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American Tower (AMT)
NYSE:AMT

American Tower (AMT) AI Stock Analysis

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AM

American Tower

(NYSE:AMT)

73Outperform
American Tower's robust financial performance, particularly in profitability and operational efficiency, is a key strength. The technical indicators are favorable, suggesting positive momentum. However, the high P/E ratio and significant leverage are concerns. The recent earnings call and corporate event indicate strong initial growth for 2025, but caution is warranted due to potential economic and market challenges.
Positive Factors
Carrier Trends
U.S. carrier activity was healthy, with applications increasing and more than doubling year over year.
Data Center Demand
Data center demand remains strong with record leasing and revenue growth expected to accelerate.
Financial Performance
AMT reported upside 1Q25 results and raised its 2025 guidance for revenue, EBITDA, and AFFO/share.
Negative Factors
FX and Interest Expenses
AFFO/share growth forecasts for 2025 of 4.4% at the mid-point reflect 270bp of FX headwinds and 170bp of higher interest expense, with churn creating additional headwinds.
U.S. Leasing Estimates
2025 U.S leasing of $165-170 million missed estimates of $183 million.

American Tower (AMT) vs. S&P 500 (SPY)

American Tower Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionAmerican Tower Corporation, one of the largest global REITs, is a leading independent owner, operator and developer of multitenant communications real estate with a portfolio of approximately 219,000 communications sites. For more information about American Tower, please visit the Earnings Materials and Investor Presentations sections of our investor relations website at www.americantower.com.
How the Company Makes MoneyAmerican Tower primarily makes money by leasing space on its communications sites to wireless service providers, radio and television broadcast companies, wireless data providers, government agencies, and municipalities. The company enters into long-term contracts with these tenants, providing stable and predictable revenue streams. Additionally, American Tower offers managed rooftop and indoor antenna infrastructure services. The company benefits from the growing demand for mobile data, the expansion of 5G networks, and the increasing need for wireless infrastructure, which drive the demand for its tower space. Strategic partnerships with major telecommunications companies further bolster its revenue, as these partnerships often involve long-term agreements and shared investments in infrastructure development.

American Tower Financial Statement Overview

Summary
American Tower demonstrates robust profitability and efficient operations, as seen in its strong margins and cash flow ratios. However, the high leverage and modest revenue growth may present challenges in sustaining long-term financial stability. Strategic initiatives to enhance revenue growth and manage debt could strengthen their financial position.
Income Statement
75
Positive
American Tower's income statement shows solid profitability with a gross profit margin of 74.5% and a net profit margin of 17.3% for TTM. However, the revenue growth is relatively flat compared to the previous year, indicating a need for stronger top-line growth. The EBIT margin of 33.2% and EBITDA margin of 59.1% are strong, reflecting efficient operations.
Balance Sheet
60
Neutral
The balance sheet reveals a high debt-to-equity ratio of 12.56, which could pose financial risks if interest rates rise or cash flows decrease. The equity ratio of 6.1% is low, indicating a heavy reliance on debt financing. Return on equity stands at 51.7%, showcasing strong profitability relative to shareholder investment.
Cash Flow
70
Positive
Cash flow analysis shows a steady operating cash flow with a high operating cash flow to net income ratio of 2.9, indicating good cash conversion. Free cash flow growth is moderate at 2.1% TTM, suggesting stable but not rapid expansion. The free cash flow to net income ratio is strong at 2.1, reflecting effective capital management.
Breakdown
Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
10.13B11.14B10.71B9.36B8.04B
Gross Profit
7.55B7.88B7.45B6.67B5.81B
EBIT
4.52B3.02B2.35B3.13B2.89B
EBITDA
6.69B6.01B6.46B5.88B5.00B
Net Income Common Stockholders
2.25B1.48B1.77B2.57B1.69B
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
2.00B1.97B2.03B1.95B1.75B
Total Assets
61.08B66.03B67.19B69.89B47.23B
Total Debt
43.95B47.15B47.05B52.01B36.71B
Net Debt
41.95B45.18B45.02B50.06B34.97B
Total Liabilities
51.43B55.16B54.79B60.82B42.45B
Stockholders Equity
3.38B4.20B5.57B5.08B4.09B
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
3.70B2.92B1.82B3.44B2.85B
Operating Cash Flow
5.29B4.72B3.70B4.82B3.88B
Investing Cash Flow
410.60M-1.70B-2.36B-20.69B-4.78B
Financing Cash Flow
-5.45B-3.10B-1.42B16.42B1.22B

American Tower Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price219.97
Price Trends
50DMA
213.82
Positive
100DMA
199.53
Positive
200DMA
207.29
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
2.49
Positive
RSI
53.93
Neutral
STOCH
58.20
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For AMT, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 219.97 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 218.68, above the 50-day MA of 213.82, and above the 200-day MA of 207.29, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 2.49 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 53.93 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 58.20 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for AMT.

American Tower Risk Analysis

American Tower disclosed 21 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. American Tower reported the most risks in the “Legal & Regulatory” category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

American Tower Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (60)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
78
Outperform
$85.63B91.767.08%2.03%6.36%-3.54%
74
Outperform
$26.09B32.03-14.67%1.71%-0.29%47.83%
AMAMT
73
Outperform
$104.77B57.4580.05%3.01%-6.05%-11.75%
IRIRM
69
Neutral
$28.25B233.39-35.81%2.96%11.04%-37.29%
WYWY
61
Neutral
$18.52B51.543.71%3.12%-6.56%-54.29%
60
Neutral
$2.80B11.090.20%8508.36%6.13%-16.84%
CCCCI
55
Neutral
$46.53B33.81-198.54%6.06%-12.57%-375.80%
* Real Estate Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
AMT
American Tower
219.97
41.39
23.18%
CCI
Crown Castle
105.00
11.44
12.23%
EQIX
Equinix
864.39
122.03
16.44%
IRM
Iron Mountain
97.07
19.59
25.28%
SBAC
SBA Communications
239.69
45.91
23.69%
WY
Weyerhaeuser
26.21
-3.95
-13.10%

American Tower Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Apr 29, 2025
(Q1-2025)
|
% Change Since: 4.10%|
Next Earnings Date:Jul 24, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
American Tower reported a strong start to 2025, with significant growth in the U.S. services business and CoreSite. However, challenges such as Sprint churn and FX headwinds were noted, along with a cautious outlook due to global economic uncertainties.
Q1-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Start to Fiscal Year 2025
American Tower exceeded initial expectations across property revenue, adjusted EBITDA, and attributable AFFO per share for the quarter.
U.S. Services Business Growth
The U.S. services business delivered its highest quarter of revenue and gross profit since 2021, with applications rising nearly 30% compared to Q4 2024 and up roughly 60% versus Q1 2024.
CoreSite Performance
CoreSite posted high-single-digit revenue growth, supported by strong leasing and continued pricing favorability.
Successful Capital Market Activities
American Tower issued $1 billion in senior unsecured notes at a weighted average cost of just over 5%, reducing net leverage to 5 times.
Positive International Growth
International property revenue grew 8% excluding FX impacts, with strong performance in emerging markets like Nigeria and Brazil.
Negative Updates
Impact of Sprint Churn
U.S. and Canada property revenue declined approximately 1% due to over 1% negative impact from Sprint churn.
FX Headwinds
The company absorbed approximately 300 basis points of FX headwinds, affecting consolidated property revenue growth.
Challenging Global Economic Backdrop
Concerns were raised about the global economic backdrop, potential uncertainty in emerging markets, and FX volatility.
Company Guidance
During the American Tower First Quarter 2025 Earnings Conference Call, the company provided comprehensive guidance highlighting several key financial metrics. American Tower exceeded initial expectations in property revenue, adjusted EBITDA, and attributable AFFO per share for the quarter. The company reported a 4.7% growth in consolidated organic tenant billings, with U.S. and Canada property revenue growing over 3.5%, excluding non-cash straight-line impacts. The international segment showed a roughly flat year-over-year performance, but with 8% growth excluding FX fluctuations. CoreSite's performance was robust, driven by strong leasing and pricing, contributing to a 9% growth in property revenue. The company revised its full-year outlook, raising expectations for property revenue by $50 million, adjusted EBITDA by $30 million, attributable AFFO by $20 million, and attributable AFFO per share by $0.04, primarily due to updated FX assumptions. For 2025, American Tower expects consolidated organic tenant billings growth of approximately 5%, supported by strong leasing trends and prudent cost management, which expanded cash-adjusted EBITDA margin by nearly 70 basis points to 68.2%.

American Tower Corporate Events

Executive/Board Changes
American Tower Reviews Executive Compensation for 2025
Neutral
Mar 5, 2025

On February 27, 2025, American Tower Corporation’s Compensation Committee reviewed the compensation arrangements for its executive officers for the year ending December 31, 2025. The committee set base salaries and cash bonus targets for the CEO, CFO, and other top executives, with potential bonuses tied to the achievement of company and individual goals. Sanjay Goel, the Executive Vice President and President of Asia-Pacific, will leave the company on March 31, 2025, and will receive prorated compensation for his service in 2025.

Glossary
OutperformA stock rated as "Outperform" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider this stock a good buying opportunity.
NeutralA stock rated as "Neutral" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly attractive nor unattractive for investment. Investors may consider holding onto the stock, as it is not expected to either significantly outperform or underperform the market.
UnderperformA stock rated as "Underperform" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock may deliver lower returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider selling the stock or avoiding it as an investment.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.