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Ambiq Micro, Inc. (AMBQ) AI Stock Analysis

AMBQ

Ambiq Micro, Inc.

(NYSE:AMBQ)

Select Model
Rating:55Neutral
Price Target:$49.00â–²(2.57% Upside)
Action:reiterated
Date:08/11/26

AMBQ scores in the mid-range primarily because financial performance remains constrained by persistent losses, ongoing cash burn, and a sharp 2025 revenue decline, despite a very low-debt balance sheet and improving gross margins. The latest earnings call adds meaningful support via strong growth/margin guidance and a strengthened cash position, but technicals are currently weak (below key short-term averages with negative MACD) and valuation is less compelling due to negative earnings and no dividend yield.

Positive Factors
Low-Leverage Balance SheetA substantial cash balance with no debt gives Ambiq financial flexibility to fund product development, absorb operating volatility, and pursue growth without near-term interest or refinancing pressure. This strengthens resilience while the company scales its semiconductor and software platforms.
Negative Factors
Persistent Losses and Cash BurnAmbiq remains dependent on its existing capital base or future financing because operations are not yet self-funding. Continued losses and negative free cash flow can limit strategic flexibility over time, even with improved burn, and leave profitability dependent on successful scale and cost discipline.

Ambiq Micro, Inc. Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Revenue by Geography

$0.00$10.00M$20.00M$30.00MMar 25Jun 25Sep 25Dec 25Mar 26Jun 26
Chart Insights
Data provided by:The Fly

Ambiq Micro, Inc. (AMBQ) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

-50%0%50%100%150%200%250%AMBQ+73.46%SPY+11.79%Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26
Market Cap
$1.16B
Dividend Yield
―
Average Volume (3M)
470.56K
Price to Earnings (P/E)
-22.5
Beta (1Y)
2.52
Revenue Growth
31.88%
EPS Growth
5.50%
Country
US
Employees
201
Sector
General
Sector Strength
55
Industry
Semiconductors

Ambiq Micro, Inc. Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Ambiq Micro, Inc. specializes in designing highly energy-efficient integrated circuits, tailored specifically for applications where power consumption is a critical factor. The company leverages its advanced subthreshold power-optimized technology to...

Ambiq Micro, Inc. Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Aug 10, 2026(Q2-2026)|% Change Since:-25.27%|Next Earnings Date:Nov 09, 2026
Earnings Call SentimentPositive

The call conveyed strong operational and financial momentum with near-doubling revenue, materially improved gross profit and margins, robust product demand and a strengthened balance sheet from recent financings. These positives are tempered by industry-wide supply constraints that limit near-term revenue realization, ongoing net losses and elevated, recurring R&D/IP and SG&A spending to fund growth and product road maps. Management is optimistic about converting deferred demand as capacity expands and advancing a deep product pipeline.

Positive Updates

Strong Revenue Growth
Net sales of $33.9M in Q2, up 89.7% year-over-year and ahead of guidance; fifth consecutive quarter of sequential growth; company expects Q3 revenue to grow ~100% year-over-year and full-year 2026 net sales of approximately $135M.

Negative Updates

Industry-Wide Supply Constraints
Company is increasingly supply constrained across wafers, packaging, substrates and testing; management expects available supply to limit near-term revenue, deferring demand despite strong orders and backlog; some customer preorder quantities were 3–5x expectations and could not be fulfilled immediately.

Company Guidance

Ambiq guided third-quarter net sales of $36.0–37.0 million (management said this implies roughly 100% YoY growth on current visibility), with non‑GAAP gross margin of 46.5%–47.5%, non‑GAAP operating expense of $24.0–25.0 million (including about $2.0 million of IP purchases), and non‑GAAP loss per share of $0.20–0.12 on a weighted average share count of ~24.17 million; for full‑year 2026 they expect approximately $135 million in net sales, roughly $85 million of full‑year non‑GAAP OpEx (including $7–10 million of IP purchases) and a modest year‑over‑year gross‑margin improvement, while noting the outlook is constrained by industry supply limits — context from Q2: net sales $33.9M (+89.7% YoY), non‑GAAP gross profit $16.0M (+109.3% YoY), 47.2% non‑GAAP gross margin, non‑GAAP R&D $11.2M, non‑GAAP SG&A $8.2M, non‑GAAP net loss $1.8M (loss per share $0.07 on 21.74M shares), and $366.8M cash (no debt, including ~$168M net proceeds from the June follow‑on; ~$243M raised year‑to‑date).

Ambiq Micro, Inc. Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Financials are mixed: a strong, low-debt balance sheet and improving gross margin are positives, but profitability remains weak with sizable net losses, and cash flow is still negative despite an improved burn rate. The sharp 2025 revenue contraction is a major near-term risk and increases uncertainty around the path to profitability.

Income Statement

18Very Negative

Balance Sheet

72Positive

Cash Flow

28Negative
Financial statement breakdown
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue97.87M72.51M76.07M65.54M91.01M50.97M
Gross Profit42.69M25.70M24.29M19.44M30.77M21.57M
EBITDA-30.02M-29.21M-33.39M-42.59M-21.85M-18.29M
Net Income-36.97M-36.46M-39.66M-50.33M-25.34M-25.22M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets435.62M184.68M104.28M72.43M105.13M99.68M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments366.77M140.28M60.98M27.32M25.92M65.05M
Total Debt4.58M678.00K966.00K1.02M00
Total Liabilities30.95M22.22M18.53M13.30M16.12M7.38M
Stockholders Equity404.67M162.46M85.75M59.13M89.01M92.30M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-38.34M-27.13M-25.16M-29.98M-57.50M-39.23M
Operating Cash Flow-29.82M-19.69M-21.43M-26.96M-52.88M-34.64M
Investing Cash Flow-10.20M-7.44M-3.73M-3.02M-4.62M-4.59M
Financing Cash Flow359.24M106.38M58.84M31.77M18.20M94.06M

Ambiq Micro, Inc. Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis SentimentNegative
Last Price47.77

Price Trends

50DMA59.41Negative
100DMA67.03Negative
200DMA53.68Negative

Market Momentum

MACD-3.01Negative
RSI34.40Neutral
STOCH55.94Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For AMBQ, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 47.77 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 54.42, below the 50-day MA of 59.41, and below the 200-day MA of 53.68, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -3.01 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 34.40 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 55.94 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for AMBQ.

Ambiq Micro, Inc. Risk Analysis

Ambiq Micro, Inc. disclosed 62 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Ambiq Micro, Inc. reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.

Higher RiskSector Avg.Lower RiskFinance & CorporateTech & InnovationLegal & RegulatoryProductionAbility to SellMacro & Political
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy

Latest Risks Added

3 New Risks
1.Stockholders who maintain, either directly or through depository agents, securities accounts with CDP in order to trade our common stock on the SGX-ST ("CDP Depositors") may be diluted as they may not be able to participate in any additional equity fundraising or rights issue.Q2, 2026
2.Transfer between our common stock traded on the SGX-ST and our common stock traded on NYSE may adversely affect the liquidity and/or trading price of the other.Q2, 2026
3.The time required for transfers of our common stock between the SGX-ST and NYSE may be longer than expected, and investors may not be able to settle or effect any sale of their securities during such transfer periods, furthermore, such transfers may involve significant costs.Q2, 2026

Ambiq Micro, Inc. Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform
Sector (55)

Financial Indicators

AMBQ against its peers
NameOverall RatingMarket CapP/E RatioROEDividend YieldRevenue GrowthEPS Growth
NXPINXPI82Outperform$65.44B20.3029.17%1.56%8.77%39.24%
SLABSLAB65Neutral$7.42B-188.28-3.59%―21.71%63.22%
MCHPMCHP63Neutral$42.00B107.166.90%2.35%20.93%―
STMSTM60Neutral$41.72B80.122.97%0.77%15.81%-2.21%
SYNASYNA59Neutral$4.68B-9.34-38.70%―11.44%-940.34%
Sector *55Neutral$6.65B3.83-15.92%6.20%10.91%7.18%
AMBQAMBQ55Neutral$1.16B-22.53-15.21%―31.88%5.50%

* General Sector Average

Performance Comparison

0%100%200%AMBQMCHPNXPISLABSTMSYNADec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26
AMBQ and its peers over the selected period
Show on chartTickerCompany NamePriceChange% Change
AMBQAmbiq Micro, Inc.47.7718.4863.09%
MCHPMicrochip Technology77.3416.5227.17%
NXPINXP Semiconductors259.6152.8725.57%
SLABSilicon Laboratories222.4594.4973.84%
STMStmicroelectronics N.V.46.7422.5393.05%
SYNASynaptics117.8646.8465.95%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.

Date of analysis: Aug 11, 2026