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Vistra Energy (VST)
NYSE:VST
Earnings Data
Report Date
Aug 06, 2025TBA Not Confirmed
Period Ending
2025 (Q2)Consensus EPS Forecast
1.62Last Year’s EPS
0.86Same Quarter Last Year
Strong Buy
Based on 9 Analysts Ratings
Earnings Call Summary
Earnings Call Date:May 07, 2025
|% Change Since: 10.31%
|Next Earnings Date:Aug 06, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment|Positive
Vistra reported a strong start to 2025 with significant year-over-year growth in adjusted EBITDA, reaffirmed guidance, and successful hedging strategies. The company is returning substantial capital to shareholders and expanding its zero carbon business. However, uncertainties in policy and regulation, particularly in Texas and PJM, and operational challenges such as the Martin Lake Unit 1 outage present notable concerns.Company Guidance
During Vistra's first quarter 2025 earnings call, the company provided robust guidance for the year, reaffirming their adjusted EBITDA range of $5.5 billion to $6.1 billion and adjusted free cash flow before growth of $3 billion to $3.6 billion. They emphasized the strength of their business model, achieving an adjusted EBITDA of $1,240 million in the first quarter, with a contribution of $1,056 million from generation and $184 million from retail. Vistra expressed confidence in their 2026 outlook, projecting an adjusted EBITDA significantly above $6 billion, supported by a comprehensive hedging strategy with approximately 95% of expected generation hedged for 2025-2026. They also highlighted their strategic priorities, such as maintaining a diversified generation portfolio and strong retail business, achieving a 95% commercial availability rate, and planning continued capital returns to shareholders, with an incremental $2 billion expected through share repurchases and dividends by 2026.Strong Start to 2025
Vistra achieved adjusted EBITDA of $1,240 million for Q1 2025, which is approximately 53% higher year-over-year compared to Q1 2024.
Reaffirmation of 2025 Guidance
Vistra reaffirmed its 2025 adjusted EBITDA guidance range of $5.5 billion to $6.1 billion and adjusted free cash flow before growth range of $3 billion to $3.6 billion.
Hedging Strategy Success
Vistra has successfully hedged approximately 95% of its expected generation over the 2025 to 2026 timeframe, providing a stable and resilient earning stream.
Significant Capital Return to Shareholders
Since the fourth quarter of 2021, Vistra has returned approximately $6.3 billion to investors through share repurchases and common stock dividends.
Growth in Zero Carbon Business
Vistra grew its zero carbon business through the acquisition of Energy Harbor and is on track to add over 600 megawatts of renewable capacity by the end of 2025.
PJM and ERCOT Load Growth
Vistra sees electricity load growth as a structural tailwind, with expected annual compound growth in the low to mid single digits through 2030.
VST Earnings History
The table shows recent earnings report dates and whether the forecast was beat or missed. See the change in forecast and EPS from the previous year.
Beat
Missed
VST Earnings-Related Price Changes
Report Date | Price 1 Day Before | Price 1 Day After | Percentage Change |
|---|---|---|---|
May 07, 2025 | $144.80 | $139.50 | -3.66% |
Feb 27, 2025 | $147.93 | $129.79 | -12.26% |
Nov 07, 2024 | $125.67 | $135.28 | +7.65% |
Aug 08, 2024 | $73.53 | $78.63 | +6.94% |
Earnings announcements can affect a stock’s price. This table shows the stock's price the day before and the day after recent earnings reports, including the percentage change.
FAQ
When does Vistra Energy (VST) report earnings?
Vistra Energy (VST) is schdueled to report earning on Aug 06, 2025, TBA Not Confirmed.
What is Vistra Energy (VST) earnings time?
Vistra Energy (VST) earnings time is at Aug 06, 2025, TBA Not Confirmed.
Where can I see when companies are reporting earnings?
You can see which companies are reporting today on our designated earnings calendar.
What companies are reporting earnings today?
You can see a list of the companies which are reporting today on TipRanks earnings calendar.
What is VST EPS forecast?
VST EPS forecast for the fiscal quarter 2025 (Q2) is 1.62.
