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American Homes (AMH)
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American Homes (AMH) AI Stock Analysis

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AMH

American Homes

(NYSE:AMH)

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Outperform 74 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:74Outperform
Price Target:
$39.00
â–²(19.49% Upside)
American Homes' strong financial performance and positive earnings call guidance are significant strengths, contributing to a high score. However, technical analysis indicates bearish trends, and valuation metrics suggest potential overvaluation. The strategic focus on growth and strong balance sheet are positive, but the challenging acquisition environment poses a risk.
Positive Factors
Revenue Growth
Consistent revenue growth and strong profit margins indicate a robust business model, supporting long-term financial stability and investor confidence.
Strong Balance Sheet
A strong balance sheet with low leverage and ample liquidity enhances financial flexibility, enabling strategic investments and weathering economic fluctuations.
Development Program
Successful execution of the development program showcases operational efficiency and supports growth by expanding the portfolio in a challenging market.
Negative Factors
Challenging Acquisition Environment
A difficult acquisition environment limits growth opportunities, potentially impacting future revenue expansion and market share in the competitive real estate sector.
Rising Debt Levels
Increasing debt levels can strain financial resources, potentially affecting cash flow and limiting the company's ability to invest in growth initiatives.
Decline in Free Cash Flow Growth
A significant decline in free cash flow growth may hinder future investments and strategic initiatives, affecting long-term growth prospects and financial health.

American Homes (AMH) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

American Homes Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionAmerican Homes 4 Rent (NYSE: AMH) is a leader in the single-family home rental industry and American Homes 4 Rent is fast becoming a nationally recognized brand for rental homes, known for high-quality, good value and tenant satisfaction. We are an internally managed Maryland real estate investment trust, or REIT, focused on acquiring, developing, renovating, leasing, and operating attractive, single-family homes as rental properties. As of September 30, 2020, we owned 53,229 single-family properties in selected submarkets in 22 states.
How the Company Makes MoneyAmerican Homes generates revenue primarily through rental income from its portfolio of single-family homes. The company acquires homes in strategic markets, renovates them to meet quality standards, and leases them to tenants, thus creating a steady cash flow from monthly rental payments. Additionally, AMH benefits from economies of scale in property management and maintenance, which helps to optimize operational costs. The company may also engage in ancillary revenue streams, such as lease-up fees and service fees related to property management. Significant partnerships with real estate brokers and investment firms can enhance its acquisition capabilities and investor outreach, contributing to overall earnings growth.

American Homes Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Jul 31, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Oct 30, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The company's earnings call demonstrated strong operational performance with increased guidance, solid leasing and revenue growth, and effective debt management. However, the acquisition environment remains challenging, limiting potential growth through acquisitions.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Increased Core FFO Guidance
The company increased its full year Core FFO per share guidance by $0.03 to $1.86 at the midpoint, representing 5.1% growth.
Strong Leasing and Revenue Growth
Foot traffic was up more than 5% year-over-year, driving solid leasing and rate growth. Same-Home average occupied days were 96.3%, and new renewal and blended rental rate spreads were 4.1%, 4.4%, and 4.3%, respectively.
Positive Property Tax Developments
The state of Texas passed a new round of property tax relief that lowers property tax rates for 2025 and 2026, positively impacting the company's outlook.
AMH Development Program on Track
Delivered 636 homes to wholly owned and joint venture portfolios, demonstrating the company's ability to create value in a challenging acquisition environment.
Strong Balance Sheet
Net debt to adjusted EBITDA was down to 5.2x, with a $1.25 billion revolving credit facility fully undrawn and $323 million of cash available.
Negative Updates
Challenging Acquisition Environment
The vast majority of potential acquisition properties did not meet the company's buy box criteria, with only 5 homes acquired during the quarter.
Limited Portfolio Acquisitions
Despite reviewing thousands of assets, most did not meet the company's acquisition criteria, reflecting a challenging market for acquisitions.
Company Guidance
During the AMH Second Quarter 2025 Earnings Conference Call, the company provided updated guidance metrics and insights into their operational strategy. AMH increased its full-year Core FFO per share guidance by $0.03 to $1.86 at the midpoint, representing a 5.1% growth, placing them at the top of the residential sector. Key performance metrics for the second quarter included a Same-Home average occupied days of 96.3% and new, renewal, and blended rental rate spreads of 4.1%, 4.4%, and 4.3%, respectively. Same-Home core revenue growth was 3.9% for the quarter, bolstered by better-than-expected collections. On the expense side, Core operating expense growth was 3.6%, leading to Same-Home Core NOI growth of 4.1%. The company expects a flatter seasonal curve in the latter half of 2025 compared to 2024, with blended spreads remaining in the high 3% area. AMH's development program delivered 636 homes in the second quarter, and they sold 370 properties for approximately $120 million. The balance sheet remains strong, with a net debt to adjusted EBITDA ratio of 5.2x and $323 million in cash available. The company also raised $650 million in a 5-year bond offering at a 4.95% coupon rate.

American Homes Financial Statement Overview

Summary
American Homes demonstrates solid financial health with strong revenue growth and profitability. The balance sheet reflects a stable capital structure, though rising debt levels warrant attention. Cash flow generation is strong, but recent declines in free cash flow growth could affect future investments.
Income Statement
85
Very Positive
American Homes shows strong revenue growth with a TTM increase of 1.93% and consistent gross profit margins around 56%. The net profit margin is healthy at 23.52%, indicating effective cost management. However, the slight decline in EBITDA margin from 63.37% in 2023 to 50.22% in TTM suggests some pressure on operational efficiency.
Balance Sheet
78
Positive
The company maintains a moderate debt-to-equity ratio of 0.72, reflecting a balanced approach to leverage. Return on equity is stable at 5.94%, showing consistent profitability. The equity ratio stands at 52.72%, indicating a solid capital structure. However, the increasing debt levels over the years could pose a risk if not managed carefully.
Cash Flow
70
Positive
Operating cash flow to net income ratio is strong at 1.72, suggesting robust cash generation relative to earnings. However, free cash flow growth has declined significantly by 94.8% in TTM, which could impact future investment capabilities. The free cash flow to net income ratio remains healthy at 83.94%, indicating good cash conversion.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue1.80B1.73B1.62B1.49B1.30B1.17B
Gross Profit1.01B961.30M883.87M802.29M701.06M623.06M
EBITDA978.48M874.31M806.26M731.54M640.72M570.44M
Net Income426.52M412.43M380.17M273.14M189.09M140.37M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets13.59B13.38B12.69B12.18B10.96B9.59B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments323.26M199.41M59.38M69.16M48.20M137.06M
Total Debt5.17B5.03B4.48B4.54B3.90B2.86B
Total Liabilities5.75B5.53B5.04B5.00B4.22B3.12B
Stockholders Equity7.17B7.16B6.97B6.50B6.06B5.79B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow697.59M689.78M604.51M526.74M472.65M369.28M
Operating Cash Flow831.02M811.53M738.69M665.52M595.20M474.10M
Investing Cash Flow-946.37M-825.88M-692.58M-1.43B-1.73B-642.92M
Financing Cash Flow-300.09M142.70M-42.21M786.18M1.06B269.78M

American Homes Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price32.64
Price Trends
50DMA
34.17
Negative
100DMA
35.21
Negative
200DMA
35.30
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.48
Positive
RSI
37.89
Neutral
STOCH
28.97
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For AMH, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 32.64 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 33.32, below the 50-day MA of 34.17, and below the 200-day MA of 35.30, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.48 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 37.89 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 28.97 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for AMH.

American Homes Risk Analysis

American Homes disclosed 46 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. American Homes reported the most risks in the "Legal & Regulatory" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

American Homes Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (65)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
75
Outperform
$16.11B12.5817.52%6.12%-14.17%1097.53%
75
Outperform
$16.35B28.079.67%4.40%1.19%10.52%
74
Outperform
$12.12B29.545.99%3.55%7.19%15.70%
69
Neutral
$17.59B63.985.64%4.05%4.41%-0.16%
68
Neutral
$12.06B94.943.97%4.70%2.29%-4.89%
67
Neutral
$14.78B72.873.40%4.01%0.76%-60.70%
65
Neutral
$2.17B12.193.79%4.94%3.15%1.96%
* Real Estate Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
AMH
American Homes
32.64
-4.47
-12.05%
MAA
Mid-America Apartment
136.70
-11.95
-8.04%
SUI
Sun Communities
130.14
8.41
6.91%
UDR
UDR
36.38
-6.41
-14.98%
CPT
Camden Property
104.20
-12.32
-10.57%
INVH
Invitation Homes
28.64
-4.67
-14.02%

American Homes Corporate Events

Business Operations and Strategy
American Homes Releases Strategic Investor Highlights
Positive
Sep 3, 2025

On September 3, 2025, American Homes 4 Rent released its ‘Investor Highlights’ presentation, detailing its strategic focus and operational performance. The company emphasized its growth through a robust development pipeline and a strong balance sheet, with plans to deliver between 2,200 and 2,400 homes in 2025. AMH’s strategy includes geographic diversification, leveraging technology for superior resident experiences, and maintaining high occupancy rates. The company is positioned for sustainable growth amid a national housing shortage and increasing demand for single-family rentals, with a focus on optimizing its portfolio and capital management.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Sep 04, 2025