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Safe Bulkers (SB)
NYSE:SB

Safe Bulkers (SB) AI Stock Analysis

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Safe Bulkers

(NYSE:SB)

Rating:68Neutral
Price Target:
$4.00
â–²(3.09%Upside)
Safe Bulkers' overall score is driven by its solid financial performance and undervaluation, counterbalanced by market challenges highlighted in the earnings call. The company's strong balance sheet and dividend policy are positive, but revenue and cash flow concerns weigh on the score.

Safe Bulkers (SB) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Safe Bulkers Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionSafe Bulkers, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, provides marine drybulk transportation services. It owns and operates drybulk vessels for transporting bulk cargoes primarily coal, grain, and iron ore. As of March 18, 2022, the company had a fleet of 40 drybulk vessels having an average age of 10.4 years; and an aggregate carrying capacity of 3,925,500 deadweight tons. Its fleet consisted of 12 Panamax class vessels, 7 Kamsarmax class vessels, 15 post- Panamax class vessels, and 6 Capesize class vessels. Safe Bulkers, Inc. was incorporated in 2007 and is based in Monaco.
How the Company Makes MoneySafe Bulkers makes money primarily through the chartering of its dry bulk vessels to customers who need to transport bulk commodities. The company enters into time charter agreements where vessels are leased out for a specific period at a predetermined daily rate. Revenue is generated based on the number of days the vessel is chartered and the agreed-upon rate. Additionally, Safe Bulkers may also engage in spot chartering, where vessels are hired for single voyages at market rates. The company's earnings are influenced by factors such as global demand for bulk commodities, shipping market conditions, and the availability of vessels. Key partnerships with major commodity producers and traders can also contribute to its revenue streams.

Safe Bulkers Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:May 19, 2025
(Q1-2025)
|
% Change Since: 6.01%|
Next Earnings Date:Jul 23, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call reflected a mixed sentiment. The company showcased a strong balance sheet, consistent dividends, and successful vessel deliveries, but faced significant challenges with a weaker charter market, decreased revenues, and increased operating expenses. Despite strategic initiatives to strengthen their fleet and financial position, market conditions remain challenging.
Q1-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Balance Sheet and Capital Structure
Safe Bulkers maintained a strong capital structure, with ample liquidity and a leverage of about 37%.
New Vessel Deliveries and Environmental Upgrades
The company took delivery of its 12th newbuild and has environmentally upgraded 24 vessels, with 11 being ECO vessels. They have six more Phase III vessels on order.
Consistent Dividend Policy
Declared a 14th consecutive quarterly dividend of $0.05, representing a 5.5% dividend yield.
Share Repurchase Program
Completed a repurchase program of 3 million common shares, amounting to roughly 3% of the company's common stock.
Cash Position and Financial Flexibility
Reported a strong cash position of around $122 million and $128 million available in committed revolving credit facilities.
Negative Updates
Weaker Charter Market Environment
Faced a softer charter market due to seasonality and geopolitical uncertainties, leading to decreased revenues and increased operating expenses.
Decreased Adjusted EBITDA
Adjusted EBITDA for Q1 2025 stood at $29.4 million, compared to $64.3 million for the same period in 2024.
Decreased Earnings Per Share
Adjusted earnings per share for Q1 2025 was $0.05, compared to $0.20 during the same period in 2024.
Increased Operating Expenses
Daily vessel operating expenses increased by 6% to $5,765 for Q1 2025 compared to $5,442 for the same period in 2024.
Soft Panamax Charter Market
The Panamax charter market remains soft at about $11,500, reflecting a challenging market environment.
Company Guidance
During the first quarter of 2025, Safe Bulkers faced a challenging market environment characterized by softer charter markets, geopolitical uncertainties, and tariff-related concerns. Despite these challenges, the company maintained a strong balance sheet and completed the delivery of its 12th newbuild. Safe Bulkers declared a $0.05 per share dividend, reflecting a 5.5% dividend yield, and completed a share repurchase program of 3 million common shares, amounting to a 3% buyback. The company's leverage was approximately 37%, with ample liquidity and capital resources of $276 million. The global drybulk demand is expected to range from -1% to 0% in 2025, with grain and minor bulk shipments anticipated to drive growth. Safe Bulkers continues to focus on fleet renewal, environmental performance, and capital allocation towards newbuilds to enhance shareholder value, with $203 million in revenue backlog providing cash flow visibility. The company maintained a young fleet with an average age of 10 years and achieved zero vessels in the D and E carbon intensity ratings for 2024.

Safe Bulkers Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Safe Bulkers exhibits strong revenue growth and profitability, with improved equity ratios. However, the recent decline in revenue growth and negative free cash flow are concerns that could affect financial stability.
Income Statement
75
Positive
The company has shown consistent revenue growth from 2019 to 2024, reaching $307.63 million in 2024. Gross profit margin improved significantly from 2020, reaching 45.57% in 2024. Net profit margin has also improved, marking 31.65% in 2024, indicating strong profitability. However, there's a decline in revenue from 2022 to 2023, which could be a concern.
Balance Sheet
68
Positive
Safe Bulkers maintains a moderate debt-to-equity ratio of 0.65 in 2024, reflecting manageable leverage. The equity ratio has improved, reaching 59.27% in 2024, indicating a strong equity base. However, the increase in total debt from 2020 to 2024 could pose potential risks if leverage increases further.
Cash Flow
62
Positive
The company's operating cash flow has remained strong, but free cash flow has been negative in recent years, notably -$14.32 million in 2024. The operating cash flow to net income ratio suggests strong cash generation relative to profits, but negative free cash flow could limit financial flexibility.
Breakdown
Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
307.63M284.40M349.72M329.03M198.16M
Gross Profit
140.17M119.41M210.02M194.87M32.22M
EBIT
128.43M104.15M132.55M116.38M-45.55M
EBITDA
186.89M156.19M234.17M232.20M64.75M
Net Income Common Stockholders
97.38M77.35M172.55M174.35M20.37M
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
125.42M87.92M114.38M102.08M105.22M
Total Assets
1.40B1.34B1.25B1.09B1.11B
Total Debt
536.64M507.92M414.36M377.65M607.67M
Net Debt
455.56M458.98M365.18M276.65M517.63M
Total Liabilities
571.48M547.30M474.00M415.08M660.88M
Stockholders Equity
831.62M792.51M771.92M679.24M427.55M
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
-14.32M-86.90M34.72M107.97M12.93M
Operating Cash Flow
130.46M122.21M218.00M217.20M63.38M
Investing Cash Flow
-71.73M-151.73M-229.40M8.60M-34.78M
Financing Cash Flow
-25.86M29.14M-40.10M-225.90M-9.29M

Safe Bulkers Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price3.88
Price Trends
50DMA
3.50
Positive
100DMA
3.56
Positive
200DMA
3.83
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.09
Negative
RSI
65.81
Neutral
STOCH
85.71
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For SB, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 3.88 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 3.74, above the 50-day MA of 3.50, and above the 200-day MA of 3.83, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.09 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 65.81 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 85.71 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for SB.

Safe Bulkers Risk Analysis

Safe Bulkers disclosed 72 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Safe Bulkers reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Safe Bulkers Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (66)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
79
Outperform
$305.56M2.6935.83%5.96%12.43%-1.63%
GNGNK
70
Neutral
$606.59M13.535.02%4.25%-7.38%1295.53%
69
Neutral
$143.60M5.4710.11%5.82%17.53%58.04%
SBSB
68
Neutral
$396.96M5.809.82%5.15%-2.98%-0.96%
66
Neutral
$4.47B12.215.40%3.65%4.14%-12.00%
63
Neutral
$305.80M13.654.05%4.29%13.10%-54.75%
DSDSX
62
Neutral
$194.50M24.422.79%2.38%-8.74%-70.04%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
SB
Safe Bulkers
3.88
-1.52
-28.15%
DSX
Diana Shipping
1.68
-1.05
-38.46%
ESEA
Euroseas
43.61
16.74
62.30%
GNK
Genco Shipping
14.12
-4.69
-24.93%
SHIP
Seanergy Maritime
6.87
-2.96
-30.11%
PANL
Pangaea Logistics Solutions
4.66
-2.43
-34.27%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.