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Telefonica Brasil (VIV)
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Telefonica Brasil (VIV) AI Stock Analysis

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VIV

Telefonica Brasil

(NYSE:VIV)

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Outperform 76 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:76Outperform
Price Target:
$13.50
▲(13.45% Upside)
Telefonica Brasil's strong financial performance and positive earnings call are the most significant factors driving the stock score. The company's robust revenue growth, high profitability margins, and effective cash flow management are complemented by attractive shareholder returns and strategic growth in high-value segments. Technical analysis indicates short-term weakness, but the valuation remains reasonable with a solid dividend yield.
Positive Factors
Revenue Growth
Telefonica Brasil's strong revenue and EBITDA growth indicate robust market demand and operational efficiency, supporting long-term financial health.
Market Position
Dominant postpaid market share strengthens Telefonica Brasil's competitive position, enhancing customer retention and revenue stability.
Cash Generation
Strong cash flow growth enhances financial flexibility, enabling strategic investments and shareholder returns, crucial for sustained growth.
Negative Factors
Increased Service Costs
Rising service costs could pressure margins, impacting profitability and necessitating efficiency improvements to maintain financial performance.
Higher Personnel Expenses
Increased personnel costs may strain operating margins, requiring careful management to balance growth initiatives with cost control.
Challenges in Net Income
Lower-than-expected net income highlights financial expense challenges, potentially affecting profitability and investor confidence.

Telefonica Brasil (VIV) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Telefonica Brasil Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionTelefônica Brasil S.A., together with its subsidiaries, provides mobile and fixed telecommunications services to residential and corporate customers in Brazil. Its fixed line services portfolio includes local, domestic long-distance, and international long-distance calls; and mobile portfolio comprises voice and broadband internet access through 3G, 4G, 4.5G, and 5G as well as mobile value-added services and wireless roaming services. The company also offers data services, including broadband and mobile data services. In addition, it provides pay TV services through direct to home satellite technology, IPTV, and cable, as well as pay-per-view and video on demand services; network services, such as rental of facilities; other services comprising internet access, private network connectivity, computer equipment leasing, extended service, caller identification, voice mail, cellular blocker, and others; wholesale services, including interconnection services to users of other network providers; and digital services, such as entertainment, cloud, and security and financial services. Further, the company offers multimedia communication services, which include audio, data, voice and other sounds, images, texts, and other information, as well as sells devices, such as smartphones, broadband USB modems, and other devices. Additionally, it provides telecommunications solutions and IT support to various industries, such as retail, manufacturing, services, financial institutions, government, etc. It markets and sells its solutions through own stores, dealers, retail and distribution channels, door-to-door sales, and outbound tele sales. The company was formerly known as Telecomunicações de São Paulo S.A. - TELESP and changed its name to Telefônica Brasil S.A. in October 2011. The company was incorporated in 1998 and is headquartered in São Paulo, Brazil.
How the Company Makes MoneyTelefonica Brasil generates revenue through multiple streams, including mobile services, fixed broadband, and pay television subscriptions. The majority of its income comes from mobile telecommunications, where it offers a variety of prepaid and postpaid plans to individual consumers and businesses. Additionally, the company earns revenue from fixed-line services, including voice and broadband internet, catering to residential and corporate clients. VIV also monetizes its network infrastructure through partnerships and wholesale agreements with other telecom operators. Significant partnerships, such as those with content providers for bundled services, and investments in digital transformation initiatives, further contribute to its earnings. Furthermore, the company capitalizes on the growing demand for data services, offering enhanced mobile internet and value-added services that drive customer retention and acquisition.

Telefonica Brasil Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Jul 31, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Oct 30, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
Vivo reported strong performance in its mobile and fiber segments with significant revenue and EBITDA growth, alongside robust free cash flow and shareholder returns. However, the company faced challenges with increased service costs, declining handset sales, and higher personnel expenses. Despite these challenges, the overall performance was positive, with continued growth in B2B and notable ESG achievements.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Mobile Segment Performance
Postpaid growth of 7% year-over-year, now comprising 67% of the mobile customer base.
Impressive Fiber Expansion
Connected homes increased by 12.6% year-over-year, reaching 7.4 million accesses.
Revenue and EBITDA Growth
Total revenue rose 7.2% year-over-year, and EBITDA grew 8.8% with a margin of 40.5%.
Robust Free Cash Flow and Shareholder Returns
Operating cash flow of BRL 7.3 billion for the first half of 2025, up 12.5% year-over-year, with BRL 5.2 billion paid to shareholders.
B2B Segment Growth
B2B revenues grew 13.3% year-over-year, with digital B2B revenues up 31.3%.
ESG Achievements
Vivo was named Company of the Year in Exame magazine's best in ESG Awards, and electronic waste collection increased by 17%.
Negative Updates
Increased Service Costs
Cost of service and goods sold increased by 8.3%, mainly driven by a 15.7% rise in service costs.
Decline in Handset Sales
Cost of goods sold declined by 2.3% due to a decrease in handset and consumer electronics sales.
Challenges in Net Income
Net income came in below consensus, with financial expenses as a main detractor.
Higher Personnel Expenses
Personnel expenses rose 8.8% due to annual wage adjustments and increased headcount in growth areas.
Company Guidance
In the Second Quarter of 2025, Vivo demonstrated strong operational and financial performance, highlighted by a 7.1% rise in total revenue, driven by high single-digit growth in both mobile services and fixed revenues. Postpaid mobile services grew 7% year-over-year, comprising 67% of the total mobile customer base, while fiber connections expanded by 12.6% to 7.4 million accesses. The company reported an 8.8% increase in EBITDA, with a margin of 40.5%, and generated BRL 7.3 billion in operating cash flow in the first half of 2025, up 12.5% year-over-year. Vivo's strategic focus on high-value offerings and service convergence was evident as postpaid and FTTH revenues grew by 10.9% and 10.4%, respectively, accounting for over 72% of service revenues. The company also maintained its commitment to shareholder remuneration, having paid BRL 5.2 billion to shareholders thus far in 2025.

Telefonica Brasil Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Telefonica Brasil demonstrates strong financial performance with robust revenue and profit growth, healthy operational margins, and solid cash flow generation. The balance sheet is stable with manageable debt levels, though attention to revenue growth and liability management is necessary.
Income Statement
85
Very Positive
Telefonica Brasil shows strong revenue growth with a consistent upward trend from 2020 to TTM 2025, driven by robust gross and net profit margins. The Gross Profit Margin remained steady around 43-44% in recent years, and the Net Profit Margin increased to 10.1% in TTM 2025 from 9.9% in 2024. EBIT and EBITDA margins are healthy, with EBITDA Margin at 37.9% for TTM 2025, reflecting operational efficiency. However, the decline in revenue growth rate from 9.2% in 2022 to 1.5% in 2024 needs monitoring.
Balance Sheet
78
Positive
The balance sheet is solid, with a Debt-to-Equity ratio of 0.30 in TTM 2025, indicating manageable leverage. The company maintains a strong equity position with an Equity Ratio of 53.8%, highlighting financial stability. Return on Equity improved to 8.4% in TTM 2025, up from 8.0% in 2024, showcasing effective use of equity. However, the relatively high total liabilities might pose risks if not managed properly.
Cash Flow
80
Positive
Cash flow analysis reveals a robust Operating Cash Flow to Net Income Ratio of 3.51 in TTM 2025, indicating strong cash generation capabilities. The Free Cash Flow has shown growth, although the Free Cash Flow Growth Rate slightly decreased in TTM 2025. The Free Cash Flow to Net Income Ratio of 1.80 signifies efficient cash management. Continued focus on managing capital expenditures is crucial for sustaining cash flow strength.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue57.66B55.85B52.10B48.04B44.03B43.13B
Gross Profit36.10B24.49B22.68B20.61B36.04B30.07B
EBITDA22.09B21.54B19.52B14.64B14.05B14.40B
Net Income5.83B5.55B5.03B4.09B6.24B4.77B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets126.47B124.94B120.74B119.12B115.74B108.74B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments9.45B6.69B4.36B2.27B6.45B5.76B
Total Debt20.32B20.75B18.74B19.30B16.93B13.24B
Total Liabilities58.34B55.14B51.11B50.67B45.66B39.18B
Stockholders Equity68.07B69.73B69.57B68.40B70.01B69.56B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow10.43B10.55B9.97B9.05B8.78B11.05B
Operating Cash Flow20.19B19.88B18.79B18.94B18.07B19.34B
Investing Cash Flow-9.39B-8.91B-7.85B-14.20B-8.13B-6.41B
Financing Cash Flow-8.71B-8.63B-8.85B-8.91B-9.26B-10.56B

Telefonica Brasil Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price11.90
Price Trends
50DMA
12.33
Negative
100DMA
11.58
Positive
200DMA
10.09
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.13
Positive
RSI
41.38
Neutral
STOCH
23.90
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For VIV, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 11.9 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 12.31, below the 50-day MA of 12.33, and above the 200-day MA of 10.09, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.13 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 41.38 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 23.90 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for VIV.

Telefonica Brasil Risk Analysis

Telefonica Brasil disclosed 41 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Telefonica Brasil reported the most risks in the "Legal & Regulatory" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 2 New Risks
1.
Changes in taxes and other assessments may adversely affect us and our shareholders. Q4, 2022
2.
The ongoing war between Russia and Ukraine may have a material adverse effect on the global and Brazilian economies as well as on us. Q4, 2022

Telefonica Brasil Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (60)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
80
Outperform
$10.27B16.1913.78%6.84%-7.99%2.16%
76
Outperform
$19.20B18.988.20%4.87%-6.51%-0.21%
71
Outperform
$18.05B12.9317.71%6.87%-5.13%-5.90%
68
Neutral
$65.70B22.8214.41%2.42%-0.64%56.92%
60
Neutral
$48.67B4.58-11.27%4.14%2.83%-41.78%
56
Neutral
$29.52B-3.55%6.42%-4.73%-251.31%
54
Neutral
$27.48B9.21-7.17%4.34%0.89%-494.16%
* Communication Services Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
VIV
Telefonica Brasil
11.90
2.76
30.20%
AMX
America Movil
21.56
5.09
30.90%
TLK
PT Telekomunikasi Indonesia Tbk
18.74
0.43
2.35%
TEF
Telefonica
5.11
0.52
11.33%
TIMB
TIM
21.18
6.99
49.26%
VOD
Vodafone
11.40
2.13
22.98%

Telefonica Brasil Corporate Events

Telefônica Brasil Declares R$380 Million Interest on Capital
Oct 15, 2025

On October 14, 2025, Telefônica Brasil S.A. announced that its Board of Directors approved the declaration of Interest on Capital (IoC) amounting to R$380 million, with a net amount of R$323 million after tax. This payout, based on the balance sheet of September 30, 2025, will be distributed to shareholders holding positions as of October 27, 2025, and will be considered part of the mandatory dividends for the fiscal year ending December 31, 2025. The move reflects the company’s commitment to returning value to its shareholders and may impact the company’s financial strategies and shareholder relations.

Telefônica Brasil Approves R$380 Million Interest on Capital
Oct 15, 2025

On October 14, 2025, Telefônica Brasil S.A.’s Board of Directors held its 503rd meeting, where they approved a proposal for the declaration of interest on capital (IoC) amounting to R$380 million gross, based on the balance sheet as of September 30, 2025. This decision, which aligns with the company’s financial strategy, will see the IoC credited to shareholders based on their holdings as of October 27, 2025, and will contribute to the mandatory dividend for the fiscal year ending December 31, 2025. The payment is scheduled to be completed by April 30, 2026, pending approval at the 2026 Ordinary General Meeting, highlighting Telefônica Brasil’s commitment to shareholder returns.

Telefonica Brasil Approves Interest on Capital Declaration
Oct 15, 2025

On October 13, 2025, Telefonica Brasil’s Fiscal Council held a meeting to discuss the proposal for the declaration of Interest on Capital (IoC) based on the balance sheet of September 30, 2025. The Council approved the proposal to declare a gross amount of R$380,000,000.00 as IoC, which will be credited to shareholders based on their shareholding position as of October 27, 2025. This decision reflects the company’s commitment to shareholder returns and will be included in the minimum mandatory dividend for the fiscal year ending December 31, 2025. The payment is scheduled to be completed by April 30, 2026, pending approval at the Ordinary General Meeting in 2026.

Telefonica Brasil Approves Strategic Share Transfer to Vivo Ventures
Oct 7, 2025

On October 6, 2025, Telefonica Brasil’s Board of Directors held its 502nd meeting where they approved a transaction involving the transfer of shares of VivaE Educação Digital S.A. to the Vivo Ventures investment fund. This decision, which was unanimously agreed upon by the board, represents a strategic move to enhance the company’s investment portfolio through a contribution valued at approximately R$17.4 million. The transaction is expected to strengthen Telefonica Brasil’s position in the private equity sector, with implications for its investment strategy and stakeholder interests.

Telefônica Brasil Completes Reorganization and Announces Vivae-Ada Merger
Oct 7, 2025

On October 6, 2025, Telefônica Brasil S.A. announced the completion of a corporate reorganization involving its stake in Vivae Educação Digital S.A. The reorganization involved transferring Vivae shares to the Vivo Ventures investment fund, valued at approximately R$17.4 million. Additionally, Vivae entered into a business combination agreement with Ada Tecnologia e Educação S.A., aiming to enhance synergies and strategic partnerships in the technology education sector. This move is expected to strengthen Telefônica’s position in the B2B education market, pending antitrust approval.

Telefônica Brasil Adjusts Interest on Capital Amid Share Buyback
Sep 22, 2025

On September 22, 2025, Telefônica Brasil S.A. announced a recalculation of the Interest on Capital (IoC) amount per share, initially declared on September 11, 2025. This adjustment follows the company’s share buyback program and slightly increases the gross and net amounts per share. The payment will be based on the shareholding position as of September 22, 2025, and is scheduled to be executed by April 30, 2026. This recalibration reflects Telefônica Brasil’s ongoing efforts to optimize shareholder value and manage capital effectively.

Telefônica Brasil Approves R$400 Million Interest on Capital
Sep 11, 2025

On September 9, 2025, Telefônica Brasil’s Fiscal Council held its 250th meeting, where they unanimously approved a proposal for the declaration of Interest on Capital (IoC) amounting to R$400 million gross, based on the August 31, 2025 balance sheet. This decision, which aligns with applicable legislation, will impact shareholders by crediting the IoC based on their shareholding position as of September 22, 2025, and it will be included in the mandatory dividend for the fiscal year ending December 31, 2025, with payment expected by April 30, 2026.

Telefônica Brasil Approves R$400 Million Interest on Capital
Sep 11, 2025

On September 11, 2025, Telefônica Brasil S.A.’s Board of Directors approved a proposal for the declaration of Interest on Capital (IoC) amounting to R$400 million gross, based on the balance sheet as of August 31, 2025. This decision reflects the company’s commitment to returning value to its shareholders, with the net value of the IoC contributing to the mandatory dividend for the fiscal year ending December 31, 2025. The IoC will be allocated to shareholders based on their positions as of September 22, 2025, and the payment is scheduled by April 30, 2026, pending approval at the Ordinary General Meeting in 2026.

Telefônica Brasil Declares R$400 Million Interest on Capital
Sep 11, 2025

On September 11, 2025, Telefônica Brasil S.A. announced that its Board of Directors approved a declaration of Interest on Capital amounting to R$400 million, with a net amount of R$340 million after tax deductions. This decision, based on the balance sheet of August 31, 2025, is part of the mandatory dividends for the fiscal year ending December 31, 2025, and will be paid by April 30, 2026. The announcement reflects the company’s commitment to returning value to its shareholders and may influence its market positioning and stakeholder relations.

Telefônica Brasil Adjusts Interest on Capital Amid Share Buyback
Aug 26, 2025

On August 25, 2025, Telefônica Brasil S.A. announced a recalculation of the Interest on Capital (IoC) amount per share, initially declared on August 14, 2025. This adjustment follows the company’s recent share buyback program. The gross amount per share has been slightly increased, impacting the net amount received by shareholders. The IoC will be paid based on the shareholding position as of August 25, 2025, with payments scheduled by April 30, 2026. This recalibration reflects the company’s ongoing financial strategies and may influence shareholder returns and market perceptions.

Telefônica Brasil Approves R$250 Million Interest on Capital
Aug 14, 2025

On August 11, 2025, Telefônica Brasil’s Fiscal Council held its 249th meeting, where they unanimously approved a proposal for the declaration of Interest on Capital (IoC) amounting to R$250 million gross, based on the balance sheet of July 31, 2025. This decision, which aligns with applicable legislation, will see the IoC credited to shareholders based on their holdings as of August 25, 2025, and is set to be included in the mandatory dividend for the fiscal year ending December 31, 2025, with payment by April 30, 2026.

Telefonica Brasil Declares R$250 Million Interest on Capital
Aug 14, 2025

On August 14, 2025, Telefonica Brasil’s Board of Directors held their 500th meeting, where they approved a proposal for the declaration of Interest on Capital (IoC) based on the balance sheet as of July 31, 2025. The gross amount approved was R$250 million, with a net amount of R$212.5 million after tax. This IoC will be credited to shareholders based on their holdings as of August 25, 2025, and will contribute towards the mandatory dividend for the fiscal year ending December 31, 2025, with payment scheduled by April 30, 2026. This decision underscores the company’s commitment to returning value to its shareholders.

Telefônica Brasil Approves R$250 Million Interest on Capital
Aug 14, 2025

On August 14, 2025, Telefônica Brasil S.A. announced that its Board of Directors approved the declaration of Interest on Capital (IoC) amounting to R$250 million, with a net amount of R$212.5 million after withholding income tax. This IoC will be considered as part of the mandatory dividends for the fiscal year ending December 31, 2025, and will be paid to shareholders based on their positions as of August 25, 2025. The payment is expected to be completed by April 30, 2026, and may be adjusted according to the company’s shareholding base due to its Share Buyback Program.

Telefonica Brasil Releases Interim Financial Statements for June 2025
Aug 12, 2025

On July 24, 2025, Telefonica Brasil S.A. released its interim financial statements for the period ending June 30, 2025. The review, conducted by PricewaterhouseCoopers, concluded that the financial statements fairly present the company’s financial position and performance in accordance with Brazilian and international accounting standards. This release provides stakeholders with assurance regarding the company’s financial health and compliance with relevant accounting practices.

Telefônica Brasil Cancels Treasury Shares to Optimize Capital Structure
Jul 24, 2025

On July 24, 2025, Telefônica Brasil S.A.’s Board of Directors held a meeting in Madrid, Spain, where they approved the cancellation of 34,740,770 common shares held in treasury, representing 1.07% of the company’s share capital. This decision, which aligns with the company’s Share Buyback Program, does not reduce the share capital’s value and reflects a strategic move to optimize capital structure. The board also authorized the convening of a General Shareholders’ Meeting to amend the company’s bylaws to reflect the new number of shares, indicating a proactive approach to managing its equity and enhancing shareholder value.

Telefônica Brasil Approves Share Cancellation in Recent Fiscal Council Meeting
Jul 24, 2025

On July 22, 2025, Telefônica Brasil S.A.’s Fiscal Council held a virtual meeting where they unanimously approved a proposal to cancel 34,740,770 common shares held in treasury, equivalent to 1.07% of the company’s share capital. This decision, part of the company’s Share Buyback Program, will require an amendment to the company’s bylaws, to be approved at a future General Shareholders’ Meeting, reflecting the new share capital structure.

Telefônica Brasil Proposes Cancellation of Treasury Shares
Jul 24, 2025

On July 23, 2025, Telefônica Brasil S.A.’s Audit and Control Committee held a meeting in Madrid, Spain, where they reviewed and unanimously recommended the approval of a proposal to cancel 34,740,770 common shares held in treasury, representing 1.07% of the company’s share capital. This decision, part of the company’s Share Buyback Program, aims to adjust the capital structure without reducing the total value of the share capital, pending approval from the General Shareholders’ Meeting.

Telefônica Brasil Cancels Treasury Shares to Optimize Capital Structure
Jul 24, 2025

On July 24, 2025, Telefônica Brasil S.A. announced the cancellation of 34,740,770 common shares held in treasury, representing 1.07% of its capital stock, as part of its Share Buyback Program. This move, approved by the Board of Directors, adjusts the company’s capital stock to 3,226,546,622 shares and reflects strategic financial management. The company also noted adjustments to its share buyback program following a reverse and forward stock split effective April 15, 2025, highlighting its ongoing efforts to optimize shareholder value.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Oct 16, 2025