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G8 Education Limited (AU:GEM)
ASX:GEM
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G8 Education Limited (GEM) AI Stock Analysis

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AU:GEM

G8 Education Limited

(Sydney:GEM)

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Neutral 51 (OpenAI - Gpt-5.6Sol)
Rating:51Neutral
Price Target:
AU$0.15
▲(0.67% Upside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:08/26/26
The score is held back primarily by weakened financial performance: a large net loss, declining revenue, and a sharp rise in leverage meaningfully increase risk despite ongoing positive cash generation. Technicals are only mildly supportive (price above short-term averages but weak MACD), while valuation is mixed—boosted by a very high dividend yield but constrained by a negative P/E tied to losses.
Positive Factors
Positive cash generation
Sustained operating cash flow and positive free cash flow show that the centre network continues to convert services into cash, supporting reinvestment and debt servicing. The 2025 decline means cash quality requires monitoring, but generation remains a core strength.
Negative Factors
Declining revenue
Recent revenue contraction signals weaker centre utilisation, pricing, service mix or other operating pressure. Because scale and occupancy drive childcare economics, continued declines could reduce fixed-cost absorption and limit the company’s ability to improve margins.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Positive cash generation
Sustained operating cash flow and positive free cash flow show that the centre network continues to convert services into cash, supporting reinvestment and debt servicing. The 2025 decline means cash quality requires monitoring, but generation remains a core strength.
Read all positive factors

G8 Education Limited (GEM) vs. iShares MSCI Australia ETF (EWA)

G8 Education Limited Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Headquartered in Varsity Lakes, Australia, G8 Education Limited is an Australian firm specializing in early childhood education and care provisions. The company operates a wide array of services catering to young learners, encompassing numerous we...
How the Company Makes Money
G8 Education primarily makes money by operating childcare and early learning centres and charging fees for care and education services delivered to children enrolled at those centres. Revenue is generated from parent (or guardian) out-of-pocket pa...

G8 Education Limited Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Financials are pressured by a sharp deterioration in 2025 results: revenue declined 5.3% and profitability swung to a large net loss (net margin -32.0%) despite still-positive EBIT margin (~13.6%), indicating significant below-the-line volatility. Balance-sheet risk increased materially as debt-to-equity rose to 2.69x (from ~0.86x) and ROE turned deeply negative (-57.7%). Cash flow remains a relative strength with positive free cash flow (117M) and steady operating cash flow, but FCF fell 23.2%, tempering quality.
Income Statement
46
Neutral
Balance Sheet
35
Negative
Cash Flow
62
Positive
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue891.27M946.84M1.02B983.44M901.29M845.07M
Gross Profit201.66M231.96M929.21M891.85M209.39M185.08M
EBITDA201.98M235.86M184.54M237.81M201.33M207.48M
Net Income-364.56M-303.31M67.69M56.06M36.61M45.68M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets1.47B1.70B1.91B1.90B1.91B1.98B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments36.39M38.09M47.68M40.25M37.83M74.13M
Total Debt777.87M819.08M783.99M778.13M713.55M728.91M
Total Liabilities983.86M1.17B991.07M997.29M1.02B1.07B
Stockholders Equity486.42M525.68M916.31M905.50M883.36M914.71M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow72.81M117.08M134.54M156.99M77.16M41.59M
Operating Cash Flow132.02M168.04M167.06M201.51M136.76M84.27M
Investing Cash Flow-63.58M-64.35M-44.34M-56.75M-59.30M-53.28M
Financing Cash Flow-69.88M-113.28M-115.28M-142.34M-113.77M-273.84M

G8 Education Limited Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price0.15
Price Trends
50DMA
0.14
Negative
100DMA
0.16
Negative
200DMA
0.35
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
>-0.01
Positive
RSI
46.74
Neutral
STOCH
42.55
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For AU:GEM, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 0.15 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 0.15, above the 50-day MA of 0.14, and below the 200-day MA of 0.35, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of >-0.01 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 46.74 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 42.55 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for AU:GEM.

G8 Education Limited Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (62)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
76
Outperform
AU$129.38M11.3171.63%3.88%95.33%525.79%
75
Outperform
AU$38.32M15.9313.76%3.07%-4.20%
69
Neutral
AU$83.50M8.1712.32%14.29%26.36%11.51%
62
Neutral
$20.33B14.63-3.31%3.23%1.93%-12.26%
62
Neutral
AU$79.43M9.275.78%12.92%1.98%-72.40%
51
Neutral
AU$115.73M-0.28-43.21%40.74%-10.83%-649.32%
41
Neutral
AU$6.64M-6.42-6.74%-7.02%-11.46%
* Consumer Defensive Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
AU:GEM
G8 Education Limited
0.14
-0.68
-82.89%
AU:EVO
Evolve Education Group Ltd
0.42
-0.21
-33.92%
AU:EDU
EDU Holdings Limited
1.04
0.56
114.88%
AU:AKG
Academies Australasia Group Limited
0.05
-0.06
-52.73%
AU:KME
Kip McGrath Education Centres Limited
0.73
0.12
19.24%
AU:NDO
Nido Education Limited
0.34
-0.34
-49.85%

G8 Education Limited Corporate Events

G8 Education refreshes Board with new Audit & Risk Committee Chair
Aug 24, 2026
G8 Education has announced a series of Board changes, appointing Anne Lockwood as a Non-Executive Director from 1 September 2026 and as Chair of the Audit Risk Management Committee from 21 October 2026. The moves coincide with the resignation of ...
G8 Education Swings to Loss as Occupancy Falls, Tightens Operations
Aug 24, 2026
G8 Education reported a challenging first half of 2026, with group revenue falling 11.1% to $413.6 million and a statutory net loss after tax of $38.8 million, mainly due to around $47 million in impairment charges. Operating EBIT dropped 63.7% to...
G8 Education Posts Half-Year Loss and Suspends Dividends as Revenue Falls
Aug 24, 2026
G8 Education, a leading ASX-listed provider of early childhood education and care services in Australia, reported materially weaker financial results for the half year ended 30 June 2026. Revenue from ordinary activities fell 11.1% to $413.6 milli...
G8 Education Reports Lapse of Performance Rights, Reducing Potential Dilution
Aug 6, 2026
G8 Education Limited, an Australian-listed provider of childcare and early education services, manages a portfolio of centres nationwide and uses performance-based equity incentives as part of its capital and remuneration framework. The company is...
G8 Education Sets Date for Release of 2026 Half-Year Results
Aug 2, 2026
G8 Education Limited, a leading Australian childcare and early education provider listed on the ASX, operates an extensive network of centres that serve families nationwide. Its business is closely tied to broader trends in early learning policy, ...
Vanguard Trims Stake Below Substantial Holder Threshold in G8 Education
Jul 26, 2026
Vanguard Group has notified G8 Education Limited that it has ceased to be a substantial holder in the childcare operator. The asset manager now holds 4.977% of G8 Education’s voting power, down from a previously higher stake, reflecting a re...
G8 Education Extends Debt Facility Maturity to Bolster Funding Profile
Jul 6, 2026
G8 Education Limited has extended the maturity of one of its $100 million revolving debt facilities from December 2027 to January 2029, while its other $100 million revolving facility and $40 million bank guarantee facility still mature in Decembe...
Australian Retirement Trust Ceases to Be Substantial Holder in G8 Education
May 27, 2026
Australian Retirement Trust Pty Ltd has notified G8 Education that it has ceased to be a substantial holder in the company as of 25 May 2026, following changes in its relevant interests in G8’s voting securities. The move signals a reduction...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Aug 26, 2026