Ardagh Metal Packaging (AMBP) Risk Analysis

Outstanding Warrants to purchase an aggregate of 16,749,984 of our Ordinary Shares are exercisable in accordance with the terms of the Warrant Agreement. The Warrants are exercisable at the exercise price of $11.50 per share, subject to adjustment as described in the Warrant Agreement as set forth under "Exhibit 2.7-Description of Securities Registered pursuant to Section 12 of the Exchange Act." To the extent such Warrants are exercised, additional Ordinary shares will be issued, which will result in dilution to the holders of our Ordinary Shares and increase the number of our Ordinary Shares eligible for resale in the public market.

Future sales of our Ordinary Shares, or Warrants, including by the Subscribers, the GHV Sponsor and AGSA, or the perception that sales may be made by these shareholders could significantly reduce the market price of our Ordinary Shares. Further, even if none of these shareholders sell a large number of our Ordinary Shares into the market, their right to sell their Ordinary Shares as contemplated by the Registration Rights and Lock-Up Agreement and the Subscription Agreements may depress the price of our Ordinary Shares. Substantially all of our Ordinary Shares may be sold in the open market or in privately negotiated transactions, which could have the effect of increasing the volatility in the price of our Ordinary Shares or putting significant downward pressure on their price. See "Item 7. Major Shareholders and Related Party Transactions–B. Related Party Transactions" in this Annual Report.

The trading price of our Ordinary Shares could be volatile and subject to wide fluctuations in response to various factors, some of which are beyond our control. Any of the factors listed below could have a material adverse effect on the market price of our Ordinary Shares and the Ordinary Shares may trade at prices significantly below the price you paid for them. In addition, the trading price of our Ordinary Shares may not recover and may experience a further decline. Factors affecting the trading price of our securities may include: - the realization of any of the risk factors presented in this "Item 3. Key Information-D. Risk Factors" of this Annual Report;- announcements of new products and services by us or our competitors;- news regarding any gain or loss of customers by us;- announcements of competitive developments, acquisitions or strategic alliances in our industry;- changes in the general condition of the global economy and financial markets;- general market conditions or other developments affecting us or our industry;- cost and availability of raw materials;- changes in environmental regulations or other laws or regulations applicable to our business;- actual or anticipated fluctuations in our quarterly results of operations;- changes in financial projections or estimates about our financial or operational performance by securities research analysts;- changes in investor sentiment toward the stock of packaging companies;- announcements by third parties of significant claims or proceedings against us, our industry or both, or investigations by regulators into our business or those of our competitors;- changes in accounting standards, policies, guidelines, interpretations or principles;- any significant change in our management;- adverse media reports, including high profile discussions on social-media platforms, about our company, our operational environment, our products, or our directors and officers;- public reaction to our press releases, other public announcements or filings with the SEC;- a default under the agreements governing our indebtedness;- release or expiry of transfer restrictions on our issued and outstanding Ordinary Shares; and - anticipated sales of additional shares. In addition, the stock market may experience periods of unusual volatility that, in some cases, is unrelated or disproportionate to the operating performance of particular companies. See "-Risks Relating to Economic, Market and Political Matters-Changes to the economic, political, credit and/or financial environment in which we operate could have a material adverse effect on our business, such as affecting consumer demand for beverage products, which could impact our customers and as a result, reduce the demand for our products" for a more detailed discussion of the global economic environment. These broad market and industry fluctuations may adversely affect the market price of our Ordinary Shares, regardless of our actual operating performance. In the past, following periods of market volatility, shareholders have instituted securities class action litigation. If we were involved in securities litigation, it could have a substantial cost and divert resources and the attention of executive management from our business regardless of the outcome of such litigation.

As of December 31, 2023, AGSA indirectly owns approximately 76% of our outstanding Ordinary Shares through its wholly-owned subsidiary, Ardagh Investments Holdings Sarl, and, under the Business Combination Agreement, has the right to receive up to an additional 60,730,000 Ordinary Shares (the "Earnout Shares") if the trading prices of Ordinary Shares exceed certain specified amounts during specified periods of time. In addition, AGSA indirectly owns 100% of our preferred shares (the "Preferred Shares") through Ardagh Investments Holdings Sarl, which are redeemable non-voting shares. The Preferred Shares have no voting rights and will not be taken into account in determining quorum and voting majority requirements at general meetings of AMPSA, except where mandatorily required by the Luxembourg law of 10 August 1915, on commercial companies, as amended  (the "Luxembourg Companies Law"), where each Preferred Share will be entitled to one vote, irrespective of its nominal value, for example, where when the rights attached to the Preferred Shares are amended or if we are put into liquidation, among others.  As a controlling shareholder of the Company, AGSA is able to exercise significant influence over our business policies and affairs, including the composition of our Board and any action requiring approval of our shareholders. In addition, as long as AGSA beneficially owns a specified number of the outstanding Ordinary Shares, pursuant to the Shareholders Agreement, AGSA has the right to designate a specified number of directors, including the chair, to our Board, receive access to certain information for the benefit of AGSA, approve certain of our significant actions, receive our cooperation with certain matters relating to us, and access certain information for registration rights with respect to its Ordinary Shares. For more information, see "Item 7. Major Shareholders and Related Party Transactions–B. Related Party Transactions." In addition, because we are a controlled company, relevant risks materializing at the ultimate parent level could have an adverse impact on our share price, financial condition, credit ratings or reputation. It is also possible that AGSA's controlling shareholders may take actions in relation to our business that are not entirely in our or our other shareholders'best interests. See "-Risks Relating to Being a Luxembourg Company and Our Status as a Foreign Private Issuer-We qualify for and rely on exemptions from certain corporate governance requirements" for a further discussion on the corporate governance exemptions that we avail ourselves of as a controlled company.

Under current Luxembourg tax law, payments of dividends made on the Ordinary Shares generally are subject to a 15% Luxembourg withholding tax. Certain exemptions or reductions in the withholding tax may apply, but it will be up to the holders to claim any available refunds from the Luxembourg tax authority. For more information on the taxation implications, see "Item 10. Additional Information-E. Taxation."

We are exempt from certain corporate governance requirements of the NYSE by virtue of being a "foreign private issuer" as such term is defined under U.S. securities laws and a "controlled company" as such term is defined under the corporate governance standards of the NYSE (the "NYSE Standards") and are not subject to all the disclosure requirements applicable to public companies organized within the United States. As a foreign private issuer, we are permitted to follow the corporate governance practice of our home country in lieu of certain provisions of the NYSE Standards. See "-As a foreign private issuer, we are exempt from a number of U.S. securities laws and rules and are permitted to publicly disclose less information than U.S. public companies are required to disclose, which may limit the information available to holders of our Ordinary Shares. Conversely, if we lose our foreign private issuer status in the future, this could result in significant additional costs and expenses" and "Item 16G. Corporate Governance" for more information. As AGSA controls, directly or indirectly, a majority of the voting power of our issued and outstanding Ordinary Shares, we are a controlled company within the meaning of the NYSE Standards, and are not required to comply with the following requirements: - a majority of the Board consist of independent directors;- the nominating and governance committee be composed entirely of independent directors with a written charter addressing the committee's purpose and responsibilities;- the compensation committee be composed entirely of independent directors with a written charter addressing the committee's purpose and responsibilities; and - there be an annual performance evaluation of the nominating and governance and compensation committees. We currently avail ourselves of the exemption that allows our compensation committee and nominating and governance committees not to be composed entirely of independent directors. There can be no assurance that we will not avail ourselves of other controlled company exemptions in the future. See "Item 6. Directors, Senior Management and Employees-C. Board Practices-Controlled Company" and "Item 16G. Corporate Governance" for more information. As a result of the foregoing exemptions afforded to us as a foreign private issuer and controlled company, we can cease voluntary compliance at any time, and our shareholders may not have the same protections afforded to shareholders of companies that are subject to all of the NYSE Standards.

Our Articles contain provisions that may make acquisition of the Company more difficult, including the following: - Classified Board.   Our Board is classified into three classes of directors that are, as nearly as possible, of equal size. Each class of directors will be elected for a three-year term of office, but the terms are staggered so that the term of only one class of directors expires at each annual general meeting of shareholders. The existence of a classified board could impede a proxy contest or delay a successful tender offeror from obtaining majority control of the Board, and the prospect of that delay might deter a potential offeror. - Notice Requirements for Shareholder Proposals.  Luxembourg Law and our Articles provide that one or more shareholders together holding at least 10% of the Company's share capital may request the addition of one or more items to the agenda of any general meeting. The request must be sent to the registered office by registered mail, at least five clear days before the meeting is held. Our Articles also specify certain requirements regarding the form and content of a shareholder's notice. These requirements may make it difficult for our shareholders to bring matters before a general meeting. - Special Resolutions.  Our Articles require special resolutions adopted at an extraordinary general meeting for any of the following matters, among other things: (a) an increase or decrease of the authorized or issued capital, (b) an amendment to the Articles and (c) dissolving the Company. Pursuant to our Articles, for any special resolutions to be considered at a general meeting the quorum is in excess of one-half (1/2) of the share capital in issue present in person or by proxy unless otherwise mandatorily required by Luxembourg Law, where the Preferred Shares will not be taken into account for purposes of quorum and voting majority requirements, in the circumstances where the Preferred Shares do not have any voting rights. If such quorum is not met at a first extraordinary general meeting, a second meeting may be convened, and such second meeting shall validly deliberate regardless of the proportion of the capital represented. Any special resolution may be adopted at a general meeting at which a quorum is present (except as otherwise provided by mandatory law) by the affirmative votes of at least two-thirds (2/3) of the votes validly cast on such resolution by shareholders entitled to vote. These anti-takeover provisions could discourage, delay or prevent a transaction involving a change in control of the Company, even if such transaction would benefit its shareholders.

We have included in our Articles, provisions that give the holder of 75% of the number of our outstanding Ordinary Shares (which would include AGSA for so long as it holds the requisite number of our Ordinary Shares) the right to acquire our outstanding Ordinary Shares held by all other holders at such time for a purchase price payable in cash that is equal to the fair market value of such Shares, as determined by an independent investment banking firm of international reputation in accordance with the procedures contained in our Articles. These procedures include a dispute resolution provision permitting holders of at least 10% of the Ordinary Shares held by our minority shareholders at that time to dispute the purchase price proposed by the acquiring shareholder. It is uncertain whether our minority shareholders will be able to coordinate with each other in a manner that will enable them to take full advantage of these provisions. There can be no assurance that these provisions would result in a price as favorable to our minority shareholders as they would receive in a transaction subject to Delaware law and appraisal rights.

Our corporate affairs are governed by our Articles and Luxembourg Law, including the Luxembourg Companies Law. The rights of our shareholders and the responsibilities of our directors and officers under Luxembourg Law are different from those applicable to a corporation incorporated in the United States. In the performance of its duties, the Board is required to act as a collegiate body in the interest of the Company. It is possible that the Company may have interests that are different from interests of the shareholders. If any member of our Board has a direct or indirect financial interest in a matter which has to be considered by the Board that conflicts with the interests of the Company, Luxembourg Law provides that such director will not be entitled to participate in deliberations on, and exercise his vote with respect to the approval of such transaction. If the interest of such a member of the Board does not conflict with the interests of the Company, then the applicable director with such interest may participate in deliberations on, and vote on the approval of, that transaction. Further, under Luxembourg Law, there may be less publicly available information about the Company than is regularly published by or about U.S. domestic issuers. In addition, Luxembourg Law governing the securities of Luxembourg companies may not be as extensive as those in effect in the United States, and Luxembourg Law and regulations in respect of corporate governance matters might not be as protective of minority shareholders as state corporation laws in the United States. Therefore, our shareholders may have more difficulty in protecting their interests in connection with actions taken by its directors and officers or its principal shareholders than they would as shareholders of a corporation incorporated in the United States. Neither our Articles nor Luxembourg Law provides for appraisal rights for dissenting shareholders in certain extraordinary corporate transactions that may otherwise be available to shareholders under certain U.S. state laws. As a result of these differences, our shareholders may have more difficulty protecting their interests than they would as shareholders of a U.S. domestic issuer.

We are organized under the laws of Luxembourg. In addition, a substantial amount of our assets are located outside the United States, and many of our directors and officers reside outside the United States and will continue to reside outside the United States. As a result, although we have appointed an agent for service of process in the United States, investors may not be able to effect service of process within the United States upon us or these persons or enforce judgments obtained against us or these persons in U.S. courts, including judgments in actions predicated upon the civil liability provisions of the U.S. federal securities laws. Likewise, it also may be difficult for an investor to enforce in U.S. courts judgments obtained against us or these persons in courts located in jurisdictions outside the United States, including judgments predicated upon the civil liability provisions of the U.S. federal securities laws. Awards of punitive damages in actions brought in the United States or elsewhere are generally not enforceable in Luxembourg. Any judgments obtained in any U.S. federal or state court against us may have to be enforced in the courts of Luxembourg or other EU member states. As there is no treaty in force on the reciprocal recognition and enforcement of judgments in civil and commercial matters between the United States and Luxembourg, courts in Luxembourg will not automatically recognize and enforce a final judgment rendered by a U.S. court. A valid judgment obtained from a court of competent jurisdiction in the United States may be entered and enforced through a court of competent jurisdiction in Luxembourg, subject to compliance with the enforcement procedures (exequatur). The enforceability in Luxembourg courts of judgments rendered by U.S. courts will be subject, prior to any enforcement in Luxembourg, to the procedure and the conditions set forth in the Luxembourg procedural code, which conditions may include the following (which may change): - the judgment of the U.S. court is final and enforceable (exécutoire) in the United States and has not been enforced in the United States;- the U.S. court had jurisdiction over the subject matter leading to the judgment (that is, its jurisdiction was in compliance both with Luxembourg private international law and local law rules and with the applicable domestic U.S. federal or state jurisdictional rules);- the judgment was granted following proceedings where the counterparty had the opportunity to appear, and if it appeared, to present a defense and other conditions for a fair trial have been complied with taking into account all facts and circumstances whether occurring before, during or after trial or issue and delivery of the judgment, and the judgment has not been obtained by reason of fraud;- the U.S. court applied the substantive laws as designated by the Luxembourg conflict of law rules;- the U.S. judgment does not contravene international public policy (ordre public) or order, both substantive and procedural, as understood under the laws of Luxembourg or has been given in proceedings of a criminal nature; and - the absence of contradiction between such judgment and an already issued judgment of a Luxembourg court. In addition, actions brought in a Luxembourg court against us, the members of our Board or our officers to enforce liabilities based on U.S. federal securities laws may be subject to certain restrictions. In particular, Luxembourg courts generally do not award punitive damages. Litigation in Luxembourg also is subject to rules of procedure that differ from the U.S. rules, including, with respect to the taking and admissibility of evidence, the conduct of the proceedings and the allocation of costs. Proceedings in Luxembourg would have to be conducted in the French or German language, and all documents submitted to the court would, in principle, have to be translated into French or German. For these reasons, it may be difficult for a U.S. investor to bring an action in a Luxembourg court predicated upon the civil liability provisions of the U.S. federal securities laws against us, the members of our Board or our officers. In addition, even if a judgment against us, the members of our Board or our officers based on the civil liability provisions of the U.S. federal securities laws is obtained, a U.S. investor may not be able to enforce it in U.S. or Luxembourg courts. Our directors and officers have entered into indemnification agreements with us as permitted under our Articles. Under such agreements, our directors and officers are entitled to indemnification from us to the fullest extent permitted by Luxemburg law against liability and expenses reasonably incurred or paid by them in connection with claims, actions, suits or proceedings in which they become involved as a party or otherwise by virtue of performing or having performed as a director or officer, and against amounts paid or incurred by them in the settlement of such claims, actions, suits or proceedings. Luxembourg Law and our Articles permit us to keep directors indemnified against any expenses, judgments, fines and amounts paid in connection with liability of a director towards us or a third party for management errors, i.e., for wrongful acts committed during the execution of the mandate (mandat) granted to the director by us, except in connection with criminal offenses, gross negligence, fraud or dishonesty. The rights to and obligations of indemnification among or between us and any of our current or former directors and officers are generally governed by the laws of Luxembourg and subject to the jurisdiction of the Luxembourg courts, unless such rights or obligations do not relate to or arise out of such persons' capacities listed above. Although there is doubt as to whether U.S. courts would enforce this indemnification provision in an action brought in the United States under U.S. federal or state securities laws, this provision could make it more difficult to obtain judgments outside Luxembourg or from non-Luxembourg jurisdictions that would apply Luxembourg Law against our assets in Luxembourg.