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ACCO Brands (ACCO)
NYSE:ACCO

ACCO Brands (ACCO) AI Stock Analysis

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ACCO Brands

(NYSE:ACCO)

Rating:57Neutral
Price Target:
ACCO Brands' overall stock score of 57 reflects its financial challenges, including declining revenues and high debt levels, contrasted by positive cash flow and efforts in cost management. While the stock is trading in a bearish technical pattern, the high dividend yield provides some appeal. The earnings call highlighted both achievements and ongoing demand challenges, making a balanced but cautious outlook necessary.
Positive Factors
Cost Reduction
ACCO realized $7 million of cost savings during Q1/25 from its multi-year restructuring program, with a target of $40 million in savings during 2025.
International Expansion
ACCO continues to see positive results from the international expansion of its gaming accessory products.
Product Innovation
ACCO continues to invest in product innovation and is working to develop products that cater to the changing nature and location of work.
Negative Factors
Limited Visibility
Due to increased market uncertainties driven by global trade dynamics, ACCO has limited visibility beyond Q2/25 and withdrew its full-year 2025 guidance.
Macroeconomic Uncertainty
Sales continued to be impacted by a generally soft demand environment as spending by both businesses and consumers remained constrained due to heightened macroeconomic uncertainty.
Sales Decline
Q1/25 sales declined -11.6% YOY on a reported basis to $317.4 million, with sales continuing to be impacted by a generally soft demand environment.

ACCO Brands (ACCO) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

ACCO Brands Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionACCO Brands Corporation designs, manufactures, and markets consumer, school, technology, and office products. It operates through three segments: ACCO Brands North America, ACCO Brands EMEA, and ACCO Brands International. The company provides computer and gaming accessories, calendars, planners, dry erase boards, school notebooks, and janitorial supplies; storage and organization products, such as lever-arch binders, sheet protectors, and indexes; laminating, binding, and shredding machines; writing instruments and art products; stapling and punching products; and do-it-yourself tools. It offers its products under the AT-A-GLANCE, Barrilito, Derwent, Esselte, Five Star, Foroni, GBC, Hilroy, Kensington, Leitz, Marbig, Mead, NOBO, PowerA, Quartet, Rapid, Rexel, Swingline, Tilibra, TruSens, and Spirax brand names. The company markets and sells its products through various channels, including mass retailers, e-tailers, discount, drug/grocery, and variety chains; warehouse clubs; hardware and specialty stores; independent office product dealers; office superstores; wholesalers; contract stationers; and technology specialty businesses, as well as sells products directly to commercial and consumer end-users through its e-commerce platform and direct sales organization. ACCO Brands Corporation was founded in 1893 and is headquartered in Lake Zurich, Illinois.
How the Company Makes MoneyACCO Brands generates revenue through the sale of its diverse range of products across various consumer segments, including businesses, educational institutions, and individual consumers. The company's key revenue streams include the direct sale of office and school supplies, computer accessories, and print finishing solutions. ACCO Brands also engages in partnerships and distribution agreements with retailers, wholesalers, and online platforms to expand its market reach. Furthermore, the company benefits from maintaining a broad portfolio of recognized brands that cater to different customer needs, enhancing its competitive advantage and sustaining its earnings.

ACCO Brands Financial Statement Overview

Summary
ACCO Brands faces declining revenues and profitability challenges, as shown by a negative net income and reduced EBIT margin. The balance sheet reveals a high debt-to-equity ratio, though it has improved recently. Despite positive cash flow, declining free cash flow growth raises future liquidity concerns. Improvement in revenue and debt management is crucial for financial stability.
Income Statement
55
Neutral
ACCO Brands shows a declining revenue trend from 2022 to TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months), with TTM revenue at $1.62 billion compared to $1.95 billion in 2022. The net income remains negative, indicating continued profitability challenges. The gross profit margin is stable, but the EBIT margin has decreased significantly in TTM. The company struggles with consistent profitability, reflected in the negative net profit margins across periods.
Balance Sheet
65
Positive
ACCO Brands displays a moderate balance sheet with a relatively high debt-to-equity ratio, although it has decreased in the TTM period. The equity ratio is decent, suggesting a balanced asset structure. Despite improvements, the company needs to manage its debt levels carefully to avoid financial stress.
Cash Flow
60
Neutral
The company maintains positive free cash flow, although it has decreased in TTM compared to previous periods. The operating cash flow to net income ratio indicates efficient cash generation despite negative net income. However, the free cash flow growth rate shows a decline, pointing to potential future liquidity challenges.
Breakdown
TTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
1.62B1.67B1.83B1.95B2.03B1.66B
Gross Profit
533.20M555.40M598.30M552.30M614.90M492.40M
EBIT
114.80M-37.00M44.70M159.80M151.00M112.40M
EBITDA
5.70M38.40M121.60M139.90M243.40M188.10M
Net Income Common Stockholders
-108.50M-101.60M-21.80M-13.20M101.90M62.00M
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
134.60M74.10M66.40M62.20M41.20M36.60M
Total Assets
2.27B2.23B2.64B2.79B3.09B3.05B
Total Debt
125.50M923.00M1.02B1.09B1.11B1.23B
Net Debt
-9.10M848.90M949.80M1.03B1.07B1.19B
Total Liabilities
1.66B1.62B1.86B1.98B2.23B2.31B
Stockholders Equity
606.10M606.10M787.00M810.10M864.80M742.70M
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
109.70M132.30M114.90M61.10M138.40M103.90M
Operating Cash Flow
125.50M148.20M128.70M77.60M159.60M119.20M
Investing Cash Flow
-22.30M-12.30M-11.20M-9.30M-5.80M-354.70M
Financing Cash Flow
-91.80M-122.60M-117.70M-48.30M-147.20M244.70M

ACCO Brands Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price3.46
Price Trends
50DMA
3.85
Negative
100DMA
4.35
Negative
200DMA
4.77
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.06
Positive
RSI
38.35
Neutral
STOCH
-3.45
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For ACCO, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 3.46 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 3.67, below the 50-day MA of 3.85, and below the 200-day MA of 4.77, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.06 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 38.35 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of -3.45 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for ACCO.

ACCO Brands Risk Analysis

ACCO Brands disclosed 28 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. ACCO Brands reported the most risks in the “Finance & Corporate” category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 1 New Risks
1.
Changes in trade policy and regulations in the United States and other countries, including changes in trade agreements and the imposition of tariffs, and the resulting consequences, are likely to adversely impact on our business, results of operations and financial condition. Q4, 2024

ACCO Brands Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (64)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
NLNL
73
Outperform
$378.08M6.1915.93%4.26%-6.25%442.27%
72
Outperform
$431.34M169.011.25%21.78%
SBSB
68
Neutral
$385.29M5.479.82%5.46%-2.98%-0.96%
64
Neutral
$4.39B11.815.20%249.39%3.96%-12.36%
63
Neutral
$343.45M760.470.18%2.04%-4.08%
57
Neutral
$311.74M-15.90%8.67%-9.19%-337.72%
52
Neutral
$459.63M11.08-9.38%-5.32%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
ACCO
ACCO Brands
3.46
-1.30
-27.31%
NL
NL Industries
7.74
1.32
20.56%
SB
Safe Bulkers
3.66
-1.61
-30.55%
SHYF
Shyft Group
9.81
-2.53
-20.50%
TITN
Titan Machinery
19.91
2.20
12.42%
BWMN
Bowman Consulting Group
25.03
-7.02
-21.90%

ACCO Brands Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:May 01, 2025
(Q1-2025)
|
% Change Since: -8.47%|
Next Earnings Date:Jul 30, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call presented a mixed picture with notable achievements like better-than-expected EPS, gross margin expansion, and progress in cost reduction. However, these were contrasted by significant sales declines and a challenging demand environment.
Q1-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Adjusted EPS Above Outlook
Adjusted EPS for the first quarter was better than the company's outlook, driven by a favorable sales mix and proactive cost management.
Gross Margin Expansion
Gross margin expanded by 60 basis points due to a favorable sales mix and cost-saving measures.
Successful Cost Reduction Program
The company realized $7 million in cost savings in the first quarter, contributing to its $100 million multiyear cost reduction program.
Brazil Market Growth
The Brazilian market returned to volume growth driven by premium notebooks and licensed products.
Repurchase of Shares
ACCO Brands repurchased $15 million in stock during the first quarter.
Small Acquisition in Australia/New Zealand
The acquisition expands the company's product portfolio and gives greater scale in the region.
Negative Updates
Overall Sales Decline
Reported sales decreased approximately 12%, with comparable sales excluding foreign exchange down 8% versus the prior year due to lower volumes globally.
Challenging Demand Environment
The demand environment remained challenging with constrained discretionary spending by both consumers and businesses.
Americas Segment Sales Decline
Sales in the Americas segment declined 12%, with comparable sales down 8% due to lower sales of technology accessories and office products.
International Segment Performance
Comparable sales in the International segment declined 8%, impacted by sluggish office product sales and volume declines.
Gaming Accessories Sales Decline
Sales for the PowerA brand were down in the first quarter due to aging consoles and low consumer spending trends.
Company Guidance
During the ACCO Brands first quarter 2025 earnings call, the company provided guidance highlighting several key metrics. First quarter sales were in line with expectations, and adjusted EPS exceeded the forecast. Gross margin expanded by 60 basis points due to a favorable sales mix and cost management. The company achieved $7 million in additional savings as part of a $100 million multiyear cost reduction program. Despite a 12% decrease in reported sales and an 8% decline in comparable sales, ACCO Brands maintained a strong balance sheet with a leverage ratio of 3.65 times, well below the 4.5 times covenant. The company repurchased $15 million in stock and acquired a small business in Australia and New Zealand. Looking ahead, ACCO Brands provided a second-quarter outlook with expected reported sales down 8% to 12% and adjusted EPS ranging from $0.28 to $0.32, while not providing full-year guidance due to economic uncertainties related to tariffs.

ACCO Brands Corporate Events

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
ACCO Brands Holds Annual Shareholder Meeting
Neutral
May 21, 2025

On May 20, 2025, ACCO Brands held its Annual Meeting where several key proposals were voted on by shareholders. The meeting resulted in the election of nine directors for a one-year term, the ratification of KPMG LLP as the independent accounting firm for 2025, approval of executive compensation, and an amendment to increase shares in the 2022 Incentive Plan.

The most recent analyst rating on (ACCO) stock is a Buy with a $7.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on ACCO Brands stock, see the ACCO Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
OutperformA stock rated as "Outperform" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider this stock a good buying opportunity.
NeutralA stock rated as "Neutral" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly attractive nor unattractive for investment. Investors may consider holding onto the stock, as it is not expected to either significantly outperform or underperform the market.
UnderperformA stock rated as "Underperform" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock may deliver lower returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider selling the stock or avoiding it as an investment.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.