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Develop Global Limited (DVP) AI Stock Analysis

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AU:DVP

Develop Global Limited

(ASX:DVP)

Select Model
Rating:53Neutral
Price Target:AUD 4.00â–²(2.30% Upside)
Action:reiterated
Date:10/01/26

The score is driven primarily by improving operating performance and a strong, conservatively levered balance sheet, which provide resilience. This is meaningfully offset by persistent negative free cash flow, weak technical momentum (below key moving averages with negative MACD), and a demanding valuation (very high P/E) that increases downside risk if earnings momentum softens.

Positive Factors
Revenue GrowthRapid revenue scaling and renewed acceleration in 2026 indicate expanding activity across the company’s operating base. Continued top-line growth can improve operating leverage and provide a larger platform for developing mining services and project interests, although profitability conversion remains important.
Negative Factors
Persistent Negative Free Cash FlowOngoing negative free cash flow indicates that operating cash generation has not yet covered investment and other cash requirements. This can constrain internally funded growth and leave the company more dependent on financing conditions until cash conversion improves on a sustained basis.

Develop Global Limited (DVP) vs. iShares MSCI Australia ETF (EWA)

-25%0%25%50%75%100%125%AU:DVP+16.02%EWA+13.51%Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26
Market Cap
AUD 1.27B
Dividend Yield
―
Average Volume (3M)
1.37M
Price to Earnings (P/E)
155.8
Beta (1Y)
2.68
Revenue Growth
67.86%
EPS Growth
-90.61%
Country
Australia
Employees
741
Sector
Basic Materials
Sector Strength
61
Industry
Industrial Materials

Develop Global Limited Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Operating with its various subsidiaries across Australia, Develop Global Limited specializes in the exploration and advancement of mineral resource properties. The firm's primary focus lies in uncovering deposits of base and precious metals such as c...

How the Company Makes Money

Develop Global Limited makes money primarily through mining services revenue earned under contract mining arrangements, where it is paid to deliver underground mining works for resource companies. This typically includes development and production mi...

Develop Global Limited Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Strong revenue growth and a shift to positive operating profit and net income in 2026 support a solid mid-range score. The balance sheet is a clear strength with moderate leverage and an expanding equity base. Offsetting factors are weak cash conversion (free cash flow negative across all years, including 2026) and signs of earnings volatility/margin compression, which reduce confidence in the durability of profitability.

Income Statement

66Positive

Balance Sheet

78Positive

Cash Flow

47Neutral
Financial statement breakdown
BreakdownTTMJun 2026Jun 2025Jun 2024Jun 2023Jun 2022
Income Statement
Total Revenue388.54M388.54M231.47M147.23M67.78M4.51M
Gross Profit23.80M23.80M22.13M100.07M-11.13M873.35K
EBITDA39.02M39.02M26.96M14.13M-1.33M-8.63M
Net Income8.19M8.19M72.39M-12.13M-17.89M-9.22M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets971.76M971.76M898.08M471.23M245.80M204.88M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments114.81M114.81M58.63M41.50M21.77M43.21M
Total Debt140.88M140.88M158.29M40.81M28.74M4.23M
Total Liabilities298.54M298.54M267.67M121.79M96.14M60.33M
Stockholders Equity672.13M672.13M629.96M349.27M149.66M144.55M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-13.46M-13.46M-47.71M-22.75M-27.76M-15.61M
Operating Cash Flow51.34M51.34M12.62M11.00M12.24M-6.62M
Investing Cash Flow-126.33M-126.33M-84.40M-32.15M-38.62M-25.47M
Financing Cash Flow135.17M135.17M88.90M40.88M4.92M58.49M

Develop Global Limited Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis SentimentNegative
Last Price3.91

Price Trends

50DMA4.72Negative
100DMA5.24Negative
200DMA5.29Negative

Market Momentum

MACD-0.22Negative
RSI39.62Neutral
STOCH56.37Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For AU:DVP, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 3.91 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 4.10, below the 50-day MA of 4.72, and below the 200-day MA of 5.29, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.22 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 39.62 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 56.37 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for AU:DVP.

Develop Global Limited Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)

Financial Indicators

AU:DVP against its peers
NameOverall RatingMarket CapP/E RatioROEDividend YieldRevenue GrowthEPS Growth
AU:MLXAU:MLX86OutperformAUD 1.41B8.9226.61%―26.09%12.00%
AU:MSVAU:MSV76OutperformAUD 142.34M9.3422.10%8.96%5.48%2772.00%
AU:MAHAU:MAH64NeutralAUD 2.09B21.0413.86%2.20%7.90%35.92%
AU:PRNAU:PRN64NeutralAUD 1.84B22.234.58%4.00%-4.34%-31.42%
Sector *61Neutral$10.43B7.12-0.05%2.87%2.86%-36.73%
AU:DVPAU:DVP53NeutralAUD 1.27B155.781.25%―67.86%-90.61%
AU:BCIAU:BCI52NeutralAUD 1.54B79.552.27%―――

* Basic Materials Sector Average

Performance Comparison

0%50%100%150%AU:DVPAU:PRNAU:BCIAU:MAHAU:MLXAU:MSVDec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26
AU:DVP and its peers over the selected period
Show on chartTickerCompany NamePriceChange% Change
AU:DVPDevelop Global Limited3.910.4914.33%
AU:PRNPerenti Global Limited1.97-0.58-22.75%
AU:BCIBCI Minerals Ltd0.530.1538.16%
AU:MAHMacmahon Holdings Limited0.990.52111.25%
AU:MLXMetals X Limited1.590.7487.06%
AU:MSVMitchell Services Limited0.670.38128.67%

Develop Global Limited Corporate Events

Develop Global Sets November Date for 2026 AGM and Streamlines Online Voting

Oct 20, 2026

Develop Global Limited has invited shareholders to its 2026 Annual General Meeting, scheduled for 19 November in Perth, and has dispatched access letters outlining attendance and voting options. The company will provide the notice of meeting and annu...

Develop Global Cuts 312,387 Lapsed Performance Rights From Capital Structure

Oct 14, 2026

Develop Global Limited, an ASX-listed resources and mining services company trading under ticker DVP, employs performance rights as a key component of its incentive and capital management framework, linking equity-based rewards to the achievement of...

Develop Global Expands Share Capital Through Conversion of Unquoted Securities

Oct 14, 2026

Develop Global Limited, an ASX-listed company in the resources sector trading under the ticker DVP, maintains a capital structure that includes ordinary fully paid shares and various unquoted convertible securities. These instruments form part of its...

Develop Global Issues New Unquoted Performance Rights Under Incentive Scheme

Oct 14, 2026

Develop Global Limited has issued new performance rights under its employee incentive scheme, continuing its use of equity-based remuneration to align staff rewards with company performance. The unquoted securities, designated as DVPAV performance ri...

Develop Global Sets Date and Agenda for 2026 AGM in Perth

Oct 12, 2026

Develop Global Limited has called its 2026 Annual General Meeting for 19 November in Perth, inviting shareholders to attend in person or participate via proxy at the offices of BDO. The company reiterates its commitment to formal governance processes...

Develop Global Director’s Performance Rights Reduced After Incentive Review

Oct 5, 2026

Develop Global Limited has reported a change in director William James Beament’s interests, primarily relating to performance-based securities rather than ordinary shares. Beament’s substantial direct and indirect shareholdings remain unc...

Develop Global Lodges 2026 Corporate Governance Statement With ASX

Sep 28, 2026

Develop Global Limited has confirmed that its corporate governance statement for the year ended 30 June 2026 is current and has been approved by the board, with the document hosted on the company’s website in line with ASX Listing Rule requirem...

Develop Global Issues First Full Corporate Governance Statement for FY26

Sep 28, 2026

Develop Global Limited has released its first dedicated Corporate Governance Statement for the financial year ended 30 June 2026, aligning with the ASX Corporate Governance Council’s 4th Edition Principles and Recommendations. The Board has app...

Develop Global Tables 2026 Annual Report Detailing Operations and Governance

Sep 28, 2026

Develop Global Limited has released its 2026 annual report, detailing governance, financial performance, operational review and sustainability initiatives across its portfolio of mining and mining services projects. The document outlines the company&...

State Street Exits Substantial Holding in Develop Global

Sep 23, 2026

State Street Corporation, through various global asset management subsidiaries, has filed a notice that it has ceased to be a substantial shareholder in Develop Global Limited. The change reflects a reduction in its relevant interest in the company&#...

State Street Entities Exit Substantial Holder Position in Develop Global

Sep 15, 2026

Develop Global Limited has disclosed that a group of entities associated with State Street Corporation, including State Street Global Advisors and related subsidiaries, have ceased to be substantial holders in the company as of 11 September 2026. The...

State Street Entities Exit Substantial Holder Position in Develop Global

Sep 2, 2026

Develop Global Limited has disclosed that a group of entities related to State Street Corporation has ceased to be a substantial holder in the company as of 31 August 2026. The notice, lodged under Section 671B of the Corporations Act, indicates that...

Develop Global’s High-Grade Drilling Boosts Woodlawn Mine-Life Expansion Plan

Aug 27, 2026

Develop Global has reported a suite of high-grade drilling results from its Woodlawn copper-zinc mine in New South Wales, including copper-equivalent grades up to 15.7%, across multiple lenses such as J, D, G, M, N and I. The program, part of its Pro...

Develop Global Sets 2026 AGM Date and Deadline for Director Nominations

Aug 20, 2026

Develop Global Limited has scheduled its 2026 Annual General Meeting of shareholders for 11:00 a.m. AWST on Thursday 19 November 2026, to be held in person at BDO’s offices in Perth, Western Australia. The company will release the formal Notice...

GR Engineering secures $275m EPC contract for Yitirrti copper-silver-zinc project

Aug 17, 2026

GR Engineering Services Limited has signed a $275 million engineering, procurement and construction contract with Venturex Sulphur Springs Pty Ltd, a subsidiary of Develop Global Limited, for the 1.5 Mtpa Yitirrti copper-silver-zinc project in Wester...

Develop Global advances Yitirrti project with A$275m plant contract

Aug 16, 2026

Develop Global has awarded a A$275 million engineering, procurement and construction contract to GR Engineering Services to design and build the processing plant at its Yitirrti copper-zinc-silver project in the Pilbara. The plant will have a namepla...

State Street Group Ceases to Be Substantial Holder in Develop Global

Aug 13, 2026

State Street Corporation, through several of its global asset management subsidiaries, has lodged a notice that it has ceased to be a substantial holder in Develop Global Limited as of 11 August 2026. The filing, made under Australia’s Corporat...

State Street Group Ceases to Be Substantial Holder in Develop Global Limited

Jul 31, 2026

State Street Corporation and several of its global asset management subsidiaries have disclosed that they have ceased to be substantial holders in Develop Global Limited as of July 29, 2026. The notice indicates that their collective relevant interes...

Develop Global posts solid operating cash flow amid heavy investment in mining assets

Jul 27, 2026

Develop Global Limited reported strong operating cash inflows for the quarter ended 30 June 2026, with net cash from operations of A$30.6 million and A$48.4 million for the year, reflecting robust customer receipts against significant production, sta...

Develop Global secures Trafigura funding as record quarter boosts multi-mine growth

Jul 27, 2026

Develop Global Limited reported a record June 2026 quarter as its Woodlawn copper-zinc mine delivered its strongest performance since commissioning, with copper-equivalent production up 47 percent and revenue surging to A$84 million on sharply higher...

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.

Date of analysis: Oct 01, 2026