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WEX (WEX) AI Stock Analysis

WEX

WEX

(NYSE:WEX)

Select Model
Rating:65Neutral
Price Target:$204.00â–²(7.61% Upside)
Action:reiterated
Date:10/29/26

The score is held back primarily by weak TTM cash flow (negative operating and free cash flow) alongside meaningful leverage, despite strong reported profitability. Offsetting factors include constructive technical momentum (price above major moving averages and positive MACD) and a supportive earnings-call backdrop with raised guidance, strong free-cash-flow commentary, and capital returns via buybacks. Valuation appears reasonable on a P/E basis but lacks dividend support in the provided data.

Positive Factors
Organic Growth and EarningsRecord revenue and strong adjusted EPS growth indicate that WEX is expanding transaction activity while converting growth into earnings. Continued organic growth, operating leverage, and raised guidance provide a durable foundation for business performance over the next several quarters.
Negative Factors
Weak TTM Cash ConversionA sharp swing to negative operating and free cash flow weakens the quality of reported earnings and reduces internally generated funding for investment, debt reduction, or buybacks. Cash conversion needs to normalize for financial flexibility to improve sustainably.

WEX (WEX) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

-20%-10%0%10%20%30%40%WEX+24.71%SPY+11.79%Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26
Market Cap
$6.29B
Dividend Yield
―
Average Volume (3M)
554.26K
Price to Earnings (P/E)
15.7
Beta (1Y)
0.95
Revenue Growth
9.75%
EPS Growth
51.45%
Country
US
Employees
6,600
Sector
Technology
Sector Strength
61
Industry
Software - Infrastructure

WEX Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

WEX Inc., a financial technology enterprise established in 1983 and headquartered in Portland, Maine, delivers diverse services across the United States and globally. The company, which operated as Wright Express Corporation until its name change in...

How the Company Makes Money

WEX makes money mainly by facilitating and managing payments and charging fees tied to transaction activity, program management, and related services across its platforms. In its fleet and commercial payments business, WEX issues and manages fleet fu...

WEX Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Oct 27, 2026(Q3-2026)|% Change Since:0.14%|Next Earnings Date:Feb 10, 2027
Earnings Call SentimentPositive

The call was strongly positive. WEX reported record revenue, substantial adjusted EPS and operating-income growth, improving underlying organic performance, strong free cash flow, share repurchases, lower leverage, and raised full-year guidance. Mobility growth and pricing momentum improved, Direct AP significantly outperformed expectations, and AI and product investments continued to advance. The main challenges were softer over-the-road volume, travel-related pressure from the Middle East conflict, delayed embedded implementations, benefits account-comparison headwinds, lower interest-rate effects, and expected higher fuel-related charge-offs in the fourth quarter. Overall, the highlights significantly outweighed the lowlights.

Positive Updates

Record Quarterly Revenue and Strong Earnings Growth
Third-quarter revenue reached a record $780.1 million, up 12.8%. Adjusted operating income increased 21.6% to $332.5 million, and adjusted EPS rose 33.6% to $6.13. Excluding fuel prices and foreign exchange, revenue grew 4.4%, adjusted operating income grew 6.7%, and adjusted EPS grew 14.3%.

Negative Updates

Over-the-Road Mobility Volume Softness
Over-the-road mobility volume was softer because elevated diesel prices caused some customers to shift volume to rail. Management said higher fuel prices created a 16-point growth benefit to the segment, while the rail shift represented a temporary customer-behavior change.

Company Guidance

For Q4, WEX expects revenue in the range of $760 million to $780 million and adjusted net income EPS to be between $5.67 and $5.87 per diluted share; for the full year, it expects revenue in the range of $2.97 billion to $2.99 billion and adjusted net income EPS to be between $21.28 and $21.48 per diluted share. At the midpoint, Q4 implies 5% organic revenue growth, with no demand recovery in mobility, while mobility organic revenue growth is now expected to be in the 3% to 5% range, corporate payments segment revenue growth is expected to be 4% to 6%, and macro-adjusted margin expansion is expected to be above a 100-basis-points in total for the second half of the year. The outlook includes interest rate impacts in line with the current market fed funds projection, a 1% headwind from the Middle East conflict to corporate payments growth rates, and does not factor the impact of share repurchases beyond Q3.

WEX Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Income statement strength (strong TTM revenue growth and solid profitability) is outweighed by the cash flow deterioration (negative TTM operating cash flow and free cash flow) and a leveraged balance sheet with a shrinking equity cushion, increasing financial risk until cash conversion normalizes.

Income Statement

72Positive

Balance Sheet

55Neutral

Cash Flow

28Negative
Financial statement breakdown
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue2.88B2.66B2.63B2.55B2.35B1.85B
Gross Profit1.66B1.46B1.59B1.57B1.42B1.15B
EBITDA1.10B994.90M975.00M849.60M571.90M565.70M
Net Income404.60M304.10M309.60M266.60M201.40M100.00K
Balance Sheet
Total Assets16.20B14.40B13.32B13.88B11.53B10.31B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments5.27B5.24B4.36B4.00B3.26B2.21B
Total Debt5.32B4.86B4.45B3.87B2.81B2.95B
Total Liabilities15.04B13.16B11.83B12.06B9.88B8.21B
Stockholders Equity1.15B1.23B1.49B1.82B1.65B1.84B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-291.30M313.70M334.10M763.90M563.20M64.36M
Operating Cash Flow-124.90M454.30M481.40M907.90M679.40M150.40M
Investing Cash Flow-1.03B-696.90M-960.60M-2.14B-716.70M-1.60B
Financing Cash Flow799.00M418.90M-260.30M1.57B681.30M1.40B

WEX Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis SentimentPositive
Last Price189.57

Price Trends

50DMA186.09Negative
100DMA174.49Positive
200DMA164.45Positive

Market Momentum

MACD1.84Negative
RSI50.66Neutral
STOCH34.45Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For WEX, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 189.57 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 181.65, above the 50-day MA of 186.09, and above the 200-day MA of 164.45, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 1.84 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 50.66 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 34.45 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for WEX.

WEX Risk Analysis

WEX disclosed 57 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. WEX reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.

Higher RiskSector Avg.Lower RiskFinance & CorporateTech & InnovationLegal & RegulatoryProductionAbility to SellMacro & Political
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy

Latest Risks Added

0 New Risks

WEX Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)

Financial Indicators

WEX against its peers
NameOverall RatingMarket CapP/E RatioROEDividend YieldRevenue GrowthEPS Growth
DLODLO74Outperform$3.66B18.7837.65%1.52%57.03%38.31%
PAYOPAYO71Outperform$2.42B50.647.27%―6.31%-48.91%
MQMQ69Neutral$1.88B184.691.36%―22.41%―
ACIWACIW68Neutral$5.69B25.6115.06%―7.03%-8.05%
WEXWEX65Neutral$6.07B15.6732.33%―9.75%51.45%
EEFTEEFT62Neutral$2.36B9.4122.18%―4.95%―
Sector *61Neutral$37.18B12.37-10.20%1.83%8.50%-7.62%

* Technology Sector Average

Performance Comparison

-20%0%20%WEXACIWEEFTPAYOMQDLODec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26
WEX and its peers over the selected period
Show on chartTickerCompany NamePriceChange% Change
WEXWEX Inc184.6133.9022.49%
ACIWACI Worldwide, Inc.56.348.6718.19%
EEFTEuronet Worldwide63.15-11.07-14.92%
PAYOPayoneer Inc.7.151.4224.78%
MQMarqeta, Inc.18.100.120.67%
DLODlocal Limited12.96-1.21-8.55%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.

Date of analysis: Oct 29, 2026