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C3ai (AI)
NYSE:AI
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C3ai (AI) AI Stock Analysis

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C3ai

(NYSE:AI)

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Neutral 51 (OpenAI - Gpt-5.6Sol)
Rating:51Neutral
Price Target:
$11.50
▲(17.47% Upside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:09/06/26
The score is held back primarily by weak financial performance—shrinking TTM revenue, deeply negative profitability, and ongoing cash burn—despite a low-debt balance sheet. Offsetting factors include improving (but not fully long-term bullish) technical momentum and a more positive earnings-call narrative highlighting bookings growth, cost reductions, margin improvement, and a recent quarter of positive free cash flow, though guidance still indicates continued operating losses.
Positive Factors
Subscription-led revenue model
A revenue base dominated by subscriptions can support repeatable customer relationships and greater visibility than project-only work. The 94% mix indicates that C3.ai’s core business is aligned with scalable enterprise software economics, provided customer retention and usage remain strong.
Negative Factors
Shrinking revenue and severe margin pressure
The latest financial trajectory shows that C3.ai has not yet converted enterprise AI demand into durable, profitable growth. Falling revenue and sharply lower gross margin suggest the current cost and delivery structure is not scaling with sales, weakening earnings quality.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Subscription-led revenue model
A revenue base dominated by subscriptions can support repeatable customer relationships and greater visibility than project-only work. The 94% mix indicates that C3.ai’s core business is aligned with scalable enterprise software economics, provided customer retention and usage remain strong.
Read all positive factors

C3ai Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Gross Profit by Segment
Gross Profit by Segment
Reveals profitability across different business areas, highlighting which segments drive the most earnings and where there might be opportunities or challenges.
Chart InsightsSubscription gross profit has plunged in the most recent quarters, undoing years of prior progress and leaving professional services—while high-margin—too small to offset the gap. That pattern, combined with management’s admission of weak sales execution and many inactive IPDs, points to conversion and renewal failures (not just cost issues). The company’s hefty cost cuts and insider buy signal runway to execute a turnaround, but sustainable recovery depends on restoring subscription sales and IPD-to-revenue conversion rather than further expense reductions.
Data provided by:The Fly

C3ai (AI) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

C3ai Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
C3.ai, Inc. is a leading provider of enterprise artificial intelligence (AI) software solutions, serving a global clientele across North America, Europe, the Middle East, Africa, and the Asia Pacific region. Its core offerings include the C3 AI Ap...
How the Company Makes Money
C3.ai generates revenue primarily by selling subscriptions to its enterprise AI software. Its core revenue stream is subscription revenue from customers that license access to its AI software (including its AI platform and packaged AI applications...

C3ai Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Sep 02, 2026
(Q1-2027)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Dec 09, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call had a strongly positive tone, with management highlighting early turnaround progress, 73% bookings growth, 138% federal bookings growth, revenue above guidance, positive free cash flow, substantial cost reductions, improved gross margin, a strong cash position, and favorable product recognition. The primary challenges were the company's continuing operating losses, expected near-term gross margin moderation, the need to establish consistent revenue growth, and the early commercialization stage of C3 Code.
Positive Updates
Turnaround Execution and Management Restructuring
Management stated that the turnaround is on track after restructuring the company, sales, products, and services; resetting the cost structure; implementing rigorous cost controls; reinstating clear ownership, hard deadlines, and weekly reviews; and appointing experienced executives across sales, products, services, finance, and legal.
Negative Updates
Prior Underperformance and Need for a Turnaround
The CEO said the company had been underperforming despite strong products, a large and rapidly growing market, and a strong balance sheet, attributing the problem to execution and stating that the company needed to be turned around.
Read all updates
Q1-2027 Updates
Negative
Turnaround Execution and Management Restructuring
Management stated that the turnaround is on track after restructuring the company, sales, products, and services; resetting the cost structure; implementing rigorous cost controls; reinstating clear ownership, hard deadlines, and weekly reviews; and appointing experienced executives across sales, products, services, finance, and legal.
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
For the second quarter of fiscal year 2027, C3 AI guided to revenue of $51 million to $55 million and non-GAAP loss from operations of $34.5 million to $42.5 million; for fiscal year 2027, it guided to revenue of $210 million to $240 million and non-GAAP loss from operations of $123 million to $155 million. For the remainder of fiscal year 2027, the company expects its free cash flow to broadly align with a guidance range for non-GAAP loss from operations, and next quarter, as it makes selective investments in a forward-deployed engineering organization, it expects non-GAAP gross margin to moderate to mid-40s.

C3ai Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Overall fundamentals are weak despite a strong balance sheet. The income statement shows deteriorating performance with TTM revenue down ~7%, very large losses (TTM net margin around -192%), and sharp gross margin compression (~61% in FY2025 to ~29% TTM). Cash flow remains negative across periods with worsening TTM free cash flow, signaling ongoing cash burn. The key offset is a conservative balance sheet with effectively no debt, lowering near-term solvency risk, but negative ROE and shrinking assets/equity reflect the cost of persistent losses.
Income Statement
18
Very Negative
Balance Sheet
76
Positive
Cash Flow
27
Negative
BreakdownTTMApr 2026Apr 2025Apr 2024Apr 2023Apr 2022
Income Statement
Total Revenue232.38M250.27M389.06M310.58M266.80M252.76M
Gross Profit67.61M77.38M235.86M178.56M180.46M189.05M
EBITDA-435.53M-455.99M-275.12M-266.19M-262.08M-186.09M
Net Income-446.41M-470.37M-288.70M-279.70M-268.84M-192.06M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets874.80M816.27M1.03B1.04B1.10B1.17B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments651.07M575.45M742.69M750.37M730.98M960.16M
Total Debt0.005.58M4.79M3.23M2.34M3.61M
Total Liabilities179.91M162.52M187.58M164.87M173.36M181.41M
Stockholders Equity694.90M653.75M838.30M873.35M929.66M989.48M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-154.33M-190.69M-44.45M-90.37M-187.21M-90.75M
Operating Cash Flow-153.18M-188.78M-41.41M-62.36M-115.69M-86.46M
Investing Cash Flow121.61M75.08M16.40M-66.61M59.95M317.01M
Financing Cash Flow87.06M15.54M22.22M11.29M621.00K5.71M

C3ai Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price9.79
Price Trends
50DMA
10.48
Positive
100DMA
10.03
Positive
200DMA
10.18
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.26
Negative
RSI
64.84
Neutral
STOCH
85.45
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For AI, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 9.79 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 10.90, below the 50-day MA of 10.48, and below the 200-day MA of 10.18, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.26 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 64.84 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 85.45 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for AI.

C3ai Risk Analysis

C3ai disclosed 63 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. C3ai reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

C3ai Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
77
Outperform
$5.78B10.1222.91%2.13%6.89%11.22%
73
Outperform
$1.57B14.085.33%―-1.26%2.59%
67
Neutral
$5.84B15.2811.19%―10.76%4.93%
61
Neutral
$37.18B12.37-10.20%1.83%8.50%-7.62%
53
Neutral
$1.59B-0.67-95.60%5.55%2.56%-918.98%
51
Neutral
$1.85B-3.73-62.87%1.14%-37.55%-18.96%
49
Neutral
$1.15B-14.06-12.34%―-13.72%87.44%
* Technology Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
AI
C3ai
11.53
-7.84
-40.47%
EPAM
Epam Systems
113.24
-33.46
-22.81%
G
Genpact
34.40
-4.35
-11.22%
GLOB
Globant SA
36.32
-23.03
-38.80%
CNXC
Concentrix
25.95
-16.81
-39.31%
BBAI
BigBearai Holdings
2.39
-6.42
-72.87%

C3ai Corporate Events

Executive/Board Changes
C3.ai Appoints John Dwyer to Board of Directors
Neutral
Aug 27, 2026
On August 25, 2026, C3.ai, Inc. appointed John C. Dwyer to its board of directors as a Class III director, with his initial term running until the company’s 2026 Annual Meeting of Stockholders. The appointment was made without any special ar...
Business Operations and StrategyLegal Proceedings
C3.ai Securities Class Action Dismissed, Reducing Legal Risk
Positive
Jul 17, 2026
On August 22, 2025, a putative securities class action complaint titled John Liggett, Sr., et al. v. C3 AI, Inc., et al., No. 3:25-cv-07129-TLT, was filed in the U.S. District Court for the Northern District of California against C3.ai, Inc. and c...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Sep 06, 2026