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Australian Vintage Ltd (AVG) AI Stock Analysis
Australian Vintage Ltd
(ASX:AVG)
The overall score of 46 is driven primarily by very weak and deteriorating financial health—repeated losses, higher leverage, negative returns, and fragile cash generation—partially offset by modestly positive short-term price momentum and a mixed valuation that offers limited appeal until the underlying earnings profile improves.
Australian Vintage Ltd (AVG) vs. iShares MSCI Australia ETF (EWA)
- Market Cap
- AUD 18.68M
- Dividend Yield
- ―
- Average Volume (3M)
- 125.83K
- Price to Earnings (P/E)
- -0.4
- Beta (1Y)
- -0.20
- Revenue Growth
- 0.14%
- EPS Growth
- -594.48%
- Country
- Australia
- Employees
- 425
- Sector
- Consumer Defensive
- Sector Strength
- 62
- Industry
- Beverages - Wineries & Distilleries
Australian Vintage Ltd Business Overview & Revenue Model
Company Description
Australian Vintage Ltd, through its various subsidiaries, oversees the entire process of wine production, from manufacturing and packaging to marketing and global distribution. Its significant international presence spans Australia, the United Kingdo...
How the Company Makes Money
AVG primarily makes money by selling wine and related products through a mix of branded consumer channels and commercial supply arrangements. Its main revenue stream is the sale of branded packaged wine (e.g., bottled and other retail-ready formats)...
Australian Vintage Ltd Financial Statement Overview
Summary
Financial performance is very weak: profitability has swung from solid profits to large losses, gross margins have thinned, leverage has risen with debt now exceeding equity, returns on equity are deeply negative, and operating and free cash flows are volatile and often negative, indicating a high-risk turnaround rather than a stable business.
Income Statement
24NegativeBalance Sheet
30NegativeCash Flow
22Negative| Breakdown | TTM | Jun 2026 | Jun 2025 | Jun 2024 | Jun 2023 | Jun 2022 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Income Statement | ||||||
| Total Revenue | 257.56M | 257.56M | 257.19M | 260.59M | 258.56M | 260.10M |
| Gross Profit | 31.90M | 31.90M | 69.36M | 27.69M | 75.11M | 85.35M |
| EBITDA | -28.02M | -28.02M | 10.32M | -62.28M | 20.32M | 42.28M |
| Net Income | -66.36M | -66.36M | -9.56M | -93.03M | 4.01M | 17.33M |
Balance Sheet | ||||||
| Total Assets | 387.20M | 387.20M | 431.35M | 415.43M | 498.04M | 515.60M |
| Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments | 6.74M | 6.74M | 8.88M | 6.02M | 6.90M | 2.55M |
| Total Debt | 152.10M | 152.10M | 142.05M | 137.27M | 128.89M | 125.37M |
| Total Liabilities | 251.18M | 251.18M | 240.34M | 201.83M | 206.92M | 215.75M |
| Stockholders Equity | 136.02M | 136.02M | 191.01M | 213.60M | 291.12M | 299.85M |
Cash Flow | ||||||
| Free Cash Flow | -4.64M | -4.64M | -14.65M | -18.84M | -23.48M | 4.00M |
| Operating Cash Flow | 4.32M | 4.32M | -7.66M | -10.96M | -12.72M | 15.35M |
| Investing Cash Flow | -8.94M | -8.94M | -811.00K | -2.74M | 57.46M | -9.70M |
| Financing Cash Flow | 2.48M | 2.48M | 11.33M | 12.82M | -40.39M | -6.75M |
Australian Vintage Ltd Technical Analysis
Price Trends
Market Momentum
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For AU:AVG, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 0.08 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 0.09, below the 50-day MA of 0.08, and above the 200-day MA of 0.08, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.00 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 40.72 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 8.31 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for AU:AVG.
Australian Vintage Ltd Peers Comparison
Overall Rating
AU:TWE52Neutral
AU:LRK47Neutral
AU:AVG46Neutral
AU:CBO44Neutral
AU:EDV42Neutral
AU:MBH39Underperform
Financial Indicators
| Name | Overall Rating | Market Cap | P/E Ratio | ROE | Dividend Yield | Revenue Growth | EPS Growth |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sector * | 62Neutral | $20.33B | 14.63 | -3.31% | 3.23% | 1.93% | -12.26% |
| 52Neutral | AUD 4.99B | -4.68 | -29.99% | ― | -12.18% | -347.47% | |
| 47Neutral | AUD 73.65M | -1.85 | -41.67% | ― | 14.75% | -231.49% | |
| 46Neutral | AUD 26.36M | -0.42 | -42.35% | ― | 0.14% | -594.48% | |
| 44Neutral | AUD 1.33B | -303.37 | -0.82% | 1.68% | 11.29% | -107.51% | |
| 42Neutral | AUD 6.09B | 111.17 | 1.37% | 3.56% | 1.28% | -87.89% | |
| 39Underperform | AUD 22.85M | -2.51 | -27.95% | ― | -0.25% | 60.85% |
* Consumer Defensive Sector Average
Performance Comparison
| Show on chart | Ticker | Company Name | Price | Change | % Change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AU:AVG | Australian Vintage Ltd | 0.08 | -0.05 | -38.46% | |
| AU:TWE | Treasury Wine Estates Limited | 6.25 | 0.42 | 7.20% | |
| AU:CBO | Cobram Estate Olives Ltd. | 2.71 | -0.40 | -12.92% | |
| AU:LRK | Lark Distilling Co. Ltd. | 0.68 | -0.04 | -5.56% | |
| AU:EDV | Endeavour Group Ltd | 3.37 | -0.11 | -3.08% | |
| AU:MBH | Maggie Beer Holdings Ltd. | 0.05 | -0.04 | -41.11% |
Australian Vintage Ltd Corporate Events
Australian Vintage Issues 13.5 Million Unquoted Executive Options
Australian Vintage Ltd has notified the market of the issue of a new class of unquoted equity securities, designated FY27+ Executive Options, under its employee incentive scheme. The options, totaling 13,499,996 securities, were issued on October 13,...
Australian Vintage Sells Adelaide Hills Cellar Door as It Shifts to Asset-Light Model
Australian Vintage Ltd, a leading Australian wine producer with globally recognised brands and a strong focus on innovation and sustainability, continues to expand its range of wine styles, low- and no-alcohol products and ready-to-drink formats to m...
Australian Vintage lifts CEO pay after FY26 turnaround
Australian Vintage Ltd has approved a variation to Chief Executive Officer Tom Dusseldorp’s employment agreement, increasing his remuneration from the start of the FY27 financial year in recognition of a successful FY26 turnaround. The board ci...
Australian Vintage Issues FY26 Results Presentation with Extensive Risk Disclaimers
Australian Vintage Limited has released a FY26 full-year results presentation that provides a high-level overview of the company’s activities as of August 2026, while stressing that the material is general background information and may change...
Australian Vintage turns cash flow positive as innovation-led brands drive FY26 reset
Australian Vintage reported flat revenue of $258 million for FY26 but significantly improved cash generation, delivering positive operating and underlying free cash flow for the first time since FY22 despite a reported NPAT loss of $64 million driven...
Australian Vintage Posts Heavy Losses Despite Flat Revenue
Australian Vintage Ltd reported flat total operating revenue of $257.6 million for the year to 30 June 2026 compared with the prior year, highlighting stable top-line performance in a challenging environment. However, the company’s net tangible...
Disclaimer
This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.
Date of analysis: Aug 28, 2026