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Alfabs Australia Ltd. (AU:AAL)
ASX:AAL
Australian Market
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Alfabs Australia Ltd. (AAL) AI Stock Analysis

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AU:AAL

Alfabs Australia Ltd.

(Sydney:AAL)

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Neutral 53 (OpenAI - Gpt-5.6Sol)
Rating:53Neutral
Price Target:
AU$0.26
▲(7.92% Upside)
Action:Downgraded
Date:08/28/26
The score is held back primarily by weaker latest-year financial results (sharp margin/ROE decline), higher leverage, and consistently negative free cash flow. Valuation helps offset these risks with a low P/E and very high dividend yield, while technical indicators are mixed with only modest near-term improvement and a weaker longer-term trend.
Positive Factors
Infrastructure and resources exposure
Serving infrastructure, mining and heavy industrial projects gives Alfabs access to essential, asset-intensive end markets. This business positioning can support recurring project opportunities and industry relevance, although results remain tied to capital spending cycles.
Negative Factors
Sharp profitability deterioration
The steep compression in net and operating margins indicates materially weaker earnings quality and limited current profitability. Unless costs, project mix or other pressures improve, lower margins could reduce reinvestment capacity and shareholder returns.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Infrastructure and resources exposure
Serving infrastructure, mining and heavy industrial projects gives Alfabs access to essential, asset-intensive end markets. This business positioning can support recurring project opportunities and industry relevance, although results remain tied to capital spending cycles.
Read all positive factors

Alfabs Australia Ltd. (AAL) vs. iShares MSCI Australia ETF (EWA)

Alfabs Australia Ltd. Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Headquartered in Kurri Kurri, Australia, Alfabs Australia Limited, established in 2024, specializes in providing mining equipment and comprehensive engineering solutions across Australia. The company's diverse activities are organized into Mining,...
How the Company Makes Money
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Alfabs Australia Ltd. Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Financial performance is mixed. Revenue growth turned slightly negative in 2026 (-1.7%) and profitability fell sharply versus 2025 (net margin ~1.5% vs ~12.8%; EBIT margin ~8.9% vs ~19.6%). Leverage increased (debt-to-equity ~0.88 in 2026 vs ~0.53 in 2025) while returns weakened (ROE ~2.6% vs ~18.8%). Operating cash flow stayed positive, but persistent negative free cash flow (including ~-10.4m in 2026) is a key constraint.
Income Statement
52
Neutral
Balance Sheet
58
Neutral
Cash Flow
35
Negative
BreakdownJun 2026Jun 2025Jun 2024Jun 2023Jun 2022
Income Statement
Total Revenue105.34M94.95M96.27M84.42M75.48M
Gross Profit24.30M30.13M60.82M24.54M14.15M
EBITDA21.36M27.74M18.26M14.49M9.75M
Net Income1.63M12.17M3.55M4.90M3.20M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets141.10M131.81M115.78M74.13M66.12M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments13.56M8.18M23.60M2.95M3.87M
Total Debt54.71M34.40M25.54M17.43M20.26M
Total Liabilities79.07M66.95M59.04M48.63M45.44M
Stockholders Equity62.03M64.87M56.74M24.49M20.01M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-10.39M-21.49M-2.13M2.12M-1.69M
Operating Cash Flow10.91M10.63M17.34M13.51M12.22M
Investing Cash Flow-20.97M-30.60M-19.81M-11.39M-13.65M
Financing Cash Flow15.44M4.56M23.12M-2.90M4.62M

Alfabs Australia Ltd. Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price0.24
Price Trends
50DMA
0.26
Negative
100DMA
0.28
Negative
200DMA
0.33
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
<0.01
Negative
RSI
50.26
Neutral
STOCH
52.38
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For AU:AAL, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 0.24 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 0.24, below the 50-day MA of 0.26, and below the 200-day MA of 0.33, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of <0.01 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 50.26 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 52.38 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for AU:AAL.

Alfabs Australia Ltd. Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (55)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
64
Neutral
AU$103.56M2.3578.58%157.71%
55
Neutral
$6.65B3.83-15.92%6.20%10.91%7.18%
53
Neutral
AU$71.75M45.612.64%13.33%10.94%-86.59%
44
Neutral
AU$67.21M-14.82-9.85%59.91%
* General Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
AU:AAL
Alfabs Australia Ltd.
0.26
-0.22
-45.83%
AU:AGD
Austral Gold
0.17
0.12
251.06%
AU:OR3
Auroch Minerals Ltd.
0.08
0.05
118.42%
AU:EV8
Everlast Minerals Ltd
0.38
0.07
22.58%
AU:SNM
Sentinel Metals Limited
0.56
0.25
79.03%
AU:VAL
Valiant Gold Limited
0.29
-0.01
-3.33%

Alfabs Australia Ltd. Corporate Events

Alfabs Australia Issues FY26 Results Briefing With Strong Investor Disclaimers
Aug 27, 2026
Alfabs Australia Limited has issued an FY26 results presentation dated 27 August 2026, framing it strictly as general background information for recipients rather than a comprehensive or audited disclosure. The document emphasises that the materia...
Alfabs Marks Turnaround Year as Cash Generation and Shell Program Drive FY26 Results
Aug 27, 2026
Alfabs Australia Ltd. reported FY26 as a turnaround year, with revenue up 11% to $105.7 million, underlying EBITDA of $22.6 million and net debt reduced to $36.6 million, bringing leverage within its target range. Safety performance improved marke...
Alfabs CEO discloses inadvertent policy breach on small share sale
Jul 24, 2026
Alfabs Australia Limited has disclosed that its CEO, Matthew Torrance, inadvertently breached the company&#8217;s securities trading policy by selling 1,340 company shares outside an approved trading window. The trade, which resulted in a loss for...
Alfabs Australia Cuts Debt and Boosts Mining Hire in Strong Q4 FY26
Jul 14, 2026
Alfabs Australia Limited reported a strong Q4 FY26, highlighting continued outperformance in its mining equipment hire division and steady demand, with average daily hire rates rising and assets redeployed after the Dartbrook mine entered administ...
Alfabs Australia Cancels 50,000 Lapsed Performance Rights
Jul 1, 2026
Alfabs Australia Ltd. has informed the market that 50,000 performance rights, trading under the ASX code AALAF, have lapsed after the conditions attached to these rights were not met or became incapable of being satisfied. The cessation of these s...
Alfabs Australia Issues 400,000 Unquoted Performance Rights Under Incentive Plan
Jul 1, 2026
Alfabs Australia Ltd. has notified the ASX of the issuance of 400,000 unquoted performance rights under its employee incentive scheme, with an expiry date of 1 July 2030. The new securities, not intended to be quoted on the exchange, indicate the ...
Alfabs Australia Names New Director With No Current Shareholdings
Jun 22, 2026
Alfabs Australia Limited has appointed Glen Robinson as a director effective 18 June 2026, according to an initial director&#8217;s interest notice lodged with the ASX. The filing confirms that Robinson holds no relevant interests in the company&#...
Alfabs Adds Veteran Mining Executive Glen Robinson to Board
Jun 19, 2026
Alfabs Australia Limited has appointed veteran mining executive Glen Robinson as an independent non-executive director, effective 18 June 2026, further bolstering its board and governance structure. Robinson, who will also join the Audit and Risk ...
Alfabs to Release Escrowed Shares and Options Without Changing Issued Capital
Jun 18, 2026
Alfabs Australia Limited has announced the scheduled release from escrow of 153,570,173 ordinary fully paid shares and a total of 18,500,000 unquoted options, all due to come out of escrow on 28 June 2026. The company emphasised that this escrow r...
Alfabs Details Executive Director Remuneration and Option Grant
Jun 5, 2026
Alfabs Australia Limited has confirmed the terms of employment for newly appointed Executive Director Peter White, whose role is ongoing and subject to standard termination provisions. His remuneration package includes a base salary of $450,000 pl...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Aug 28, 2026