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Aguia Resources Limited (AU:AGR)
ASX:AGR
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Aguia Resources Limited (AGR) AI Stock Analysis

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AU:AGR

Aguia Resources Limited

(Sydney:AGR)

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Neutral 44 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:44Neutral
Price Target:
AU$0.02
â–¼(-20.00% Downside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:07/29/26
The score is driven primarily by weak profitability and heavy cash burn (negative operating and sharply worse free cash flow), which elevate funding and execution risk. Technicals also weigh on the rating as the stock trades below major moving averages. Offsetting factors are limited, with some support from a relatively solid balance sheet (moderate leverage and meaningful equity) and early signs of revenue emergence, but not enough to overcome the current loss-making, cash-consuming profile.
Positive Factors
Balance sheet strength
A large equity base and low leverage provide a durable capital cushion for a development-stage miner. This reduces near-term insolvency risk and supports funding project studies, permitting and staged development, increasing the company's ability to execute multi‑month development plans without immediate distress.
Negative Factors
Negative operating cash flow
Persistent negative operating cash flow is a structural weakness for a developer: the core activities are not self‑funding, which raises ongoing financing needs. Over 2–6 months this increases execution and dilution risk, and may force asset sales, delays to project schedules, or reliance on costly capital.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Balance sheet strength
A large equity base and low leverage provide a durable capital cushion for a development-stage miner. This reduces near-term insolvency risk and supports funding project studies, permitting and staged development, increasing the company's ability to execute multi‑month development plans without immediate distress.
Read all positive factors

Aguia Resources Limited (AGR) vs. iShares MSCI Australia ETF (EWA)

Aguia Resources Limited Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Aguia Resources Limited is an Australian firm dedicated to the exploration and advancement of mineral resource projects throughout Brazil, with a primary focus on uncovering phosphate and copper deposits. Its principal undertakings include the Trê...
How the Company Makes Money
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Aguia Resources Limited Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Financials reflect a development-stage profile: revenue rebounded (A$299k vs. zero previously), but profitability remains very weak with a ~A$2.8m net loss and negative margins. Cash flow is a major constraint (operating cash flow ~-A$2.0m; free cash flow worsened to ~-A$10.3m), increasing funding dependence. The balance sheet is comparatively supportive with moderate leverage (debt-to-equity ~0.14) and sizable equity (~A$41.2m), but ongoing losses can erode this over time.
Income Statement
18
Very Negative
Balance Sheet
62
Positive
Cash Flow
24
Negative
BreakdownTTMJun 2025Jun 2024Jun 2023Jun 2022Jun 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue508.77K299.23K0.000.000.000.00
Gross Profit24.84K299.23K-9.00K-8.89K-8.31K-4.17K
EBITDA-2.98M-2.55M-5.79M-2.29M-2.00M-10.84M
Net Income-3.60M-2.76M-5.80M-2.24M-1.86M-10.84M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets55.93M48.11M37.28M34.33M32.38M30.20M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments1.87M579.41K1.01M437.81K3.73M4.30M
Total Debt7.69M5.73M190.00K0.000.000.00
Total Liabilities10.08M6.94M933.55K256.85K730.75K2.08M
Stockholders Equity45.84M41.17M36.35M34.08M31.65M28.13M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-3.43M-10.32M-2.65M-4.69M-3.57M-2.45M
Operating Cash Flow-2.44M-2.03M-2.06M-2.08M-1.34M-728.28K
Investing Cash Flow-10.73M-8.28M-499.32K-2.61M-2.23M-1.73M
Financing Cash Flow12.94M9.87M3.13M1.39M2.90M3.72M

Aguia Resources Limited Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price0.02
Price Trends
50DMA
0.02
Negative
100DMA
0.02
Negative
200DMA
0.02
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
>-0.01
Positive
RSI
42.17
Neutral
STOCH
16.67
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For AU:AGR, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 0.02 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 0.02, above the 50-day MA of 0.02, and above the 200-day MA of 0.02, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of >-0.01 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 42.17 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 16.67 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for AU:AGR.

Aguia Resources Limited Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
61
Neutral
$10.43B7.12-0.05%2.87%2.86%-36.73%
44
Neutral
AU$38.40M-6.67-8.26%――76.92%
44
Neutral
AU$19.89M-6.62-8.97%――94.80%
43
Neutral
AU$18.31M-4.38-23.61%――58.93%
39
Underperform
AU$21.38M-2.15-23.88%――18.68%
* Basic Materials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
AU:AGR
Aguia Resources Limited
0.02
>-0.01
-36.00%
AU:AMN
Agrimin Limited
0.05
-0.04
-41.38%
AU:EVG
BlackEarth Minerals NL
0.02
-0.01
-39.39%
AU:MNB
Minbos Resources Limited
0.02
-0.04
-70.91%

Aguia Resources Limited Corporate Events

Aguia Resources Seeks ASX Quotation for 176.8 Million New Shares
Jul 29, 2026
Aguia Resources Limited has applied to the ASX for quotation of 176,782,522 ordinary fully paid shares under its AGR ticker. The new securities, issued as part of previously announced transactions, expand the company’s quoted share capital a...
Aguia Resources Plans Major Share Placement to Raise Capital
Jul 22, 2026
Aguia Resources Limited has notified the ASX of a proposed placement of ordinary fully paid shares, with a maximum of 176,488,354 new securities to be issued. The issue is scheduled for 28 July 2026 and is intended to be quoted on the ASX, signali...
Aguia Resources Raises $3 Million to Advance Phosphate and Gold Projects
Jul 22, 2026
Aguia Resources Limited has completed a $3 million capital raising via a placement of 176.5 million new shares at $0.017, representing a discount to the prior closing price and attracting strong demand from institutional and sophisticated investor...
Aguia boosts output and slashes costs at Santa Barbara gold project
Jul 13, 2026
Aguia Resources has reported its strongest operational performance yet at the Santa Barbara Gold Project, highlighting substantial gains in gold grades, recoveries and cost efficiencies. June output reached 851.9 grams of gold from 100 tonnes of h...
Aguia boosts Santa Barbara output and slashes costs as Phase 3 mining advances
Jul 12, 2026
Aguia Resources reported its strongest operational performance to date at the Santa Barbara Gold Project, with higher gold grades, improved recoveries and a notable lift in production from a 100-tonne batch of high-grade ore. The company achieved ...
Aguia Director Restructures Shareholdings as Options Expire
Jul 9, 2026
Aguia Resources has disclosed a change in director Christina McGrath’s interests, involving the transfer of 2,000,000 fully paid ordinary shares held in escrow from her personal name to Houtskar Pty Ltd , a company of which she is the sole d...
Aguia cuts costs and advances high-grade development at Santa Barbara gold project
Jun 23, 2026
Aguia Resources reported operational improvements at its Santa Barbara gold project, where an optimised method for high-grade, narrow vein mining is delivering consistent run-of-mine feed above 10 grams per tonne and improving recoveries. The comp...
Aguia wins key Pampafos licence as Brazilian phosphate project enters commercial phase
May 26, 2026
Aguia Resources has secured a key licence from Brazil’s Ministry of Agriculture for its Pampafos project, allowing the company to commence formal marketing and phosphate sales, including the issuance of commercial invoices under sales contra...
Aguia Resources Director Increases Indirect Stake via Capital Conversion
May 22, 2026
Aguia Resources Limited has disclosed a change in director Warwick Grigor’s indirect interest in the company’s securities, held through Far East Capital Pty Ltd and Gregorach Pty Limited. The notice, lodged with the ASX, details a sign...
Aguia Updates Investor Presentation to Highlight Multi-Commodity Portfolio
May 13, 2026
Aguia Resources has released an updated investor presentation for shareholders, incorporating references to prior announcements and additional supporting information. The technical content of the materials has been reviewed and approved by qualifi...
Aguia nears operating licence as Brazilian phosphate shortages lift Pampafos appeal
May 10, 2026
Aguia Resources says it has addressed final information requests from Rio Grande do Sul environmental regulator FEPAM for the operating licence at its Tres Estradas phosphate project, paving the way for mining and processing to start at its DB pla...
Aguia Resources Issues 7.5 Million Unquoted Broker Options
May 3, 2026
Aguia Resources Limited has issued 7,500,000 unquoted broker options with an exercise price of $0.04 and an expiry date of 27 August 2027. The options, effective from 1 May 2026, form part of a previously announced transaction structure and are no...
Aguia nears production at Brazilian phosphate mine as Colombian gold output hits record
Apr 30, 2026
Aguia Resources reported that its Tres Estradas phosphate mine in southern Brazil has completed major site and processing plant works, received key mining concession licenses, and is now awaiting the final operational license from the state enviro...
Aguia Resources bolsters cash through equity as exploration spend deepens
Apr 30, 2026
Aguia Resources Limited reported a net operating cash outflow of A$1.77 million for the March 2026 quarter, driven by exploration, development, staff, and corporate costs that outweighed modest customer receipts and interest income. The company al...
Aguia Resources Issues 2 Million New Shares Without Prospectus
Apr 30, 2026
Aguia Resources Limited has issued 2,000,000 fully paid ordinary shares following the approval of Resolution 12 at its recent general meeting. The new shares were issued without a disclosure document under the Corporations Act, with the company co...
Aguia Resources Seeks ASX Quotation for 2 Million New Shares
Apr 30, 2026
Aguia Resources Limited has applied to the ASX for quotation of 2,000,000 new ordinary fully paid shares, to be listed under its existing ticker AGR. The shares, issued on April 30, 2026, arise from previously announced transactions, modestly incr...
Aguia Resources Details Internal Transfer of Director’s Escrowed Shares
Apr 29, 2026
Aguia Resources has reported a change in director Christina McGrath’s interests, primarily involving an internal transfer of 2,000,000 fully paid ordinary shares held in escrow. These shares were moved from her personal name to Houtskar Pty ...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jul 29, 2026