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Alfabs Australia Ltd. (AU:AAL)
ASX:AAL
Australian Market
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Alfabs Australia Ltd. (AAL) AI Stock Analysis

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AU:AAL

Alfabs Australia Ltd.

(Sydney:AAL)

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Neutral 49 (OpenAI - Gpt-5.6Sol)
Rating:49Neutral
Price Target:
AU$0.20
▼(-17.08% Downside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:10/01/26
The score is held back primarily by weakened financial performance (sharp 2026 margin/earnings decline, higher leverage, and persistently negative free cash flow). Technicals are mixed with negative MACD and price below longer-term averages, offset slightly by near-term strength. Valuation is a blend of a high dividend yield but a high P/E multiple, limiting upside attractiveness versus recent fundamentals.
Positive Factors
Established infrastructure exposure
Serving major infrastructure, mining, resources, transport, and heavy-industrial projects gives Alfabs exposure to established end markets with substantial physical requirements. Its fabrication and industrial-service capabilities can support repeat project participation and provide a durable operating foundation.
Negative Factors
Sharp profitability deterioration
The sharp contraction in both net and EBIT margins shows that recent revenue has translated into substantially less profit. Unless margins recover, weaker earnings reduce internal funding capacity, lower returns on capital, and make performance more sensitive to cost or project pressures.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Established infrastructure exposure
Serving major infrastructure, mining, resources, transport, and heavy-industrial projects gives Alfabs exposure to established end markets with substantial physical requirements. Its fabrication and industrial-service capabilities can support repeat project participation and provide a durable operating foundation.
Read all positive factors

Alfabs Australia Ltd. (AAL) vs. iShares MSCI Australia ETF (EWA)

Alfabs Australia Ltd. Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Headquartered in Kurri Kurri, Australia, Alfabs Australia Limited, established in 2024, specializes in providing mining equipment and comprehensive engineering solutions across Australia. The company's diverse activities are organized into Mining,...
How the Company Makes Money
null...

Alfabs Australia Ltd. Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Moderate financial profile. Revenue growth slowed with a 2026 decline (-1.7%) and profitability fell sharply (net margin ~12.8% in 2025 to ~1.5% in 2026; EBIT margin ~19.6% to ~8.9%). Leverage increased (debt-to-equity ~0.88 in 2026 vs ~0.53 in 2025) while returns weakened (ROE ~2.6% vs ~18.8%), and free cash flow has been persistently negative, including about -10.4m in 2026 despite positive operating cash flow.
Income Statement
52
Neutral
Balance Sheet
58
Neutral
Cash Flow
35
Negative
BreakdownJun 2026Jun 2025Jun 2024Jun 2023Jun 2022
Income Statement
Total Revenue105.34M94.95M96.27M84.42M75.48M
Gross Profit24.30M30.13M60.82M24.54M14.15M
EBITDA21.36M27.74M18.26M14.49M9.75M
Net Income1.63M12.17M3.55M4.90M3.20M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets141.10M131.81M115.78M74.13M66.12M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments13.56M8.18M23.60M2.95M3.87M
Total Debt54.71M34.40M25.54M17.43M20.26M
Total Liabilities79.07M66.95M59.04M48.63M45.44M
Stockholders Equity62.03M64.87M56.74M24.49M20.01M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-10.39M-21.49M-2.13M2.12M-1.69M
Operating Cash Flow10.91M10.63M17.34M13.51M12.22M
Investing Cash Flow-20.97M-30.60M-19.81M-11.39M-13.65M
Financing Cash Flow15.44M4.56M23.12M-2.90M4.62M

Alfabs Australia Ltd. Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price0.24
Price Trends
50DMA
0.23
Negative
100DMA
0.25
Negative
200DMA
0.30
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
>-0.01
Positive
RSI
36.87
Neutral
STOCH
24.44
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For AU:AAL, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 0.24 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 0.22, above the 50-day MA of 0.23, and below the 200-day MA of 0.30, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of >-0.01 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 36.87 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 24.44 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for AU:AAL.

Alfabs Australia Ltd. Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (55)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
55
Neutral
$6.65B3.83-15.92%6.20%10.91%7.18%
55
Neutral
AU$80.17M1.6778.58%13.92%157.71%―
49
Neutral
AU$57.40M35.092.64%7.56%10.94%-86.59%
44
Neutral
AU$43.15M-14.82-9.85%――-11.36%
* General Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
AU:AAL
Alfabs Australia Ltd.
0.20
-0.29
-59.18%
AU:AGD
Austral Gold
0.12
0.04
51.90%
AU:OR3
Auroch Minerals Ltd.
0.05
<0.01
15.56%
AU:EV8
Everlast Minerals Ltd
0.36
0.04
12.50%
AU:SNM
Sentinel Metals Limited
0.30
-0.01
-3.23%
AU:VAL
Valiant Gold Limited
0.25
-0.05
-18.33%

Alfabs Australia Ltd. Corporate Events

Alfabs Australia Sets Hybrid 2026 AGM and Moves to Digital Meeting Materials
Oct 28, 2026
Alfabs Australia Limited has released its 2026 Notice of Annual General Meeting, confirming that the AGM will be held on 27 November 2026 at Rydges Newcastle and simultaneously as a virtual meeting. The company is transitioning toward electronic d...
Alfabs Australia Formalises ASX-Aligned Corporate Governance Framework
Sep 25, 2026
Alfabs Australia Ltd. has formalised its governance framework in line with ASX Corporate Governance Council principles, adopting charters and policies that set out the roles of its board, senior management, and key committees. The company publishe...
Alfabs Australia Details Performance and Priorities in 2026 Annual Report
Sep 25, 2026
Alfabs Australia Ltd has released its 2026 Annual Report, outlining financial and operational highlights, divisional performance, and strategic priorities. The document covers the Mining and Engineering divisions, business priorities, and a detail...
Alfabs Director Peter White Increases Indirect Shareholding
Sep 18, 2026
Alfabs Australia Ltd. reported a change in director Peter White&#8217;s indirect interest in the company&#8217;s securities, as required under ASX listing rules. White, through PJW KDS Ventures Pty Ltd, acquired 1,300,000 ordinary shares in an of...
Alfabs sets hybrid 2026 AGM and director nomination timetable
Sep 14, 2026
Alfabs Australia Limited has scheduled its 2026 Annual General Meeting for 2:00pm AEDT on Friday, 27 November 2026, and will run the event in a hybrid format, allowing shareholders to attend either in person or online. The company plans to release...
Alfabs Australia Issues FY26 Results Briefing With Strong Investor Disclaimers
Aug 27, 2026
Alfabs Australia Limited has issued an FY26 results presentation dated 27 August 2026, framing it strictly as general background information for recipients rather than a comprehensive or audited disclosure. The document emphasises that the materia...
Alfabs Marks Turnaround Year as Cash Generation and Shell Program Drive FY26 Results
Aug 27, 2026
Alfabs Australia Ltd. reported FY26 as a turnaround year, with revenue up 11% to $105.7 million, underlying EBITDA of $22.6 million and net debt reduced to $36.6 million, bringing leverage within its target range. Safety performance improved marke...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Oct 01, 2026