | 798.13M | 698.66M | 596.46M | 458.71M |
| Gross Profit | 363.65M | 654.67M | 565.79M | 476.71M | 361.83M |
| EBITDA | 325.13M | 249.21M | 221.55M | 180.19M | 142.73M |
| Net Income | 95.59M | 86.33M | 82.41M | 68.16M | 58.39M |
Balance Sheet | |||||
| Total Assets | 696.04M | 698.43M | 532.80M | 525.31M | 373.52M |
| Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments | 34.04M | 49.11M | 30.52M | 31.65M | 34.15M |
| Total Debt | 506.00M | 499.64M | 359.07M | 372.59M | 228.37M |
| Total Liabilities | 618.08M | 619.88M | 452.51M | 445.32M | 309.20M |
| Stockholders Equity | 77.96M | 78.55M | 80.29M | 79.99M | 64.32M |
Cash Flow | |||||
| Free Cash Flow | 163.92M | 146.88M | 148.91M | 64.30M | 93.18M |
| Operating Cash Flow | 232.76M | 207.91M | 187.51M | 141.16M | 130.56M |
| Investing Cash Flow | -58.48M | -55.17M | -23.27M | -60.72M | -34.60M |
| Financing Cash Flow | -167.74M | -143.06M | -165.16M | -83.61M | -97.47M |
Lovisa Holdings Ltd. Technical Analysis
Negative
24.50
Price Trends
24.06
Negative
23.15
Positive
23.95
Negative
Market Momentum
0.07
Positive
48.15
Neutral
43.72
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For AU:LOV, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 24.5 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 23.85, above the 50-day MA of 24.06, and above the 200-day MA of 23.95, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of 0.07 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 48.15 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 43.72 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for AU:LOV.
Lovisa Holdings Ltd. Peers Comparison
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Name | Overall Rating | Market Cap | P/E Ratio | ROE | Dividend Yield | Revenue Growth | EPS Growth |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
68 Neutral | AU$616.84M | 33.50 | 12.41% | 5.35% | 12.87% | -21.74% | |
66 Neutral | AU$128.92M | 14.78 | 5.05% | 5.97% | 1.87% | 372.73% | |
65 Neutral | AU$2.61B | 27.09 | 102.78% | 3.65% | 17.62% | 10.44% | |
64 Neutral | AU$1.98B | 15.28 | 13.03% | 7.67% | -2.83% | -22.08% | |
61 Neutral | $18.38B | 12.79 | -2.54% | 3.03% | 1.52% | -15.83% | |
57 Neutral | AU$106.75M | -12.39 | -28.03% | ― | -3.20% | -227.54% | |
47 Neutral | AU$328.27M | -1.21 | -36.45% | 7.89% | 11.98% | 3.09% |
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
AU:LOV
Lovisa Holdings Ltd.
23.57
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-35.01%
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Lovisa Holdings Ltd. Corporate Events
Lovisa CFO Chris Lauder Resigns as Company Begins Global Search for Successor
Oct 7, 2026
Lovisa Holdings Limited has announced the resignation of Group Chief Financial Officer Chris Lauder, who will remain in his role for a six-month notice period until 7 April 2027 to support an orderly transition. The board plans to conduct a global...
Lovisa Reports Lapse of Performance Rights, Trimming Potential Share Dilution
Sep 14, 2026
Lovisa Holdings Ltd., an ASX-listed fast-fashion jewellery retailer, markets affordable, trend-led accessories to value-focused consumers across its store network and digital platforms. The company uses equity-linked performance rights as part of ...
Lovisa Issues 3,986 New Shares Following Option Conversions
Sep 14, 2026
Lovisa Holdings Ltd. has notified the market of the issue of 3,986 ordinary fully paid shares on 10 September 2026, following the conversion or exercise of previously unquoted options or other convertible securities. The move indicates a minor exp...
Lovisa boosts profit, margins and global store footprint in FY26
Aug 25, 2026
Lovisa reported full-year 2026 revenue of $938.8 million, up 17.6% from the prior year, driven by strong growth in the Americas and Europe and global comparable store sales rising 2.0%. Gross margin expanded to 82.6%, EBIT grew 14.1% to $158.2 mil...
Lovisa Declares AUD 0.33 Interim Dividend for June 2026 Half-Year
Aug 25, 2026
Lovisa Holdings Ltd. has declared an ordinary dividend of AUD 0.33 per fully paid share for the six-month period ended 28 June 2026, reinforcing its commitment to returning capital to shareholders. The dividend will trade ex on 15 September, with ...
Lovisa Sets Date for FY26 Results and Investor Webcast
Aug 3, 2026
Lovisa Holdings Limited has announced it will release its full-year financial results for the period ended 28 June 2026 on 26 August 2026. The company’s Global Chief Executive Officer John Cheston and Group Chief Financial Officer Chris Laud...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Disclaimer
This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.