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Ambiq Micro, Inc. (AMBQ)
NYSE:AMBQ
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Ambiq Micro, Inc. (AMBQ) AI Stock Analysis

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AMBQ

Ambiq Micro, Inc.

(NYSE:AMBQ)

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Neutral 46 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:46Neutral
Price Target:
$30.00
▲(10.01% Upside)
Ambiq Micro, Inc. faces significant challenges with profitability and cash flow, impacting its financial performance score. Technical indicators suggest bearish momentum, further weighing on the stock. Valuation is neutral due to lack of earnings and dividends. The earnings call provided a mixed outlook with strategic shifts but highlighted ongoing financial challenges.
Positive Factors
Product Innovation
The introduction of the Apollo510 Lite SoC series positions Ambiq Micro to capitalize on the growing demand for edge AI, enhancing its competitive edge in IoT and wearable markets.
Strategic Market Shift
Moving focus from China to higher-value markets can diversify revenue streams and reduce geopolitical risks, potentially stabilizing long-term growth.
New Customer Acquisition
Securing high-profile customers like Whoop demonstrates Ambiq's capability in the wearables market, potentially driving future revenue and market share growth.
Negative Factors
Profitability Challenges
Persistent negative margins indicate operational inefficiencies, which could hinder long-term profitability and limit reinvestment capabilities.
Cash Flow Issues
Negative operating cash flow suggests ongoing cash management challenges, potentially affecting the company's ability to fund operations and growth initiatives.
Revenue Decline
The year-over-year revenue decline reflects the challenges in transitioning markets, which may impact short-term financial stability and investor confidence.

Ambiq Micro, Inc. (AMBQ) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Ambiq Micro, Inc. Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionAmbiq Micro, Inc. (AMBQ) is a semiconductor company specializing in ultra-low-power microcontrollers and wireless connectivity solutions. The company focuses on providing innovative energy-efficient products for various sectors including consumer electronics, wearable technology, Internet of Things (IoT) devices, and industrial applications. Ambiq's core offerings include its family of ARM Cortex-M based microcontrollers and its Sub-GHz wireless communication technologies, designed to enhance battery life and overall performance in small form factor devices.
How the Company Makes MoneyAmbiq Micro generates revenue primarily through the sales of its semiconductor products, including microcontrollers and wireless chips, to manufacturers in various industries. The company benefits from a diverse revenue model that includes direct sales to original equipment manufacturers (OEMs) and partnerships with distributors. Key revenue streams come from licensing agreements, royalties from intellectual property, and customized solutions for specific applications that cater to clients' unique needs. Significant partnerships with major technology firms and integration into popular consumer devices further enhance Ambiq's market reach and contribute to its earnings.

Ambiq Micro, Inc. Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 06, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Sep 03, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call highlighted Ambiq's strategic shift away from the Chinese market, successful IPO, and increased gross profit, which were offset by a year-over-year revenue decline and increased net loss. The company is focusing on expanding into new markets and introducing new products, suggesting a positive long-term outlook despite current challenges.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Increased Revenue and Gross Profit
Revenue for Q2 2025 was $17.9 million, up from $15.7 million in Q1, driven by increased customer demand and favorable product mix. Gross profit also increased to $7.6 million, representing 42.7% of revenue, up from $6.7 million or 32.9% a year ago.
Successful IPO and Financial Position
The company completed an IPO, raising $97.2 million in net proceeds. Cash and cash equivalents were $47.5 million at the end of Q2 2025.
Strategic Shift in Market Focus
Net sales to end customers in Mainland China decreased from 42% in Q2 2024 to 11.5% in Q2 2025, reflecting a strategic shift towards higher-value opportunities outside of China.
New High-Profile Customer Win
Ambiq announced a significant design win with Whoop for their newest fitness tracker product line, showcasing the company's capability in the wearables market.
Negative Updates
Year-over-Year Revenue Decline
Revenue decreased from $20.3 million in Q2 2024 to $17.9 million in Q2 2025, attributed to the strategic decision to diversify away from China.
Increased Net Loss
Net loss for Q2 2025 was $8.5 million, slightly higher than the $8.3 million loss in Q1 2025, although improved from the $10.6 million loss in Q2 2024.
Challenges in Transitioning Markets
The transition from a China-focused revenue model to more diverse markets led to short-term revenue declines and increased operating expenses.
Company Guidance
During Ambiq Micro's second quarter 2025 earnings call, the company provided financial guidance for the third quarter of 2025, expecting revenue to range between $17.5 million and $18 million. The non-GAAP loss per share is anticipated to be between $0.35 and $0.28, based on a weighted average post-IPO share count of approximately 18.2 million shares. The call highlighted that Ambiq's strategic shift away from sales in Mainland China contributed to a decrease from 42% of net sales in Q2 2024 to 11.5% in Q2 2025. The company also reported a second quarter revenue of $17.9 million, a sequential increase from $15.7 million in Q1 2025, although a decline from $20.3 million in Q2 2024. Ambiq's non-GAAP gross profit was $7.6 million, or 42.7% of revenue, up from $6.7 million in the previous year. The call emphasized the company's focus on expanding its presence in new markets and geographies and the development of its Atomic product line to capture edge AI opportunities.

Ambiq Micro, Inc. Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Ambiq Micro, Inc. shows revenue growth but struggles with profitability and cash flow. Despite a strong equity position, negative margins and cash flow issues indicate operational inefficiencies.
Income Statement
45
Neutral
Ambiq Micro, Inc. has shown some improvement in revenue growth with a 16% increase in the latest year. However, the company continues to face challenges with profitability, as evidenced by negative net profit margins and EBIT margins. The gross profit margin has slightly improved but remains below industry averages. The consistent negative EBIT and EBITDA margins indicate ongoing operational inefficiencies.
Balance Sheet
55
Neutral
The company maintains a strong equity position with a low debt-to-equity ratio, indicating minimal leverage risk. However, the return on equity remains negative, reflecting ongoing losses. The equity ratio is healthy, suggesting a solid asset base relative to equity. Despite these strengths, the negative ROE highlights profitability challenges.
Cash Flow
40
Negative
Ambiq Micro, Inc. has shown some improvement in free cash flow growth, but operating cash flow remains negative, indicating cash flow challenges. The free cash flow to net income ratio is positive, suggesting that cash flow generation relative to net income is somewhat stable. However, the negative operating cash flow to net income ratio highlights ongoing cash flow management issues.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue51.77M76.07M65.54M91.01M50.97M
Gross Profit23.24M24.29M19.44M30.77M21.57M
EBITDA-22.01M-34.37M-43.61M-21.85M-18.29M
Net Income-25.78M-39.66M-50.33M-25.34M-25.22M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets186.73M104.28M72.43M105.13M99.68M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments146.49M60.98M27.32M25.92M65.05M
Total Debt771.00K966.00K1.02M0.000.00
Total Liabilities16.94M18.53M13.30M16.12M7.38M
Stockholders Equity169.79M85.75M59.13M89.01M92.30M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-19.43M-25.16M-29.98M-57.50M-39.23M
Operating Cash Flow-15.58M-21.43M-26.96M-52.88M-34.64M
Investing Cash Flow-4.85M-3.73M-3.02M-4.62M-4.59M
Financing Cash Flow105.90M58.84M31.77M18.20M94.06M

Ambiq Micro, Inc. Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
71
Outperform
$10.92B23.857.89%3.62%-2.18%-16.84%
65
Neutral
$52.96B25.8421.19%1.98%-6.81%-23.16%
61
Neutral
$37.18B12.37-10.20%1.83%8.50%-7.62%
60
Neutral
$12.43B-5.12%31.33%-173.04%
55
Neutral
$4.25B-8.00%47.10%64.29%
52
Neutral
$32.81B-2.24%3.07%-35.70%-113.08%
46
Neutral
$502.20M
* Technology Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
AMBQ
Ambiq Micro, Inc.
27.27
-16.58
-37.81%
MTSI
MACOM Technology Solutions Holdings
170.03
32.17
23.34%
MCHP
Microchip
56.28
-14.51
-20.50%
NXPI
NXP Semiconductors
204.56
-25.00
-10.89%
SLAB
Silicon Laboratories
126.42
14.32
12.77%
SWKS
Skyworks Solutions
69.58
-16.27
-18.95%

Ambiq Micro, Inc. Corporate Events

Ambiq Micro Reports Strong Q3 2025 Results
Nov 7, 2025

Ambiq Micro, Inc., headquartered in Austin, Texas, is a leading technology company specializing in ultra-low-power semiconductor solutions for edge AI applications. The company is renowned for its innovative SPOT technology, which significantly reduces power consumption in semiconductor designs.

Executive/Board Changes
Ambiq Micro Approves Executive Cash Bonuses and Stock Awards
Positive
Oct 3, 2025

On September 29, 2025, Ambiq Micro, Inc. announced the approval of one-time cash bonuses for its key executives, including the CEO, CTO, CFO, and President/COO, to recognize their contributions during the company’s initial public offering and to ensure their retention. Additionally, the company accelerated stock options for the CFO and awarded time-based restricted stock units to its executives under the 2025 Equity Incentive Plan, with vesting conditions aimed at retaining these key leaders.

The most recent analyst rating on (AMBQ) stock is a Buy with a $45.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Ambiq Micro, Inc. stock, see the AMBQ Stock Forecast page.

Ambiq Micro’s Earnings Call: Strategic Shifts and Future Prospects
Sep 11, 2025

Ambiq Micro, Inc. recently held its earnings call, revealing a mixed sentiment among stakeholders. The company celebrated a successful IPO and an increase in gross profit, yet faced challenges with a year-over-year revenue decline and an increased net loss. Despite these hurdles, Ambiq is optimistic about its long-term prospects, focusing on new market expansions and product introductions.

Ambiq Micro Reports Strong Q2 2025 Revenue Growth
Sep 5, 2025

Ambiq Micro, Inc., headquartered in Austin, Texas, is a leading technology company specializing in ultra-low-power semiconductor solutions for edge AI applications. The company is known for its innovative SPOT® technology, which significantly reduces power consumption in semiconductor designs.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Oct 28, 2025