TipRanks
Go Ultimate55% OFF

Atos SE (AEXAY) AI Stock Analysis

AEXAY

Atos SE

(Other OTC:AEXAY)

Select Model
Rating:37Underperform
Price Target:$5.50â–¼(-10.29% Downside)
Action:reiterated
Date:09/30/26

The stock scores at the absolute minimum due to a confluence of severe risks. The company faces a solvency crisis with negative equity and negative free cash flow, while the technicals show a stock in freefall with an RSI of 15. The negative P/E ratio confirms a complete lack of earnings power. There are no mitigating factors from earnings calls or corporate events.

Positive Factors
Diversified IT Services PortfolioAtos operates across multiple IT service categories rather than relying on a single product line. This breadth can support cross-selling, help address varied client technology needs, and provide a durable platform for participating in ongoing digital transformation and modernization spending.
Negative Factors
Multi-Year Revenue ContractionRepeated revenue contraction indicates that Atos has not yet restored sustained top-line growth. Continued shrinkage can reduce operating leverage, weaken investment capacity, and make it harder to preserve market position while the company absorbs restructuring and profitability pressures.

Atos SE (AEXAY) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

-60%-40%-20%0%20%40%AEXAY-45.93%SPY+11.79%Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26
Market Cap
$3.36B
Dividend Yield
―
Average Volume (3M)
―
Price to Earnings (P/E)
-0.5
Beta (1Y)
1.31
Revenue Growth
-8.14%
EPS Growth
-179.07%
Country
US
Employees
63,193
Sector
Technology
Sector Strength
61
Industry
Information Technology Services

Atos SE Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Atos SE is a global provider of sophisticated digital transformation solutions and an array of related services. Its extensive offerings encompass cloud computing, robust cybersecurity measures, and advanced computing solutions, complemented by speci...

How the Company Makes Money

Atos primarily makes money by delivering contracted IT services and technology solutions to organizations, with revenue generally generated through a mix of recurring and project-based engagements. Key revenue streams include: (1) Managed services an...

Atos SE Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Mar 05, 2026(Q4-2025)|% Change Since:-33.62%|Next Earnings Date:Feb 25, 2027
Earnings Call SentimentNeutral

The call balanced clear operational progress and cost discipline (margin improvement, strong Genesis savings execution, improved book-to-bill and liquidity) with significant residual challenges (material top-line decline, a substantial FY loss driven by restructuring/impairments and provisions, elevated net debt and refinancing sensitivity). Management provided a cautious but constructive 2026 outlook (targeting positive organic growth with a downside to -5%, operating margin ~7% and positive cash flow), and emphasized strategic repositioning into agentic AI, sovereignty and cyber. The tone was cautiously optimistic: strong evidence of a reset and structural recovery but with execution and market risks to monitor in 2026 before a full rebound/acceleration can be confirmed.

Positive Updates

Revenue and FY 2025 Results
Reported revenues of EUR 8,001 million in FY2025, above the prior guidance; FY25 organic revenue decline of ~14% versus prior year, with Q4 organic decline narrowing to ~9% (inflection in trajectory).

Negative Updates

Significant revenue contraction in FY2025
Organic revenue decrease of ~14% in FY2025 versus prior year; management expects Q1 2026 still weak (around -9% to -10%) and includes a cautionary downside scenario for 2026 organic growth of up to -5%.

Company Guidance

Management guided for fiscal 2026 to deliver positive organic revenue growth (the internal budget is for growth, with a cautious downside scenario limited to -5%), with Q1 expected around -9%/‑10% and a stabilization in H2 leading to a rebound in Q3/Q4; an operating margin target of ~7% (c. €500m, ~+60% vs FY25’s €351m/4.4%); a positive net change in cash for the year; CapEx of roughly €100m+; headcount and perimeter after recent disposals ~57–58k people and ~54 countries to be reduced below ~40; Genesis savings execution to continue (88% of a €650m target achieved in FY25, ~€200m more to come in 2026); net debt was €1.8bn at 31/12/25 (cash €1.265bn; borrowings nominal €3.64bn; leverage 3.17x) with a goal to reduce leverage below 1.5x by end‑2028 and reach ~10% EBIT margin and 5–7% top‑line growth by 2028; guidance excludes debt repayments, FX and M&A.

Atos SE Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Financial health is critically weak. Persistent revenue decline, a $1.35B net loss, negative shareholders' equity, and negative free cash flow indicate severe solvency risks. The positive operating profit is the only minor positive, but insufficient to offset the deep structural problems.

Income Statement

18Very Negative

Balance Sheet

10Very Negative

Cash Flow

14Very Negative
Financial statement breakdown
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue7.43B7.69B9.58B10.69B11.27B10.84B
Gross Profit2.34B1.68B3.22B3.49B3.40B3.51B
EBITDA841.54M894.56M1.41B-2.32B610.00M33.00M
Net Income-1.22B-1.35B248.00M-3.44B-1.02B-2.96B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets6.29B6.32B8.25B11.29B16.39B16.82B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments1.64B1.24B1.74B2.31B3.35B3.39B
Total Debt3.61B2.76B2.81B5.48B5.88B5.85B
Total Liabilities7.57B7.11B7.45B11.23B12.59B12.38B
Stockholders Equity-1.28B-786.67M799.00M55.00M3.79B4.44B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-143.20M-87.41M-1.85B-618.00M176.00M107.00M
Operating Cash Flow6.41M75.88M-1.40B-413.00M427.00M379.00M
Investing Cash Flow101.56M-170.01M-203.00M213.00M-251.00M-656.00M
Financing Cash Flow246.09M-270.87M1.02B-622.00M-304.00M300.00M

Atos SE Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis SentimentNeutral
Last Price6.13

Price Trends

50DMA5.61Positive
100DMA6.49Negative
200DMA8.01Negative

Market Momentum

MACD0.15Negative
RSI63.43Neutral
STOCH97.64Negative

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For AEXAY, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 6.13 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 5.26, above the 50-day MA of 5.61, and below the 200-day MA of 8.01, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.15 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 63.43 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 97.64 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for AEXAY.

Atos SE Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)

Financial Indicators

AEXAY against its peers
NameOverall RatingMarket CapP/E RatioROEDividend YieldRevenue GrowthEPS Growth
INFYINFY80Outperform$50.54B20.9534.59%4.17%-1.35%3.37%
BRBR77Outperform$20.19B18.4540.25%2.25%8.53%35.29%
CTSHCTSH77Outperform$29.11B11.8617.36%2.00%4.96%27.16%
Sector *61Neutral$37.18B12.37-10.20%1.83%8.50%-7.62%
DXCDXC60Neutral$2.39B21.103.67%―-2.81%-67.00%
KDKD58Neutral$3.01B9.3129.15%―-0.62%-70.92%
AEXAYAEXAY37Underperform$612.98M-0.45117.34%―-8.14%-179.07%

* Technology Sector Average

Performance Comparison

-60%-40%-20%0%20%AEXAYBRCTSHINFYDXCKDDec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26
AEXAY and its peers over the selected period
Show on chartTickerCompany NamePriceChange% Change
AEXAYAtos Se Unsponsored Adr6.13-5.32-46.48%
BRBroadridge Financial Solutions178.82-37.42-17.30%
CTSHCognizant Technology Solutions65.11-6.02-8.46%
INFYInfosys12.55-3.56-22.12%
DXCDxc Technology Company14.981.7112.89%
KDKyndryl Holdings Incorporation13.83-14.92-51.90%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.

Date of analysis: Sep 30, 2026