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Hot Chili Limited (AU:HCH)
ASX:HCH
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Hot Chili Limited (HCH) AI Stock Analysis

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AU:HCH

Hot Chili Limited

(Sydney:HCH)

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Neutral 44 (OpenAI - Gpt-5.6Sol)
Rating:44Neutral
Price Target:
AU$1.50
▼(-12.79% Downside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:09/30/26
The score is held down primarily by persistent losses, inconsistent/zero revenue, and ongoing negative operating and free cash flow, indicating continued funding needs. A strong, low-debt balance sheet provides some stability, but technicals are mildly weak and valuation offers limited support due to negative earnings.
Positive Factors
Very Low Leverage
Extremely low leverage limits solvency pressure from borrowing and preserves financial flexibility while the company advances its copper projects. This gives Hot Chili greater capacity to manage development spending and withstand operating losses than a similarly unprofitable, debt-funded explorer.
Negative Factors
Persistent Unprofitable Operations
Minimal or absent revenue and recurring net losses show that the company has not yet reached commercial operating scale. Until a project generates sustainable production revenue, earnings will remain dependent on development progress and external financing rather than internally funded operations.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Very Low Leverage
Extremely low leverage limits solvency pressure from borrowing and preserves financial flexibility while the company advances its copper projects. This gives Hot Chili greater capacity to manage development spending and withstand operating losses than a similarly unprofitable, debt-funded explorer.
Read all positive factors

Hot Chili Limited (HCH) vs. iShares MSCI Australia ETF (EWA)

Hot Chili Limited Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Hot Chili Limited, an Australian-based mineral exploration firm established in 2008, conducts operations across both Australia and Chile. Headquartered in Applecross, Australia, the company actively seeks out deposits of valuable metals, including...

Hot Chili Limited Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Financials reflect a development-stage profile: income statement and cash flow are very weak (minimal/zero revenue in multiple years, persistent net losses, negative EBITDA/EBIT, and consistently negative operating/free cash flow). The main offset is a comparatively strong balance sheet with extremely low leverage and rising equity, which reduces near-term solvency risk but does not resolve ongoing cash burn and dilution risk.
Income Statement
14
Very Negative
Balance Sheet
72
Positive
Cash Flow
26
Negative
BreakdownJun 2026Jun 2025Jun 2024Jun 2023Sep 2022
Income Statement
Total Revenue0.00483.67K0.000.0091.42K
Gross Profit-130.85K435.20K-156.00K-131.00K1.39K
EBITDA-10.72M-8.23M-7.59M-5.25M-4.73M
Net Income-10.11M-11.14M-7.57M-5.22M-7.15M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets290.33M244.80M250.88M224.43M231.60M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments24.95M5.19M33.74M2.95M23.72M
Total Debt428.12K415.30K554.60K333.61K330.85K
Total Liabilities7.77M5.17M3.46M1.78M6.82M
Stockholders Equity259.91M217.78M227.78M203.34M205.92M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-12.80M-30.97M-20.19M-20.75M-54.89M
Operating Cash Flow-8.37M-6.97M-5.45M-5.25M-6.01M
Investing Cash Flow-21.96M-21.34M6.55M-15.50M-48.88M
Financing Cash Flow50.24M-194.50K29.37M-146.85K75.48M

Hot Chili Limited Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price1.72
Price Trends
50DMA
1.56
Negative
100DMA
1.63
Negative
200DMA
1.64
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.07
Positive
RSI
33.03
Neutral
STOCH
18.68
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For AU:HCH, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 1.72 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 1.45, above the 50-day MA of 1.56, and above the 200-day MA of 1.64, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.07 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 33.03 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 18.68 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for AU:HCH.

Hot Chili Limited Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
75
Outperform
AU$9.63B18.7617.19%1.70%31.56%256.29%
61
Neutral
$10.43B7.12-0.05%2.87%2.86%-36.73%
45
Neutral
AU$52.54M-23.64-1.15%―-100.00%99.56%
44
Neutral
AU$262.76M-22.35-4.15%――22.68%
43
Neutral
AU$117.34M-5.65634.53%――-163.77%
41
Neutral
AU$211.00M-12.46-9.20%――81.09%
* Basic Materials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
AU:HCH
Hot Chili Limited
1.30
0.37
40.76%
AU:SFR
Sandfire Resources Limited
20.57
4.89
31.21%
AU:CYM
Cyprium Metals Limited
0.37
<0.01
1.67%
AU:CVV
Caravel Minerals Limited
0.21
0.04
23.53%
AU:TNC
True North Copper
0.26
0.02
6.25%

Hot Chili Limited Corporate Events

Hot Chili Sets November Date and Governance Framework for 2026 AGM
Oct 23, 2026
Hot Chili Limited has issued its Notice of Annual General Meeting, setting out the agenda, explanatory materials and proxy arrangements for shareholders ahead of the meeting on 25 November 2026 in Applecross, Western Australia. The release details...
Hot Chili Positions Costa Fuego as Top-Tier Global Copper-Gold Development
Oct 19, 2026
Hot Chili Limited has highlighted its Costa Fuego copper-gold project in Chile as a top-five global copper development, underpinned by strategic water assets and large-scale porphyry discovery potential. The company positions Costa Fuego as a benc...
Hot Chili Confirms Second Porphyry Centre, Boosting La Verde Copper-Gold Growth
Oct 19, 2026
Hot Chili has confirmed a second porphyry centre, La Verde South, at its La Verde copper-gold deposit about 30 km south of the planned Costa Fuego processing hub in Chile. Step-out drilling has intersected broad zones of near-surface oxide and dee...
Hot Chili Extends High-Grade Copper-Gold Zones at La Verde to Bolster Costa Fuego Economics
Oct 7, 2026
Hot Chili Limited reported further strong copper-gold drill results from its La Verde porphyry discovery, about 30 km south of the Costa Fuego central processing hub in Chile&#8217;s coastal Atacama region. Recent reverse circulation drilling is d...
Hot Chili Confirms Large, Stable Resource Base at Chile’s Costa Fuego
Sep 29, 2026
Hot Chili Limited is an Australian copper-gold exploration and development company listed on the ASX, TSXV and OTCQX. Its flagship Costa Fuego project in Chile consolidates the Cortadera, Productora, Alice and San Antonio deposits, targeting large...
Hot Chili Updates ASX Corporate Governance Disclosures
Sep 29, 2026
Hot Chili Limited has lodged its updated corporate governance statement and associated Appendix 4G with the ASX for the financial year ended 30 June 2026, confirming adherence to key Corporate Governance Council principles. The company has publish...
Hot Chili Tables 2026 Annual Report for Productora Copper Project
Sep 29, 2026
Hot Chili Limited has released its 2026 annual report, detailing governance, financial performance, and operational progress for the year. The report consolidates the chairman&#8217;s commentary, directors&#8217; oversight, and audited financial s...
Hot Chili Extends High-Grade La Verde Copper-Gold Zones for Costa Fuego
Sep 7, 2026
Hot Chili has reported another set of strong copper-gold drill results from its La Verde porphyry discovery, reinforcing the potential for a high-grade, near-surface starter pit feeding the Costa Fuego project. Key reverse circulation holes return...
Hot Chili Sets 2026 AGM Date and Director Nomination Deadline
Sep 4, 2026
Hot Chili Limited, an Australian mineral exploration and development company listed on the ASX, TSXV and OTCQX, is headquartered in Applecross, Western Australia. The company targets both domestic and international investors through its multi-exch...
Hot Chili Extends High-Grade Copper-Gold Core at La Verde in Chile
Aug 23, 2026
Hot Chili has reported another strong set of drill results at its La Verde copper-gold porphyry discovery in Chile, underscoring the project&#8217;s growing role within the broader Costa Fuego development. Recent reverse circulation and diamond dr...
Hot Chili Director Easterday Increases Indirect Shareholding
Aug 17, 2026
Hot Chili Ltd has reported a change in the shareholding of director Christian Ervin Easterday, who increased his indirect interest in the company through an on-market purchase. Easterday acquired 20,958 fully paid ordinary shares at $1.63 per shar...
Hot Chili Adds 38,458 Shares to ASX Quotation
Aug 7, 2026
Hot Chili Limited has lodged a new application with the ASX for quotation of additional ordinary fully paid shares. The filing covers 38,458 HCH securities issued on August 7, 2026, which will be admitted to trading in line with the ASX Listing Ru...
Hot Chili flags new porphyry discovery at Costa Fuego copper-gold project
Aug 3, 2026
Hot Chili Limited has highlighted an exciting new porphyry discovery at its Costa Fuego copper-gold project, reinforcing its status as a top-tier global copper development with strategic water assets. The company notes that key operating and cost ...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Sep 30, 2026